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St. John’s vs. New Mexico prediction: College basketball odds, picks

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St. John’s vs. New Mexico prediction: College basketball odds, picks


St. John’s is 3-0 on the year with three 20-plus point wins.

Of course, the Johnnies haven’t played anybody, overwhelming Fordham, Quinnipiac and Wagner.

New Mexico will be Rick Pitino and Co.’s toughest test yet.

The Lobos have already posted a KenPom top-25 win after beating UCLA last Friday in Las Vegas.

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Donovan Dent and Nelly Junior Joseph are a formidable inside-out duo. 

These are two similar squads, and I think the Lobos have a fighting chance of keeping it close for 40 minutes.

New Mexico vs. St. John’s odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
New Mexico +8.5 (-108) +290 Over 161.5 (-114)
St. John’s -8.5 (-112) -375 Under 161.5 (-106)
Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook

New Mexico vs. St. John’s prediction

(12 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1)

Both squads run up-tempo, transition-reliant offenses centered around their backcourts. The Lobos and Johnnies will put the ball in their guards’ hands and let them run the open court for 40 minutes. 

Both squads have talented frontcourt pieces but limited frontcourt depth. They are also limited in the shooting and spacing departments, often creating in the mid-range. 

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These are two above-average transition defenses, so while I expect plenty of transition attempts, both might find trouble scoring efficiently. 

But there are a few matchup wrinkles that favor the Lobos. 

In theory, Coach Pitino’s matchup zone defense should neutralize ball-screen actions. 

But in practice, the Johnnies’ ball-screen coverage has been more than sketchy. They ranked 332nd nationally in pick-and-roll PPP allowed last season (.88) and allowed opponents to run the set at a well-above-average rate.

That doesn’t bode well for this matchup, given the Lobos run almost exclusively ball-screen sets with Dent, Junior Joseph and Mustapha Amzil in the half-court. 

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Additionally, I’m impressed with New Mexico’s rim pressure in the early season. The Lobos are averaging 28 at-the-rim field-goal attempts per game (98th percentile). That will undoubtedly result in higher-efficiency shots than St. John’s mid-range-reliant attack.

The Johnnies ranked 325th nationally in Rim-and-3 rate last season, and their most significant offseason addition is former Seton Hall guard Kadary Richmond, a talented two-way player who spends too much time pedaling in the middle of the floor. 

St. John’s guard Kadary Richmond (1) looks to pass around Wagner guard Javier Ezquerra during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game Wednesday, Nov. 13, 2024, in New York. AP

I’m also uncertain how the Red Storm’s offense will look without Joel Soriano.

Sunday will be their first true test without their former star center. 

He grabbed a million offensive rebounds last year, masking a shooting-deficient roster by creating consistent second-chance offense.

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This year’s roster doesn’t have an adequate replacement, especially if they keep playing the 6-foot-7 RJ Luis at the four. 

That gets to a more overarching point about roster continuity.

Teams with more returning production tend to outperform teams with less in the early season — fully formed teams perform better than the transfer-laden ones in November and December. 


Betting on College Basketball?


New Mexico ranks 66th nationally in minutes continuity (49%), while St. John’s ranks 263rd (22%).

The Johnnies are relying on four transfers for significant possession minutes. 

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New Mexico vs. St. John’s pick

The Lobos and Johnnies play very similar schemes, making me think the two will play a closely-contested game. 

But I’m willing to back New Mexico’s returning players and ball-screen offense against St. John’s transfers and sketchy ball-screen coverage defense. 

Best Bet: New Mexico +8.5 (-108, FanDuel)



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New Mexico

NM FAST launches space SBIR/STTR accelerator for New Mexico startups

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NM FAST launches space SBIR/STTR accelerator for New Mexico startups


NM FAST (New Mexico Federal and State Technology) is now accepting applications for a free space-sector accelerator cohort designed to help New Mexico-based technology companies compete for federal funding through the Small Business Innovation Research (SBIR) and Small Business Technology Transfer (STTR) programs. The cohort targets founders and researchers pursuing grants from NASA, Space Force and related federal agencies, with programming set to launch July 21.

The cohort will admit six to 10 New Mexico companies and run for 10 to 12 weeks, meeting in weekly sessions of approximately one and a half to two hours. Programming covers the full arc of federal commercialization strategy, including space-sector SBIR/STTR opportunities and federal funding pathways, proposal development for technical narratives and commercialization components, federal procurement positioning and agency discovery, capital strategy and follow-on funding options, and transition planning from Phase I to Phase II awards. Participants also receive targeted one-on-one advisory support throughout the program. The cohort is offered at no cost to accepted companies.



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New Mexico

Edgewood and Santa Fe County finalize agreement to keep emergency services going

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Edgewood and Santa Fe County finalize agreement to keep emergency services going


SANTA FE, N.M. – Santa Fe County and Edgewood approved a new agreement and ordinance that secures ongoing fire and EMS services for Edgewood residents.

According to a joint announcement from the Town of Edgewood and Santa Fe County on June 19, the two governments negotiated and adopted a new Joint Powers Agreement and ordinance to keep the Santa Fe County Fire Department serving the town.

County and town representatives drafted the agreement together. The town adopted the ordinance unanimously at a special meeting on June 16, putting an end to weeks of uncertainty.

Santa Fe County District 3 Commissioner Camilla Bustamante said, “I believe we are all relieved to know that the people of Edgewood will continue to have the fire and EMS services necessary to protect their homes, their families, and their community. This community deserves nothing less.”

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The announcement said the ordinance takes effect five days after final publication. The statement also said no further action or approval is needed to guarantee continued fire suppression, fire prevention, and EMS services for Edgewood residents.

Both governments noted the agreement will continue indefinitely unless either side ends it with five years’ notice.



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New Mexico

Eight Black New Mexican artists explore the concept of land through art

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Eight Black New Mexican artists explore the concept of land through art





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