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Easing Africa’s climate crisis: Can green bonds help close the climate finance gap?

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Easing Africa’s climate crisis: Can green bonds help close the climate finance gap?
Summary
  • Africa’s share of the global USD 2.2 trillion green bond market is less than 1%. To increase its green bonds market share, Africa must mobilise the combined capacity of corporations, municipalities, banks and sovereign governments.
  • Although the growth of the green bond market in Africa trails the rest of the world, the continent has enormous potential to issue more green bonds. By 2023, over 20 green bonds had been issued by Tanzania, Rwanda, Gabon, Seychelles, Nigeria, South Africa, Kenya, Morocco, Mozambique, Nigeria, Namibia, Mauritius, and Zambia.
  • Unlocking green bond opportunities requires strong national regulatory frameworks, incentives and consistent collaboration between both public and private sectors and local and international financial institutions.
  • Guided by past successful issuances by African public and private sectors, new African entrants in the green bond markets can reduce Africa’s trillion-dollar climate finance bill by creating ecosystems that leverage existing capacities in their public, private and environmental sectors.
  • To turn ambition and potential into concrete action, African countries and their partners will play an important role in enabling opportunities offered by the rapidly growing global sustainable bond markets.
  • At the upcoming COP29, states must commit to accelerating the creation of enabling environments, capacities and collaborations for green bond issuance in Africa.
Background and context

In 2007, the United Nations predicted that the African continent would be one of the regions most severely impacted by climate change. The 2023 State of the Climate in Africa report indicates that the risks have manifested on an even larger scale.1 With the global surface temperature expected to exceed 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels, Africa’s climate bill is expected to further escalate.2 3 Going by past trends, a combination of African governments’ climate-related budgets and donor pledges will not meet this challenge. Estimates indicate that Africa needs USD 2.8 trillion by 2030 to implement its Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs).4

To meet their trillion-dollar climate bill, African countries must diversify their climate finance sources to include more non-traditional avenues. Sustainable finance markets, for example, are platforms for debt securities that raise money for sustainable projects and initiatives globally. According to the International Finance Corporation (IFC) and Amundi, by 2023, the sustainable finance market in general – and green bonds in particular – continue to grow, making them a promising source of climate finance for the developing world.5 Despite this global growth, however, Africa’s share of the global USD 2.2 trillion green bond market is less than 1%.6 The impact of the ongoing climate crisis on the continent and its sheer wealth of natural capital make Africa a potential market for green bond proliferation.

What is a green bond?

A green bond is a fixed-income instrument, similar to a traditional bond, but specifically used to raise capital for projects that deliver positive environmental or climate benefits. First issued in 2007 by the European Investment Bank, green bonds direct funds toward sectors such as renewable energy, sustainable agriculture, water management and green infrastructure.7 Issuers of green bonds include governments, corporations, municipalities and international organisations, who must include a ‘use of proceeds’ clause in the bond to ensure that the funds are allocated to environmentally beneficial projects. 8 9

In sum, what sets green bonds apart from traditional bonds is their focus on sustainability and climate outcomes. In addition to the ‘use of proceeds’ requirement, green bond issuers often seek third-party verification to validate the environmental credentials of their projects. This process involves regular reporting on the bond’s usage and environmental impact, ensuring transparency and accountability. Green bonds are issued and regulated based on national frameworks and voluntary international guidelines that align with global climate goals, such as the Paris Agreement and the UN’s Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).10 Certification of green bonds ensures that they meet best practices for reporting, tracking and compliance with environmental objectives. Key initiatives, such as ICMA’s Green Bond Principles and the CBI’s Climate Bonds Standard, help standardise issuance. Alignment with these international standards further strengthens the integrity of green bonds.12 13 Global agreement on eligibility criteria and reporting remains essential to avoid greenwashing and ensure credibility.14 15 16

An overview of the global green bond market

The global green bond market has experienced exponential growth, surging from under USD 50 billion in 2015 to approximately USD 2.8 trillion in 2023, with USD 575 billion issued in 2023 alone (see Fig. 1).17 18 This growth has been driven largely by the increasing demand for climate-positive investments following the Paris Climate Accord, as investors and issuers alike prioritise sustainability.

The market has seen a diversification of issuers, including corporations, municipalities, banks and sovereign governments. This broad participation underscores the widespread appeal of green bonds as a tool for financing environmental projects. Regulatory developments are also playing a significant role, with governments introducing guidelines and taxonomies to support market growth and ensure the integrity of green finance.19 20 As a result, green bonds now dominate the sustainable finance space, with rising demand signaling their central role in addressing the climate crisis.

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Figure 1:  Green bonds dominate global growth of impact bonds instrument (2014-2023)

Source: Bloomberg. (2023). Green bonds reached new heights in 2023. https://www.bloomberg.com/professional/insights/trading/green-bonds-reached-new-heights-in-2023/

In 2023, green bonds grew exponentially, accounting for 73% of overall bond issuances in emerging markets and 68% in advanced markets.21 Despite the growth in emerging markets, 70% of green bond issuances since 2012 have come from advanced economies, with China leading the pack at USD 292 billion.22 Unlike advanced markets, emerging market bond issuers in 2023 combined green and social projects, reflecting a broader commitment to all of the SDGs. The growth of green bonds globally has been driven by various factors including national climate contributions, investor demand in sustainable projects and macroeconomic factors.2324

An overview of the green bond market in Africa

In spite of the global surge of green bond issuances, sub-Saharan private and public sectors have not fully benefited from this source of climate finance.25 As the figure below shows, the continent represents only USD 5.1 billion of the total USD 2.2 trillion green bond market, compared to USD 47.2 billion for Asia Pacific (minus China) and USD 48 billion for Latin America. See Fig. 2.

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Figure 2:  Value of green bonds issued in emerging markets in 2023 by region

alue of green bonds issued in emerging markets in 2023 by region

Source: Statista. (2023). Value of green bonds issued in emerging markets in 2023, by region. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1292213/valueof-em-green-bonds-issued-by-region/

Low liquidity and underdeveloped capital markets across Africa have limited the potential of the green bond market. Despite this challenge, green bond issuances grew by 125% in 2023, reaching USD 1.4 billion, up from USD 600 million in 2022.26 One of the latest and biggest sovereign sustainable bond issuances in 2024 is the Côte d’Ivoire USD 1.1 billion Sustainability Bond,27 which will be used for eligible green projects in line with the ICMA 202128 and CBI 202329 Green Bond Principles.

As of 2024, Africa had issued over 20 green bonds in countries such as Tanzania, Rwanda, Gabon, Seychelles, Nigeria, South Africa, Kenya, Morocco, Mozambique, Namibia, Mauritius and Zambia.30 31 The green bonds issued in Africa have funded climate mitigation and adaptation projects, including renewable energy, forestry, sustainable agriculture, sustainable water and clean transport projects.32

Selected examples of African green bond issuances: 2013 – 2024
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Country Use of Proceeds Issuer Amount Issued (USD) Year
Africa Renewable Energy
Clean Transport
Biosphere Conservation
Water
Solid Waste Management
AfDB USD 500 million 2013
South Africa Energy, Transportation Johannesburg Municipality USD 137.8 million 2014
Nigeria Energy Government of Nigeria USD 29.7 million 2017
Nigeria Forestry Federal Government USD 30 million 2017
Namibia Energy, Transportation Financial Institution USD 4.6 million 2018
Seychelles Marine and Fisheries Projects Seychelles Government USD 15 million 2018
Kenya Buildings ACORN Project USD 40.9 million 2019
South Africa Energy Nedbank USD 116 million 2019
South Africa Water, Energy, Buildings Standard Bank Group USD 200 million 2020
Gabon Nature Conservation Bank of America USD 500 million 2023
Zambia Renewable Energy Copperbelt Energy Corporation USD 200 million 2023
Côte d’Ivoire Sustainable Projects Government of Côte d’Ivoire USD 1.5 billion 2024
South Africa Conservation, Urban Infrastructure Cape Town Municipality USD 135 million 2019
Morocco Renewable Energy Moroccan Agency for Sustainable Energy USD 103 million 2020
Green bond development in Africa

The African Development Bank (AfDB) has become a pioneer for sustainable financing in Africa,33 issuing its first green bond of USD 500 million in October 2013. Several more issuances have followed, including the latest 2023 USD 50 million 15-year Kangaroo Green Bond.34 Other countries have followed suit. South Africa led the African market’s early development with its sustainable finance taxonomy and green listing rules introduced in 2017. This enabled Cape Town to issue its first green bond for climate change mitigation and adaptation, followed by municipal green bonds worth over USD 74 million. Johannesburg allocated USD 138 million for similar bonds.35

While South Africa has pioneered green bonds in Africa, Nigeria dominates the public issuance of green bonds. In 2017, Nigeria issued its first green bond to fund solar power and afforestation projects.36 This was the first bond certified by climate bond standards, and today Nigeria accounts for approximately 99% of green bonds listed on the Nigerian Stock Exchange. Private firms, such as Access Bank, North-South Power Company and the Infrastructure Credit Guarantee Company, have followed the government’s lead.37

Meanwhile, African countries such as Morocco, Namibia and Kenya have issued corporate green bonds with government guidance. Morocco’s first green bond was issued by the Moroccan Agency for Solar Energy. In 2023, Africa saw further, important debut issuances such as the Rwanda Development Bank’s sustainability-linked bond (SLB), Gabon’s blue bond through a ‘debt-for-nature swap’, and Zambia’s first corporate-led green bond from Copperbelt Energy Corporation.38

To accelerate Africa’s green bond market, in 2023 the African Development Bank signed a joint partnership with the Global Green Bond Initiative to promote green bonds across the continent.39 Additionally, the International Finance Corporation and Amundi have launched a USD 2 billion fund to purchase green bonds from emerging markets, including Africa.40 These instances reflect African institutions’ growing recognition of green bonds as vital to unlocking climate finance.

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Lessons from the Zambia case

Over the past 30 years, climate change has cost the Zambian economy an estimated USD 13.8 billion in GDP losses.41 In addition, Zambia’s GHG emissions rose by 47% between 1994 and 2016, emphasising the need for a low-carbon development path.42 According to the World Bank, Zambia’s national income could decline by 4.8% to 8% by 2050 as a result of chronic climate damage.43 In 2023, Zambia responded by issuing its first-ever green bond, seen as a key tool for enhancing environmentally positive activities and climate resilience.44 Before this issuance, Zambia faced several challenges including a lack of awareness, guidelines, customised incentives, green bond ratings and a pipeline of suitable projects.45 To address the challenges, a working group led by the UNDP Biodiversity Finance Initiative, in collaboration with various government ministries and WWF Zambia, developed green bond guidelines and hosted workshops to raise awareness amongst potential issuers. The Zambia Green Bonds Guidelines were gazetted in 2020 under the Securities Act.46 In 2023, Copperbelt Energy Corporation (CEC) issued Zambia’s first green bond worth USD 200 million, which was oversubscribed by 178%.47 Investing in renewable energy projects, the bond was supported by investors such as ABSA Bank and the Africa Local Currency Bond Fund. The bond is aligned with the EU Taxonomy, and CEC is committed to annual impact reporting based on ICMA Green Bond Principles.48 In 2022, with support from ZANACO, FCDO and WWF Zambia, the Women Leaders for Climate Action (WLCA) was formed to build the capacity of more market players on green and gender bond issuances. This included training on green bonds issued across Africa, including Zambia.49

Growing the green bond market in Africa: challenges and lessons

Despite its growth potential, the African green bond market faces several challenges. Its potential has been demonstrated by countries like Nigeria and South Africa, which have successfully issued green bonds multiple times. Key issuance barriers and lessons learned include:

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Challenges Lessons
Lack of Developed Local Markets: Low awareness among African investors hampers demand for green bonds.50 51 Raising awareness and offering tax incentives, like Zambia’s green bond tax incentives and Cape Town’s experience, can drive demand.
Inadequate Green Bond Regulation: Without clear guidelines, investors face difficulties identifying green projects, leading to greenwashing risks. Governments in Nigeria and South Africa established clear green bond standards, earning high ratings like GB1 from Moody’s, boosting investor confidence.52
Limited Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Capacity: Potential issuers often lack knowledge of ESG regulations, affecting sustainability reporting. Investing in internal ESG capacity and leveraging external expertise has helped countries like Nigeria, South Africa, and Kenya build capacity for green bond issuance.53 54
Underdeveloped Capital Markets & Project Pipeline: African green projects are often too small to attract large investors. Zambia’s Capital Markets Development Plan and WWF Zambia’s creation of a green finance unit helped address these issues by identifying bankable projects linked to NDC objectives.55 56
High Transaction Costs: Costs related to certification and verification deter issuers. Zambia’s regulators reduced issuance costs by 50%, and countries like Nigeria provided partial credit guarantees to lower capital costs.57 58
Lack of Independent Verifiers: The absence of local verifiers raises costs for issuers. African actors have relied on international verifiers, with some costs covered by grants from development partners.59

These lessons highlight the potential for overcoming barriers to green bond market growth across Africa.

Conclusion and call to action at COP29

Even though Africa has the lowest CO2 emissions in the world, its economy is reeling from climate change-induced water, energy and food crises. Trillions of dollars are needed to address these challenges. Green bonds are an important and under-utilised instrument that can aid in the financing of Africa’s climate adaptation goals. As there is no shortage of economic sectors on the continent in need of greater resilience, the opportunity for scaling green bonds in Africa is enormous.

However, creating a green bond market requires strong and consistent collaboration between public and private sectors and between local and international financial institutions. This will unlock financing opportunities for projects producing environmental, social and commercial outcomes for all parties. Several African countries have already demonstrated that the continent can overcome the barriers currently limiting their market share of the global green bond market. By harnessing and leveraging existing capacities in the public, private and development sectors, more African countries will see increased green bond issuances.

Governments, financial institutions, municipalities, investors and corporations at the upcoming COP29 must commit to accelerating the creation of enabling environments, capacities and collaborations for green bond issuance in Africa. COP29, hosted by Azerbaijan, is poised to be historic if parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) implement a radically different strategy to unlock the finance needed to confront the climate crisis. Creating a finance strategy which incorporates green bonds will unlock the trillions of dollars Africa needs to combat climate change and thrive. In summary, Africa’s under-utilised green bonds market may be the key to help it bridge its trillion-dollar climate finance gap. By scaling up the green bond market, critical climate projects can be funded to unlock Africa’s potential for sustainable development and resilience, with governments, businesses and international institutions driving the shift.

Endnotes

[1] World Meteorological Organization (WMO). (2024). State of the Climate in Africa 2023 (p. 33 p.). WMO. https://library.wmo.int/records/item/69000-state-of-the-climate-in-africa-2023

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[2] Ibid

[3] Climate Policy Initiative. (2022). The State of Climate Finance in Africa: Climate Finance Needs of African Countries. Climate Policy Initiative. https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Climate-Finance-Needs-of-African-Countries-1.pdf

[4] World Economic Forum. (2023). COP28: Bridging the climate finance gap in Africa and beyond. https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2023/12/cop28-bridging-the-climate-finance-gap-in-africa-and-beyond/

[5] International Finance Corporation, & Amundi Asset Management. (2024). Emerging Market Green Bonds. IFC, Amundi. https://www.ifc.org/content/dam/ifc/doc/2024/emerging-market-green-bonds-2023.pdf

[6] African Development Bank. (2023, November). Global Green Bond Initiative joins the African Development Bank to strengthen green bond markets in Africa. AfDB. https://www.afdb.org/en/news-and-events/press-releases/global-green-bond-initiative-joins-african-development-bank-strengthen-green-bond-markets-africa-66491

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[7] weADAPT. (2024). An Introduction to Green Bonds. weADAPT. https://weadapt.org/knowledge-base/climate-finance/an-introduction-to-green-bonds/

[8] Ibid

[9] Tuhkanen, H. (2020). Green Bonds: A Mechanism for Bridging the Adaptation Gap? SEI Working Paper, February 2020. Stockholm Environment Institute, Stockholm. https://www.sei.org/publications/green-bonds-a-mechanism-for-bridging-the-adaptation-gap/

[10] Tolliver, C., Keeley, A. R., & Managi, S. (2019). Green bonds for the Paris agreement and sustainable development goals. Environmental Research Letters, 14(6), 064009. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab1118

[11] weADAPT. (2024). An Introduction to Green Bonds. weADAPT. https://weadapt.org/knowledge-base/climate-finance/an-introduction-to-green-bonds/

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[12] Ibid

[13] FSD Africa. (2020). Africa Green Bond Toolkit. https://www.fsdafrica.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/08/Africa_GBToolKit_Eng_FINAL.pdf

[14] Ibid

[15] weADAPT. (2024). An Introduction to Green Bonds. weADAPT. https://weadapt.org/knowledge-base/climate-finance/an-introduction-to-green-bonds/

[16] EY. (2022). Green Bonds Brochure. https://www.ey.com/content/dam/ey-unified-site/ey-com/en-zm/documents/ey-green-bonds-brochure.pdf

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[17] Bloomberg. (2023). Green Bonds Reached New Heights in 2023. https://www.bloomberg.com/professional/insights/trading/green-bonds-reached-new-heights-in-2023/

[18] International Finance Corporation, & Amundi Asset Management. (2024). Emerging Market Green Bonds. IFC, Amundi, pp. 26. https://www.ifc.org/content/dam/ifc/doc/2024/emerging-market-green-bonds-2023.pdf

[19] Falchi, G. (2023). Greening African Finance: Barriers to Issuing Green Bonds and How to Overcome Them. Florence School of Banking and Finance. https://fbf.eui.eu/greening-african-finance-barriers-to-issuing-green-bonds-and-how-to-overcome-them/

[20] International Finance Corporation, & Amundi Asset Management. (2024). Emerging Market Green Bonds. IFC, Amundi. https://www.ifc.org/content/dam/ifc/doc/2024/emerging-market-green-bonds-2023.pdf

[21] Taghizadeh-Hesary, F., Zakari, A., Alvarado, R., & Tawiah, V. (2022). The green bond market and its use for energy efficiency finance in Africa. China Finance Review International, 12(2), 241–260. https://doi.org/10.1108/CFRI-12-2021-0225

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[22] International Finance Corporation, & Amundi Asset Management. (2024). Emerging Market Green Bonds. IFC, Amundi. https://www.ifc.org/content/dam/ifc/doc/2024/emerging-market-green-bonds-2023.pdf

[23] Tyson, J. E. (2021). Developing green bond markets for Africa. Overseas Development Institute. https://odi.cdn.ngo/media/documents/Policy_Brief_3_FINAL_.pdf

[24] International Finance Corporation, & Amundi Asset Management. (2024). Emerging Market Green Bonds. IFC, Amundi. https://www.ifc.org/content/dam/ifc/doc/2024/emerging-market-green-bonds-2023.pdf

[25] White & Case. (2024). White & Case advises banks on Republic of Côte d’Ivoire’s US$1.1 billion inaugural sustainability and US$1.5 billion vanilla bonds issuances and tender offer. White & Case. https://www.whitecase.com/news/press-release/white-case-advises-banks-republic-cote-divoires-us11-billion-inaugural

[26] International Capital Market Association. (n.d.). Green Bond Principles (GBP). https://www.icmagroup.org/sustainable-finance/the-principles-guidelines-and-handbooks/green-bond-principles-gbp

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[27] Climate Bonds Initiative. (n.d.). Climate Bonds Initiative. https://www.climatebonds.net/

[28] Ibid

[29] International Finance Corporation, & Amundi Asset Management. (2024). Emerging Market Green Bonds. IFC, Amundi. https://www.ifc.org/content/dam/ifc/doc/2024/emerging-market-green-bonds-2023.pdf

[30] Taghizadeh-Hesary, F., Zakari, A., Alvarado, R., & Tawiah, V. (2022). The green bond market and its use for energy efficiency finance in Africa. China Finance Review International, 12(2), 241–260. https://doi.org/10.1108/CFRI-12-2021-0225

[31] Vichi, J. (2023, December 22). Looking back on 10 years of AfDB green bonds. https://www.luxse.com/blog/Sustainable-Finance/10-years-of-AfDB-green-bonds

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[32] African Development Bank. (2023). African Development Bank issues AUD 50 million 15-year Kangaroo Green Bond due March 2038. https://www.afdb.org/en/news-and-events/press-releases/african-development-bank-issues-aud-50-million-15-year-kangaroo-green-bond-due-march-2038-59576

[33] Taghizadeh-Hesary, F., Zakari, A., Alvarado, R., & Tawiah, V. (2022). The green bond market and its use for energy efficiency finance in Africa. China Finance Review International, 12(2), 241–260. https://doi.org/10.1108/CFRI-12-2021-0225

[34] Policy Development Facility Phase II. (2020). Nigeria: Sovereign green bonds for climate action. https://www.pdfnigeria.org/rc/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/P3387_PDFII_stories_of_change_GREEN_BONDS_PRINT_WEB.pdf

[35] Ibid.

[36] International Finance Corporation and Amundi Asset Management. (2024). Emerging Market Green Bonds 2023 (6th ed., p. 32). https://www.ifc.org/en/insights-reports/2024/emerging-market-green-bonds-2023

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[37] African Development Bank. (2023). Global Green Bond Initiative joins with African Development Bank to strengthen green bond markets in Africa. https://www.afdb.org/en/news-and-events/press-releases/global-green-bond-initiative-joins-african-development-bank-strengthen-green-bond-markets-africa-66491

[38] Taghizadeh-Hesary, F., Zakari, A., Alvarado, R., & Tawiah, V. (2022). The green bond market and its use for energy efficiency finance in Africa. China Finance Review International, 12(2), 241–260. https://doi.org/10.1108/CFRI-12-2021-0225

[39] World Bank. (2019). Climate-smart agriculture investment plan: Zambia. https://climateknowledgeportal.worldbank.org/sites/default/files/2020-06/CSAIP_Zambia_1.pdf

[40] Silolezya, R. H. (2024). Sustainability strategy: Highlights from Zambia’s $10bn Green Growth Strategy [LinkedIn]. https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/sustainability-strategy-highlights-from-zambias-10bn-rabecca-1no3f/

[41] World Bank. (2024). Zambia: Financing a green future. Retrieved from https://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/099609403082438794/pdf/IDU1020a52f61a0a1bced12116d34df35c.pdf

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[42] United Nations Development Programme. (2024). Green bonds: A new frontier in Zambia’s sustainable path. https://www.undp.org/zambia/news/green-bonds-new-frontier-zambias-sustainable-path

[43] Mweemba, B. N. (2021). Green bonds: Sustainable investments in Zambia becoming a reality. BIOFIN. https://www.biofin.org/news-and-media/green-bonds-zambia

[44] Sakuwaha, S. (2022). Green and Sustainable Finance in Zambia – Part 2: Moira Mukuka. https://www.moiramukuka.com/green-and-sustainable-finance-in-zambia-2/#:~:text=To%20promote%20integrity%20in%20the,41%20of%202016

[45] LuSE. (2023). Lusaka Securities Exchange’s 2023 Fourth Quarter Market Performance (p. 6). https://www.luse.co.zm/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/LuSE-2023-Q4-Market-Performance.pdf

[46] Invest Africa. (2023, December 29). Copperbelt Energy has announced that the first tranche of the US$200 million green bond programme was oversubscribed by over 178%. https://invest-africa.squarespace.com/insights-and-news/copperbelt-energy-has-announced-that-the-first-tranche-of-the-us200-million-green-bond-programme-was-oversubscribed-by-over-178

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[47] FSD Africa. (2023). The Women Leaders for Climate Action takes the lead in advancing sustainable finance through green and gender bonds capacity building for financial players in Zambia. https://fsdafrica.org/press-release/the-women-leaders-for-climate-action-takes-the-lead-in-advancing-sustainable-finance-through-green-and-gender-bonds-capacity-building-for-financial-players-in-zambia/

[48] EY. (2022). Global green bonds market is gaining traction: Will it gain ground in Zambia? EYGM Limited. https://www.ey.com/content/dam/ey-unified-site/ey-com/en-zm/documents/ey-green-bonds-brochure.pdf

[49] Falchi, G. (2023). Greening African finance: Barriers to issuing green bonds and how to overcome them. Florence School of Banking and Finance. https://fbf.eui.eu/greening-african-finance-barriers-to-issuing-green-bonds-and-how-to-overcome-them/

[50] Ibid

[51] United Nations Development Programme. (2024). Green bonds: A new frontier in Zambia’s sustainable path. https://www.undp.org/zambia/news/green-bonds-new-frontier-zambias-sustainable-path

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[52] Brennan, A. (2024, June 19). Green bonds and sustainable finance in African markets. African Leadership Magazine. https://www.africanleadershipmagazine.co.uk/green-bonds-and-sustainable-finance-in-african-markets/

[53] World Bank. (2024). Zambia: Financing a Green Future. World Bank. https://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/099609403082438794/pdf/IDU1020a52f61a0a1bced12116d34df35c.pdf

[54] Moses. (2023). WWF Zambia and FNB Zambia partner to bridge the green financing gap. Solwezi Today. https://solwezitoday.com/wwf-zambia-and-fnb-zambia-partner-to-bridge-green-financing-gap/

[55] United Nations Development Programme. (2024). Green bonds: A new frontier in Zambia’s sustainable path. https://www.undp.org/zambia/news/green-bonds-new-frontier-zambias-sustainable-path

[56] EY. (2022). Global green bonds market is gaining traction: Will it gain ground in Zambia? EYGM Limited. https://www.ey.com/content/dam/ey-unified-site/ey-com/en-zm/documents/ey-green-bonds-brochure.pdf

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[57] Falchi, G. (2023). Greening African finance: Barriers to issuing green bonds and how to overcome them. Florence School of Banking and Finance. https://fbf.eui.eu/greening-african-finance-barriers-to-issuing-green-bonds-and-how-to-overcome-them/

About the author
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Nachilala Nkombo is a multi-award-winning climate finance advocate and sustainability leader with over 20 years of experience leading highly successful conservation and sustainable development initiatives in several African markets. She is the Founder of Women Leaders on Climate Action (WLCA) and Country Director for Bridges to Prosperity Zambia. She holds a bachelor’s degree in Economics from the University of Zambia and a Master’s degree in Public Policy from the University of Potsdam in Germany.

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Extension offers farm finance guidance amid low profits

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Extension offers farm finance guidance amid low profits

University of Illinois Extension is guiding to help farmers understand their financial condition through balance sheet analysis as the Midwest agriculture sector faces another year of low profits.

A market-value balance sheet provides a snapshot of a farm’s financial condition by comparing current asset values to liabilities owed, according to Kevin Brooks, Extension educator in Havana.

Lenders use a traffic light system to evaluate farm financial health based on debt-to-asset ratios. Farms with debt ratios of 30% or less are considered financially strong, while ratios between 30% and 60% signal caution and may result in higher interest rates.

“A debt-to-asset ratio of more than 60% will make it challenging to secure a loan through traditional lenders,” Brooks said. Farms in this category may need to work with the Farm Service Agency as a lender of last resort.

Lenders also examine current ratios, calculated by dividing current assets by current liabilities. A ratio of at least 2.0 is considered strong, meaning the farm has $2 to pay each $1 of current debt.

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Working capital provides another critical measure, representing the cash cushion farms have above expenses. Lenders typically require a 30% to 40% cushion to cover unexpected challenges.

Brooks emphasized the importance of honest financial reporting and maintaining strong lender relationships, especially during challenging economic conditions.

“Falsifying information on the balance sheet is a criminal offense,” he said. “Farmers have been convicted and imprisoned for bank fraud.”

Brooks advised farmers to keep lenders informed about purchase and debt plans, use realistic asset values and ensure balance sheets are consistent across all lenders.

For more information, contact Brooks at kwbrooks@illinois.edu or visit the Extension Farm Coach blog.

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How AI is redefining finance leadership: ‘There has never been a more exciting time to be a CFO’ | Fortune

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How AI is redefining finance leadership: ‘There has never been a more exciting time to be a CFO’ | Fortune

Good morning. This year has shown that AI isn’t just a buzzword anymore—it’s redefining finance. 

In covering AI, I’ve spoken with CFOs across industries who are focused on value creation and developing real-world use cases for AI to reshape everything from forecasting and financial planning to strategic decision-making. As data moves faster than ever, finance leaders are asking a new question: not what AI could do, but how it can truly transform the enterprise. I’ve also talked with industry experts and researchers about topics ranging from the ROI of AI to “prompt-a-thons” and debates over whether AI will turn CFOs into chief capital officers.

Finance chiefs are signaling the next big evolution—2026 will be the year of enterprise-scale AI. Pilot programs and proofs of concept are giving way to avenues for full-scale deployment as CFOs expect AI to deliver measurable value: faster decisions, leaner operations, and predictive insights that can provide a competitive edge. However, that level of transformation comes with new demands—governance, data integrity, and human oversight matter more than ever.

I recently asked finance chiefs from leading companies how they expect AI to redefine what it means to lead in finance. For instance, Zane Rowe, CFO at Workday, told me: “There has never been a more exciting time to be a CFO with AI unlocking new opportunities for value creation through unprecedented data and insights. Most of the focus has been on experimentation and discovering the art of the possible, but this year, leaders will shift from ‘What can AI do?’ to ‘How do we build the foundation for scale?’ They will manage a more nuanced AI portfolio that balances launching pilots with rolling out proven solutions, and they will prioritize the unglamorous but critical work of data governance, process redesign, and maintenance of new technologies. Success in 2026 will be defined by how we mature our AI strategy to ensure it is both agile, durable, and enterprise-grade.”

Shifting from the perspective of a major tech company to a beauty and cosmetics leader, Mandy Fields, CFO at e.l.f. Beauty offered this prediction: “From where a CFO sits, AI simultaneously helps broaden our view to get a better macro picture and can help put a sharper focus on very specific points of interest. e.l.f. Beauty is growing globally, and AI has visibility across it all. Going into next year, we’ll continue to explore how we best leverage AI in finance to lean into its strengths. It’s a pretty similar approach to our high-performance teamwork culture in which we encourage the team to pursue and thrive in the areas where they have expertise, learn continuously and move at e.l.f. speed.”

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You can read more insights from over a dozen CFOs on how AI will shape finance in 2026 in my complete article here.

This is the final CFO Daily of 2025. The next issue will land in your inbox on Jan. 5. Thank you for your readership—and wishing you a wonderful holiday season. See you in 2026!

Sheryl Estrada
sheryl.estrada@fortune.com

Leaderboard

Greg Giometti was appointed interim CFO of Alight, Inc. (NYSE: ALIT), a cloud-based human capital and technology-enabled services provider, effective Jan. 9, 2026. Giometti, Alight’s SVP, head of financial planning and analysis, will succeed Jeremy Heaton, who will depart Alight to pursue an opportunity outside of the benefits administration industry. Giometti joined Alight in 2020 and has held positions of increasing responsibility within the company’s finance organization.

Shelley Thunen, CFO of ophthalmic medical device company RxSight, Inc., is transitioning out of her role. She will remain with the company until the earlier of her successor’s appointment or Jan. 31, 2026, and will continue to support RxSight as a consultant following the transition.

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Big Deal

Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan shared his outlook on the economy and AI for 2026, saying he expects continued strength ahead. During an interview with Bloomberg TV on Monday, Moynihan noted that BofA’s research team projects a strong U.S. economy next year—not only in absolute terms, with growth trending above 2%, but also relative to other major economies, many of which are expected to remain flat or decline. “That is because, frankly, the great American engine is driving,” he said. “Markets are valuing the future growth rate, and that’s why they’ve been very constructive this year.”

On AI, Moynihan said investment has accelerated throughout the year and will likely become an even bigger contributor in 2026 and beyond. He pointed to data center expansion as one key driver, along with increased corporate spending on AI—including Bank of America’s own investments. Spending on AI is higher than last year, he said, and while overall spending levels aren’t growing at a mid-single-digit rate, capital is clearly shifting toward AI.

Moynihan added that this trend supports the bank’s optimistic outlook for next year. “We think AI spending continues,” he said. There are benefits to the American taxpayer from tax rebates and lower taxes as the new tax bill takes effect, and the incentives for businesses are positive, he explained. Altogether, Moynihan said, those factors underpin BofA’s forecast for GDP growth rising from about 2% this year to roughly 2.4% in 2026—with AI playing an increasingly important, if still marginal, role in driving that strength.

Going deeper

In an episode of Fortune’s Leadership Next podcast, cohosts Diane Brady, executive editorial director, and Kristin Stoller, editorial director of Fortune Live Media, talk with Dani Richa. Richa is the chairman and group CEO of Impact BBDO International. The three discuss how the ad agency inspired the hit show Mad Men; how to use AI to bring out the best of you; and optimism in the rapidly developing EMEA region.

Overheard

“This year, we watched teams use AI to tackle work that had long felt out of reach. What struck me most was how different each story was. Different industries. Different constraints. Same ambition.”

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—Sarah Friar, CFO at OpenAI, wrote in a LinkedIn post on Monday.

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Finance

Edge AI Emerges as Critical Infrastructure for Real-Time Finance | PYMNTS.com

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Edge AI Emerges as Critical Infrastructure for Real-Time Finance | PYMNTS.com

The financial sector’s honeymoon phase with centralized, cloud-based artificial intelligence (AI) is meeting a hard reality: The speed of a fiber-optic cable isn’t always fast enough.

For payments, fraud detection and identity verification, the milliseconds lost in “round-tripping” data to a distant server represent more than just lag — they are a structural vulnerability. As the industry matures, the competitive frontier is shifting toward edge AI, moving the point of decision-making from the data center to the literal edge of the network — the ATM, the point-of-sale (POS) terminal, and the branch server.

From Batch Processing to Instant Inference

At the heart of this shift is inference, the moment a trained model applies its logic to a live transaction. While the cloud remains the ideal laboratory for training massive models, it is an increasingly inefficient theater for execution.

Financial workflows are rarely “batch” problems; they are “now” problems. Authorizing a high-value payment or flagging a suspicious login happens in a heartbeat. By moving inference into local gateways and on-premise infrastructure, institutions are effectively eliminating the “cloud tax” — the combined burden of latency, bandwidth costs and egress fees. This local execution isn’t just a technical preference; it’s a cost-control strategy. As transaction volumes surge, edge deployments offer a more predictable total cost of ownership (TCO) compared to the variable, often skyrocketing costs of cloud-only scaling.

Coverage from PYMNTS highlights how financial firms are transitioning from cloud-centric large models toward task-specific systems optimized for real-time operations and cost control.

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From Cloud-Centric AI to Decision-Making at the Edge

The first wave of enterprise AI adoption leaned heavily on cloud infrastructure. Large models and centralized data lakes proved effective for analytics, forecasting and customer insights. But financial workflows are not batch problems. Authorizing a payment, flagging fraud or approving a cash withdrawal happens in milliseconds. Routing every decision process through a centralized cloud introduces latency, cost and operational risk.

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Edge AI moves inference into branch servers, payment gateways and local infrastructure, enabling systems to decide without every query circling back to a central cloud. That local execution is especially critical in finance, where latency, privacy and compliance are business requirements.

Real-time processing at the edge trims costly round trips and avoids the cloud bandwidth and egress fees that accumulate at scale. CIO highlights that as inference volumes grow, edge deployments often deliver lower and more predictable total cost of ownership than cloud-only approaches.

Banks and payments providers are identifying specific edge use cases where local intelligence unlocks business value. Fraud detection systems at ATMs can use facial analytics and transaction context to assess threats in real time without routing sensitive video data, keeping customer information on-premise and reducing exposure.

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Edge AI also supports smart branch automation, real-time risk scoring and adaptive security controls that respond instantly to contextual signals, functions that centralized cloud inference cannot economically replicate at transaction scale.

Edge AI delivers clear operational and governance advantages by reducing bandwidth use, cloud dependency and attack surface. Keeping decision logic local also simplifies compliance by limiting unnecessary data movement, a priority for regulated financial institutions.

Edge AI Stack Is Coalescing Across the Tech Industry

The broader tech ecosystem reinforces this trend. As reported by Reuters, chipmakers such as Arm are expanding edge-optimized AI licensing programs to accelerate on-device inference development, reflecting growing conviction that distributed AI will capture a larger share of enterprise compute workloads. Nvidia is advancing that shift through platforms such as EGX, Jetson and IGX, which bring accelerated computing and real-time inference into enterprise, industrial and infrastructure environments where latency and reliability matter.

Intel is taking a similar approach by integrating AI accelerators such as its Gaudi 3 chips into hybrid architectures and partnering with providers including IBM to push scalable, secure inference closer to users. IBM, in turn, is embedding AI across hybrid cloud and edge deployments through its watsonx platform and enterprise services, with an emphasis on governance, integration and control.

In financial services, these converging moves make edge AI more than a deployment option. It is increasingly the infrastructure layer for enterprise AI, enabling institutions to embed intelligence directly into transaction flows while maintaining discipline over cost, risk and operational continuity.

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