Crypto
This Cryptocurrency Could Soar by 23,000% Over the Next 2 Decades, According to MicroStrategy's Michael Saylor | The Motley Fool
It’s a BIG number. Is it realistic?
Although Bitcoin (BTC 0.20%) is sitting as of this writing almost 25% below its all-time high of $73,750 reached earlier this year, there are plenty of bullish crypto investors who are still convinced that Bitcoin will skyrocket over the long run. Among them is Michael Saylor, founder and executive chairman of MicroStrategy (NASDAQ: MSTR), who recently doubled down on his prediction that a single Bitcoin would be worth $13 million by the year 2045.
At last report, MicroStrategy owned 226,500 Bitcoins with a market value around $14 billion. It touts itself as “the largest corporate holder of bitcoin and the world’s first bitcoin development company.” Bloomberg reported last month that Saylor himself owns about $1 billion worth of Bitcoins.
Based on Bitcoin’s recent price of $55,000, a $13 million target represents an astronomical 23,000% return if you buy today and hold for the next two decades. Obviously, a lot has to happen for that to become a reality. Let’s take a closer look.
Bitcoin’s long-run performance
Yes, seeing a $13 million price tag for Bitcoin can induce a fair amount of sticker shock. But if you dig into the numbers, the math actually starts to make sense. And a lot of that has to do with the compounding power of money. If any asset is allowed to compound in value for a long period of time, the results have the potential to shock.
In the case of Bitcoin, it would require a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 30% for the magic to happen and it to jump from $55,000 now to $13 million in 2045. In other words, if Bitcoin can increase in value by 30% per year, for the next 21 years, an upfront investment of $55,000 would turn into $13 million.
And, while it may be unlikely, a CAGR of 30% for Bitcoin is not out of the question. From 2011 to 2021, Bitcoin delivered annualized returns of 230% per year. And Bitcoin returned approximately 150% in 2023. Already this year, Bitcoin is up more than 30%. Over the past five years, the only blemish was 2022, when Bitcoin fell nearly 65%.
So what can investors realistically expect? In an interview this month with CNBC, Saylor predicted that during the next two decades, Bitcoin’s annual return would steadily fall over time, from about 44% a year to 40% to 35% to 30% to 25% to… well, you get the idea. The final long-run number for Bitcoin, says Saylor, would be the annual return of the S&P 500 plus an extra 8% to compensate investors for the extra risk.
At some point, of course, it’s worth taking a moment to ponder what a price tag of $13 million really means for Bitcoin. Based on its current circulating coin supply of 20 million, that implies a future market cap of $260 trillion. That dwarfs the value of any tech stock today, and in fact, it dwarfs the value of the entire S&P 500, which today sits at around $45 trillion.
Even if we assume that U.S. stocks will grow at a rate of 10% per year over the next 20 years, a price tag of $13 million still implies that Bitcoin would represent an astonishing amount of the world’s wealth in the year 2045. For that reason alone, it’s worth having a healthy dose of skepticism about Bitcoin’s future price trajectory.
Bitcoin as an asset class
For much of its history, Bitcoin has been uncorrelated with any major asset class, and that has made it very unique from a risk diversification perspective. Quite simply, Bitcoin can zig when other assets zag.
Image source: Getty Images.
Thus, Bitcoin is growing in favor with billionaire hedge fund managers, who increasingly view it as a way to hedge risk. In some cases, that risk might be economic, such as the risk of inflation. In other cases, that risk might be geopolitical. In the CNBC interview, Saylor uses the example of missile strikes to illustrate this point. What do you do as an investor if you wake up one morning and hear that there have been missile strikes somewhere in the world?
Until recently, the answer to that question might have been: Buy gold. But there is growing popularity in the notion that Bitcoin is “digital gold.” Some investors are buying Bitcoin, and not gold, as a hedge against worst-case scenarios popping off around the world. It sounds surprising, but Bitcoin might actually be a safe haven asset.
All of which is to say: The more that Bitcoin can cement its status as a valuable, stand-alone asset class, the more likely it is that its price could skyrocket during the next two decades. That’s because investors will be willing to allocate a greater and greater share of their portfolio to it.
Risk factors
Of course, there are several factors that could derail Bitcoin during the next two decades. For example, if Bitcoin’s annual returns decline significantly for an extended period of time, investors might just decide that they can get the same type of return, while taking on much less risk, simply by buying hot tech stocks.
Or, even worse, the U.S. political and regulatory establishment might shift against Bitcoin. For example, there might be a crackdown on Bitcoin mining, given the concerns over its environmental impact. Or, regulators in the U.S. might decide to ban Bitcoin entirely, as they’ve done in China and other nations. At the very least, the government could make things difficult for Bitcoin owners simply by making a few quick changes to the U.S. tax code.
That said, I remain bullish on Bitcoin’s long-term prospects. As long as it continues to deliver anywhere close to the type of performance that it has delivered over the past decade, investors are likely to be very pleased at Bitcoin’s valuation 20 years from now, even if it’s nowhere close to the astronomically high valuation predicted by Michael Saylor of MicroStrategy.
Crypto
Dragonfly’s Rob Hadick Says Stablecoins Could Grow 10x as Payments Adoption Expands
Key Takeaways
- Dragonfly’s Rob Hadick says stablecoins could grow 10x as payments adoption accelerates.
- Tether and Circle are shifting from reserve yield toward payments and financial rails.
- Hadick expects USDT and USDC to face rising competition from banks and fintechs.
Stablecoins and the Fall of Legacy Payments
For years, the stablecoin market has been viewed through the lens of issuance. The most visible winners have been the companies minting the assets, holding reserves, and benefiting from interest income. But Rob Hadick, General Partner at Dragonfly, believes that view is too narrow for where the market is heading.
In Hadick’s view, stablecoins do not simply improve the existing payment system. They compress much of it.
“ Stablecoins collapse the legacy payment infrastructure and reduce the dependency on intermediaries,” Hadick said. “When you’re a stablecoin native, everything is just a book transfer.”
That shift changes where value accrues. In the traditional payments system, value was spread across banks, card networks, processors, settlement layers, compliance vendors, and middleware providers. Stablecoins make many of those roles less necessary, or at least less defensible.
The result, Hadick argues, is an inversion of the 2010s fintech playbook. During that era, major companies were built by creating connections between software startups and legacy banking payment rails. In the stablecoin era, the opportunity is not simply connecting to those legacy banking payment rails. It is replacing them.
That means in the future, the most valuable businesses may sit at the edges of the system: the companies that own customer distribution, merchant relationships, compliance workflows, banking access, and regulatory infrastructure.
From Reserve Yield to Payments
Within the stablecoin vertical of crypto, stablecoin issuers have been the clearest winners so far. Tether and Circle built large networks, accumulated liquidity, and benefited from high interest rates on reserves, which they haven’t had to pass on to users. That model has proven powerful, especially while rates remain elevated.
But Hadick does not expect reserve yield alone to define the next stage of the market. “Going forward, both have started investing heavily in moving from asset management models to payment models,” he said.
That transition is already visible. Hadick pointed to Tether’s investments in companies and ecosystems such as Whop, Transfi, Rumble, and Plasma, while Circle has launched the Circle Payments Network and Arc. These moves suggest that the largest issuers understand the limits of being purely reserve-backed asset managers. In other words, issuance was the first business model, but it will not be the final one.
The Full Stack Starts to Collapse
One of the largest open questions is what the winning stablecoin companies will actually look like. Will they resemble banks, software platforms, payment networks, protocols, or something else entirely?
Hadick answers that today’s market contains all of the above. But he believes stablecoins create room for a new kind of company that blends several financial functions into one.
Imagine a company issuing its own stablecoin, serving users directly, handling merchant settlement, and performing identity, fraud, and compliance checks on an open ledger. In that world, the need for separate issuing banks, merchant banks, card networks, clearing systems, and settlement intermediaries begins to shrink.
“You don’t need both an issuing and merchant bank,” Hadick said. “You don’t need the card network if the merchant and consumer are already known to the provider. You don’t need the network to facilitate clearing and settlement.”
For Hadick, the winners will not be simple network aggregators sitting in the middle. They will be companies that control the last mile, solve compliance problems, face customers directly, and take real operational responsibility.
Where Retail Investors Can Partake
Hadick remains strongly bullish on stablecoin growth. “ Stablecoins are here to stay,” he said. “I think they’re going to grow tenfold.”
He pointed to an estimate from McKinsey that stablecoins account for roughly 3% of cross-border payments, up from almost nothing a year earlier. Hadick expects that share to continue rising sharply.
As for retail investors, Hadick believes the investment map is not just about who issues the token; it is about who owns the flow.
Overfunded Middleware and Crowded Consumer Fintech
Not every part of the stablecoin market looks equally attractive. Hadick is particularly skeptical of aggregated API (application programming interface) platforms that simply wrap or connect third-party services without taking on compliance or operational risk themselves. These companies may be able to charge high fees today, but Hadick believes their margins are vulnerable.
“They call themselves ‘Plaid for stablecoins,’ forgetting that blockchains already solve many of the original pain points Plaid solved for traditional banking,” he said.
The critique is straightforward. If a company is only aggregating APIs and not owning the customer, compliance layer, liquidity, or operational burden, it may be squeezed as the market matures. To remain valuable, these platforms may need to move closer to the end customer or take on more of the stack.
Hadick also sees risk in consumer fintech. Stablecoin infrastructure makes it easier than ever to launch a neobank or payment app. But that accessibility creates a crowded field.
Established brands such as Nubank, Robinhood, and Revolut can add stablecoin features to existing user bases. That makes it difficult for new consumer startups to stand out unless they offer a clear wedge, strong distribution, or a differentiated regional use case.
Hadick expects failure rates in this category to be high. Still, he does not dismiss the sector entirely. A small number of consumer fintech winners could become large global businesses if they solve real customer problems and use stablecoins as infrastructure rather than branding.
The biggest winners so far may not be the final winners. As the stack collapses, the real value will move toward the companies that own users, flows, compliance, and trust.
Crypto
Delaware House Approves Bill to Ban Cryptocurrency ATMs Statewide
The Delaware House of Representatives has passed a bill that would prohibit the operation of cryptocurrency ATMs across the state, citing growing concerns over fraud and consumer protection. The legislation, now headed to the state Senate for consideration, would require all existing crypto ATMs to be shut down and removed within 90 days of enactment.
What the Bill Proposes
House Bill 123, as reported by Decrypt, targets the proliferation of cryptocurrency kiosks that have become common in convenience stores, gas stations, and other retail locations. Lawmakers argue that these machines are increasingly used to facilitate scams, particularly targeting elderly and vulnerable residents who may not fully understand the technology. The bill would make it illegal to operate, maintain, or permit the installation of a cryptocurrency ATM anywhere in Delaware.
Why This Matters for Consumers
Cryptocurrency ATMs allow users to buy or sell digital currencies like Bitcoin using cash or debit cards. While legitimate users appreciate the convenience, regulators have flagged them as high-risk for money laundering and fraud. The Federal Trade Commission has reported a surge in scams where victims are directed to deposit cash into these machines under false pretenses. Delaware’s proposed ban reflects a broader state-level push to rein in unregulated crypto financial services.
Similar Actions in Other States
Delaware is not alone in taking a hard line. Indiana, Tennessee, and Minnesota have previously enacted comparable restrictions or outright bans on crypto ATMs. These measures often include licensing requirements, transaction limits, and mandatory disclosures. The trend signals a growing skepticism among state legislators about the consumer safety risks posed by unmonitored crypto kiosks.
What Happens Next
The bill now moves to the Delaware State Senate, where it will undergo committee review and potential amendments. If passed, Delaware would join a small but growing list of states with explicit bans. Industry advocates argue that such laws could stifle innovation and push transactions underground, while consumer protection groups praise the move as necessary to prevent financial harm.
Conclusion
Delaware’s legislative action highlights the ongoing tension between cryptocurrency adoption and consumer safety. As the bill advances, stakeholders on both sides will be watching closely. For now, the message from Dover is clear: protecting residents from crypto-related fraud is a priority that may outweigh the benefits of unregulated ATM access.
FAQs
Q1: What is a cryptocurrency ATM?
A cryptocurrency ATM is a kiosk that allows users to buy or sell digital currencies like Bitcoin using cash, debit cards, or other payment methods. Unlike traditional ATMs, they are not connected to a bank account.
Q2: Why does Delaware want to ban crypto ATMs?
Lawmakers cite a rise in fraud cases, especially among seniors, where scammers trick victims into depositing cash into these machines. The bill aims to eliminate this vector for financial exploitation.
Q3: What happens to existing crypto ATMs in Delaware if the bill becomes law?
Operators would have 90 days to shut down and remove all machines. Failure to comply could result in penalties. The timeline is designed to give businesses a reasonable window to adjust.
Crypto
‘De-Worsified, Not Diversified’: Robert Kiyosaki Warns Investors on a Hidden Risk
Key Takeaways
Word Play With a Warning
Robert Kiyosaki, the author of the best-selling personal finance book “Rich Dad Poor Dad,” is recasting a familiar piece of investing advice. In a post on X, he argued that many investors only believe they are protected, adding:
“De-Worse-ified means they think they are diversified, but they have all their diversified assets, such as gold, silver, Bitcoin, stocks, bonds, real estate, and oil, in one asset class.”
His point is that spreading money across many holdings does not help if those holdings all move the same way in a crisis. When a liquidity shock hits, correlations rise and supposedly diverse portfolios can fall in unison, leaving investors “de-worsified” rather than diversified.
The commentary is consistent with the stance Kiyosaki has pushed throughout 2026 as he recently named bitcoin among the safest investments for the year, grouping it with what he calls real assets. He has repeatedly listed gold, silver, oil, food, bitcoin, and ether as his preferred holdings, framing them as scarce stores of value that printed money cannot dilute.
He has paired that view with stark price calls, setting a target of $250,000 for BTC by year’s end alongside a longer-term goal of $1 million. At current levels, the move would require a gain of more than 230%. On the precious metals side of things, he recently suggested a possible $200-per-ounce silver level this year, calling the metal’s climb a signal of mounting financial stress.
Kiyosaki’s broader thesis is darker still, warning investors of a historic market crash that he ties to surging global debt and fragile private credit markets, urging followers to build income streams, learn trade skills, and accumulate hard assets before the storm.
Timing Is Everything
The “de-worsified” warning arrives at a tense moment for markets, especially as bitcoin posted its worst week since the 2022 collapse of Sam Bankman-Fried’s FTX exchange, sliding below $60,000 as record exchange-traded fund (ETF) outflows and risk-off sentiment gripped the sector.
That is exactly the kind of broad drawdown scenario (where bitcoin, equities, and other assets fall together) that Kiyosaki has used time and again to illustrate his point.
That said, he has become an increasingly polarizing voice within the broader economic landscape, with skeptics pointing out that his crash predictions are frequent and his price targets aggressive (and that he has issued similar warnings for years). Supporters argue his core message of owning scarce assets, avoiding hidden correlation, and preparing for volatility is a reasonable hedge against an era of heavy money printing and rising debt.
Whether or not his $250,000 bitcoin call lands, the distinction he is drawing is a real one, as true diversification really does depend on owning assets that behave differently (not simply owning many of them). In a market where everything from gold to crypto to stocks can move on the same macro headlines, that lesson may matter more than any single forecast.
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