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Game Day Prediction, 3 Keys For Indiana Football Against Western Illinois

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Game Day Prediction, 3 Keys For Indiana Football Against Western Illinois


BLOOMINGTON, Ind. – During his radio show Wednesday, Indiana football coach Curt Cignetti once again broached the topic of Indiana fan habits at games.

He was diplomatic, but he made his point. His standard is a sellout crowd that sticks around for the whole game. He acknowledged that it will take time, but he did not waver in setting the highest bar for the fanbase to reach.

“I did notice how empty the stadium was in the second half. And I know our players did too, and that does have an effect. And that’s why, you know, the crowd is a 12th man. We need you there. We need you cheering –  create momentum, energy in the stadium,” Cignetti said on Wednesday.

Indiana fans seemed to take Cignetti’s postgame words to heart after he mentioned the issue in the wake of the Hoosiers’ 31-7 victory over Florida International Saturday. Anecdotal, but I heard fans in the grocery store talking about it the day after the game. Football talk is not something I’ve heard since I relocated to Bloomington.

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I think some people agreed with Cignetti. Others said it was too soon to hear it, and still others want the Hoosiers to do more on the field before they generate the level of devotion Cignetti seeks. I think those are all fair opinions. After all, Cignetti isn’t the first coach to come to Indiana promising to change the culture and start winning.

The off-field culture shift will take time, and a 7 p.m. ET Friday game against Western Illinois won’t be any kind of acid test of where it’s going.

I hope expectations are calibrated appropriately for what kind of crowd does show up. It’s a Friday night game against an opponent that doesn’t sell tickets. I do think the students will show up, because they can create a Friday night party vibe, but the adult crowd? We’ll see.

It’s high school football night. All three Monroe County high schools play at home, and of course, there’s action all over the state. Friday Night Lights is part of the fabric of the schools, especially in smaller towns, and it’s a real shame that the Big Ten and its broadcast partners trod on the tradition of high school football that so many hold dear.

In other words? I don’t expect a sudden run on the ticket office Friday. So I hope Cignetti and the players are patient.

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“Look, I want to be the best in everything we do. That should be the goal. And so, you know, baby steps,” Cignetti said Wednesday.

Good advice to live by. Here’s three keys that will be important to get a victory over Western Illinois. There is also a score prediction at the bottom of the story.

1. Let Kurtis Rourke show what he can do … but not for too long

Kurtis Rourk

Indiana’s Kurtis Rourke (9) passes during the first half of the Indiana versus Florida International football game at Memorial Stadium on Saturday, Aug. 31, 2024. / Rich Janzaruk/Herald-Times / USA TODAY NETWORK

Indiana quarterback Kurtis Rourke had a perfectly acceptable first game. Rourke completed 15 of 24 passes for 180 yards and one touchdown. Rourke executed a conservative gameplan as the passing game went. It would be nice to open things up for him.

I’d like to see him take some shots downfield. I’d like to see how he dissects his downfield options with really good protection. I’d like to see if he can keep a drive alive with his legs if it calls for it.

And I’d like to see it all before The Marching Hundred takes to the field at halftime. It would be optimal for Rourke to get Indiana into the end zone on all of the Hoosiers’ first half series so he can take it easy and watch his fellow quarterbacks take care of the second half.

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2. A lot of players need to play

CJ West

Indiana’s CJ West clelebrates a sack during the first half of the Indiana versus Florida International football game at Memorial Stadium on Saturday, Aug. 31, 2024. / Rich Janzaruk/Herald-Times / USA TODAY NETWORK

Indiana used 55 players in its 31-7 win over Florida International last Saturday. That’s not bad against a lesser foe, but when games get to be blowouts against FCS competition. You want as many players to get a chance to play as possible.

It’s not just because of injury avoidance for the core players or for sportsmanship purposes, though those matter, too. With college football allowing players to play as many as four games before they burn a redshirt, a rout against a FCS team offers a real opportunity to look at the width and breadth of your roster in a real game atmosphere.

Last year, when Indiana defeated Indiana State 41-7, Tom Allen managed to get 73 Hoosiers into the game. I’d love to see a number near that Friday.

3. Score a special teams or defensive touchdown

When I used to write these kinds of stories from the FCS perspective, one of the things the underdog wanted to avoid was a special teams touchdown.

It’s not as easy as it sounds. There are areas of the field where a FCS team can more or less hang physically with a FBS team, but one place you see the major difference is in the athleticism and speed a FBS team has over a FCS team on special teams. FBS rosters are bigger, they recruit at a higher level, and that’s often born out in special teams mismatches.

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Punt returner Myles Price and kick returners Solomon Vanhorse and Ke’Shawn Williams should be licking their chops. FCS teams just can’t put special teams gunners on the field to handle the speed and blocking difference.

The same rule applies to defensive touchdowns. They’re always demoralizing for an opponent when you can force one, but when the margin of being competitive for a FCS team is so slim? A defensive TD is a dagger that often can’t be overcome.

Score prediction

If this game took place in the 1990s or 2000s? Back when Western Illinois was one of the better programs in FCS? I’d predict a relatively close game. Good FCS teams are often better than mediocre-to-bad FBS teams like Florida International. It’s a division that deserves more respect than it gets at its top level.

However, bad FCS football teams are a standard well-below the worst of FBS. I know from experience, having covered Indiana State at its nadir in the 2000s. Struggling FCS programs are just trying to survive. Very often, they’re also trying to find their way out of being financially mismatched against their peers, much less playing against a team from a Power Four conference.

Sadly, that is the state the once-proud Western Illinois program finds itself in. The Leathernecks have moved down to the Ohio Valley Conference after struggling mightily in its final years in the elite Missouri Valley Football Conference. That should help WIU in the long run.

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However, none of that has relevance to Friday. Indiana is also in the process of trying to build something under Cignetti. Indiana plays a Big Ten game the following weekend at UCLA and it doesn’t have the time or inclination to water things down for the Leathernecks. There’s a job to be done.

It will be done, too – and with little mercy. Indiana wins 55-0. It will be far more interesting to see how many fans ride it out to the finish than what we likely will see on the field.



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Heavy rain soaks central Indiana, but drought relief uneven across the state

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Heavy rain soaks central Indiana, but drought relief uneven across the state


Central Indiana has seen a very wet start to March, with several rounds of rain and storms moving through the region over the past few days. In fact, the city of Indianapolis has already received more rain in the first four days of the month than it typically gets during the entire month of March.

So far this month, Indianapolis has recorded 3.90 inches of rainfall, which already exceeds the normal March monthly average of 3.79 inches. Much of that rain came during a widespread soaking on Tuesday, when a strong system pushed steady showers and thunderstorms across the state.

Some of the highest totals over the past three days have been recorded across central Indiana. Rain gauges show 5.86 inches in Marion County, 5.02 inches in Morgan County, 4.97 inches in Hancock County, 4.95 inches in Shelby County, 4.57 inches in Johnson County, and 4.26 inches in Hendricks County. These totals represent a significant amount of rainfall in a short period of time and have left many areas with saturated ground and standing water in low spots.

Despite the widespread rainfall, the impact on drought conditions has been somewhat uneven across the state. According to the latest drought monitor, the areas that received the heaviest rain over the past few days are largely the same areas that were already in relatively good shape in terms of moisture levels. Meanwhile, parts of northern Indiana that have been dealing with more persistent dryness have seen much lighter totals.

Cities such as Kokomo, Lafayette, and Muncie have generally picked up less rain compared to areas farther south. Forecast models suggest that pattern may continue over the next several days.

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Additional rainfall is expected through Thursday, with another round possible around midday Saturday. Current projections show the best chance for another inch or more of rain focusing once again across the southern half of the state, while northern Indiana may see lower totals.

That means while the recent rain has certainly helped improve soil moisture in many areas, it may not fully address the lingering dryness farther north. For now, the pattern remains active, and Hoosiers should expect more wet weather before the system finally begins to move out later this weekend.



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Watch Indiana basketball’s Lamar Wilkerson give his mom a Cadillac

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Watch Indiana basketball’s Lamar Wilkerson give his mom a Cadillac


Indiana basketball sharpshooter Lamar Wilkerson is known for his generosity.

Upon joining the Hoosiers, he gave a tidy sum of his NIL earnings to his previous program, Sam Houston State.

“I was blessed to be able go from that, from not having a lot, to being here, having a lot more than I even knew what to do with,” Wilkerson said at the time. “I just thought, I can give them this.”

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He upped the ante on IU’s Senior Night, giving his mother a Cadillac after the Hoosiers throttled Minnesota.

You could imagine her reaction.

Want more Hoosiers coverage? Sign up for IndyStar’s Hoosiers newsletter. Listen to Mind Your Banners, our IU Athletics-centric podcast, on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts. Watch the latest on IndyStar TV: Hoosiers.



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Indiana basketball vs. Minnesota score, updates tonight: Start time, where to watch

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Indiana basketball vs. Minnesota score, updates tonight: Start time, where to watch


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  • The Indiana Hoosiers have lost four straight games and are scrambling to earn an NCAA Tournament berth.
  • The Minnesota Golden Gophers are trying to reach .500 for the season. They beat IU in a Big Ten opener in December.

Indiana (17-12, 8-10 Big Ten) has no room for air as it hosts Minnesota (14-15, 7-11). The Hoosiers have lost four in a row, leaving them on the NCAA Tournament bubble, while the Golden Gophers have won three of their last four. Minnesota beat IU in a conference opener.

We will have score updates and highlights, so remember to refresh.

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What time does Indiana basketball play Minnesota tonight, March 4? Start time for Minnesota basketball vs Indiana on Wednesday, March 4, 2026

  • The Indiana-Minnesota game is at 6:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, March 4, 2026, at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall in Bloomington, Indiana.

Where to watch Indiana vs. Minnesota tonight, March 4? What channel is the Minnesota-Indiana on college basketball game today?

Watch college basketball with a free Fubo trial

Indiana vs. Minnesota predictions tonight, March 4

  • Zach Osterman, IndyStar: Indiana 75-69 
  • “Indiana is on the ropes. Minnesota has nothing to lose. Gophers already beat IU once this year. So picking Minnesota here is going to be trendy. Too trendy. The Ohio State game is tougher to forecast, but the Hoosiers win here.”
  • Michael Niziolek, Herald-Times: Indiana 78-70
  • “Can Minnesota spoil IU’s Senior Night? The Gophers upended Indiana in Darian DeVries’ Big Ten debut earlier this season and have been a tough out in conference play. They are just 7-11, but six of those losses are by single digits and two of those came in overtime. The Hoosiers need to do a better job of locking down the perimeter while getting a more balanced scoring effort. Indiana should be able to pull this one out and keep its NCAA Tournament chances alive for another night.”

Where to listen to Indiana vs. Minnesota tonight, March 4, 2026

How much are Indiana vs. Minnesota tickets tonight, March 4, 2026?

IU basketball tickets on StubHub

Basketball rankings college: Indiana vs. Minnesota

As of March 2

(all times ET; with date, day of week, location and opponent, time, TV)

  • 0, Jasai Miles
  • 1, Reed Bailey
  • 2, Jason Drake
  • 3, Lamar Wilkerson
  • 4, Sam Alexis
  • 5, Conor Enright
  • 6, Tayton Conerway
  • 7, Nick Dorn
  • 10, Josh Harris
  • 11, Trent Sisley
  • 12, Tucker DeVries
  • 13, Aleksa Ristic
  • 15, Andrej Acimovic

Want more Hoosiers coverage? Sign up for IndyStar’s Hoosiers newsletter. Listen to Mind Your Banners, our IU Athletics-centric podcast, on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts. Watch the latest on IndyStar TV: Hoosiers.



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