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Philadelphia Phillies at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

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Philadelphia Phillies at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions


The Philadelphia Phillies (51-26) visit the Detroit Tigers (36-41) on Monday for the start of a 3-game series at Comerica Park. First pitch is slated for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Phillies won 3-0 in 2023

Philadelphia is on the road after a 4-2 homestand. Despite owning the top winning percentage in MLB (.662), the Phillies are just 1-4 in their last 5 road games.

Detroit is continuing a homestand that opened with the Tigers taking 2 of 3 from the Chicago White Sox over the weekend. The Bengals have struggled offensively of late; before scoring 11 runs in a Sunday triumph, they have slogged their way to a .597 OPS over the previous 15 games.

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Phillies at Tigers projected starters

RHP Aaron Nola vs. RHP Casey Mize

Nola (8-3, 3.54 ERA) is making his 16th start. He has authored a 1.06 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 94 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 4-3 win vs. San Diego Padres Tuesday
  • Career vs. Tigers: 2-0, 1.40 ERA (25 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 18 H, 8 BB, 31 K in 4 starts
  • Has benefited from a .246 batting average on balls in play (.219 BABIP against inning-leadoff batters)

Mize (1-5, 4.43 ERA) is lined up for his 15th start. He has a 1.45 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 in 69 IP.

  • Last outing: Loss, 4 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 2-1 loss at Atlanta Braves Tuesday
  • Has never faced the Phillies
  • Has pitched fewer than 6 innings in 5 of his last 6 outings

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Phillies at Tigers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 12:01 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Phillies -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Tigers +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (-105) | Tigers +1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Phillies at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 5, Phillies 4

Moneyline

Mize, who owns a 3.26 ERA at home, has been hurt around the margins and figures to be under-bet. Nola’s numbers swing the either way. And he faltered badly in his last road turn and the 5-day rest interval has not always agreed with him in the later years of his career.

A shaky-of-late Detroit offense has been undone, in part, by a .262 batting average on balls in play in the month of June.

The Tigers are the lesser club, but they are 8-6 over their last 14 games and the tag here offers some underdog value. BACK DETROIT (+145).

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Run line/Against the spread

The Over has a lean here, but the weather forecast calls for an inward breeze and the total is relatively low. A Detroit +1.5 play would be worth looking into if the price got near -105. Otherwise, AVOID and shoot for the outright plus-money return.

Over/Under

The Under cashed in 2 of 3 series meetings a year ago and is 4-1 across the last 5 Philly-Detroit games.

But the Phils can bang the ball around and the Tigers offense figures as undervalued by just a bit. The OVER 8 (-115) is worth consideration on a partial-unit basis.

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Detroit, MI

Game 21: Tigers at Red Sox, Garrett Crochet battles both Detroit and the weather

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Game 21: Tigers at Red Sox, Garrett Crochet battles both Detroit and the weather


After getting absolutely annihilated in his previous start on Monday in Minnesota to the tune of 11 runs in just 1.2 innings, Garrett Crochet is set to retake the mound today and convince us all that everything will be fine as far as he and his health are concerned.

Unfortunately, he won’t just be battling the Tigers. Mother Nature is once again destined to play a roll in today’s match up, and here’s how the radar looks inside of an hour from first pitch:

The good news is the initial batch of heavier precipitation has moved out and east of Boston, but more unsettled weather still lurks to the west ahead of a slow moving front. That mess will push through eastern Massachusetts over the next several hours, filling in the current dry slot. While this incoming precipitation won’t be as heavy as what fell at times earlier today, it will come attached with colder and windier conditions, so a miserable weather game lies ahead (if they even try and play through it at all — The Yankees did not and waited around for three hours before starting their game against the Royals at 4:20pm). The other option will be to just wait until after sunset when it will be dryer, but still very cold and windy.

When they do get started, today’s lineup includes Roman Anthony leading off in leftfield, Andruw Monasterio at first base, and Jarren Duran, Masataka Yoshida, and Marcelo Mayer all starting on the bench with an opposing left-handed starter on the mound in Framber Valdez for Detroit.

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OTM’s own pitching guru Jacob Roy will be around later to handle the postgame wrap and tell us if we should should be freaking out or breathing a sigh a relief when it comes to Crochet.



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Former Piston shows Detroit what they’re missing as he dominates next to LeBron

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Former Piston shows Detroit what they’re missing as he dominates next to LeBron


The Pistons have made recent moves to add more shooting, but still don’t have anyone quite as lethal as former Detroit guard Luke Kennard. On Saturday night, Kennard had a brilliant start to his postseason with 27 uber-efficient points for the Lakers in a win against the Rockets. His level of 3-point accuracy is something the Pistons have desperately been seeking all season long to bolster their offense.

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Luke Kennard’s shooting makes him a dangerous playoff performer

Kennard was originally drafted to Detroit with the 17th pick of the 2017 Draft. The Pistons have plenty of draft regrets from that general era of team history, but picking Kennard has never been one of them. Despite any other weaknesses he may have, his strength as a shooter has always been enough to offset them.

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In terms of pure 3-point percentage, Kennard is one of the best shooters in NBA history. He averages 44% behind the arc for his career, and shot a blistering 48% this season – the best mark in the league. Given his incredible track record, it’s not exactly a shocker to see him shoot 5-of-5 from three en route to 27 points in Game 1.

Not only is Kennard obviously an excellent standstill shooter, but he’s also a master of getting himself open with his movement. On Saturday night, he was able to play off LeBron James perfectly for a few easy looks. After that, he caught enough of a rhythm to create 3-point looks for himself, even in transition.

A player like Kennard is easily capable of turning an entire playoff game when he gets hot. In a close series, that one game where Kennard hits several threes can be all the difference his team needs to advance. If the Lakers do manage to win this series, even without Luka Doncic or Austin Reaves, Kennard’s shooting will be a major reason why.

The Pistons could use someone like Kennard

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Kennard would be a perfect marginal addition for the Pistons that only makes them better without taking anything away from the team. To be fair, the Pistons do have two shooters who have been hot recently in Duncan Robinson and Kevin Huerter. But having more than one respected shooter on the court at a time is often necessary to maintain a solid offense in today’s NBA.

Given the Pistons’ current lack of shooting, any additional shooters are welcome. And Kennard is understandably one of the most feared shooters in the league, capable of bending defenses just by the threat of him taking a three. Rolling him out on the Pistons would surely open up more lanes for Detroit’s stars to attack the paint and score easier points.

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Troopers arrest Detroit woman after drive-by shooting on I-94

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Troopers arrest Detroit woman after drive-by shooting on I-94



A Detroit woman was arrested in the aftermath of a hit-and-run collision and shooting on Interstate 94, Michigan State Police reported. 

Emergency dispatchers were called shortly after midnight Saturday about the altercation. Troopers reported the caller said while they were driving eastbound on I-94, near Martin Luther King Jr. Boulevard, a black Jeep sideswiped them and sped off.  

The caller then decided to follow the Jeep.  

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In response, police said, the driver of the Jeep fired several gunshots in the caller’s direction. 

None of the gunshots struck the vehicle. 

Troopers were able to use license plate reader camera technology to locate the Jeep while it was on the Lodge Freeway, made a traffic stop. The driver and two passengers were taken into custody without incident. 

The passengers were released shortly afterwards; troopers believe that the 19-year-old driver was the shooter. She has been lodged pending further review by the prosecutor’s office. 

In addition, a firearm was recovered from the vehicle.

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The above video originally aired on Aug. 19, 2025.



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