Southeast
Fox News Poll: Trump holds 4-point edge in Florida rematch as majority says conviction won’t matter to vote
Former President Donald Trump won Florida in 2016 and 2020 and a new Fox News survey shows he is favored to win it again. Still, while it is not widely considered a battleground state this election cycle, the survey shows President Joe Biden within striking distance.
In 2020, Trump won the Sunshine State by almost 3.5 points. Today, he holds about that same advantage, Trump 50% vs. Biden 46%, within the poll’s margin of sampling error.
Trump’s edge comes from White evangelical Christians (76%), rural voters (66%), White voters (55%), voters without a college degree (54%), men (52%), and voters under 30 (51%) as well as those ages 65 and over (50%).
Some of Biden’s best groups include Black voters (69%), moderates (55%), independents (52%), college graduates (51%), urban voters (51%), and suburban voters (49%).
Notably, Biden only has a 2-point edge among Hispanic voters while his advantage among Black voters is down to 40 points. The 2020 Fox News Voter Analysis in Florida shows he won Hispanic voters by 9 points and Black voters by 80 points.
Women split their support, 49% each. In 2020, Biden won them by 3 points.
Reports this week indicate registered Republican voters in Florida outpace Democrats by about 900,000. The survey, released Thursday, finds voters toeing the party line as 9 in 10 Democrats and Republicans go for their respective candidate.
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In a hypothetical five-way race, Trump extends his advantage to 7 points: 47% Trump, 40% Biden, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 7%, Cornel West 2%, and Jill Stein 1%.
Kennedy supporters in the expanded ballot prefer Biden over Trump by 5 points in the two-way matchup.
Of the third-party candidates tested in the survey, Jill Stein is the only one officially on the ballot in Florida.
Trump’s Hush-Money Trial Conviction
Trump was found guilty in the New York hush-money case on May 31. The survey was conducted completely after the verdict was rendered (June 1-4).
But that won’t make much difference to Floridians when they vote this year, as roughly two-thirds (64%) say Trump’s conviction won’t matter, including half who say it won’t matter at all (50%).
Voters saying the verdict won’t matter at all favor Trump by 30 points. One-third say the outcome will matter a great deal or some to their vote and they go for Biden by 32 points.
By a 7-point margin, voters believe Trump got a fair trial (52% fair, 45% unfair). Almost all Democrats (92%), two-thirds of independents (65%) and even 1 in 6 in Republicans (15%) say it was fair.
“Since the vast majority of partisans have already made up their minds, we should look to those without a party attachment to see what the likely impact of the verdict will be,” says Republican Daron Shaw, who conducts the Fox News Poll with Democrat Chris Anderson. “Roughly 14% of the electorate is truly independent, and about one-quarter of them say Trump’s conviction will matter ‘a great deal’ for their vote. The implication is that Biden may gain a single percentage point due to the verdict.”
Might Trump’s conviction persuade third-party voters to swing to Biden? Most of those voters think the trial was fair and their views split over whether it will matter to their vote or not – in the head-to-head they go for Biden by 21 points.
The Issues & Florida Ballot Initiatives
Over half of voters feel they are getting ahead (13%) or holding steady (41%) when it comes to their financial situation. But the largest number, 45%, say they’re falling behind.
Those who say they are ahead or steady go for Biden by 36 points while those falling behind back Trump by 53.
Meanwhile, when it comes to who would better handle the issues, Trump is seen as the clear choice on some of the top priorities — up 21 points on immigration/border security, 17 points on the economy, and 12 points the Israel-Hamas War.
More voters trust Biden on climate change (+7) and abortion (+5), albeit with narrower margins.
Voters split over who would better handle election integrity and health care (Biden +2 on each).
The survey tests two state constitutional amendments on the Florida ballot this November and roughly two-thirds of voters say they will vote “yes” on each.
The first is Amendment 3, which would legalize marijuana for adults ages 21 and older: 66% support this measure while 32% are against it.
On Amendment 4, which would establish the right to an abortion up until fetal viability or at any point to protect the patient’s health: 69% would vote yes vs. 27% no.
Majorities of Democrats (76%), independents (71%), and Republicans (57%) support legalizing marijuana. On establishing the right to abortion, 9 in 10 Democrats support the amendment and 7 in 10 independents feel the same, while Republicans split (50% yes vs. 45% no).
Those who favor the amendments go for Biden (marijuana +9, abortion +23) while those opposed overwhelmingly back Trump (marijuana +35, abortion +69).
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The DeSantis Factor
By a 5-point margin, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis’ approval rating is in positive territory (52% approve, 47% disapprove), however that’s down from a 13-point spread four years ago and a 26-point margin in April 2020.
Still, he does better than Biden, whose job rating is underwater by 14 points: 43% -57%.
“DeSantis is less popular than he was four years ago and there are two popular ballot questions that could drive favorable turnout for Democrats,” says Anderson. “Could Biden go on offense in Florida? Maybe, which is significant because that totally changes the electoral map.”
Moreover, 83% of those who approve of DeSantis say they will back Trump in the fall while a larger 92% of those who approve of Biden say they will support his re-election.
When it comes to views of the candidates, Floridians have a more favorable view of Trump than Biden or Kennedy. Trump breaks even with voters (49% favorable, 49% unfavorable), while Biden (42%-56%) and Kennedy (34%-46%) are in negative territory.
“Biden faces a numbers game in Florida, as there are many more Republicans than Democrats right now,” says Shaw. “Given their need to win elsewhere, can Democrats afford to spend the money and time to hunt for more votes in an expensive state like Florida?”
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Conducted June 1-4 under the joint direction of Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R), this Fox News Poll includes interviews with a sample of 1,075 Florida registered voters randomly selected from a statewide voter file. Respondents spoke with live interviewers on landlines (176) and cellphones (670) or completed the survey online after receiving a text (229) and were given the option of completing the interview in English or Spanish. Results based on the full sample have a margin of sampling error of ±3 percentage points. Weights are generally applied to age, race, education, and area variables to ensure the demographics of respondents are representative of the registered voter population.
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Southeast
Florida boater accused of killing teen in crash avoids jail time with plea deal
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A man who failed to stop his boat after fatally striking a 15-year-old high school student and ballerina in 2024 has pleaded guilty in the deadly boating incident.
The man’s attorneys had previously noted that he did not realize he had hit someone with his vessel, according to WTVJ.
Ella Adler, the granddaughter of then-U.S. Ambassador to Belgium Michael Adler, had been wakeboarding and had fallen into the water, according to the Key Biscayne Independent, which noted that boater Carlos Guillermo “Bill” Alonso fatally hit her in his 42-foot-Boston Whaler.
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Ella Adler, 15, was killed in a hit-and-run boating accident in May 2024. (Courtesy of the Adler Family )
A statement provided to Fox News Digital by Alonso’s attorney, Lauren Field Krasnoff, described the incident as a “tragic accident.”
“Our hearts go out to the Adler family. This was a tragic accident, and, of course, Bill never intended to hurt anyone that day. Bill’s decision to plead guilty was driven by his hope that doing so would cause less pain to Ella’s family and help shine a light on the Ella Riley Adler Foundation,” the statement noted.
Alonso pleaded guilty on Monday to misdemeanor careless boating, according to The Miami Herald.
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Carlos Guillermo Alonso’s attorney, Lauren Field Krasnoff, helps him out of a car in 2024. (WSVN)
The teen killed in the boating incident had performed in “The Nutcracker” over 100 times with the Miami City Ballet, the Key Biscayne Independent noted.
“Ella was extraordinary. She radiated joy, kindness and creativity in every room she entered. She was a devoted daughter, a beloved sister and a fierce and loyal friend,” Adler’s father, Matthew, said in a statement read in court, according to the outlet.
“Her life was filled with love, laughter, dance and meaning. Ella didn’t just live. She danced through life.”
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Carlos Guillermo Alonso exits a vehicle with his attorney. (WSVN)
The outlet reported that Alonso was sentenced to 12 months of probation as part of a plea agreement and that he is able to have his probation terminated after six months. Provided he fulfills the court’s conditions, he will be able to petition the court for his guilty pleas to be vacated, the outlet reported.
Edmund Richard Hartley, the captain of the vessel that had been towing Adler, has also been charged, but he has pleaded not guilty, according to The Miami Herald.
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Southeast
Trump seeks more than $6M from Fani Willis’ office in wake of election interference case
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President Donald Trump is asking the office of Fulton County District Attorney Fani Willis to reimburse him more than $6.2 million in attorney fees and costs in the wake of the recently dismissed 2020 election interference case she brought against him.
The development comes after Willis was permanently sidelined from prosecuting the case against Trump last September. She had lost an appeal after the Georgia Court of Appeals said Willis and her office could not continue to prosecute the case, citing an “appearance of impropriety” stemming from her romantic relationship with special prosecutor Nathan Wade. The case was then dismissed in November.
Georgia state legislators last year passed a law that says that if a prosecutor is disqualified from a case because of his or her own improper conduct and the case is then dismissed, anyone charged in that case is entitled to request “all reasonable attorney’s fees and costs incurred” in their defense. The judge overseeing the case then is responsible for reviewing the request and awarding the fees and costs, which are to be paid from the budget of the prosecutor’s office.
“In accordance with Georgia law, President Trump has moved the Court to award reasonable attorney fees and costs incurred in his defense of the politically motivated, and now rightfully dismissed, case brought by disqualified DA Fani Willis,” Steve Sadow, Trump’s lead attorney in Georgia, said in a statement.
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President Donald Trump and Fulton County District Attorney Fani Willis. (Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images; Alex Slitz-Pool/Getty Images)
A motion filed Wednesday said, “President Trump prays that this Court award attorney fees and costs for the defense of President Trump in the amount of $6,261,613,08.”
Willis’ indictment had accused Trump of pressuring officials to overturn the 2020 vote in Georgia, organizing “fake electors” and harassing election workers.
A Fulton County grand jury indicted Trump and 18 others in August 2023, and Trump surrendered at the Fulton County Jail on Aug. 24.
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Special prosecutor Nathan Wade and Fani Willis, the district attorney for Fulton County (Getty Images)
Last month, when another person charged in the case made a similar filing, Willis’ office filed a motion asking to be heard on the matter of any claims for fees and costs filed in the case, according to The Associated Press.
Willis’ motion raised concerns about the law passed last year that allowed Trump and others to seek to have their expenses paid.
“The statute raises grave separation-of-powers concerns by purporting to impose financial liability on a constitutional officer, twice elected by the citizens of Fulton County, for the lawful exercise of her core duties under the Georgia Constitution,” her motion said.
Donald Trump’s booking photo provided by the Fulton County Sheriff’s Office after he surrendered on charges of plotting to overturn the 2020 election. (Fulton County Sheriff’s Office via AP)
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Her motion also added that the law violates due process by “retroactively imposing a novel fee-shifting scheme” that creates a substantial burden for the county’s taxpayers without any recourse.
Fox News Digital’s Michael Dorgan and The Associated Press contributed to this report.
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Southeast
After 2 straight losses, Democrat Stacey Abrams sits out 2026 race for Georgia governor
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The third time won’t be the charm for Stacey Abrams, at least in 2026.
The two-time Democratic gubernatorial nominee in battleground Georgia is ruling out another run for governor this year, saying that instead she’ll focus on her work fighting what she warns is the nation’s move toward authoritarianism under President Donald Trump.
“Americans are in pain but they are ready to act, and now is the moment to reconnect to what is at stake and what is possible,” Abrams said in a statement to The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. “It’s clear to me that the most effective way I can serve right now is by continuing to do this important work. For that reason, I will not seek elected office in 2026.”
Abrams, a former Democratic Party leader in the Georgia state legislature and a nationally known voting-rights advocate, narrowly lost to Republican Gov. Brian Kemp in the 2018 gubernatorial election. She lost her 2022 rematch with Kemp by nearly eight points.
FLASHBACK: STACEY ABRAMS MULLS THIRD STRAIGHT RUN FOR GEORGIA GOVERNOR
Stacey Abrams, seen here at Georgia State University on Nov. 7, 2022, in Atlanta, Georgia, will not run for governor in 2026. (Elijah Nouvelage/Getty Images)
Sources confirmed to Fox News Digital last spring that Abrams was mulling a third straight run for governor in the race to succeed the now-term-limited Kemp.
Abrams grabbed plenty of national attention during the 2018 Georgia race, and came close to making history as the nation’s first Black female elected governor. Her refusal to concede to Kemp after losing by a razor-thin margin boosted her among many Democrats while becoming a top GOP political target.
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She launched the Fair Fight political organization following her defeat, helped Biden narrowly carry Georgia in the 2020 presidential election, and also contributed to the sweep by the Democrats in the Jan. 5, 2021 twin Senate runoff elections.
Abrams raised over $110 million in fundraising for her 2022 rematch with Kemp, but was soundly defeated by the Republican incumbent.
Republican Gov. Brian Kemp of Georgia, seen speaking with Fox News Digital during his 2022 re-election campaign, is term-limited and cannot run for re-election in 2026. (Paul Steinhauser/Fox News)
In recent years, the political machine Abrams built has faded. The Abrams-founded New Georgia Project folded last year after being fined $300,000 for illegally backing her 2018 campaign.
And while Abrams last year considered a 2026 gubernatorial run, other Democratic candidates jumped into the race.
Former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms, who served as director of the White House Office of Public Engagement during former President Joe Biden’s administration, is widely seen as the front-runner for the Democratic gubernatorial nomination.
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Also running for the Democratic nomination is former Lieutenant Gov. Geoff Duncan, who was elected in 2018 but declined to seek re-election in 2022. The former Republican is now a moderate Democrat. Former state Rep. Ruwa Romman and former Dekalb County CEO Michael Thurmond are also in the race.
Former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms, who served in then-President Joe Biden’s administration, is running for the 2026 Democratic nomination for governor in Georgia. (Getty Images)
In the race for the Republican nomination, Lt. Gov. Burt Jones has the backing of President Donald Trump.
The field also includes Georgia Attorney General Chris Carr and Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger.
The Cook Report, a leading non-partisan political handicapper, rates the race a toss-up, while Inside Elections rates it as tilt Republican and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rates it as lean Republican.
Abrams, in her statement to the Atlanta Journal-Constitution, said she’ll keep her focus on the fight to protect democracy.
“The antidote to authoritarianism and its harms has always been democracy; and I have long believed that democracy requires active engagement and staunch defenders,” she wrote.”But democracy is experienced by the vast majority through the work of government — when it fails, we are all imperiled.”
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