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Analysis: Illinois governor's revenue plan faces enough opposition to prompt cut talks

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Analysis: Illinois governor's revenue plan faces enough opposition to prompt cut talks


SPRINGFIELD, Ill. — When Gov. J.B. Pritzker proposed his budget for the upcoming fiscal year in February, he sought authority from lawmakers to raise more than $1 billion in revenue through various changes to the state tax code.

Among other things, he sought to raise $526 million through extending an expiring cap on losses that corporations can claim on taxes, and $200 million by increasing the tax on sportsbooks’ revenues from 15% to 35%.

But, one of his lead lieutenants this week sent a letter to the head of the state’s agencies instructing them to identify $800 million in collective budget cuts if lawmakers don’t deliver on Pritzker’s tax requests.

“As we continue to work with our General Assembly partners to pass our sixth consecutive balanced budget, it has become clear that opposition to proposed revenue is significant enough to direct agencies to prepare for the possibility of reductions to proposed spending,” Deputy Gov. Andy Manar wrote in the letter to agency directors dated May 7.

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While Manar’s letter was addressed to “Agency Directors,” it was just as much a message to rank-and-file lawmakers – particularly those within the supermajority Democratic party. While ideologically aligned on the major points, Democrats have not been immune to intraparty squabbles throughout Pritzker’s tenure.

The letter comes at a time when lawmakers are entering the final two-week negotiating stretch for the budget before their scheduled May 24 adjournment. (It’s a self-imposed deadline, and that date could be extended a week without changing the number of votes needed to pass a budget).

But it doesn’t mean cuts are definitely coming, or that revenues are cratering amid late-year tax season filings.

To the contrary, Manar’s letter came on the heels of positive news – the Governor’s Office of Management and Budget increased its base General Revenue Fund estimate for the upcoming fiscal year 2025 by $295 million, to $53.3 billion.

Normally, that type of revision, at this time of year – coupled with the GOMB’s $250 million increase for the current fiscal year that ends June 30 – would have lawmakers thinking about new spending.

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Source: Governor’s Office of Management and Budget

A table from the latest Governor’s Office of Management and Budget report shows how revenue projections have increased from previous estimates. The highlight was added to signify the current revenue estimates.

But in noting there’s at least some question as to whether lawmakers would approve the governor’s February revenue proposals, Manar presented a scenario where the opposite could be true.

“And finally, as your agency prepares for the impact of $800 million in potential spending reductions, please focus on grant programs and other discretionary spending that has increased in recent years,” Manar wrote.

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Grant programs are some of the most popular spending areas for lawmakers, many of whom are accustomed to celebrating the impact of the dollars in their districts through celebratory news conferences and media releases.

In other words, the letter lays out a dueling reality for lawmakers who are on the fence: curtail popular program spending or get in line with Pritzker’s proposed plan to make the money available.

Manar’s letter was a subject for discussion on the latest episode of “Illinois Lawmakers” – the longest-running Illinois government-focused program in the state’s history that is now a production of Capitol News Illinois.

Sen. Elgie Sims, D-Chicago, the lead budget negotiator in his chamber, told “Lawmakers” host Jak Tichenor Thursday that Manar’s letter was “a good plan” and not cause for alarm as the session nears its end.

“You always have to have contingencies A, B and C,” Sims said, adding that the governor’s plan is option A, but negotiations must also be a “reflection of the caucuses’ priorities.”

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“So I just saw the memo as part of that process – part of the planning process to make sure as we get ready for the final passage, we have all the options before us,” he said.

House Assistant Majority Leader Jay Hoffman, D-Swansea, echoed Sims, noting Democrats have come together to pass a balanced budget each year since Pritzker took office, resulting in nine credit rating upgrades from the major New York-based rating agencies.

“So we have to continue to work to get that balanced budget,” Hoffman said. “Now – I don’t know that I agree with the deputy governor on having to have all these revenue enhancements in order to have a balanced budget. But we if we have to make some reductions, we’ll make them.”

<i>Jak Tichenor (left), host of “Illinois Lawmakers” talks with House Assistant Majority Leader Jay Hoffman, D-Swansea. </i>

Jerry Nowicki

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Capitol News Illinois

Jak Tichenor, host of “Illinois Lawmakers,” talks with House Assistant Majority Leader Jay Hoffman, D-Swansea.

Because Pritzker’s revenue generators would pull in an estimated $1.1 billion, there’s room for his plan to pass in part without requiring cuts as drastic as Manar outlined in his Tuesday letter.

Deputy Minority Leader Norine Hammond, R-Macomb, told Tichenor she’s unsurprised by Manar’s letter. The budget ask, she said, has been driven up by competing interest groups all vying for a limited pool of funds.

“And as we know, that becomes a Christmas tree and the revenue needs just become greater and greater,” Hammond said.

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But the House GOP’s lead budgeteer also noted her caucus has not been intimately involved in any cross-party budget negotiations thus far.

There are other revenue generators in the governor’s plan as well. It seeks to generate $101 million by capping a sales tax discount claimed by retailers, and to transfer some mass transit costs to the state’s Road Fund to generate $175 million.



Read more: Pritzker agency heads questioned on $1.1 billion revenue proposals

The governor’s office gives far less fanfare to two other proposals: a cap on a widely used personal income tax deduction and a redirection of some tax revenue away from parks and recreation programing.

The former is a $2,550 cap on the standard deduction claimed by millions of Illinoisans to generate $93 million. It was scheduled to grow to $2,775 if lawmakers don’t change the law. The latter would move a portion of real estate transfer taxes to GRF instead of the Open Space Land Acquisition and Development Fund – one of the most popular of all grant programs – to raise $25 million.

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<i>Gov. JB Pritzker speaks at an event at the Governor’s Mansion in Springfield on Tuesday, May 7. On the same day, his office sent a memo to state agency directors asking them to identify $800 million in budget cuts. </i>

Capitol News Illinois photo by Jerry Nowicki

Illinois Gov. J.B. Pritzker speaks at an event at the Governor’s Mansion on Tuesday in Springfield. On the same day, his office sent a memo to state agency directors asking them to identify $800 million in budget cuts.

While Manar’s memo lays down a marker for the final two weeks of budget negotiations, it doesn’t drastically change the state’s fiscal landscape from where it was a week ago, when the legislature’s Commission on Government Forecasting and Accountability reported April revenues came in about as expected.

In fact, the GOMB’s new estimate is nearly identical to COGFA’s latest projection.

But the letter does indicate that Pritzker’s budget proposal appears to be facing some turbulence as the plane nears its landing – again, not an uncommon occurrence in Springfield.

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Jerry Nowicki is the editor-in-chief of Capitol News Illinois, a nonprofit, nonpartisan news service covering state government that is distributed to hundreds of print and broadcast outlets statewide. It is funded primarily by the Illinois Press Foundation and the Robert R. McCormick Foundation, along with major contributions from the Illinois Broadcasters Foundation and Southern Illinois Editorial Association. 





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Illinois teen stabbing case returns to court this week

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Illinois teen stabbing case returns to court this week


A Sycamore mother said she is still waiting for justice more than two years after her teenage son was stabbed to death. 

The case is back in court this week, where a judge will consider a key request that could change how the case moves forward.

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What we know:

A mother said her son’s life was cut short during a confrontation that turned deadly.

Heather Gerken said her 17-year-old son, Kaleb McCall, was stabbed during an incident in September 2023. She said Kaleb agreed to meet another teen for what he believed would be a fist fight while sticking up for a friend.

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According to Gerken, the other teen, who was 15 at the time, pulled a knife and stabbed Kaleb in the chest. Kaleb later died from his injuries.

Gerken said a jury later found that teen guilty of second-degree murder after the defense argued he acted in self-defense.

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Dig deeper:

The case is not over.

Gerken says the defendant’s attorneys are now trying to move the case out of adult court and into juvenile court. That decision could impact how the teen is ultimately sentenced.

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What they’re saying:

Gerken said the legal process has been long and frustrating.

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She said the case has stretched on for more than two and a half years and that ongoing court proceedings have made it difficult for her to grieve her son.

“He was everybody’s big brother,” Gerken said. “He had the biggest smile and the sweetest personality. He enjoyed fishing and being outside, and he was the best gift giver. He always got me flowers for every little holiday. Just a very thoughtful boy.”

Gerken also said the possibility of the case moving to juvenile court is especially upsetting, as she continues to push for what she believes is justice for her son.

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“I don’t want anybody else’s child to die the way that my son died,” Gerken said. “Caleb is my whole world. I gave birth to him at 17 and he changed my life completely. He made me a better person. He taught me what real love truly is…And I just miss him so much more every day. And just knowing that he died the way he did. It makes me sick.”

What’s next:

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The case returns to court Thursday morning.

A judge is expected to determine whether the case remains in adult court or is moved to juvenile court, a decision that could shape what happens next in the case.

The Source: The information in this article was reported by FOX Chicago’s Lauren Scafidi.

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Crime and Public SafetyNewsIllinois



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Has Trump’s approval dropped in Illinois amid Pope Leo feud? See polls

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Has Trump’s approval dropped in Illinois amid Pope Leo feud? See polls


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Recent polls show President Donald Trump’s approval ratings continue to dip as the war in Iran endures and national gas prices float above $4.

One such poll conducted by CNN/SSRS illustrates widespread upset among Americans with regards to Trump’s handling of the economy and inflation. Here’s how Trump’s approval ratings look nationally and within Illinois, as of April 20.

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Donald Trump approval rating: CNN

Only 31% of Americans approve of how Trump is handling the economy, compared to 39% in January 2026, according to the poll.

The decline in approval on the issue is even higher among Republicans, especially Republicans under 45 years old, according to CNN. 

In the poll, President Donald Trump received his worst approval rating yet in either of his two terms on the economy.

CNN findings show about two-thirds of Americans say Trump’s policies have worsened economic conditions, and 27% say they approve of Trump’s handling of inflation. 

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CNN also reported 63% of Americans say the prices at the pump have caused financial hardship in their household, including 15% calling it “severe.”

The poll, conducted March 26-30 among 1,201 U.S. adults, found 35% approve of Trump’s job performance overall. The poll’s margin of error is plus or minus 3.2 percentage points. 

One poll respondent told CNN and the pollster about the most important issue facing the country: “Prices! Everything is so expensive. Makes it very difficult to do anything other than work and go home. Trips to the grocery store are ridiculous! Between gas and grocery prices, we are poor!”

Trump addressed the concerns about gas prices in his address to the nation on April 1, saying the Strait of Hormuz would reopen when the conflict was over and the prices would fall again.

Trump reaffirmed his promise about the strait on April 18, saying his administration had “very good conversations going on” with Iran after the country said the strait would not be reopened.

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Donald Trump approval rating in Illinois: Civiqs

Trump’s job approval rating in Illinois, as of April 18, according to data from online survey platform Civiqs, is as follows:

  • Approve — 32%.
  • Disapprove — 65%.
  • Neither — 4%.

Donald Trump national approval rating: Civiqs

Trump’s national approval rating as of April 13, according to data from Civiqs, is as follows:

  • Approve — 39%.
  • Disapprove — 57%.
  • Neither — 4%.

Donald Trump approval rating in Illinois: The Economist

Trump has a -36% net approval rating in Illinois as of April 20, according to data from The Economist.

Donald Trump national approval rating: The Economist

Trump’s national approval rating as of April 20, according to data from The Economist, is as follows:

  • Approve — 38%.
  • Disapprove — 56%.
  • Don’t know — 7%.

Trump, Iran War approval rating: Pew Research Center

A Pew Research study conducted in mid-March found that about six-in-ten Americans (61%) approve of Trump’s handling of the conflict in Iran, with 39% approving.

A report released in early April found that the largest concern for most Americans as a result of the conflict is higher gas prices, with 69% saying they are “extremely” or “very” concerned about the issue.

Other Trump approval rating polls as of April 20

Here is a look at some other polling aggregators to understand how CNN/SSRS’s poll compares to the average Trump approval numbers as of April 20: 

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RealClearPolitics Poll Average: 41.2% approve, 56.6% disapprove.

The New York Times: 40% approve, 56% disapprove.

Silver Bulletin: 39.7% approve, 56.4% disapprove.

Which president has the lowest approval rating ever?

Although Trump has dropped to a historic low in approval rating polls this term so far, he hit a 34% low in the first term and other recent presidents such as Joe Biden hit a 36% low, Barack Obama hit a 40% low, George W. Bush hit a 25% low and Bill Clinton hit a 37% low, according to the Gallup polls, whose recorded lowest rating was Harry Truman with 22%.

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As for the highest presidential approval ratings, George W. Bush holds the highest approval rating ever recorded at 90%, while his father, George H. Bush holds the second highest at 89%.

Trump is the only president that has not reached a 50% or higher approval to date in the Gallup polls’ history.



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Multiple people shot in Centralia, Illinois: REPORT

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Multiple people shot in Centralia, Illinois: REPORT


CENTRALIA, Ill. – An investigation is underway after multiple people were shot Sunday in Centralia, Illinois, according to a report from WFCN News in southern Illinois.

FOX 2 has confirmed the Illinois State Police is investigating a shooting and taking over the investigation, but ISP could not confirm many further details as of 9 p.m. Sunday.

“The investigation is in its infancy and to protect the integrity of the investigation, no additional details will be released at this time,” ISP said in a statement to FOX 2.

According to WFCN News, the shooting happened around 5 p.m. near the 900 block of East Kell Street in Centralia. Multiple law enforcement agencies have since responded to scene and multiple victims are hospitalized, according to the report.

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It’s unclear how many people may have been injured and what led up to the shooting.

Centralia, Illinois is about 70 miles, or just over an hour, east of St. Louis.

This is a developing story. FOX 2 will update as more information becomes available.



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