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Poll: Potential Biden versus Trump race tight in Pennsylvania

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Poll: Potential Biden versus Trump race tight in Pennsylvania


A potential rematch between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump has the current occupant of the White House slightly in front in Pennsylvania, a new poll shows.

In the latest edition of the Franklin & Marshall College Poll, which was released today, Biden holds a razor-thin margin over Trump among registered voters.

The poll shows that, if asked to pick today between the two, 43% would opt for Biden and 42% would select Trump. The 1-point gap is well within the poll’s margin of error.

In the last poll, released in October, Biden held a lead of 42% to 40% over Trump.

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Biden and Trump are expected to be the nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties and square off in a rematch of the 2020 presidential election.

Source: Franklin & Marshall College Poll

When the field is expanded to include others who are expected to be on the ballot as third-party candidates, Biden’s lead widens.

After adding Jill Stein and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to the question, 42% of registered voters picked Biden and 37% selected Trump.

Kennedy came in third (8%), followed by someone else (7%) and don’t know (5%). Stein finished last at 2%.

The poll showed Biden’s favorability ratings are higher than Trump’s, but neither candidate appears to be particularly well-liked.

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More than half (53%) of respondents gave Trump a strongly unfavorable rating, while just under half (45%) gave that rating to Biden.

A total of 41% rated Biden either strongly favorable or somewhat favorable. Trump was rated strongly or somewhat favorable by 39% of registered voters.

One factor in Trump’s low favorability rating is likely his response to the 2020 election, which he lost to Biden.

When asked if his actions following the election represent a serious crime, 59% of respondents said yes. A total of 36% said no, and 5% said they didn’t know.

Biden’s low numbers appear to be tied to people’s feelings about his job performance.

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More than half (51%) of respondents rated his job performance as poor, and 16% said he has only done a fair job. Just 33% rated his performance as excellent or good.

When respondents were asked about individual traits of Biden and Trump, the results were a mixed bag.

More people think that Biden understands the concerns of the average American better than Trump, coming in at 40% to 39%. Biden also came out ahead when it comes to whether his views reflect respondents’ views on abortion and same-sex marriage (48% to 36%).

The current president also did better when it comes to questions about judgment and honesty.

A total of 45% said Biden has the character and good judgment needed to be president, outpacing the 32% who said the same about Trump.

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And 44% said Biden is the more honest candidate. Only 27% said Trump is more honest.

Trump outpaced Biden in other areas, in particular the economy and the military.

A total of 47% respondents said Trump is more prepared to handle the economy, while only 37% said Biden is better equipped.

And 43% said Trump is the better pick when it comes to handling the job of commander in chief, while 40% said Biden is the better option.

Age continues to be a major concern for registered voters, particularly in regards to Biden.

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A total of 84% of voters said Biden, 81, is too old to serve another term, while 48% said Trump, 77, is too old.

Of those who think one or the other candidate is too old to serve another term, 43% said they think both men are too old.

How the poll was conducted

Included in the latest Franklin & Marshall College poll is a detailed explanation of how the survey was conducted:

The survey findings presented in this release are based on the results of interviews conducted Jan. 17-28. The interviews were conducted at the Center for Opinion Research at Franklin & Marshall College on behalf of the Center for Politics and Public Affairs.

The poll was designed and administered by the staff of the Center for Opinion Research. The data included in this release represent the responses of 1,006 registered Pennsylvania voters, including 450 Democrats, 414 Republicans and 142 independents.

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The sample of registered voters was obtained from Aristotle. All sampled respondents were notified by mail about the survey. Interviews were completed over the phone and online depending on each respondent’s preference.

Survey results were weighted (age, gender, education, geography and party registration) using an algorithm to reflect the known distribution of those characteristics among state voters. Estimates for age, geography and party registration are based on active voters within the Pennsylvania Department of State’s voter registration data.

The sample error for this survey is 3.6 percentage points when the design effects from weighting are considered.



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Pennsylvania

Officials react to Pennsylvania abortion ruling, Medicaid ban struck down

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Officials react to Pennsylvania abortion ruling, Medicaid ban struck down


A Pennsylvania court ruling is reshaping abortion access in the state, striking down a decades-old ban on using Medicaid to pay for abortions and declaring that the Pennsylvania Constitution guarantees a right to abortion.

The decision came Monday from the state’s Commonwealth Court. In a 4-3 vote, judges ruled in favor of abortion rights in Pennsylvania and invalidated the state’s restriction on Medicaid-funded abortions.

Local abortion-rights advocates praised the ruling as a major step toward protecting access for low-income residents. Adrienne Daily, co-founder of Johnstown for Choice, said, “Everybody should have the right to that. If you restrict the coverage, you’re obviously discriminating against those that have lower income.”

Opponents of abortion rights called the decision a dramatic expansion of the court’s power and warned it will force taxpayers to pay for procedures they oppose. Michael Geer, president of the Pennsylvania Family Institute, said, “Taxpayers now in Pennsylvania will have no choice under this court ruling to fund abortions. And there are many, many millions of Pennsylvanians who think abortion is wrong. It’s the taking of an innocent human life and to force taxpayers who conscientiously object to abortion to then fund it is just plain wrong.”

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Abortion-rights advocates pushed back, arguing abortion access is healthcare and a personal decision. Daily said, “This is a family issue. This is a personal issue. This is a bodily autonomy issue.”

Pro-life leaders also warned the ruling could have broader implications for other abortion-related laws. Geer said, “It is sweeping and there’s no question it’s judicial overreach.” He added, “If this ruling stands, it will invite attacks on every remaining pro-life safeguard that has been put into law by lawmakers at the behest to the people of Pennsylvania over decades.”

The case could still be appealed to the Pennsylvania Supreme Court. That decision lies with Republican Attorney General Dave Sunday. His office has not provided a response, but the Associated Press reported a spokesperson said the office is reviewing the decision and did not say whether it will appeal.



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Wu-Tang Clan member opens clothing store in Pennsylvania

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Wu-Tang Clan member opens clothing store in Pennsylvania


The Rock and Roll Hall of Fame just released this year’s list of inductees, and a new clothing store just opened in the Johnstown Galleria.

What do these two things have in common?

If you grew up listening to 90’s hip-hop, then you’re probably familiar with the Wu-Tang Clan.

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Wu-Tang Clan member opens clothing store in Pennsylvania (WJAC)

They said, “We’re in the building right now, we’re out in Johnstown making it happen, fashion and rapping, and Wu-Tang, you already know Wu-Tang is the witty, unpredictable talent and natural game. So, it’s all grassroots with us, man. We do everything from scratch.”

They’re being inducted into the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame this year, and Darryl Hill, aka Cappadonna, and manager Al “Heck” Felder are opening the Pillage, a clothing store in the Johnstown Galleria, selling apparel with a purpose.

Cappadonna said, “‘Cappadonna,’ that stands for ‘Consider All Poor People Acceptable, Don’t Oppress Nor Neglect Anyone,’ and we stand on that.”

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They were introduced to mall owner Leo Karruli through Mustafa Curry, a childhood friend from New York, who owns a store on Main Street in Johnstown.

Heck said, “BK Styles, I’ve got to give a shout out to my boy, Mustafa. They’ve got some apparel down there, too. We’re all over. We’re spreading the word and we’re spreading the love.”

Wu-Tang Clan member opens clothing store in Pennsylvania (WJAC)

Their other clothing line, Angry Elephant, promotes being good stewards of the Earth, with a portion of the proceeds protecting the animals from poachers.

They said they believe in always putting God and family first.

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Cappadonna said, “When you recognize the God in us, then you can see the God in you.”

They said they want kids to know that violence is not the answer, and it doesn’t cost anything to be kind.

Cappadonna said, “We just want to say that it’s nice to be important, but it’s even more important to be nice.”



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Mother, 6 children die in Central Pennsylvania house explosion, state police say

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Mother, 6 children die in Central Pennsylvania house explosion, state police say



A mother and her six children died when their Central Pennsylvania home exploded and caught on fire Sunday morning, state police said.

The explosion and fire happened at around 8:30 a.m. at a home on Long Run Road in Lamar Township, Clinton County, which is roughly 35 miles from State College. Crews arrived on the scene and found the home fully engulfed in flames, with the mother and her six children trapped.

State police identified the 34-year-old woman who died in the fire as Sarah B. Stolzfus. Her 11-year-old son, 10-year-old son, 8-year-old daughter, 6-year-old daughter, 5-year-old son and 3-year-old son also died in the blaze, according to state police. 

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A propane leak inside the house might’ve caused the explosion and fire, state police said. Propane tanks outside the home did not explode or contribute to the fire, according to state police.

The explosion and fire are under investigation by state police.



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