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Wide rift in Russia, Ukraine negotiations could mean drawn out war that favors Putin: experts say
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Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Russian President Vladimir Putin are far aside on the negotiating desk with each side requesting concessions deemed non-starters by the opposite aspect which could possibly be a bonus to Putin, specialists inform Fox Information.
Rebekah Koffler, a former U.S. intelligence agent and creator of “Putin’s Playbook: Russia’s Secret Plan to Defeat America,” instructed Fox Information Digital that Ukraine’s need for a safety settlement with different nations as a element of ending the struggle is a requirement Russia is not going to comply with.
Russian President Vladimir Putin attends a cupboard assembly by way of videoconference on the Novo-Ogaryovo residence exterior Moscow, Russia, Wednesday, March 23, 2022.
(Mikhail Klimentyev, Sputnik, Kremlin Pool Photograph by way of AP)
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“Putin is just not going to go for that,” Koffler mentioned, including that her evaluation is Ukraine can be unwilling to present in to Putin’s reported demand that Ukraine cede Crimea and the breakaway Donbas areas.
Shortly after Koffler spoke with Fox Information Digital, Zelenskyy acknowledged that gifting away Ukrainian territory to Russia was not an choice he would think about.
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“We don’t commerce our territory,” Zelenskyy instructed Fox Information’s Bret Baier by way of translator in an unique interview. “The query of territorial integrity and sovereignty is out of debate.”
On this picture offered by the Ukrainian Presidential Press Workplace, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, heart, walks earlier than a gathering with President of the European Parliament Roberta Metsola in Kyiv, Ukraine, Friday, April 1, 2022.
(Ukrainian Presidential Press Workplace by way of AP)
“The underside line is that these positions are irreconcilable,” Koffler defined.
Lt. Col. Tony Shaffer, President of the London Heart for Coverage Analysis, agreed with Koffler’s evaluation that each side are requesting nonstarters within the negotiation and instructed Fox Information Digital that Putin is not going to settle for Ukraine’s demand {that a} safety settlement amongst main powers to guard Ukraine sooner or later be applied.
“I feel you possibly can see the Russians occurring for an additional two weeks type of repositioning issues,” Shaffer mentioned. “So I simply do not suppose they’ll critically negotiate till after they solidify what they’re doing, and so they might effectively return on the offensive a minimum of another time earlier than it is all performed earlier than they’re prepared to actually negotiate.”
Moreover, Shaffer mentioned that he doesn’t consider Zelenskyy will acquiesce to any demand from Putin to present away territory.
“I do not,” Shaffer mentioned when requested if he foresess Ukraine ceding land to Russia. “That is what Ukraine’s relying on for its future prosperity. So it is actually going to be essential for Ukraine so no, I feel it is a nonstarter for them as effectively.”
A canine is seen in the course of a avenue as Ukrainian military troopers take a part of a navy sweep to seek for potential remnants of Russian troops after their withdrawal from villages within the outskirts of Kyiv, Ukraine, Friday, April 1, 2022.
(AP Photograph/Rodrigo Abd)
Each Shaffer and Koffler instructed Fox Information that the deadlock between the 2 sides advantages Putin who is ready and extra outfitted for a drawn out battle.
“That is going to be a protracted, drawn out, ongoing, protracted battle and Putin can afford to try this,” Koffler mentioned.
Shaffer instructed Fox Information that Putin “completely” has the abdomen for a drawn out battle.
“Putin’s bought a variety of capability left,” Shaffer mentioned. “He will transfer issues round so in any protracted battle I feel the benefit goes to Putin missing any help of NATO growth to Zelenskyy.”
Fox Information anchor Bret Baier spoke with Zelenskyy on Friday and conveyed his perception after the interview that the Ukrainian chief is certainly involved that Russia is digging in for a protracted battle.
“The concern is that Russia will attempt to dig in and have fortified positions,” Baier mentioned. “That they simply keep and that with out the heavy weaponry he can’t push them out successfully. That finally, his greatest fear is that the West will neglect about Ukraine and that they’ll flip the chapter and that Russia will make the most of that.”