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Saudis would develop bomb ‘the next day’ if Iran nuclear deal led to weapons capability: experts

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Saudis would develop bomb ‘the next day’ if Iran nuclear deal led to weapons capability: experts

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Saudi Arabia will seemingly look to develop its personal nuclear capabilities ought to an Iran nuclear deal undergo, consultants advised Fox Information Digital. 

“If Iran went nuclear tomorrow, the subsequent day the Saudis would most likely purchase a nuclear weapon from Pakistan or ratchet up their very own nuclear program,” mentioned Jim Phillips, a senior analysis fellow for Center Jap affairs at The Heritage Basis. “They’ve a protracted option to go, however they reportedly financed the Pakistani program, and there is perhaps some quid professional quo concerned in that.” 

Iran and the U.S. agreed to the Joint Complete Plan of Motion (JCPOA), often known as the Iran nuclear deal, in 2015 throughout President Obama’s administration. President Trump withdrew from the plan in 2018 and promised to barter a greater deal, however President Biden needed to take the lead on any such new deal. 

RUSSIA INVADES UKRAINE: LIVE UPDATES

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Saudi Arabia strongly opposed the unique nuclear deal however lately has proven extra willingness to have interaction Tehran on an settlement. Specialists level to numerous elements which have drawn Riyadh to the negotiating desk – mainly financial and safety issues for the area. 

“I feel Saudi Arabia is being extra diplomatic, however not likely optimistic as a result of it noticed the deal went by means of in 2015 regardless of its objection and the objections of Israel,” Phillips argued. “So, I feel it’s minimizing its detrimental reception.”

“It’s publicizing its detrimental views of a potential deal, however I imagine it stays strongly opposed due to the impression of a potential deal on its nationwide pursuits.”

A nuclear deal would seemingly see Iran resume its earlier degree of commerce, which would offer a big impression on the financial steadiness of the area. Todd Younger lately wrote in a Fox Information opinion piece that the windfall might whole as a lot as $130.5 billion. 

BIDEN’S IRAN DEAL WOULD CREATE A FOREIGN POLICY DISASTER FOR US AND HAND XI, PUTIN, KHAMENEI A MAJOR VICTORY

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“Saudis and others can be fearful about reductions in oil costs – that’s the primary concern – and total, extra the concern is whether or not Iran will have the ability to use the earnings from a brand new nuclear deal to assist additional gasoline the growth of its missile and proxy terrorist actions,” Matthew McInnis from the Institute for the Research of Conflict defined. 

“The Houthis are definitely the primary concern for the Saudis proper now,” McInnis mentioned. “That’s the primary factor on the Saudi agenda: methods to take care of the Houthis. They need decision of the battle.” 

The Wall Avenue Journal reported earlier this 12 months that Saudi crown prince Mohammad bin Salman refused a name from President Biden – which the White Home denies – and Phillips argued this was seemingly in response to how Biden has dealt with the Houthis safety concern. Biden eliminated the Houthis from an inventory of designated terrorist teams shortly after taking workplace however has thought of including them again to the listing as a way of easing tensions with Riyadh. 

WHITE HOUSE QUITS ASKING SAUDIS FOR MORE OIL AFTER VERBAL DUST-UP WITH TOP OFFICIAL: REPORT

However the best concern stays Iran’s capability to acquire nuclear weapons ought to it begin to develop its capabilities. The JCPOA restricted Iran’s nuclear capabilities for a interval of 10 years on centrifuges and 15 years on the quantity of enriched uranium it will possibly possess. 

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Critics argue the 15-year window solely delays Iran’s nuclear pathway slightly than stops it, and it supplies Iran with upfront, everlasting advantages of money that trigger speedy issues for the area. Supporters imagine that hole will enable a brand new technology to take energy and make new agreements, but it surely’s a bet that another nations – reminiscent of Israel and, till extra lately, Saudi Arabia – don’t help.

Saudi Arabia’s program stays far much less developed in comparison with Iran’s, but it surely has some potential shortcuts: A “number of sources” advised BBC Newsnight in 2013 that Saudi Arabia had invested in Pakistan’s nuclear weapons undertaking, largely to arrange for the opportunity of Iran acquiring a bomb. 

SAUDI ARABIA’S BIDEN-HARRIS SKIT HIGHLIGHTS RIYADH’S FRUSTRATION WITH DC: ROVE

Amos Yadlin, a former head of Israeli army intelligence, advised a convention in Sweden on the time that if Iran obtained the bomb, “the Saudis is not going to wait one month. They already paid for the bomb, they are going to go to Pakistan and produce what they should convey.” 

McInnis argues that’s should still be the case: Pakistan would seemingly present the “best” possibility for Saudi Arabia to arm itself, however he questions how successfully that methodology would work. 

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“I feel the Iranians most likely underestimate the chance of different regional states pursuing nuclear weapons in the event that they do determine to go for a bomb,” McInnis mentioned. “This is without doubt one of the the explanation why we’ve got to be extraordinarily involved concerning the Iranians pursuing a nuclear weapon, contemplating the opportunity of a nuclear arms race within the area.” 

“Clearly, with the long-standing connections with Pakistan on quite a lot of fronts, there’s the priority that that might be the avenue by which Saudi Arabia might obtain a nuclear weapon rapidly,” he added. “I feel the Pakistan pathway might be the simplest, however I feel there are nonetheless numerous questions as as to if that might work.” 

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Movie Review: A family is torn apart under Brazil’s dictatorship in ‘I’m Still Here’

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Movie Review: A family is torn apart under Brazil’s dictatorship in ‘I’m Still Here’

It’s easy to fall in love with the Paiva family. Filmmaker Walter Salles makes sure of that in “I’m Still Here.”

He drops the audience into the warm everyday of the beautiful home of Eunice (Fernanda Torres) and Rubens Paiva (Selton Mello), in 1970s Rio de Janeiro, where their five kids run freely between the beach and their living room. Life is calmly chaotic, full of affection, gentle familial teasing and various life stages (one is about to lose a tooth, another about to go to university). Someone always seems to have wet hair, be covered in sand, or bringing in a mangy stray, as their youngest, Marcelo, does in the film’s lovely opening. Even if their life is technically worlds away from any one person in the audience, it feels familiar and close.

Anyone coming to “I’m Still Here” will surely know that this domestic tranquility does not and cannot hold. It was about seven years into Brazil’s military dictatorship, which would last until 1985. And while the film suggests that there was a semblance of normalcy in their day to day, there are also ominous signs of change and oppression — reports of ambassadors being kidnapped on the news, and tense “random” traffic stops that their eldest daughter endures one night. Some left-leaning citizens are making plans to leave, but the Paiva family is not in a terrible rush. They’re even making plans to build a new home.

So when three men in civilian clothes enter their home one afternoon and tell Rubens, a former left-leaning congressman, that he needs to come in for questioning, it happens with little incident. Everyone is on guard — they’re not naive — but you sense that Eunice believes he will come back that night. Maybe even the next day. Rubens is calm changing into a collared shirt and tie and lying to his daughter that he is going into the office, even though it’s a holiday. But he also savors this moment with her, perhaps because he knows he’s likely to not return.

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The film is based on a memoir written by Paiva’s son, Marcelo, but you don’t need to know that to know that it is first and foremost a memory piece. It is deeply personal and imbued with the kind of tenderness that is extremely difficult to see or appreciate in the moment. And although it’s certainly idealized and wistful, we accept any assumed white lies because we all wish that for ourselves: to truly recognize what we have before it’s gone.

This story is not about the abduction, however, or what may have happened to Rubens after that day. It’s about how Eunice continues on, through uncertainty, absence and, ultimately, the loss of hope. Salles chooses to tell this story in a rather straightforward manner, which works well, allowing the compelling narrative and the talented actors to carry the audience through.

At the heart of it is Torres, who has already won a Golden Globe for her performance and whose portrayal of Eunice is a true marvel. Mothers and wives often get the short shrift in movies like this, about Big Important Topics decided on by men, but Torres instills Eunice with a deep emotional and practical intelligence that’s beautifully feminine, whether she’s dealing with a misogynist banker, a dead dog in the street or the thugs surveilling her home. She’s fascinating and resilient in a way that so many women are in times of historical strife but rarely celebrated for.

In one particularly poignant scene, she and the kids are being photographed by a journalist hoping to tell their story. They smile together, as they did earlier in the film when Rubens was there. Now he’s not, and the reporters are confused. They ask Eunice to try a more serious expression. She laughs, “They want us to look sad,” and instructs her kids to keep smiling. It’s a perfect encapsulation of the complex spirit of the movie. Political disappearances don’t begin and end with the victim, or the toppling of a regime — they are generational traumas that live on in the survivors and alter everything in their wake.

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“I’m Still Here,” a Sony Pictures Classics release in limited release Friday (expanding on Jan. 24), is rated PG-13 by the Motion Picture Association for “smoking, drug use, brief nudity, some strong language, thematic content.” Running time: 135 minutes. Three stars out of four.

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Hostage families in Israel express cautious optimism after cease-fire deal: 'We hope they’ll come back alive'

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Hostage families in Israel express cautious optimism after cease-fire deal: 'We hope they’ll come back alive'

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TEL AVIV — Israeli negotiators have reached agreement with the Hamas terror group for a hostages-for-cease-fire deal that will also reportedly see the release of thousands of Palestinian security prisoners, many with blood on their hands, and an Israeli military withdrawal from key areas of the Gaza Strip.

“I am trying to breathe,” Efrat Machikawa, the niece of Israeli captive Gadi Moses, told Fox News Digital in response to the development.

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“We will not know for sure that it is really happening until we will get the phone call to come see Gadi at the hospital. Although I am optimistic by nature, I am trying to control myself because we were very close to so many deals since the last one when my aunt Margalit was released,” Machikawa said.

ISRAEL-HAMAS CEASE-FIRE, HOSTAGE RELEASE DEAL REACHED

Pictures of loved ones who have been captured by Hamas are shown during a Defend Israeli Democracy UK press conference at Plaza Westminster Bridge Hotel in London by Sharon Lifschitz and Noam Sagi, two London-based British Israelis whose parents are among the hostages held by Hamas in Gaza. (Lucy North/PA Images via Getty Images/File)

In November 2023, a weeklong Israel-Hamas cease-fire agreement saw 105 hostages freed from Gaza.

Palestinian terrorists are still holding 98 hostages in Gaza, 94 of whom were abducted during the Oct. 7, 2023, massacre. Thirty-six of the hostages have been confirmed dead.

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“I am disappointed that this agreement does not talk about all the hostages. It is unacceptable that the second phase is not defined in a way that shows when my son will be released from captivity,” Ruby Chen, the father of American-Israeli IDF Sgt. Itay Chen, told Fox News Digital.

Chen visited Qatar last week to meet with U.S. negotiators.

“We will continue the fight until all the hostages come out,” he said. “With the inauguration of President-elect Trump next week, my hope is that in his speech he will say, ‘Mr. Chen, I am able to get your son back.’”

hostages

From left, American hostages being held in Gaza: Edan Alexander, Sagui Dekel-Chen, Keith Siegel, Omer Neutra, Judi Weinstein Haggai, Gadi Haggai and Itay Chen (Ruby Chen’s son) (Fox News)

“My focus is on the second phase when my son will be released,” Yehuda Cohen, the father of IDF soldier Nimrod Cohen who was kidnapped by Hamas terrorists near Kibbutz Nirim on Oct. 7, 2023, told Fox News Digital. 

“He is one of the youngest and one of three living soldiers who were captured in uniform. I assume he will be one of the last to be released,” Cohen continued. “He would have been in captivity for about a year and a half then, and I don’t know what condition he is in physically or mentally. Our private fight to get him back to normal life will soon start.”

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WIFE OF US HOSTAGE KEITH SIEGEL PLEADS FOR HOLIDAY MIRACLE: ‘WE NEED TO GET THEM BACK’

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, left, meets with U.S. Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, left, meets with U.S. Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff. (Prime Minister’s Media Adviser)

The breakthrough in long-stalled negotiations came after the U.S. Middle East envoy, Steve Witkoff, met with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu over the weekend in Jerusalem. The two held a “tense” meeting, according to local media, with Witkoff having demanded significant concessions.

Trump warned on Monday that the failure to reach an agreement would have consequences.

“If they don’t get it done, there’s going to be a lot of trouble out there like they have never seen before,” he stated.

During Hamas’s terror invasion 467 days ago, the Bibas family, including mother Shiri, husband Yarden and their children, Ariel, 4, and 9-month-old baby Kfir, were taken by Hamas terrorists from Kibbutz Nir Oz.

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Relatives and friends of people killed or abducted by Hamas and taken into Gaza react to the cease-fire announcement as they take part in a demonstration in Tel Aviv, Israel, Wednesday, Jan. 15, 2025.

Relatives and friends of people killed or abducted by Hamas and taken into Gaza react to the cease-fire announcement as they take part in a demonstration in Tel Aviv, Israel, Wednesday, Jan. 15, 2025. (AP Photo/Ohad Zwigenberg)

“We hope they’ll come back alive and we can get them treated, to do the best for them to readjust. But we don’t know in what situation they will return. We are very afraid,” Jimmy Miller, Shiri Bibas’s cousin, told Fox News Digital.

“I hope for the best, but I don’t want to be disappointed if something bad happens. I try not to think about it too much before it really happens. We thought it would happen before. Saturday is Kfir’s [second] birthday. Maybe he can celebrate it with us even a few days later,” he added.

New York hostage vigil

A woman holds a poster of Israeli hostage Omer Neutra during a memorial vigil held in New York City on Nov. 1, 2023, for the people killed during Hamas’ Oct. 7, 2023, attack in Israel. (ANGELA WEISS/AFP via Getty Images)

The Hostages and Missing Families Forum Headquarters issued a statement, “We, the families of 98 hostages, welcome with overwhelming joy and relief the agreement to bring our loved ones home. We wish to express our profound gratitude to President-elect Trump, President Biden, both administrations, and the international mediators for making this possible. Since November 2023, we have been anxiously awaiting this moment, and now, after over 460 days of our family members being held in Hamas tunnels, we are closer than ever to reuniting with our loved ones.

“This is a significant step forward that brings us closer to seeing all hostages return – the living to rehabilitation, and the deceased for proper burial,” the statement continues. “However, deep anxiety and concerns accompany us regarding the possibility that the agreement might not be fully implemented, leaving hostages behind. We urgently call for swift arrangements to ensure all phases of the deal are carried out.”

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“We will not rest until we see the last hostage back home.”

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NATO Chief Mark Rutte calls for 'shift to a wartime mindset'

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NATO Chief Mark Rutte calls for 'shift to a wartime mindset'

NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte emphasized that NATO currently isn’t ready to meet security challenges and called for increased defence spending.

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NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte has called for an urgent “shift to a wartime mindset,” warning that the alliance’s members are not prepared enough for an increasing security threat posed by Russia.

In his first major speech since taking office in October, Rutte said, “To prevent war, we need to prepare for it. It’s time to shift to a wartime mindset, and this means we need to strengthen our defences even more by spending more on defence and producing more and better defence capabilities.”

Rutte highlighted that Moscow is preparing for a “long-term confrontation” with Ukraine and NATO, describing the current security landscape as the most perilous in his lifetime.

“We are not ready for what is coming our way in four to five years,” he cautioned, adding that NATO nations must “turbocharge” their defence spending to adapt to the new reality.

The comments come just weeks before US President-elect Donald Trump takes office. Trump has questioned America’s commitment to defending NATO allies, at one point arguing that NATO members should spend 5% of their GDP on defence — a suggestion that has been rebuked.

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Rutte expressed urgency ahead of NATO’s next summit in The Hague, which is set for just over five months.

He also noted what officials have warned is an increasingly present diverse security landscape with, “cyber-attacks, assassination attempts, acts of sabotage, and more,” carried out by Russia.

“We used to call this hybrid, but these are destabilisation actions and campaigns. Russia is hard at work to weaken our democracies and chip away at our freedom, and it is not alone—it has China, North Korea, and Iran by its side.”

Rutte concluded by supporting Ukraine and emphasising the critical importance of helping Kyiv shift the war’s trajectory. We all want the war to end, but above all, we want peace to last,” he stated.

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