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Trump shooting plays into Russia, China plans to divide US ahead of elections
The assassination attempt on presidential hopeful Donald Trump over the weekend grabbed global attention as leaders, diplomats and dignitaries alike expressed their shock over what many said was an attack on democracy.
Questions have mounted regarding the Secret Service’s security failures and conspiracy theories have already begun to circulate across social media platforms – chaos that security officials agree plays right into the hands of the U.S.’s chief adversaries.
“They always look for opportunities to exploit our vulnerabilities,” Dan Hoffman, former CIA Moscow station chief told Fox News Digital. “It’s our greatest strength, our democracy, but to them it’s also a vulnerability because it plays out for all of us to see.
“They’ll weaponize this against us,” he added in reference to the Saturday shooting that took place during a Trump rally in Pennsylvania.
TRUMP LEADS BIDEN IN BLUE STATE FOLLOWING ASSASSINATION ATTEMPT: POLL
Nations like Russia and China have long been known to employ soft-war tactics against the U.S. through disinformation campaigns, malware attacks and election interference – all of which are intended to deepen divisions and break down societal trust in Western institutions.
Hoffman said Russia will likely stoke distrust among agencies like Homeland Security, the Secret Service and the FBI by pushing conspiracy theories and playing in to people’s anger.
“They want to divide this country and make Democrats and Republicans hate each other,” he added. “They want us not to trust our democratic institutions.”
Rebekah Koffler, a former Defense Intelligence Agency intel officer specializing in Russian doctrine, echoed Hoffman’s warnings and explained that roughly a decade ago Moscow assessed the societal vulnerabilities mounting in the U.S. and has continued to act on it since.
“They saw signs of a society fracturing along various lines,” she said, pointing to political, religious and ethnic divisions persistent in the U.S.
Koffler explained that just as Washington has deemed Moscow a chief security concern, Russia has also declared the U.S. and the NATO alliance its “number one” security threat.
“The Russians decided to ‘help’ fracture our society and drive it to that point of social unrest and civil war,” she added. “And that’s what we saw, election interference and things of that nature.”
“The assassination attempt just confirmed to them that that is an achievable goal,” Koffler added.
Like Moscow, Beijing is also keeping an eye on the U.S. election and any potential unrest that may play into the Chinese Communist Party’s [CCP] narrative of countering democratic values.
Heino Klinck, former deputy assistant secretary of defense for East Asia and military attaché to China, pointed to the CCP’s immediate portrayal of the assassination attempt among its state-controlled media.
“They’re spinning this, and they are spinning it from the perspective of American democracy is chaotic,” he told Fox News Digital. “It is unsafe, it is violent, it is unstable – with the implication being for the Chinese populace, our system is much better.”
While Russia may look to utilize the apparent instability in the U.S. to further weaken American faith in democracy, China will attempt to use it for its geopolitical aims.
“The Chinese government will utilize this both for foreign audiences, as well as for the Chinese domestic consumption,” Klinck said. “The Chinese government tries to juxtapose itself as a partner for other countries… particularly in the global south.”
“I think what they are going to do is say that Beijing is a much more reliable, a more stable [partner] than the United States.”
NATO’S STOLTENBERG SIDESTEPS BIDEN, TRUMP SPAT, CHAMPIONS NATIONS HITTING SPENDING TARGETS
Klinck said the CCP’s messaging could be effective when employed against nations with authoritarian leanings.
The China expert said it is not just U.S. democracy that is under threat from attack and pointed to the 2022 assassination of former Japanese Prime Minster Shinzō Abe, who was shot while speaking at a political event, as well as the May shooting of Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico following a government meeting.
Recent reporting following the assassination attempt on Trump has suggested that there is growing concern that instability in the U.S. could lead to instability among other Western nations.
“The assassination attempt has been met with revulsion across the world and as an attack on American democracy. I do think there is tremendous concern about what has happened and a sense of real shock,” Nile Gardiner, director of the Heritage Foundation’s Margaret Thatcher Center for Freedom, told Fox News Digital.
But Gardiner also said he believes Trump’s reaction immediately following the shooting “is a demonstration that democracy in America will not be destroyed by the forces of terror.”
“Trump’s response will actually reassure America’s allies that democracy in the United States will not be defeated. It remains strong,” he added.
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ECR undecided ahead of von der Leyen's reelection vote
The European Commission president must gain the backing of the European Conservatives and Reformists group to secure her second term.
The debate over Ursula von der Leyen’s re-election as president of the European Commission has heated up across European capitals — and Rome in particular.
As things stand, Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni — who is also the president of the European Conservatives and Reformists Party (ECR) — remains undecided over whether to give von der Leyen her backing.
The commission chief held a 50-minute meeting with the ECR parliamentary group on Tuesday morning, at which Meloni’s Brothers of Italy reportedly requested a radical change in the EU’s approach to the Green Deal.
No official statement was issued at the end of the meeting, meaning that for now, the ECR’s stance on von der Leyen’s reelection is not clear.
According to Gaetano Quagliariello, Head of the School of Government at the Luiss University in Rome, von der Leyen needs the support of Meloni’s Brothers of Italy party if she is to continue in post.
“I think Italy’s PM is able to influence at least part of the ECR,” Quagliariello said — adding that given Hungary’s Viktor Orbán and Spanish party Vox have left the group, Meloni will find it easier to convince those who remain should she decide to give von der Leyen her support.
Meloni seeks top commissioner job for Italy
As far as Meloni is concerned, a key bone of contention in the ongoing negotiations is the appointment of an Italian commissioner to a sufficiently prominent role.
Speaking at the recent NATO summit in Washington, Meloni — who in June abstained from the vote to back von der Leyen’s reelection — stated that she wants Italy’s prominence in the EU to be recognised and that she intends to secure a top spot for Rome in the EU Commission.
Should Meloni and the ECR decline to back von der Leyen, the implications could be serious.
According to Antonio Parenti, the European Commission representative in Italy, given the difficult times that lie ahead, the vote must ensure Europe doesn’t plunge into a political crisis.
“Both Italy and other EU countries have to ensure this vote allows EU institutions to be fully operational,” Parenti said. “Let’s not forget that the historic moment we face is very volatile.”
“We have a war on our doorstep, and even what happened in the US a few days ago makes us understand we are not going through an easy time.”
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