Washington
Tale of the Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Washington
LOUISVILLE, Ky. – Louisville (8-4, 5-3 ACC) is set to face Washington (6-6, 4-5 Big Ten) in the Sun Bowl on Tuesday, Dec. 31 at 2:00 p.m. EST at Sun Bowl Stadium in El Paso, Texas. Here’s how the Cardinals stack up against the Huskies:
*Mobile users can scroll left and right on the tables below*
|
Washington |
Louisville |
|
|---|---|---|
|
AP/USAT |
NR/NR |
RV/RV |
|
CFP |
NR |
NR |
|
SOS |
12th |
28th |
|
SOR |
46th |
25th |
|
SP+ |
61st |
18th |
|
FPI |
45th |
12th |
|
Sagarin |
47th |
17th |
|
Kelley Ford |
49th |
13th |
|
CFB Insiders |
41st |
11th |
|
Washington |
Louisville |
|
|---|---|---|
|
Total Offense |
68th (383.7) |
10th (455.8) |
|
Yards Per Play |
52nd (5.96) |
3rd (6.88) |
|
Scoring Offense |
109th (22.5) |
9th (36.6) |
|
Passing Yards |
39th (252.3) |
20th (272.4) |
|
Yards Per Completion |
113th (10.97) |
37th (12.82) |
|
Rushing Yards |
93rd (131.3) |
37th (183.3) |
|
Yards Per Rush Attempt |
85th (4.07) |
9th (5.60) |
|
First Downs Gained |
76th (248) |
57th (261) |
|
3rd Down Con. % |
102nd (36.4%) |
74th (39.7%) |
|
4th Down Con. % |
101st (45.8%) |
(116th (40.0%) |
|
Red Zone Con. % |
85th (82.2%) |
95th (80.8%) |
|
Turnovers Lost |
19th (11) |
19th (11) |
|
Interceptions Thrown |
26th (7) |
10th (6) |
|
Fumbles Lost |
15th (4) |
30th (5) |
|
Tackles for Loss Allowed |
87th (5.83) |
19th (4.17) |
|
Sacks Allowed |
111th (2.83) |
23rd (1.25) |
|
Avg. Time of Possession |
66th (30:10) |
73rd (29:57) |
Key: National Rank out of 134 FBS Teams (Value)
|
Washington |
Louisville |
|
|---|---|---|
|
Total Defense |
27th (324.8) |
58th (360.1) |
|
Yards Allowed Per Play |
28th (5.00) |
49th (5.28) |
|
Scoring Defense |
45th (22.8) |
52nd (23.3) |
|
Passing Yards Allowed |
5th (166.8) |
80th (224.7) |
|
Rushing Yards Allowed |
83rd (158.1) |
43rd (135.4) |
|
First Downs Allowed |
69th (241) |
40th (229) |
|
3rd Down Defensive % |
106th (43.9%) |
39th (35.5%) |
|
4th Down Defensive % |
91st (57.1%) |
112th (64.5%) |
|
Red Zone Defensive % |
53rd (81.0%) |
63rd (81.8%) |
|
Turnovers Gained |
91st (14) |
69th (16) |
|
Interceptions Caught |
93rd (8) |
75th (9) |
|
Fumbles Recovered |
69th (6) |
49th (7) |
|
TFL Per Game |
132nd (3.6) |
39th (6.4) |
|
Sacks Per Game |
90th (1.67) |
40th (2.42) |
Key: National Rank out of 134 FBS Teams (Value)
|
Washington |
Louisville |
|
|---|---|---|
|
Net Punting |
131st (34.49) |
109th (36.74) |
|
Avg. Kickoff Return |
30th (22.42) |
60th (20.53) |
|
Avg. Kickoff Return Def. |
92nd (21.83) |
24th (17.42) |
|
Avg. Punt Return |
74th (7.27) |
106th (5.13) |
|
Avg. Punt Return Def. |
126th (14.94) |
31st (5.00) |
|
Field Goal Attempts |
18-26 |
18-25 |
|
PAT |
26-26 |
55-55 |
Key: National Rank out of 134 FBS Teams (Value)
– FPI Prediction: Per ESPN’s Football Power Index, the Cardinals have a 74.8 percent chance to win against the Huskies. Louisville has an FPI rating of 16.4 (12th overall), whereas Washington has an FPI rating of 5.1 (45th overall).
– SP+ Prediction: Per Bill Connelly’s SP+ model, the Cardinals have a 76.89 percent chance to take down the Huskies. Louisville has an SP+ rating of 15.5 (18th overall), whereas Washington has an SP+ rating of 3.0 (61st overall).
– Kelley Ford Prediction: Per the Kelley Ford ratings, the Cardinals have a 73 percent chance to defeat the Huskies. Louisville has a KFord rating of 16.5 (14th overall), whereas Washington has a KFord rating of 5.1 (48th overall).
– College Football Insiders Prediction: Per College Football Insiders’ IPR metric, the Cardinals have a 71.99 percent chance to take down the Huskies. Louisville has an IPR rating of 65.5 (11th overall), whereas Washington has an IPR rating of 53.5 (41st overall).
– Personal Prediction: Louisville 28, Washington 24
(Photo via Jordan Prather – Imagn Images)
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