The Seattle Mariners (39-42) head to Petco Park Monday to begin a 2-game interleague sequence with the San Diego Padres (47-34) at 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s traces across the Mariners vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Seattle is 7-3 straight up (SU) within the final 10 video games, which incorporates 3 consecutive sequence wins over the Los Angeles Angels, Baltimore Orioles and Oakland Athletics.
San Diego prevented a 4-game sweep by the Los Angeles Dodgers with a 4-1 win Sunday, however is simply 3-7 SU within the final 10.
The Padres beat the Mariners in final yr’s season sequence 3-0 and had a plus-24 run differential in these conferences.
Mariners at Padres projected starters
RHP Chris Flexen vs. LHP Sean Manaea
Flexen is 4-8 with a 4.32 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 6.3 Okay/9 in 83 1/3 IP over 15 begins.
Final begin: Received 9-3 Wednesday at residence vs. the Orioles with 6 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 2 BB and three Okay.
2022 vs. the Padres: One begin, a 16-1 loss in San Diego Could 21 with 1 2/3 IP, 8 ER, 10 H, 2 HR, 1 BB and 1 Okay.
Manaea is 3-3 with a 3.92 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 9.4 Okay/9 in 85 IP over 14 begins.
Final begin: No-decision in San Diego’s 7-6 loss on the Arizona Diamondbacks Tuesday with 6 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 3 BB and seven Okay.
2021 vs. the Mariners: 2-1 with a 2.14 ERA (21 IP, 5 ER), 1.00 WHIP, 1 HR and 10.3 Okay/9 in 3 begins.
Mariners at Padres odds and contours
Odds offered by Tipico Sportsbook; entry USA TODAY Sports activities Scores and Sports activities Betting Odds hub for a full listing. Traces final up to date at 9:41 a.m. ET.
Cash line (ML): Mariners +155 (wager $100 to win $155) | Padres -190 (wager $190 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/In opposition to the unfold (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-140) | Padres -1.5 (+115)
Over/Underneath (O/U): 7.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)
Unique USA TODAY Community supply: Deposit $10 or extra, get $200 in on the spot wager credit at Tipico Sportsbook! New buyer supply in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Phrases and Situations. Place your authorized, on-line sports activities bets at Tipico. Let’s make this attention-grabbing. Guess now!
Mariners at Padres picks and predictions
Prediction
Mariners 4, Padres 2
Cash line
LEAN MARINERS (+155) solely as a result of their RL has extra worth.
Nonetheless, Seattle’s lineup has been much more productive on the plate than the Padres (-190) not too long ago. The Mariners outrank the Padres in a number of superior hitting classes over the previous two weeks equivalent to WAR (2.5-0.6), wRC+ (117-84), wOBA (.324-.283) and ISO (.182-.122), per FanGraphs.
Additionally, I’d prefer to fade the one-way motion headed towards San Diego since greater than 80% of the motion is on the Padres (in line with Pregame.com) and we all know 8 of 10 sports activities bettors don’t beat the Home.
Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For many years, BHQ has been serving to gamers identical to you win! Use the couple code SBW22 for 20% OFF full-season subscription. New buyer supply; expires 8/31/2022. Subscribe at present and begin successful!
Run line/In opposition to the unfold
RISK 1 unit on the MARINERS +1.5 (-140) as an alternative of betting to win 1 unit since it is a expensive RL.
However, the Padres are simply 10-20 RL as residence favorites whereas the Mariners are 27-19 RL as underdogs and the presumed sharp facet of the market is backing Seattle.
Almost 70% of the money is on the Mariners +1.5 (-140), however greater than 80% of the bets positioned are on the Padres -1.5 (+115), per Pregame.com. Usually, it’s smart to comply with the cash when it’s counter to the general public since skilled bettors put up much more dough than your common Joe.
In case your normal unit is $100 then “FLAT-BET” that on the MARINERS +1.5 (-140) to earn a $71.43 revenue as an alternative of betting $140 to win $100.
Over/Underneath
BET solely a half-unit on the UNDER 7.5 (-102) as a result of it is a sharp quantity and we’d get a greater value by ready nearer to the first pitch.
That mentioned, the Mariners are 18-26-2 O/U as underdogs and 4-11 O/U in Flexen’s 15 begins regardless of his underwhelming pitching stats.
Additionally, Seattle is 0-4 O/U within the final 4 video games vs. groups with a successful file and 0-4-1 O/U within the final video games vs. a left-handed starter.
Lastly, the Padres are 12-17-1 O/U as residence favorites and Petco Park is final in park issue — aka it’s probably the most pitch-friendly venue within the majors.
Guess legally on-line with a trusted associate: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook associate in CO, NJ and shortly IA. Guess now!
When you’re on the lookout for extra sports activities betting picks and ideas, entry all of our content material at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or check out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.
Comply with Geoff Clark on Twitter. Comply with SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Fb.
Further MLB protection:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your supply for each MLB lineup
Gannett could earn income from Tipico for viewers referrals to betting providers. Tipico has no affect over nor are any such revenues in any manner depending on or linked to the newsrooms or information protection. See Tipico.com for Phrases and Situations. 21+ solely. Playing drawback? Name 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).