The Los Angeles Angels (34-40) host the Seattle Mariners (34-39) Sunday at Angel Stadium for his or her 3-game collection finale. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s traces across the Mariners vs. Angels odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Seattle is on a 5-game successful streak, which incorporates the primary 2 video games of this collection with the Mariners outscoring the Angels 9-6.
L.A. has misplaced 4 of its final 5 video games however took 4 of 5 from the Mariners in Seattle final week.
The Angels lead the season collection with the Mariners 4-3 and have a plus-2 run differential in these conferences.
Mariners at Angels projected starters
LHP Marco Gonzales vs. LHP José Suarez
Gonzales is 4-7 with a 3.33 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 5.0 Ok/9 in 75 2/3 IP over 14 begins.
Final begin: Win, 8-2, Tuesday on the Oakland Athletics with 7 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 1 HR, 1 BB and a couple of Ok.
2021 vs. the Angels: 1-1 with a 2.89 ERA (18 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 13 H, 3 HR, 6 BB and 13 Ok in 3 begins.
Suarez is 0-2 with a 5.00 ERA, 1.82 WHIP, 5.7 BB/9 and eight.7 Ok/9 in 27 IP over 6 begins and 1 reduction look.
Final begin: No-decision in L.A.’s 3-0 win in Seattle June 18 with 4 1/3-scoreless IP, 4 H, 3 BB and seven Ok.
2021 vs. the Mariners: 2-0 with a 3.57 ERA (17 2/3 IP, 7 ER), 14 H, 1 HR, 6 BB and 13 Ok in 3 begins and 1 reduction look.
Mariners at Angels odds and features
Odds offered by Tipico Sportsbook; entry USA TODAY Sports activities Scores and Sports activities Betting Odds hub for a full listing. Strains final up to date at 10:15 a.m. ET.
Cash line (ML): Mariners +115 (guess $100 to win $115) | Angels -140 (guess $140 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Towards the unfold (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-175) | Angels -1.5 (+140)
Over/Beneath (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)
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Mariners at Angels picks and predictions
Prediction
Mariners 6, Angels 4
Cash line
BET 1 unit on the MARINERS (+115) as a result of they’ve a 3-phase edge over the Angels (-140) in beginning and reduction pitching and hitting, and there’s a line freeze within the betting market.
Gonzales’ numbers vs. the Angels final season have been significantly better than Suarez’s vs. the Mariners. Seattle’s bullpen ranks forward of L.A.’s in xFIP (3.98-3.75), Ok/BB charge (3.46-2.86), hard-hit charge, contact charge and swinging-strike charge, in line with FanGraphs.
Additionally, Seattle’s lineup outperforms L.A.’s vs. left-handed pitching in runs per 9 (3.76-3.61), wRC+ (104-93), wOBA (.305-.297) and BB/Ok charge (0.53-0.38), per FanGraphs.
Lastly, greater than 90% of the motion is on the Angels (per Pregame.com), however their ML hasn’t budged off the opener. Widespread sense suggests oddsmakers would modify the road in line with the market motion so this “line freeze” may very well be the sportsbooks daring bettors to take the Angels.
BET the MARINERS (+115).
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Run line/Towards the unfold
PASS.
You might argue there’s worth in Seattle’s alternate RL, however I’m staying away because the Mariners are simply 10-18 RL as favorites. The Angels are 7-2 RL as dwelling underdogs as properly.
Over/Beneath
LEAN OVER 9.5 (+105) because the complete has been steamed up from a 9-run opener by the market, Angel Stadium is extra hitter-friendly and the climate situations forecasted are favorable.
Angel Stadium is ninth in park issue and temperatures are projected to be within the low-90s with a light-weight breeze blowing out to right-center area.
Nonetheless, I can not totally get there on the Over because it’s nearly “too standard”, L.A. is 10-18-3 O/U as dwelling favorites, and Seattle’s ML is my favourite look on this sport.
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