Seattle, WA
Seahawks have been one of the most unlucky teams in the NFL
The Seattle Seahawks are 8-5, leading the NFC West, and they’re also one of the unluckiest teams in the NFL.
NFL data analyst Tom Bliss has been charting the net win probability added through “luck” plays all season. This includes opposition dropped interceptions (as in, passes thrown by a quarterback that were dropped by the other team), opposition dropped passes, opposition field goals and extra points, and fumble recoveries by either team.
As of Week 14, the Seahawks rank 29th in favorable luck.
Luck dashboard thru week 14.
Most impactful plays:
– TEN dropped pass in end zone on 4th down with 1:15 left in Q4 (+61.6% for JAX)
– CAR dropped pass with 0:52 left in Q4 (+31.2% for PHI)
– MIA made 52-yd FG with 0:12 left in Q4 (-22.4% for NYJ) pic.twitter.com/vVLmngfIeP— Tom Bliss (@DataWithBliss) December 10, 2024
This is a flip from last season, when the Seahawks were near the top of the luck charts.
What’s been hurting the Seahawks the most? Turnover luck. Geno Smith has thrown 12 interceptions, but he’s had a few tipped passes go into the arms of defensive players. If you look at the Turnover Worthy Plays on PFF, Geno’s TWP% is just 2.1%, so passes deemed “interceptable” have basically all been picked. Can you count how many dropped would-be interceptions Smith has had this year? It can’t be a high number.
Dropped passes and missed field goals/extra points have favored the Seahawks, but nothing has been more damaging to Seattle than fumble luck. They’ve forced 12 fumbles and only recovered four while losing seven of their own fumbles. Several of the fumbles recovered on offense were wayward Connor Williams snaps or Geno Smith dropping the ball and immediately picking it up.
One of the biggest moments against the Seahawks was Josh Allen’s kicked-forward fumble in Week 8, turning what would’ve been a turnover and another Seattle possession inside Buffalo territory into an eventual Bills touchdown.
Luck dashboard thru week 8.
Most impactful plays:
– Dropped interception by BAL with 1:08 in Q4 (+31.7% for CLE)
– Dropped pass by BAL with 9:30 left in Q4 (+19.8% for CLE)
– BUF recovers own fumble in Q2 vs SEA (+14.5% for BUF, -14.5% for SEA) pic.twitter.com/4iOPDRKJ9B— Tom Bliss (@DataWithBliss) October 29, 2024
Green Bay has only lost four fumbles on the season, although one came against the Detroit Lions last week from Christian Watson. However, the opportunistic Packers defense has recovered 12 fumbles, the second-most in the NFL.
I’m of the belief that ball security is generally not luck. Fumble recoveries are overwhelmingly luck, and the Seahawks have not been able to be on the plus side of recovering their own fumbles or getting their opposition’s.
If that changes in Seattle’s favor over the past few weeks, perhaps that’ll be a key difference between a playoff berth and sitting home after Week 18.
Seattle, WA
Seeking a House in Seattle for About $600,000
Ted Land had almost given up on being a homeowner.
When he moved to the Pacific Northwest in 2014, he was an award-winning television journalist, having lived and reported in Indiana and Alaska before arriving in Seattle to work for a local station, King 5. At first, he rented a studio apartment in the Capitol Hill neighborhood.
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“It’s very walkable, with lots of transit, very L.G.B.T. friendly, great restaurants, nightlife, parks,” said Mr. Land, 40. “It has everything I like in a neighborhood.”
His journalism career had been fraught with unexpected transitions, so it didn’t seem sensible to buy a home. “I thought I was going to move up and be a reporter in New York City or L.A. or D.C.,” he said. “I had my sights set on that. It really wasn’t even on my mind. Buying a house seemed so out of reach for me.”
As the years passed and he bounced from rental to rental, the hustle of TV news began to wear him out. Finally, in 2022, he grabbed an opportunity to move into corporate communications. With that choice came a higher income and a more stable future in Seattle with expanded living options.
“I kept signing lease after lease, not wanting to confront the daunting process of purchasing, and increasingly frustrated with the fact that I didn’t lock in a low interest rate during Covid like so many of my peers did,” Mr. Land said.
He had up to about $620,000 to spend, but as a single-income buyer, he was vexed by the down payment. “Everyone says that you’ve got to put down 20 percent. It’s like, ‘Where am I going to get $100,000? Does anyone know? Can you please tell me that?’”
With help from his broker, Mark Chavez of Windermere Real Estate, Mr. Land arranged to structure a purchase with 10 percent down using a mortgage insurance that costs him less than $100 per month, with his payments reducing in size until they total 20 percent of the home price. “I mean, $50,000 is a lot easier to save for than $100,000,” he said.
But even with that cushion, options were limited in pricey Seattle, especially for the kind of home he wanted. “Apartments are noisy places,” Mr. Land said. “They just are. And that kind of gets old after a while. I was looking for something a little quieter where I’m not hearing neighbors all the time.”
Most of Mr. Chavez’s clients want single-family homes, the broker said, but “it’s a bigger expense and there’s more to take care of, like the landscape. It used to be that to get into a condo, the entry point was more affordable. However, with many homeowner associations underfunded for future expenses, it is becoming more challenging to buy into a condominium.”
The middle ground? Townhouses. But every square foot needed to count, and location was critical. Mr. Land loved Capitol Hill, but felt he couldn’t afford to buy there. “I just really like being in the central part of the city,” he said. “The more I looked, the more I realized that walkability is a really important attribute for me.”
Find out what happened next by answering these two questions:
Seattle, WA
Huard: Rams’ trade a ‘direct’ response to Seattle Seahawks
One of the Seattle Seahawks’ biggest rivals delivered the first big shockwaves of the 2026 offseason.
Why Salk ‘blanched’ at a Seahawks Maxx Crosby trade proposal
Los Angeles Rams have agreed to a deal that would send four draft picks to the Kansas City Chiefs in exchange for All-Pro cornerback and former UW Huskies standout Trent McDuffie, according to a report from ESPN’s Adam Schefter on Wednesday morning.
McDuffie, who is entering the final season of his rookie contract, is expected to sign a long-term extension with the Rams, according to Schefter.
Shortly after the news broke, former NFL quarterback Brock Huard gave his reaction on Seattle Sports’ Brock and Salk.
“This feels like a direct move to match up with JSN and the Seahawks,” Huard said.
Widely considered to be the two best teams in the NFL this past season, the Seahawks and Rams squared off in three epic battles, capped by Seattle’s 31-27 win over Los Angeles in the NFC Championship.
Over those three games, the Rams’ shaky secondary struggled to contain NFL receiving leader and AP Offensive Player of the Year Jaxon Smith-Njigba. The Seahawks star wideout totaled 27 catches for 354 yards and two touchdowns across those three matchups, including 10 catches for 153 yards and a TD in the NFC title game.
Smith-Njigba also had a career-high 180 receiving yards and two touchdowns in an overtime loss to the Rams in 2024.
“It’s kind of like an old NBA world,” Huard said. “Like, alright, we know we’re gonna have to deal with Jordan or we’re gonna have to deal with Pippen or we’re gonna have to deal with Bird. Like, how do we match up? And (the Rams) know that that was the one area – in their back seven – that could not match up.”
Listen to the full Brock and Salk conversation at this link or in the audio player in the middle of this story. Tune into Brock and Salk weekdays from 6-10 a.m. or find the podcast on the Seattle Sports app.
Seattle Seahawks offseason coverage
• What Brock Huard makes of Seahawks’ Ken Walker situation
• A possible replacement if Seahawks don’t re-sign Walker
• Huard: Jobe is most likely free agent the Seattle Seahawks re-sign
• Report: Seattle Seahawks not tendering restricted FA Jake Bobo
• The Seattle Seahawks’ risks with Walker set to be free agent
Seattle, WA
Seattle leaders mark 100 days until FIFA World Cup with artwork, security plans
The countdown to the FIFA World Cup hit a milestone Tuesday, approximately 100 days from the start of the global soccer tournament, which is being played this time in the U.S., Canada and Mexico.
Seattle is one of 16 host cities for the tournament, with the first game at Lumen Field scheduled for June 15.
Seattle-area hosts could net $3,800 as Airbnb eyes home sharing for FIFA World Cup fans
City leaders at a press conference on Tuesday described specific changes underway to welcome an estimated 750,000 people during the six matches, from adding new artwork in downtown to bolstering security.
“Our aim is actually to revitalize, reinvigorate, rejuvenate the downtown core,” Seattle World Cup Organizing Committee CEO Peter Tomozawa stated.
People who take a trip through downtown Seattle will see that part of that work has started in anticipation of the World Cup, with 53 colorful paintings on the columns of the monorail, showcasing the flags of the countries of the competing teams.
“In just 100 days, people will come back to Seattle and will be using the system to travel back and forth to various events related to [the] FIFA World Cup,” Seattle Monorail Services Megan Ching said.
“The visitors who are coming here for the World Cup are already booking their trips: where to stay, how to get around and what to explore,” added Jorge Gotuzzo with Visit Seattle.
Darkalinos restaurant hopes the events planned for Pioneer Square will convince new customers to return beyond the tournament.
“The summer season is what keeps us going,” General Manager Crystal Hernandez told KOMO News. “We’re going to have a beer garden in the plaza. There will be some live music outside.”
Behind the scenes, work continues to plan for crowd control and security. That means round table meetings and partnerships at the international, federal, state and local levels.
Iran’s participation in Seattle World Cup match up in the air following US strikes
“We’ve been working on the security plan for over three years,” Tomozawa explained. “We hired former SPD Chief John Diaz to design the plan and I have to say this is one of our highest priorities, for sure.”
Downtown Seattle Association President and CEO Jon Scholes adds that businesses are eager to build on the success of the recent Seahawks Super Bowl parade. He said there will be watch parties for the matches at Westlake, Pacific Place and along the waterfront.
“Seattle’s a big event town, and we can do it well and produce a lot of joy for hundreds of thousands of people,” Scholes stated.
The World Cup Organizing Committee mentioned Seattle’s walkability makes it a great location for the tournament. It’s why they also announced a new walking path to connect multiple neighborhoods that will stay beyond the summer.
Seattle to host 4 free FIFA World Cup 2026 fan celebration venues starting June 11
It’s called the Unity Loop, runs about four-and-a-quarter miles and will connect the stadiums, waterfront, Seattle Center, Westlake and the CID, but no specifics were provided.
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