The Seattle Mariners (19-27) host the American League West co-tenant Houston Astros (27-19) Saturday for the center recreation of their 3-game collection at T-Cellular Park. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s strains across the Astros vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season collection: Houston leads 4-3, however Seattle has a plus-4 run differential.
The Mariners gained Friday’s opener 6-1. They jumped out to a fast 4-0 lead due to a pair of 1st-inning, 2-run homers from CF Julio Rodriguez and DH Kyle Lewis – each in opposition to Astros SP Justin Verlander.
Astros at Mariners projected starters
RHP Jose Urquidy vs. RHP Logan Gilbert
Urquidy is 4-1 with a 4.24 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, 1.1 BB/9 and 6.7 Okay/9 in 40 1/3 IP over 8 begins.
- Final begin: 5-2 house win vs. the Texas Rangers Sunday with 6 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 1 HR, 1 BB and 10 Okay.
- 2022 vs. the Mariners: One begin, a 7-2 loss at Seattle April 17 with 4 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 1 HR, 1 BB and a pair of Okay.
Gilbert is 4-2 with a 2.60 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.5 Okay/9 in 52 IP over 9 begins.
- Final begin: No-decision in Seattle’s 8-4 loss on the Boston Purple Sox Sunday with 7 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 2 HR, 2 BB and 4 Okay.
- 2021 vs. the Astros: 0-1 with a 7.07 ERA (14 IP, 11 ER), 18 H, 3 HR, 2 BB and 14 Okay throughout 3 begins.
Astros at Mariners odds and contours
Odds supplied by Tipico Sportsbook; entry USA TODAY Sports activities Scores and Sports activities Betting Odds hub for a full checklist. Strains final up to date at 4:45 p.m. ET.
- Cash line (ML): Astros -130 (guess $130 to win $100) | Mariners +105 (guess $100 to win $105)
- Run line (RL)/Towards the unfold (ATS): Astros -1.5 (+133) | Mariners +1.5 (-165)
- Over/Beneath (O/U): 7.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
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Astros at Mariners picks and predictions
Prediction
Mariners 4, Astros 2
Cash line
BET MARINERS (+105).
There’s reverse-line motion heading towards Seattle within the betting market and Urquidy’s pitching peripherals are ugly and his effectiveness declines considerably on the highway.
Urquidy’s expected-batting common, wOBA and slugging proportion charges are within the sixth percentile or worse, per Statcast. Urquidy has a 6.55 highway ERA (1.47 ERA at house) and 1.64 highway WHIP (1.15 WHIP at house). The Astros are 1-3 in Urquidy’s 4 profession begins vs. the Mariners.
Additionally, roughly 90% of the cash is on the Astros, per Pregame.com, however Houston’s ML climbed from the -125 opener. That is suspicious as a result of widespread sense tells us that the oddsmakers would transfer the strains based on the market motion.
BET 1 unit on the MARINERS (+105).
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Run line/Towards the unfold
PASS.
Seattle +1.5 (-165) is slightly too expensive. Nonetheless, I wouldn’t hate parlaying Seattle’s RL with one other equally priced line for a greater payout. The Mariners are 5-2 RL as house underdogs and the Astros are 8-11 RL as highway favorites.
Over/Beneath
LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-108).
T-Cellular Park is a historically pitcher-friendly venue and the Beneath is 5-2 within the final 7 head-to-head conferences in Seattle. Additionally, Houston is 9-28 O/U as a favourite.
It’s solely a LEAN to the UNDER 7.5 (-108) as a result of each lineups rank within the high 10 of a number of advanced-hitting metrics vs. right-handed pitching and the Astros are 4-0 O/U in Urquidy’s final 4 highway begins.
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