San Francisco, CA
Los Angeles Rams vs. San Francisco 49ers Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 1-7-2024
The San Francisco 49ers will host the Los Angeles Rams on Sunday at Levi’s Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:25 p.m. PT.
The 49ers are three-point spread favorites and the game total is 42.5 points.
Los Angeles (9-7 SU, 9-6-1 ATS, and 8-8 O/U) beat the New York Giants 26-25 last weekend. It is currently the sixth seed in the NFC playoff picture and has clinched a playoff spot.
San Francisco (12-4 SU, 9-7 ATS, and 8-7-1 O/U) beat Washington 27-10 last Sunday. It is the top seed in the NFC heading into Week 18 and will be the No. 1 seed throughout the playoffs.
The Niners beat the Rams 30-23 on September 17. Los Angeles controlled the time of possession but QB Matthew Stafford’s two turnovers were costly. San Francisco rushed for 159 yards on 28 carries (5.7 YPC) and never coughed up the football, allowing it to overcome poor execution on third down (2-for-9).
Injury Report
Los Angeles: DB Shaun Jolly, QB Matt Stafford, WR Cooper Kupp, RB Kyren Williams, TE Tyler Higbee, and DT Aaron Donald are out. DB Duke Shelley, DB Tre’vius Tomlinson, and OL Alaric Jackson are questionable.
San Francisco: DL Kalia Davis, RB Christian McCaffrey, and QB Brock Purdy are out. WR Jauan Jennings is probable, and RB Elijah Mitchell, WR Danny Gray, DL Arik Armstead, TE Ross Dwelley, OL Jaylon Moore, and S Ji’ayir Brown are questionable.
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LA will start Carson Wentz on Sunday
Los Angeles has won three straight games and six of its last seven overall. Will it sustain its momentum in the playoffs?
The Rams average 23.9 points (8th) and 365.6 total yards (7th), including 244.6 passing yards (8th) and 121.0 rushing yards (10th). They convert 40.7 percent of their third-down attempts (12th) and scored touchdowns on 61.5 percent of their red zone trips (8th).
The Rams give up 22.3 points per game (19th) and its opponents average 340.3 total yards (19th), including 234.6 passing yards (24th) and 105.7 rushing yards (12th). It has accumulated 38 sacks and 10 interceptions this season. Los Angeles’ opponents convert 38.0 percent of their third downs (15th) and find the end zone on 51.1 percent of their red zone trips (8th).
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SF will turn to Sam Darnold in Week 18
San Francisco is the class of the NFC this season, but can it take it a step further than last year by reaching the Super Bowl?
The Niners score 29.4 points per game (4th) and average 404.6 total yards (2nd), including 263.1 passing yards (2nd) and 141.5 rushing yards (3rd). They convert 47.3 percent of their third-down attempts (4th) and score touchdowns on 65.6 percent of their red zone trips (1st).
San Francisco surrenders 17.3 points (2nd) and 306.8 total yards (7th) per game, including 218.3 passing yards (15th) and 88.5 rushing yards (3rd). It has 46 sacks and 21 interceptions this season. The 49ers’ opponents convert 39.5 percent of their third downs (21st) and find the end zone on 51.2 percent of their visits to the red zone (9th).
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Best Bets for this Game
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This Sunday’s Rams-Niners game will be meaningless for the Niners, which is why we’re going to see Carson Wentz battle Sam Darnold. No, we haven’t time-traveled back to 2019! With these teams potentially lined up to see each other in the playoffs, don’t expect either coaching staff to show their cards, so to speak. In other words, vanilla offensive play calling is likely.
That said, LA has more to play for on Sunday. The Niners have already locked up the top seed in the NFC and the Rams want to avoid falling to the seventh seed, which would likely pit them against the Dallas Cowboys in the Wild Card round. With Christian McCaffrey and a slew of other 49ers starters sitting out, Los Angeles has the upper hand. SF’s conservative approach will lead to a Rams win.
Prediction: Los Angeles ML
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I expect there to be more scoring than others anticipate in Sunday’s Rams-Niners game. While not the most attractive matchup, Wentz vs. Darnold pits two experienced ex-starting quarterbacks eager to prove they can still sling the pigskin. While the play-calling will be vanilla, these former first-round draft picks will give it their all.
Darnold should have enough success against the Rams’ pass defense (24th in passing yards allowed) to keep the score close. San Francisco doesn’t have its full arsenal of playmakers available for Sunday’s California clash, but Los Angeles is still making Puka Nacua available to play with two rookie receiving records within his grasp. No, this won’t be an offensive clinic, but I expect both starting QBs to take care of the football. Wentz and Darnold have been through the wringer, so they will aim to please, but they won’t be super overeager, either. If anything, expect both to play loose and have some fun out there.
Prediction: Over 42.5