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Detroit Lions vs. San Francisco 49ers Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 1-28-2024

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Detroit Lions vs. San Francisco 49ers Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 1-28-2024


The Detroit Lions will play the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday at Levi’s Stadium in the NFC Championship Game. Kickoff between the Super Bowl contenders is at 6:30 p.m. ET.

Detroit (14-5 SU, 13-6 ATS, and 12-7 O/U) beat Tampa Bay 31-23 last weekend. The Lions were outgained but won the turnover and time of possession battles. Detroit is 6-3 SU and 7-2 ATS on the road.

San Francisco (13-5 SU, 9-9 ATS, and 9-8-1 O/U) beat Green Bay 24-21 last weekend. The 49ers narrowly outgained the Packers but won the turnover battle and converted 10 of their 16 third-down attempts. SF is 6-3 SU and 3-6 ATS at home.

The 49ers are seven-point spread favorites and the game total is 51.5 points.

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Injury Report

Lions: TE James Mitchell, CB Jerry Jacobs, and G Jonah Jackson are out. WR Kalif Raymond (knee) is questionable and C Frank Ragnow (knee) is probable.

49ers: TE Ross Dwelley, WR Danny Gray, and DL Clelin Ferrell are out. WR Deebo Samuel (shoulder) is questionable.

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Is Detroit America’s Team?

The Lions earned a trip to the NFC title game with an impressive string of victories. They were blessed by Detroit faithful and adopted as America’s underdog this season, winning with toughness and talent. Will they finish the job by defeating the frontrunner 49ers?

Detroit scores 27.1 points per game (5th) and averages 394.8 total yards (3rd), including 258.9 passing yards (2nd) and 135.9 rushing yards (5th). It converts 41.3 percent of its third-down attempts (9th) and scores a touchdown on 66.2 percent of its red zone trips (2nd).

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The Lions give up 23.2 points (23rd) and 336.1 total yards (19th) per game, including 247.4 passing yards (27th) and 88.8 rushing yards (2nd). They accumulated 40 sacks and 12 interceptions during the regular season. Detroit’s opponents convert 36.7 percent of their third-down attempts (10th) and find the end zone on 64.4 percent of their visits to the red zone (29th).

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The 49ers are heavy favorites for a reason

The Niners found a way to the NFC Championship without starting a top draft pick at quarterback, relying instead on “Mr. Irrelevant.” QB Brock Purdy’s unexpected rise to stardom aside, San Francisco is a veteran squad with star talent all over the field. Has it gone as far as it can without an elite signal-caller, though?

San Francisco scores 28.9 points per game (3rd) and averages 398.4 total yards (2nd), including 257.9 passing yards (4th) and 140.5 rushing yards (3rd). It converts 48.7 percent of its third downs (3rd) and finds the end zone on 67.6 percent of its visits to the red zone (1st).

The Niners surrender 17.5 points (3rd) and 303.9 total yards (8th) per game, including 214.2 passing yards (14th) and 89.7 rushing yards (3rd). They accumulated 48 sacks and 22 interceptions during the regular season. San Francisco’s opponents convert 41.6 percent of their third-down attempts (27th) and score a touchdown on 53.0 percent of their red zone trips (12th).

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Best Bets for this Game


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Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:


The Lions’ offense won’t be up to the task, forcing them to leave their Super Bowl dreams on the tarmac on Sunday night. The visitors have not fared as well outdoors this season, averaging 17.8 points in open-air stadiums (five games) compared to 30.7 points per game indoors. Most of those games were played in good weather conditions, too. They have also come up short on the road, scoring nearly six fewer points per game.

The 49ers have held their opponents to 21 points or less in 13 of 18 games this season. They will put relentless heat on QB Jared Goff, whose own outdoor struggles are well-known, forcing the Lions signal-caller into check-downs, throwaways, or risky decisions. With Goff likely to be conservative in those scenarios, Detroit may focus more on the ground game in hopes of finding success against the Niners’ run defense. While SF allowed 4.2 yards per carry, the Lions will be too one-dimensional to keep up with the 49ers’ electric offense.

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Prediction: San Francisco -7.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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Rating:


As I mentioned earlier, Goff won’t be able to drive the football down the field. He will be cautious, forcing Detroit into a conservative offensive game plan to wear down the Niners’ below-average run defense. While this may be the best course of action in a vacuum, I don’t envision it leading to big chunk plays or opening up the passing game via play-action on the road in a conference championship atmosphere.

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As talented as the 49ers’ offense can be, there’s no denying the impact a limited or unavailable Samuel will have on their game plan. I predict the home team will manage to get out to a sizable first-half lead with the Lions unable to create scoring opportunities, prompting the Niners to lean on their ground game in the second half. This slow-paced attack — they run the slowest-tempo offense in terms of seconds per play — will work in the under’s favor one way or another. If it’s successful, it will drain the game clock, but if Detroit’s talented run-stop unit rises to the occasion, these teams will end up punting the ball back and forth until the final whistle blows.

Prediction: Under 51.5

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Written By
Michael Briggs , “Michael Briggs”

I jumped into sports betting headfirst due to an irresistible call to action. I am a sports writer by trade, earning my B.A. in Journalism with a sports reporting concentration from Michigan State in 2012. With my journalism background, I combine thorough research with a keen eye for hidden value to generate consistent profits for my clients. In my free time, I enjoy talking “shop” with like-minded people. This allows me to see different angles and avoid traps that derail my progress. In short, their insight and intuition assist or deter my decision-making process. The pitfalls to avoid in sports gambling are following the crowd, assumptions, gullibility, and lack of accountability. A bettor is never as hot or cold as their best and worst streaks. By dedicating yourself to obtaining knowledge, you will never feel like you know it all. At its core, sports betting is about intuition. When you can predict which way the wind will blow, you will never feel caught up in the current stream. Sometimes you need to be counterintuitive. Risk is in the mind of the beholder, but when you bet with me, you’ll find that the reward justifies the wager!

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Live Updates: San Francisco Primary Election 2026

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Live Updates: San Francisco Primary Election 2026


Welcome to our running tally of Election Night results. Or, as this is California, well beyond tonight, as results continue to trickle in.

The first batch of results should arrive at 8:45 p.m., with three more to follow tonight. The Department of Elections has the breakdown.

San Francisco is voting in three special elections, for District 2 and District 4 supervisors and for a Board of Education member. Both supervisor races are referendums on housing, especially District 2, while the main backdrop of the D4 race is all the hot feelings around the fate of the Sunset Dunes Park (nee Great Highway).

The winners of all three special races will have to compete again in November for their seats.

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Keeping it local, SF is also voting on four ballot measures. Prop A is for a bond to pay for an emergency water-system. B is for term limits. C and D are dueling measures related to the “overpaid CEO” tax. (Links go to our reporting on each race or issue; or click here for our Election 2026 page.)

Vote local, think national: Which two candidates will advance to the November election to replace Nancy Pelosi?

Statewide races include the primaries for governor, education superintendent, lieutenant governor, and much more.

Polls close soon. If you haven’t voted yet, find your polling station here.

Tuesday, June 2, 5:40 p.m.

Two and a half hours until our polls close. Before we go down the local rabbit hole, a reminder that other states have primary action today: New Jersey, Iowa, New Mexico, South Dakota, and Montana.

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Why does it take so long to get results in California? CalMatters has you covered on that story. We shouldn’t expect a call tonight on the governor’s race.

The last big election was November 5, 2024. (Remember?) Ten days later, there were still races to call in San Francisco.


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So if you’re waiting for the pundits (and maybe even us) to tell you What It All Means, you might have to wait a while.



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San Francisco voters to decide on dueling measures on Top Executive Pay Tax changes

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San Francisco voters to decide on dueling measures on Top Executive Pay Tax changes


San Francisco voters weighed in Tuesday on two competing measures that seek to change the Top Executive Pay Tax, with one of the measures also including a change to the Gross Receipts Tax.

Should both measures pass, the one with the most votes will take effect, according to the propositions’ legal text.

Currently, the measures state that most businesses with San Francisco gross receipts up to $5 million are exempt from the Gross Receipts Tax. And businesses that use more than half of their city payroll for in-house administrative and management services pay an Administrative Office Tax instead of a Gross Receipts Tax.

The Top Executive Pay Tax is a tax some large businesses pay if their highest-paid managerial employee earns more than 100 times the median pay of their San Francisco employees. Businesses that have city gross receipts up to $5 million and are not subject to the Administrative Office Tax are exempt.

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Proposition C

Proposition C states it would increase the number of businesses that could be exempt from the Gross Receipts Tax and would stop any further increases to the “Top Executive Pay Tax” after a final rate bump.

The proposed measure says it would raise the Gross Receipts Tax exemption ceiling to $7.5 million. The $7.5 million ceiling would also apply to the Top Executive Pay Tax exemption.

As for changes to the Top Executive Pay Tax, Proposition C states it would implement the 2028 tax rate increase in 2027, but then stop any future increases.

Supporting Proposition C are Rodney Fong, CEO of the San Francisco Chamber of Commerce, and Chris Wright, senior vice president of Advance SF, an organization of companies, which includes Bank of America, OpenAI, Waymo, the SF Giants CEO and others.

Fong and Wright, in their argument for the measure, say giving businesses more tax breaks would help keep more employees on payroll and would give companies the ability to “contribute to city services in a predictable and balanced way.”

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Critics of Proposition C, such as the San Francisco Tenants Union, slam the measure as “billionaire-backed” and argue it would kill the Top Executive Pay Tax and would hand out more tax breaks to businesses at a time when the city is in a budget deficit and faces cuts to essential services.

Proposition D

Proposition D also seeks to change the Top Executive Pay Tax, which is collected from some large businesses where the highest-paid managerial employee earns more than 100 times the median compensation paid to other employees.

If approved, the measure would change the calculation of the tax using the compensation of all employees, not just employees based in San Francisco. Top Executive Pay Tax rates would also be increased for San Francisco gross receipts and payroll.

Supporters have billed the measure as a way to counteract federal cuts to Medicaid. A report by the City Controller’s Office said the measure could result in $250 million to $300 million in additional revenue.

“Proposition D is the solution to our budget deficit. It asks large corporations — not small businesses, not working families — to contribute a little more,” supporters said in the city’s official voter guide.

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The measure has the backing of most of the Board of Supervisors, along with labor unions and Rep. Nancy Pelosi.

Opponents, including Mayor Daniel Lurie and state Sen. Scott Wiener, have argued Proposition D would negatively impact the city’s recovery following the COVID-19 pandemic. 

“San Francisco is already one of the most expensive cities in the country to live and do business. Adding extreme and unpredictable tax increases risks driving employers away just as we are trying to bring jobs, workers, and foot traffic back downtown,” said Supervisor Matt Dorsey in the city’s voter guide.



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San Francisco ‘adult supremacy’ workshop brands teachers as oppressors — as fringe trend spreads in California schools

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San Francisco ‘adult supremacy’ workshop brands teachers as oppressors — as fringe trend spreads in California schools


A San Francisco public school reportedly hosted a workshop on “adult supremacy” — a new woke trend labeling teachers and adults “oppressors” that’s quietly gaining traction in California.

The confab, held at John O’Connell High School during an “Ethnic Studies Everywhere” weekend seminar in April, was titled “Youth as Knowledge Producers: Challenging Adult Supremacy Through Ethnic Studies,” according to an attendee who spoke with The Post.

“Due to systemic power dynamics inherently the relationship between students and educators is an oppressive one. Oppressor (educator) & oppressed (student),” a presentation slide explained.

Maria Su, superintendent SFUSD, speaks at a press conference. San Francisco Chronicle via Getty Images

The workshop was led by Jennifer Sanchez, a third-year ethnic studies educator in the Central Valley, and convened by Teachers 4 Social Justice, a nonprofit that aims to create “empowering learning environments, more equitable access to resources and power, and realizing a just and caring culture,” according to its website.

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Teachers 4 Social Justice was founded by local teacher activist Jeremiah Jeffries, who led an unpopular push to rename public schools during the pandemic that was abandoned after sparking outrage from local parents.

So-called adult supremacy “constructs adults as developed, mature, intelligent, and experienced, based solely on their age and ensures that adults control the resources and make the decisions in society,” the presentation further explained.

Success “within the Western context” is “demanding, overwhelming, and dehumanizing,” the presentation claimed.

Jackson Matos’ work is cited in “adultism.” Jackson Matos

Friends of Lowell Foundation, which advocates for academic merit at San Francisco schools, compiled the “adult supremacy” slides.

Another slide obtained by The Post cited the work of academic Jackson Matos, who is mentioned as connecting “adultism” to cultural imperialism, marginalization, exploitation, powerlessness and violence.

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“We have knowledge and life experience, and it is our job as parents and teachers to impart information on the next generation, on our kids,” one flabbergasted San Francisco parent, who asked not to be named, told The Post.

“Given that a large percentage of students in the district do not meet grade level standards in ELA and math, our focus as a school district is clearly way off track,” the parent said.

A presentation slide titled “Adultism Continued” defining adult supremacy and discussing power dynamics between students and educators. SFUSD

Friends of Lowell Foundation has taken legal action surrounding the school district’s controversial “ethnic studies” curriculum, which was made a one-year requirement for high school freshman this year.

The San Francisco teachers’ group isn’t the only organization blaming “adultism” for society’s failures.

Adam Fletcher is a consultant who counts California school boards and agencies among his clients. He’s made “adultism” a centerpiece of equity training aimed at teachers.

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Adam Fletcher has made “adultism” a centerpiece of equity training aimed at teachers. Adam Fletcher

“Adultism, as an idea, is bias towards adults,” Fletcher said in an online seminar held by TEACH Los Angeles, an educators’ network funded through grants from the California Community College Chancellor’s Office, per its YouTube page.

A slide from a presentation on “Adultism” defines it as a bias towards adults. TEACH Los Angeles

Likewise, the Oakland Youth Commission announced last year a training for city employees about adultism, which is blamed for taking power away from kids, according to slides published online.

The Santa Clara Behavioral Health Services Department sponsored an “anti-oppression training series” that explores how “ageism and adultism” fuel discrimination.

“Participants consider how the myth of independence, rooted in settler colonial capitalism, contributes to the marginalization of youth & elders by diminishing agency, excluding perspectives, & reinforcing stereotypes in behavioral health practice,” an invitation read.

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Three children acting out a scene during a seminar on “adultism.” Instagram/oakyac

San Francisco Unified School District didn’t respond to a request for comment.

The district may be in hot water over its ethnic studies program, with Superintendent Maria Su due to appear at a June 10 congressional hearing about parents’ rights and “inappropriate content” in schools.



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