The San Diego Padres (30-20) head to American Household Area Thursday to start out a 4-game sequence with the Milwaukee Brewers (32-20) at 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s strains across the Padres vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
San Diego is 4-6 straight up (SU) over the past 10 video games and was simply swept in a 3-game sequence on the St. Louis Cardinals earlier this week.
Milwaukee simply misplaced back-to-back video games to the Chicago Cubs, together with the rubber match of their 3-game set, however the Brewers are 6-4 SU within the final 10.
The Brewers beat the Padres 5-2 in final yr’s season sequence and had a plus-6 run differential in these conferences.
Padres at Brewers projected starters
LHP Sean Manaea vs. RHP Adrian Houser
Manaea is 2-3 with a 4.02 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.6 Ok/9 in 56 IP over 9 begins.
- Final begin: No-decision in Friday’s 4-3 dwelling win vs. the Pittsburgh Pirates with 7 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 1 HR, 3 BB and 5 Ok.
Milwaukee hasn’t formally introduced a starter however Houser is projected to get the nod Thursday. He’s 3-5 with a 3.69 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and seven.0 Ok/9 in 46 1/3 IP over 9 begins.
- Final begin: Misplaced 8-3 Saturday at St. Louis with 4 IP, 5 ER (8 R), 9 H, 2 HR, 1 BB and 1 Ok.
- 2021 vs. the Padres: 0-0 in 2 begins with a 1.86 ERA (9 2/3 IP, 2 ER), 6 H, 3 BB and 6 Ok.
Padres at Brewers odds and features
Odds offered by Tipico Sportsbook; entry USA TODAY Sports activities Scores and Sports activities Betting Odds hub for a full checklist. Strains final up to date at 9:34 a.m. ET.
- Cash line (ML): Padres -108 (wager $108 to win $100) | Brewers -112 (wager $112 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Towards the unfold (ATS): Padres -1.5 (+145) | Brewers +1.5 (-180)
- Over/Underneath (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)
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Padres at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Padres 5, Brewers 3
Cash line
BET the PADRES (-108) as a result of they’ve been moved from a plus-money payout on the opener as much as the present value by early sharp motion and the Brewers (-112) wrestle to hit lefties.
Per Pregame.com, greater than 75% of the money is on Milwaukee, however the line is transferring towards San Diego. This reverse line motion is suspicious as a result of widespread sense tells us oddsmakers would regulate the costs in line with the market motion.
The Brewers are 8-10 SU vs. lefty starters and their lineup ranks twenty seventh in wRC+ (84) and twenty second in wOBA (.291) towards left-handed pitching, per FanGraphs.
BET 1 unit on the PADRES (-108).
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Run line/Towards the unfold
PASS.
The Padres -1.5 (+145) are 8-6 RL as street favorites however wrestle towards right-handed pitching whereas the Brewers +1.5 (-180) are 6-2 RL as underdogs.
Over/Underneath
LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-120) as a result of many of the traits level to a lower-scoring affair, the Brewers wrestle vs. lefties and the Padres can’t hit righties. Per FanGraphs, San Diego’s lineup ranks twenty fourth in wRC+ (86), twenty seventh in wOBA (.286) and twenty eighth in hard-hit fee (26.7%) vs. right-handed pitching.
Additionally, San Diego is 0-6-2 O/U within the final 8 video games and 0-4-1 O/U within the final 5 video games vs. groups with a successful document and Milwaukee is 0-4 O/U within the final 4 video games vs. groups with a 60.0% successful fee or higher. The Underneath has cashed in 4 of the final 5 Padres-Brewers conferences.
San Diego’s ML is my favourite wager on this recreation however there’s worth on the UNDER 8.5 (-120).
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