San Diego Padres (25-24) vs. Cincinnati Reds (19-28)
May 21, 2024 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Cincinnati Reds -105 / San Diego Padres -105; Over/Under: +9
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres Prediction for this MLB Game on Tuesday, May 21st at the Great American Ballpark.
Reds Are Struggling
The Reds are struggling heading into this game and they have lost three games in a row. In the last game against the Los Angeles Dodgers, the Reds scored only two runs and they ended up losing by a run on Sunday. Spencer Steer finished with a walk and an RBI. The Reds are averaging 4.15 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.29 runs per game. The offense is ranked 19th in the league while the pitching is ranked 13th. Elly De La Cruz has hit nine home runs and driven in 22 RBIs. Getting the start for the Reds will be Andrew Abbott who sits with a 2-4 record and an ERA of 3.06. In his last start against the Arizona Diamondbacks, he went seven innings giving up four hits and one run.
Why the Reds Will Win
- The underdogs have won six of the Padres’ last seven games.
- The Padres have lost each of their last three games as favorites.
- The Reds have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line each of their last four games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last six games as favorites against National League opponents.
Padres Split Two on Monday
The Padres won the first game on Monday against the Atlanta Braves, but in the second game the offense failed to score any runs and that led to the 3-0 defeat. Randy Vasquez was on the mound and he went six innings giving up 10 hits and three runs. He had two strikeouts and zero walks. The Padres are averaging 4.67 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.37 runs per game. The offense is ranked 8th in the league while the pitching is ranked 16th. They are batting .258 as a team which is 3rd in the league. Jake Cronenworth has hit eight home runs and driven in 32 RBIsk. Getting the start for the Padres will be Joe Musgrove who sits with a 3-3 record and an ERA of 6.37. In his last start against the Cincinnati Reds, he went six innings giving up four hits and two runs. The Padres are going to need a strong start from Musgrove.
Why The Padres Will Win
- The Padres have won each of their last eight road games against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Reds have lost each of their last seven games at Great American Ball Park.
- The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last eight road games against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games at Great American Ball Park.
- The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five home games against National League opponents.
- The Padres have led after 5 innings in each of their last five Tuesday games against the Reds.
Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres Prediction
I really don’t trust Musgrove or this Padres team. Musgrove sits with an ERA of 6.37 and he’s going to really struggle again in this game. The Reds are averaging 4.15 runs per game and they are going to have no issue running up the score. The Padres offense will struggle here against Abbott and this is going to be a comfortable for the Reds. Back the Reds on the money line to cash.
