Connect with us

Oregon

Oregon Ducks vs. Purdue Boilermakers prediction: Odds, expert picks, QB matchup, betting trends, and stats

Published

on

Oregon Ducks vs. Purdue Boilermakers prediction: Odds, expert picks, QB matchup, betting trends, and stats


Oregon has ironed out the early season kinks they exhibited against Idaho and Boise State by rattling off four resume-enhancing victories over @Oregon State, @UCLA, Michigan State and, of course, their unforgettable 32-31 win over Ohio State last weekend. With Oregon ranking 97th nationally in pass plays of 20+ yards, QB Dillon Gabriel hit Texas A&M transfer Evan Stewart for a 69-yarder along with four more passes of 30+ yards to stretch OSU’s secondary. The win vaulted Oregon to the #3 overall ranking and in the driver’s seat of a very competitive Big Ten Championship chase.

Winless against FBS competition (0-5), Purdue posted a 0% win expectancy against their first three Power Four opponents (Notre Dame/Nebraska/Wisconsin) while getting outscored 146-23 in those contests. With starting QB Hudson Card unavailable due to injury last week against Illinois, freshman QB Ryan Browne breathed some life into the offense by completing 69% of his passes for 297 yards and a 3-to-0 ratio to go with 118 rushing yards. Despite rolling up 49 points with a 77% win expectancy the Boilermakers let victory once again elude their grasp, losing 50-49 to the Illini. Purdue’s offense needed the help, as they rank 120th in yards per drive and 133rd in offensive plays per game with 54.

NBC Sports has all the latest info and analysis you need, including how to tune in for kickoff, odds from BetMGM, player news and updates, and of course our predictions and best bets for the game from our staff of experts.

Listen to the B1G Talk podcast with Todd Blackledge and Noah Eagle for the most compelling storylines across all of college football, with the biggest teams on the rise and the latest rankings!

Advertisement

Game Details and How to watch Oregon @ Purdue live

  • Date: Friday, October 18, 2024
  • Time: 8:00 PM EST
  • Site: Ross-Ade Stadium
  • City: West Lafayette, IN
  • TV/Streaming: FOX

Want to check out the other games on the College Football schedule this week? We’ve got you covered right here on NBC Sports with all the matchup, venue, game-time and TV/streaming info so you won’t miss any of the action!

Game odds for Oregon @ Purdue

The latest odds as of Wednesday:

  • Moneyline: Oregon (-10000), Purdue (+1650)
  • Spread: Oregon -27.5
  • Over/Under: 60.5 points
    *Odds courtesy of BetMGM

This game opened at an aggressive Oregon -29.5 before crossing the key number -28 all the way down to -27.5. The moneyline opened -4,500, and while most of the market is still in the -4,000 to -5,000 range, Draft Kings is hanging -3,600 out there. The game total has steamed up from 58.5 to a current market high of 60.5.

NBC Sports Bet Best Bet

NBC Sports Betting Analyst Eric Froton (@CFFroton) thinks we could see a lot of points this Friday Night:
“Oregon will be able to move the ball at will against this porous Purdue defense. With the Boilermakers transitioning to a new OC and redshirt freshman QB, they’re going to be motivated to still execute and score points even if they’re getting blown out. I’m backing the Over 60.5 points.”

Listen to the Bet the Edge podcast as hosts Jay Croucher and Drew Dinsick provide listeners with sharp actionable insight, market analysis and statistical data to help bettors gain more information before placing their wagers.

From the Trading Desk at BetMGM courtesy of John Ewing: Heisman Insights

Line movement (open, current)
· Ashton Jeanty +5000, +150
· Travis Hunter +3500, +800
· Cam Ward +20000, +900
· Jalen Milroe +800, +1000
· Quinn Ewers +800, +2200

Highest Ticket%
· Travis Hunter 16.5%
· Nico Iamaleava 9.6%
· Jalen Milroe 8.4%

Advertisement

Highest Handle%
· Travis Hunter 31.9%
· Ashton Jeanty 11.1%
· Cam Ward 7.8%

Biggest Liability
· Travis Hunter
· Ashton Jeanty
· Nico Iamaleava

Quarterback matchup for Oregon @ Purdue

  • Oregon: Oklahoma’s loss has been Oregon’s gain, as QB Dillon Gabriel has picked up right where 2024 R1 NFL draft choice Bo Nix left off, leading the nation in completion rate with the Ducks ranking 10th in total QBR. Gabriel’s 88th percentile PFF passing grade ranks 6th in FBS and he threw for 341 yards in Oregon’s 32-31 victory over Ohio State last weekend. The sixth-year signal caller has accounted for 3+ rushing/passing touchdowns in each of his five starts against FBS opponents and has scored/thrown 168 touchdowns over his illustrious career.
  • Purdue: Opening day starting QB Hudson Card failed to ignite the offense against their first four FBS opponents and sustained a concussion two weeks ago that thrust redshirt freshman QB Ryan Browne into the starting role against Illinois. Browne provided a much needed spark leading the Boilermakers to 536 total yards and 49 points, both of which are team season-highs by significant margins. His dual-threat capabilities produced 297 passing yards with another 117 coming on the ground against Illinois’ 43rd ranked defense. He has since been named the teams QB1 going forward with Card’s status for the game looking doubtful and unlikely to be a factor even if healthy at this rate.

Betting Trends & Recent Stats

  • Oregon was without star DE Jordan Burch, who leads the Ducks with 15 pressures and 5.0 sacks, against OSU last game. Matayo Uiagalelei ranks second with 4.5 sacks and 4 more sacks created.
  • The Ducks are 2-4 ATS with a -6.0 PPG cover margin, despite winning their games by an average scoring margin of 15.2 points. They’re also an even 3-3 on the total.
  • Despite ranking 129th in defensive EPA with major deficiencies against both the run and the pass, Purdue’s defensive line ranks 23rd with an 8.1% sack rate and 18th with a 27.5% sacks-per-pressure rate.
  • Purdue fired OC Graham Harrell two weeks ago and replaced him with new OC Jason Simmons who was on staff as an analyst for 9 months and has been coaching in college for just two years after making the leap from high school.

College Football talk is taking over Bet the Edge every Thursday throughout the season. BET THE EDGE is your source for all things sports betting. Get all of Vaughn Dalzell, Eric Froton, and Brad Thomas’ insights Thursdays at 6AM ET right here or wherever you get your favorite podcasts.

Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.

Expert picks & predictions for Oregon Ducks @ Purdue Boilermakers

Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.

Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NFL calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, and weather forecasts.

Advertisement

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Oregon @ Purdue:

  • Moneyline: NBC Sports is recommending a play on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: NBC Sports is recommending a play on the Oregon Ducks ATS.
  • Game Total: NBC Sports is staying away from a play on the Game Total of 60.5.

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

  • Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
  • Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
  • Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
  • Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)
  • Eric Froton (@CFFroton)





Source link

Continue Reading
Advertisement
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Oregon

Oregon off to fast start with 2026 recruiting class

Published

on

Oregon off to fast start with 2026 recruiting class


While putting together a top-5 recruiting class through the Early Signing Period for the 2025 cycle, Dan Lanning & Co. has also been hard at work getting an early start on the 2026 class.

Already, Oregon has landed 10 prospects in the 2026 recruiting class, including eight blue-chip recruits. This collection of high school football underclassmen is good for the No. 1 class in the 2026 On3 Industry Team Recruiting Rankings.

There are currently 15 recruits ranked as five-star prospects in the 2026 cycle, and one of them is committed to Oregon: Reidsville (N.C.) tight end Kendre Harrison. Harrison, the No. 1 tight end in America, pledged to the Ducks on Nov. 30.

“I love Coach (Dan) Lanning. I love the coaching staff. I just love the school,” Harrison said of why he committed to Oregon. “I love everything about Oregon. I know Lanning and Coach Drew (Mehringer) and all those wonderful coaches out there are gonna develop me on and off the field. And I’m gonna have fun on and off the field. That’s really the main things right there.”

Advertisement

Harrison is joined in the Ducks’ class by a whopping three top-50 prospects. Santa Ana (Calif.) Mater Dei offensive tackle Kodi Greene is the No. 22 overall recruit in the cycle. Texarkana (Texas) Texas High running back Tradarian Ball ranks No. 42 and Scottsdale (Ariz.) Willamette defensive lineman Tony Cumberland is ranked No. 46 nationally.

Four additional blue-chips are committed to Oregon: Frankfort Heights (Ill.) Lincoln-Way East top-100 quarterback Jonas Williams, American Fork (Utah) Lone Peak DL Bott Mulitalo, Mater Dei DL Tomuhini Topui and Ventura (Calif.) linebacker Tristan Phillips.

Salt Lake City (Utah) Bingham DL Viliami Moala is a top-40 prospect at his position and Riverside (Calif.) St. John Bosco EDGE Dutch Horisk has been committed to Oregon since Aug. 17.



Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Oregon

Oregon vs. Maryland: Instant Reactions to Ducks' Win vs. the Terrapins

Published

on

Oregon vs. Maryland: Instant Reactions to Ducks' Win vs. the Terrapins


The Oregon Ducks beat the Maryland Terrapins, 83-79, in a thriller on Sunday afternoon. The Ducks trailed by as many as 13, but due to key contributions from star guards Jackson Shelstad and Keeshawn Barthelemy, the Ducks avoided falling to 1-3 in conference play and losing two straight games at home.

In the first half, it looked as though Oregon was going to get blown out for the second straight game. But with just under eight minutes left in the first half, Shelstad scored eight points in 69 seconds. That solo run brought the Ducks alive and into the game, allowing them to shrink Maryland’s lead to three at halftime.

The Ducks started the second half down 45-42, but they quicklywent on a 14-2 run, leading by nine with 15 minutes to in the game. At that point, it looked as though the Ducks might run away with the game, but the Terrapins stormed back, retaking the lead with nine minutes to go.

In the final 10 minutes of the game, neither team could pull away from the other, and with two minutes to go, the game was tied 76-76. Jus then, Barthelemy laced a clutch three-pointer to go ahead, and after that, Oregon several key stops to close out the win.

Advertisement

Oregon vs. Maryland Keys to the Game

  • The Ducks would not have won this game if not for Jackson Shelstad. The sophomore guard was as productive and efficient as you can be, not missing a shot until nearly 30 minutes into the game. At one point, Maryland was face-guarding Shelstad at half-court without the ball in his hands.
  • This truly was a game of momentum, the lead changed hands several times and both teams went on multiple massive runs. Without their big run to end the first half, or their 14-2 run to start the second half, the Ducks wouldn’t have come close in this game.
  • Both teams shot the basketball very well on Sunday. Both finished over 45% from the field and over 40% from three. In a game dominated by offense like this, it’s only fitting that the result came down to defense.
  • The Ducks defense was much improved from their horrendous showing on Thursday against Illinois, but it still had room for improvement. Down the stretch, Oregon tightened things up on defense, holding the Terrapins to making one of their final nine field goal attempts.

Oregon vs. Team B Players of the Game

Jackson Shelstad: 23 points, 8/10 FGs, 5/5 3Ps, 5 rebounds, 2 assists

Keeshawn Barthelemy: 14 points, 5/8 FGs, 5 assists, 4 rebounds, 1 block

Nate Bittle: 16 points, 6/10 FGs, 6 rebounds, 2 assists, 2 blocks, 1 steal

Bam Tracey: 10 points, 4 assists, 3 rebounds, 1 steal

KJ Evans: 10 points, 7 rebounds

Oregon vs. Maryland Notable Stats

  • Oregon finished 52% from the field and 43% from three. The Terrapins shot 43% from deep as well, but after shooting over 50% from the field for most of the game, Maryland’s FG% fell to 47% in the final minutes.
  • The Ducks made 13/15 free throws, and the Terrapins were just 14/19. Several of those Maryland misses came in the game’s final minutes
  • The Ducks’ depth helped make the difference in this game. Their bench outscored Maryland’s 26-12.
  • Oregon guards Jackson Shelstad and Keeshawn Barthelemy combined for 37 points on 72.2% shooting.

What’s Next for Oregon Ducks?

  • Jan. 9 — at Ohio State Buckeyes
  • Jan. 12 — at Penn State Nittany Lions
  • Jan.  18 — vs. No. 20 Purdue Boilermakers
  • Jan. 21 — vs. Washington Huskies
  • Jan. 25 — at Minnesota Golden Gophers

After a two-game homestand to kick off the meat of Oregon’s conference schedule, the Ducks are going on the road for a pair of games against Big Ten opponents. After that, Oregon returns home for a Top 25 matchup and rivalry game against Washington.



Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Oregon

How to Watch Oregon Ducks, Maryland Terrapins Basketball: TV Channel, Preview, Prediction

Published

on

How to Watch Oregon Ducks, Maryland Terrapins Basketball: TV Channel, Preview, Prediction


The Big Ten Conference competitive nature has been a hard going for the Oregon Ducks thus far. The Illinois Fighting Illini came into Matthew Knight Arena in Eugene on Thursday for the first time, dropping 109-77 in the road victory. The first time any opponent has scored 100 or more since the arena opened back in 2011.

Oregon coach Dana Altman moves onto the next opponent in coach Kevin Willard’s Maryland Terrapins who are coming off a 75-69 loss at the Washington Huskies. Their first hike in the Pacific Northwest trip continues on for the new conference foe.

 Oregon Ducks head coach Dana Altman calls a play

Dec 29, 2024; Eugene, Oregon, USA; Oregon Ducks head coach Dana Altman calls a play during the second half against the Weber State Wildcats at Matthew Knight Arena. Mandatory Credit: Craig Strobeck-Imagn Images / Craig Strobeck-Imagn Images

Maryland’s freshman center Derik Queen will be a lot for any of Oregon’s frontcourt to handle. At 6-10, 246-pounds, he has already made his presence known on the NBA Draft board. According to a recent prediction from On3, Queen is outside of the lottery but to be selected with the No. 17 pick for the San Antonio Spurs. No Ducks are on the radar.

MORE: Can Oregon Ducks Win National Championship in 2026? Schedule Analysis, Prediction

Advertisement

MORE: Oregon Ducks’ Dante Moore Ready To Lead? ‘Heisman Finalist’ Says Receiver Tez Johnson

MORE: Five-Star Recruit Elbert Hill Visiting Oregon Ducks, Alabama, Ohio State, Michigan

MORE: Nick Saban Upset With Oregon Ducks’ College Football Playoff Path vs. Ohio State

Through 14 games with the Terrapins, Queen is averaging 15.6 points per game, 8.2 rebounds per game, 2.0 assists per game, 1.3 steals per game, and 1.0 blocks per game.

“Very good low-post scorer with advanced/nimble footwork and use of fakes. Calls for the ball and goes to work quickly, commands double-teams at this level. Uses his body well to carve out space, understands positioning and sealing his man better than almost any prospect you’ll see at this age. Good baseline spin that can end with a drop-step jam.”

– NBADraft.net on Maryland’s Derik Queen

Advertisement
 Maryland Terrapins center Derik Queen (25) posts up against Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks forward Jalen Ware (24(

Dec 28, 2024; College Park, Maryland, USA; Maryland Terrapins center Derik Queen (25) posts up against Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks forward Jalen Ware (24) during the first half at Xfinity Center. Mandatory Credit: Reggie Hildred-Imagn Images / Reggie Hildred-Imagn Images

Oregon’s Nate Bittle will have his hands full down at the low post against Queen. Bittle leads the Ducks with 13.2 points per game, 8.3 rebounds per game, and 1.8 blocks per game. Georgetown Hoyas transfer Supreme Cook can help down low, putting in 20 points on 8-11 field goals off the bench against Illinois earlier this week.

According to oddsmakers across the major sportsbooks, the Ducks are favored to win against Maryland. The spread is currently four points in favor of Oregon, and the over/under points total is set at 150.

Maryland (11-3, 1-2) is in Eugene to try to knock off the No. 9 Oregon Ducks (12-2, 1-2) on Peacock at 1 p.m. PT. A victory for Altman and his team could potentially keep them within the top-10 of the AP Poll on Monday morning and move them up the March Madness seeding.

MORE: Why Oregon Ducks 5-Star Quarterback Jaron Keawe Sagapolutele Entering Transfer Portal

MORE: Oregon Ducks’ Dan Lanning Takes Blame For Loss To Ohio State Buckeyes

Advertisement

MORE: Peyton Manning Addresses Bo Nix’s Future With Denver Broncos, Sean Payton

MORE: Oregon Ducks Receiver Evan Stewart Explains Injury, Absence vs. Ohio State Buckeyes



Source link

Continue Reading

Trending