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College football Week 12 odds, picks against the spread: Tennessee-Georgia, Oregon-Wisconsin and more
We are entering the stretch run of the 2024 college football season, and now that we are getting weekly playoff rankings, every game will become even more important.
This week’s biggest game on the schedule is in Athens, Ga., where No. 12 Georgia hosts No. 7 Tennessee. The Bulldogs were the first team out in this week’s rankings, and a third loss might be a dagger for their playoff chances. But a win over a top-10 team would almost certainly push them back in.
The only other game between teams in the top 25 of the College Football Playoff Rankings is in South Carolina, where the No. 21 Gamecocks host No. 23 Missouri.
The top four teams in the rankings are all playing games where they are double-digit favorites, including No. 2 Ohio State (against Northwestern at Wrigley Field) and No. 4 Penn State (at Purdue). Both the Buckeyes and Nittany Lions are favored by four touchdowns. No. 1 Oregon (at Wisconsin) and No. 3 Texas (at Arkansas) are both two-touchdown favorites.
There is a sneaky big ACC game in Pittsburgh. Pitt is trying to snap a two-game losing streak and keep its conference title hopes alive when it hosts No. 20 Clemson. Even with a win on Saturday, both teams would need help from SMU or Miami to reach the ACC title game.
No. 17 Colorado controls its path to a Big 12 championship (and, by extension, a playoff appearance) and is a big favorite against Utah.
There is another massive game in the AAC where Navy can play its way back into a top-two spot in the conference if it can beat No. 25 Tulane. A Navy win would put a potential Army-Navy conference championship game back on the table.
—Adam Gretz
All games listed are on Saturday. Kickoff times are Eastern. Rankings are from the College Football Playoff Rankings. All odds are from BetMGM.
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No. 3 Texas at Arkansas
Noon on ESPN
The SEC race is a jumbled mess, but Texas is in the upper portion of that group with one loss in conference play. The Longhorns, favored by about two touchdowns, hope to stay a game ahead of the chasing pack at Arkansas on Saturday.
As it stands, the Texas-Texas A&M game at the end of the regular season could decide which team goes to the SEC title game, but first, Texas must clear another rivalry reborn this weekend. Texas and Arkansas were both in the old Southwest Conference until Arkansas bolted for the SEC in 1992. Texas moved to the Big 12 in 1996, back when the number of teams in a conference actually dictated the conference’s name.
The recent series history between these two is symbolic of why “Texas is back” became a running joke. Arkansas has won four of the six meetings since the Southwest Conference days, including both bowl games between the two. That’s a good reminder that Texas was not back for a lot of years this century.
The Razorbacks haven’t always been an easy out for top teams this season. While LSU (34-1) and Ole Miss (63-31) decimated the Razorbacks, Arkansas shocked Tennessee 19-14 and held a fourth-quarter lead against Texas A&M before falling 21-17.
Arkansas is coming off a bye, while Texas is coming off what might have felt like a scrimmage. The Longhorns left no doubt in a 49-17 win against a Florida team that was on its third-string quarterback. Texas led 42-0 midway through the third quarter before calling the dogs off.
—Dan Santaromita
Picks against the spread
Utah at No. 17 Colorado
Noon on ESPN
Everything is aligned for No. 17 Colorado to secure a spot in the Big 12 Championship Game, starting with the game against Utah on Saturday. The Buffaloes are not only a double-digit favorite, but this is the first time they have been favored against Utah since 2016, the last time they beat the Utes.
If Colorado simply handles its business the rest of the way and beats three teams, Utah, Kansas and Oklahoma State (with a combined record of 10-18), the Buffaloes will have a spot in the Big 12 Championship Game and a chance to play their way into the College Football Playoff, completing an incredible turnaround from last year’s four-win season.
The Utes are the first team up in that stretch, and the Big 12 Championship comes down the road.
Utah enters the game having lost five in a row and dealing with major problems on offense. The Utes are on their third quarterback of the season after starter Cameron Rising and replacement Brandon Rose have both been lost for the season. Utah has scored more than 23 points in a game just three times and is averaging 15.5 points per game in Big 12 play.
Utah will need more offense than that on Saturday to keep pace with a Colorado team averaging 32.4 points per game. Quarterback Shedeur Sanders is the focal point of the Buffaloes’ offense, completing more than 72 percent of his passes with 24 touchdown passes to six interceptions.
Two-way star Travis Hunter is also continuing his Heisman Trophy campaign by playing over 100 snaps per game and leading the team in receptions, receiving yards and touchdowns while also being tied for the team lead in interceptions.
—Adam Gretz
Picks against the spread
No. 20 Clemson at Pitt
Noon on ESPN
Clemson at Pitt looked like a marquee game on the ACC schedule just a couple of weeks ago. Since then, Clemson got manhandled by Louisville at home, and the Panthers have dropped two straight. Still, both teams are in the ACC title race but need some help. Clemson is favored by two scores on the road.
This is Clemson’s ACC regular-season finale. The Tigers are 6-1 in ACC play, with a game against The Citadel preceding the in-state rivalry game against South Carolina. A win at Pitt leaves Clemson at 7-1 but in need of help from SMU and Miami to advance to the ACC title game.
Pitt is only 3-2 in the league and still has a trip to Louisville ahead, so the Panthers’ path to the title game is less likely and fraught with danger. On top of that, quarterback Eli Holstein left last week’s loss to Virginia due to injury. He got hit while sliding in the third quarter and did not return. It’s not yet clear if Holstein will play. Junior Nate Yarnell was 4-for-12 for 44 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions in Holstein’s absence. Virginia outscored the Panthers 17-6 in the second half of a 24-19 win.
Clemson bounced back from its loss to Louisville with a 24-14 win at Virginia Tech, but the Tigers’ offense once again looked uninspiring. The Tigers were scoreless in the first half.
—Dan Santaromita
Picks against the spread
No. 23 Missouri at No. 21 South Carolina
4:15 p.m. on SEC Network
After Missouri beat Oklahoma last week, Tigers coach Eli Drinkwitz said the win kept his team in the playoff picture. While Mizzou is a two-loss team in the SEC, making that statement technically true, it doesn’t seem likely for this Missouri team to stay a two-loss team by the end of the regular season. A big reason why is this week’s game at South Carolina, where the Gamecocks are favored by nearly two touchdowns.
The big question for Mizzou is the status of quarterback Brady Cook. Cook suffered a sprained ankle against Auburn four weeks ago. He went to the hospital during that game and returned to lead his team to a comeback victory. He then played against Alabama a week later and left with a hand injury that kept him out against OU.
While Cook returning would seem like the glimmer of hope Mizzou would need in this game, putting in an injured quarterback against this South Carolina defense sounds downright terrifying. The Gamecocks are third in the country in sacks with 33 and handily beat a Texas A&M team that destroyed a healthy Missouri earlier this season.
If Cook doesn’t play, the quarterbacks in this matchup are stylistically very different. Drew Pyne, yes, that’s former Notre Dame starter Drew Pyne, started against the Sooners and threw for three touchdowns in a wild game, but he makes Peyton Manning look fast at times. Meanwhile, South Carolina’s LaNorris Sellers has nearly 400 rushing yards on the season, including 106 yards in a gem against the Aggies.
Sellers is just one dynamic playmaker in this matchup. Missouri wide receiver Luther Burden III is a likely first-round pick and South Carolina running back Raheim Sanders is averaging more than five yards per carry and has 11 touchdowns this season.
—Dan Santaromita
Picks against the spread
No. 7 Tennessee at No. 12 Georgia
7:30 p.m. on ABC
The biggest game on the Week 12 college football schedule will take place between the hedges on Saturday night when Tennessee and Georgia square off. The Volunteers are ranked higher than the Bulldogs but are sizable underdogs for this critical SEC contest.
If No. 7 Tennessee (8-1, 5-1 SEC) defeats No. 12 Georgia (7-2, 5-2) and then Vanderbilt in two weeks, the Vols will be in Atlanta for the SEC Championship Game and should also be in good shape to make the College Football Playoff. The Bulldogs need to win out to have a shot at playing for a title of any kind.
The big concern for Tennessee is the status of redshirt freshman quarterback Nico Iamaleava. He didn’t play in the second half of last week’s win over Mississippi State and was placed in concussion protocol. There’s optimism he’ll be cleared in time, but backup Gaston Moore could get the start.
The Volunteers’ offense has revolved around a rushing attack ranked second among Power 4 teams and averaging 235.1 yards per game. Dylan Sampson (SEC-leading 1,129 yards and 20 touchdowns) has been the workhorse, but Iamaleava’s role in coach Josh Heupel’s system can’t be overlooked. If he doesn’t play, that could be a big advantage for Georgia’s defense. The Bulldogs rank in the top 25 nationally against the run and are limiting conference opponents to 3.6 yards per carry.
The bigger issue for Georgia is that quarterback Carson Beck has thrown seven interceptions compared to two touchdowns in the last three games, and the team managed just 60 rushing yards on 32 attempts in last week’s loss at Ole Miss. It won’t get any easier for Beck and company against a Tennessee defense giving up fewer than 17 points per game to SEC foes.
Beating the Bulldogs is not something the Volunteers have done since 2016. Since then, Georgia has rattled off seven straight victories in this series. The 2016 season, head coach Kirby Smart’s first, was the last time the Bulldogs lost back-to-back games. Georgia has also won 28 in a row at Sanford Stadium.
—Mark Ross
Picks against the spread
No. 1 Oregon at Wisconsin
7:30 p.m. on ESPN
No. 1 Oregon is in the “just don’t mess it up” section of its schedule, which consists of three soft games and a bye over the final four weeks. After easily dispatching Maryland, the Ducks head to Wisconsin as two-score favorites for the second game in this run.
The Ducks haven’t allowed an opponent to get within 21 points since they downed Ohio State 32-31 in Week 7 and have smothered teams in the second half of games. The Buckeyes managed just 10 second-half points, and they were the highwater mark. Opponents are averaging 6.2 points in the final two quarters over the last five weeks and Wisconsin, ranked 81st in total offense, isn’t equipped to buck the trend.
The Badgers aren’t in the top 50 in either rushing or passing and, outside of running back Tawee Walker, feature no individual challengers to Oregon’s defensive personnel.
The Ducks, meanwhile, have a Heisman candidate in quarterback Dillon Gabriel, and his favorite receiver, Tez Johnson, is tied for 11th nationally with eight touchdowns and is eighth in receptions (64). Wisconsin’s fifth-ranked pass defense could give them a fight, but Oregon can always turn to Jordan James on the ground. James has 10 touchdowns to go with nearly 1,000 yards and should have no problem chewing through the Badgers’ 91st-ranked run defense. Wisconsin is allowing 164.6 yards per game on the ground, and James is averaging nearly 95, so the Ducks should be just fine if the passing game is slow to get going.
Oregon should head into their bye week with just Washington between them and a perfect regular season. Then, in December, a likely Ohio State rematch awaits.
Just don’t mess it up.
—J.J. Bailey
Picks against the spread
Wild card picks
Picking only the biggest games is not the smartest way to bet, so each picker is adding another bet with everything from every game on the table. We are tracking the records in these picks as well as counting them in the overall picks standings.
Austin Mock: Navy +7 vs. Tulane
Chris Vannini: Tennessee/Georgia under 49.5
Dan Santaromita: LSU -4.5 at Florida
David Ubben: Michigan State +3 at Illinois
Picks records
| Writer | Overall record | Wild card picks | Last week |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Chris Vannini |
49-33 |
7-4 |
2-6 |
|
Dan Santaromita |
39-43 |
3-8 |
3-5 |
|
Austin Mock |
39-43 |
6-5 |
4-4 |
|
David Ubben |
37-45 |
6-5 |
1-7 |
(Photo of Dylan Sampson: Jacob Kupferman / Getty Images)
The winning formula for Texas baseball against Oregon in the opening game of the Austin Super Regional seemed relatively simple: perform on the mound, create traffic on the bases and control the game. If the Longhorns could avoid a slow start and Dylan Volantis kept sharp, they could trust the Ducks’ aggressive approach at the plate would eventually work against them.
Well, Texas did that. More or less.
Volantis turned in one of the more unusual starts of his season, setting a career high in wild pitches while walking four and allowing eight hits. But he also struck out 10 batters and stranded 10 Oregon runners through 5 1/3 innings.
That proved to be more than enough for the Longhorns to take advantage of an Oregon pitching staff that simply could not stop handing out free passes.
Texas effectively outlasted the Ducks on Saturday night, scoring 11 runs on just eight hits to claim Game 1 of the Austin Super Regional and move one win away from its first College World Series berth since 2022.
“I think both teams had one opportunity, and the difference in the game was we got some pitches up and put some balls in play to score runners with third base and less than two outs, and they didn’t,” head coach Jim Schlossnagle said. “You can give credit to Dylan mainly for that, making pitches when he had to make them.”
Texas Delivers While Oregon Repeatedly Comes Up Empty
While Volantis did not have his sharpest outing of the season, he delivered when it mattered most.
Oregon put runners on base in every inning Volantis pitched and stranded 10 runners through the first five frames. The sophomore left-hander battled command issues, uncorked a career-high number of wild pitches and frequently worked in and out of trouble. Yet time and time again, he escaped.
The Ducks threatened in the first inning, putting runners on the corners before Volantis struck out Brayden Jaksa to escape the jam. It was not the last time Oregon would leave runners in scoring position, as the Ducks finished the night 0-for-14 with RISP.
And despite giving Volantis trouble, Oregon repeatedly came away empty-handed.
Texas could not say the same.
The Longhorns got things going in the first inning, when Adrian Rodriguez ripped a two-run double into the left-center gap to score both Aiden Robbins and Anthony Pack Jr. to give the Longhorns an early lead. One inning later, Casey Borba launched an opposite-field home run — his 18th of the year — before Dariyan Pendergrass scored on a Robbins sacrifice fly after drawing a walk and stealing two bases.
And while Texas took advantage of every scoring opportunity, Oregon continuously left the door open.
With the bases loaded and one out in the third inning, Volantis once again slammed the door on Oregon’s scoring chance by striking out Jaksa and inducing a groundout to end the inning. In the fourth, Oregon put runners on second and third with nobody out before Volantis struck out the next two batters and recorded another groundout to complete the escape act.
After Volantis exited in the sixth with the bases loaded and one out, Thomas Burns struck out his first batter before issuing back-to-back two-out walks that cut the Texas lead to 8-2. But Luke Harrison, an expected Game 2 starter, entered and struck out Blake Mabeus to strand the bases loaded.
“Super cool to see Luke Harrison come into that situation and just do the job,” Volantis said. “He’s the most trustworthy guy you could ask for; whatever you ask of him, he’s going to do it.”
In the bottom half of the inning, Rodriguez delivered another RBI on a sacrifice fly before Ethan Mendoza launched a two-run homer to left-center field. Rodriguez finished the night with a career-high five RBI.
Harrison worked another scoreless inning before Brody Walls closed out the final two frames, allowing just one run on a solo homer in the eighth.
The Longhorns and Ducks will meet again Sunday night, with Texas now just one win away from its first Men’s College World Series berth since 2022.
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By: Mia Maldonado
Oregon Gov. Tina Kotek has appointed her chief of staff to temporarily lead the state’s transportation agency.
Chris Warner, who has worked with Kotek since 2023, will serve as the Oregon Department of Transportation’s interim director until the agency finds its next director.
He is taking over Lisa Sumption’s interim position so she can return to role as the director of the Oregon Parks and Recreation Department as it undergoes long-planned changes to improve the state park system. Sumption has led the agency since January, when former ODOT director Kris Strickler left the state government. Strickler now works as a senior vice president at a national engineering firm.
Before joining Kotek’s team, Warner held leadership roles at the Portland Bureau of Transportation for six years — including three as the local agency’s director. He previously worked as a legislative aide to former U.S. Rep. Peter DeFazio, who spent years as the chair or ranking member on the House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee, and a transportation adviser for former Gov. Ted Kulongoski.
Warner will be leading a state agency that doesn’t know how it will fund basic road maintenance and operations at its current levels beyond the 2025-27 budget cycle. Last month, Oregonians overwhelmingly voted against hikes to the gas tax and other transportation fees that would have covered the agency’s budget shortfalls for the next decade.
Kotek has tasked transportation and business experts to find and propose a solution by the end of the year for lawmakers to consider during the 2027 legislative session. That’s when lawmakers, like in 2025, will once again have six months to compromise on a transportation package.
Warner joined Kotek’s office as deputy chief of staff at the start of her term, and the governor promoted him to chief of staff after her initial chief of staff, Andrea Cooper, and several other top employees abruptly left the office over concerns about the increasingly influential role of Kotek’s wife, Aimee Kotek Wilson. Kotek walked back plans to create an office of the first spouse amid scrutiny of those plans.
“I’m grateful to Lisa and Chris for being willing to step in and serve the people of Oregon who depend on a safe and reliable transportation system,” Kotek said in a statement. “Their efforts allow the state to take the steps needed to find the best director for Oregon’s transportation future. Chris has the experience needed to keep the organization moving at this truly critical juncture. He has my full confidence.”
Emerald Bogue, who joined the governor’s office in early spring as a special adviser under a temporary agreement with the Port of Portland, will fill the chief of staff role. The changes will take effect at the end of June.
The Oregon Department of Administrative Services is still conducting a nationwide search to hire a new transportation director to lead the more than 4,500 employees that maintain the state’s transportation system.
What to know about Oregon State Hospital in Salem, Oregon
The Oregon State Hospital treats three types of patients who need hospital-level care in Salem and Junction City.
The Oregon State Hospital remains in contempt of court as defendants continue to sit in jail past the seven-day deadline for them to be admitted and has racked up nearly $4.5 million in fines since a federal court order in June 2025.
A new order is expected to bring the state back into compliance by the end of 2026.
For Emily Cooper, the legal director for Disability Rights Oregon, the organization that sued the state more than two decades ago, every additional day of waiting means another day a person with mental illness “could be irreparably harmed.”
At least two people have died waiting to receive treatment for mental health issues a judge has deemed severe enough to prevent them from aiding and assisting in their own legal defense.
Since 2002, the state psychiatric hospital has been ordered to admit people who have been found unable to aid in their own legal defense for competency restoration within seven days.
The state has been out of compliance with that requirement for most of the last eight or so years.
Oregon has been fined nearly $4.5 million for late admissions
Disability Rights Oregon asked U.S. District Court Judge Adrienne Nelson to hold the Oregon Health Authority, which oversees the state hospital, in contempt of court for failing to meet that standard in January 2025.
On June 6, 2025, Nelson did just that, finding Oregon in contempt and ordering fines of $500 per-person for every day an aid and assist patient was waiting longer than a week to be admitted to OSH.
From June 7, 2025, to May 14, 2026, defendants cumulatively waited more than 9,000 days in jail beyond the seven day allowance, averaging about eight additional days each.
OSH reports four weeks of data on the first of each month.
The nearly $4.5 million the state has been fined will be spent in some way on helping people struggling with mental illness, Cooper said.
Those fines are paid from the budgets for the hospital and OHA’s behavioral health division.
The fines have lowered in recent months after spiking in the winter but continue to add hundreds of thousands of dollars to the total bill.
Oregon is expected to be back in compliance this year
Aid and assist patients are admitted to OSH for short stays – 90 days, six months, or a year – depending on the charges. The purpose is to stabilize someone enough that they can, on a basic level, understand what they are being charged with and help their attorney.
Nelson eliminated most extensions to those stays on June 1 by granting a remedial order. People who have committed Measure 11 felonies, serious violent crimes, are now the only aid and assist patients eligible for an extension on their stay at OSH.
The elimination of most extensions, along with limiting what charges can make defendants eligible to be sent to OSH, are designed to open beds for new patients more quickly.
After reviewing data on the prior extensions, Dr. Debra Pinals, who has served as a neutral expert and is now a court monitor on the case, found that in many cases they did not result in the person being restored to competency.
Metropolitan Public Defense and Disability Rights Oregon asked Nelson to issue the order back in March. The request is based on recommendations from Pinals, who has provided a series of reports on the hospital.
Beyond changing the time someone can be in restoration treatment at OSH, the order changes who can be admitted.
People charged with low-level, non-violent felonies and misdemeanors, like resisting arrest or disorderly conduct, will no longer be admitted to the hospital for competency restoration.
The courts will decide where those defendants are directed. Some options include community restoration, civil commitment or dismissing the charges, OSH spokesperson Marsha Sills said.
“The subtext of this is stop charging these people for crimes, when these are really manifestations of mental illness,” Cooper said.
Pinals had found diminishing clinical returns and high costs of treatment for people who “if they’d been convicted, they would have spent a long weekend in jail,” Cooper said.
“The duration of hospitalization may exceed the time an individual would have served if convicted, particularly when sentences are less than 90 days, with the average length of stay for restoration reaching 116.5 days,” Pinals wrote in a March 16 report.
Pinals estimated in March that with the changes to extensions and admissions the state could likely comply with the seven-day admission requirement within two and a half months.
The order is projected to bring the state into compliance by the end of the year.
“It’s forcing the system to think about an alternative rather than forced institutionalization on the state’s dime,” Cooper said of the order.
Remedial order draws criticism
Not everyone is in support of Nelson’s decision.
“The Board of Commissioners is very opposed to the new request from Disability Rights Oregon because they are only considering the interest of the individual who has committed the crime,” Marion County Commissioner Danielle Bethell told the Statesman Journal a few days before the order. “They are not considering the harm or challenge in the community.”
Counties have been stuck and frustrated because the responsibility to provide community-based care falls on them, Bethell said.
“Nobody wants anybody with a mental illness to be stuck in jail and not be able to move through the process of the criminal justice system. Nobody wants that on either side of the ideological divide,” Bethell said.
She highlighted Salem’s REACH, Rapid Engagement, Assessment and Community Health team as one way the community is working to relieve pressure on emergency services that have been responding to mental health crises, “but it’s still inadequate because we don’t have all the stairs of that escalator for that system.”
State leadership, staffing issues challenge Oregon State Hospital
Both Cooper and Bethell pointed to the state’s top leaders and the hospital’s staffing challenges as major issues plaguing progress at OSH.
The hospital’s changing patient population and the pandemic have meant more patients with higher needs, fewer programming options and more pressure on staff, Cooper said.
Four of the eight top OSH executives are interims, including the superintendent and medical and nursing officers.
“I think at the end of the day, what we’ve been concerned about is less about OHA, less about the state hospital, and from a leadership top down,” Cooper said. “Like, from the governor’s office, from the legislature – are you really funding the hospital and the Oregon Health Authority in a way that really allows them to do their jobs?”
The governor and legislature should “walk and chew gum at the same time” by hiring more staff for the hospital while working with local leaders on prevention, Bethell told the Statesman Journal.
“There’s no state law that says they cannot increase capacity and provide better care for individuals that come into the state hospital and a better environment for employees who work in the state hospital,” she said.
Problems with Oregon’s behavioral health system ‘are not fixable overnight,’ court monitor says
Gov. Tina Kotek’s office did not respond to a question about future funding for the hospital, instead pointing to increases in community treatment beds during Kotek’s term.
“I am committed to ensuring Oregonians can access the health care they need, when they need it,” Kotek said in a provided statement. “Together, we are building a system with the capacity to meet the behavioral health needs of Oregonians in the timely fashion they deserve.”
Her administration has helped facilitate the development of 930 new and in-progress residential treatment beds, increasing the state’s capacity by over 30%, spokesperson Hanna Seay Thomas said.
“The Governor has been clear that increased treatment and workforce capacity are essential to having a complete continuum of behavioral healthcare across the state that will serve people better and help to relieve pressure on OSH,” she said.
The most straightforward way to address the intake delays is by adding treatment capacity to help divert people from being admitted to the hospital and provide a place for patients leaving to be discharged, Sills said.
Those projects take time, two to four years on average. The hospital and OHA’s behavioral health division, she said, are working with community programs to make the discharge process better.
Leaders at OHA and OSH were not made available for comment.
While Cooper pointed to the slowly decreasing wait list as a positive sign, Bethell believes things have only gotten “more volatile and negative” since the contempt finding last year.
Hospital leadership and OHA’s behavioral health division meet with Pinals each week, Sills said.
“Despite the lack of compliance with the 7-day admission requirement, in my opinion, at this time OHA is working reasonably and appropriately to address the needs that this Court has required,” Pinals wrote in a March report. “The problems that the behavioral health system is facing are not fixable overnight, but there are many steps that have been taken to help.”
Anastasia Mason covers state government for the Statesman Journal. Reach her at acmason@statesmanjournal.com or 971-208-5615.
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