New Mexico
New Mexico vs. San Diego State odds, props, predictions: Lobos, Aztecs angling for shot at Mountain West title | Sporting News
The Aztecs are looking for revenge on the Lobos after suffering their worst defeat of the season to New Mexico last month. The Lobos and Aztecs sit one game back of first-place Utah State, and tonight’s game will be significant in the race for the Mountain West Championship. Each team plays Utah State before the end of the season, so the winner of this contest controls their own destiny to win the conference.
New Mexico is one of the best spread bets in college basketball, with a 17-8 ATS record. But they have gone through their worst stretch of the season over their last four, going 2-2 and only covering in the wins. Their offense remains the focal point and can light up any opponent, having hit the OVER for total points in nine of their last 10 and four straight.
San Diego State is not nearly as strong against the spread, with a 10-15 ATS record. They have been on a good run recently, winning and covering three of their last four contests. They have proven the ability to win in low-scoring or high-scoring games, hitting two OVERS and two UNDERS in their last four contests.
Here is the New Mexico vs. San Diego State betting news, player props and a prediction for tonight’s Mountain West Conference matchup. The game tips off at 10 p.m. on FS1.
Live odds for New Mexico vs. San Diego State
Here are the spread, moneyline and total points live odds for New Mexico vs. San Diego State at the best online sportsbooks.
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New Mexico Lobos betting news
The Lobos boast an impressive adjusted efficiency margin (+18.91), ranking 24th on Kenpom. Their offense and defense rank 30th for adjusted efficiency, coming against a top 100 (90th) strength of schedule this season. These are all very high metrics for a mid-major program. One big key for the Lobos is their pace — they run on everyone, ranking seventh in the nation for adjusted tempo.
New Mexico boasts a quartet of double-figure scorers, making them difficult to defend because they are so balanced. They have two players tied for the team lead in points, Jaelen House (15.6 PPG) and Donovan Dent (15.6 PPG). Dent is the more efficient player, shooting an impressive 53.2% from the floor and is solid from deep, shooting 38.2% from three.
Just a tick behind House and Dent is Jamal Mashburn Jr., who is scoring 15.3 PPG. And in the frontcourt, forward JT Toppin adds 12.4 PPG and leads the team in rebounding with 8.8 RPG. Toppin is paired down low with Nelly Junior Joseph, who averages 8.8 PPG and 7.8 RPG. Toppin leads the team in blocks with 2 BPG, and Joseph is close, blocking 1.5 shots a night.
That presence inside is the primary reason the Lobos’ defense is so strong. Their backcourt is slightly undersized, with House, Dent and Mashburn Jr. all listed at 6-foot-2 or under. But Toppin and Joseph do a good job protecting the rim.
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San Diego State Aztecs betting news
The Aztecs are slightly higher on Kenpom, ranking 19th for adjusted efficiency margin (+20.21), led by their defense, which ranks 10th for adjusted efficiency. Their offense is still above average, ranking 50th for adjusted efficiency. They play a contrasting style to the Lobos, ranking 220th for adjusted tempo. The team that dictates the pace tonight will likely be the winner.
The Aztecs will look to their star forward, senior Jaedon LeDee, to help control that tempo and slow the Lobos down. LeDee transferred to SDSU from TCU prior to last season. After failing to average double figures in his career, he has exploded this season with 20.3 PPG and 8.5 RPG. He ranks in the top 25 in the nation in scoring and has helped carry the Aztecs’ offense at times. He is also consistent, scoring double figures in every contest this season, including six games with 25-plus points.
The key to San Diego State’s season lies with their backcourt, where they have four players averaging 26 minutes or more a night, with all four scoring between eight and 12 points a night. If they could get one of them to step up and be a consistent 15-plus point threat to pair with LeDee, the Aztecs could be dangerous in March. Reese Waters (11.3 PPG) needs to get back on track, having scored in single digits in three of his last four.
New Mexico vs. San Diego State player props at FanDuel Sportsbook
Here are some of the top player prop markets for New Mexico vs. San Diego State from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Donovan Dent player props
- 11.5 points OVER (-125) / UNDER (-104)
Jamal Mashburn player props
- 13.5 points OVER (-104) / UNDER (-125)
Jaedon LeDee player props
- 16.5 points OVER (-122) / UNDER (-106)
- 7.5 rebounds OVER (-102) / UNDER (-130)
JT Toppin player props
- 10.5 points OVER (+100) / UNDER (-130)
- 9.5 rebounds OVER (-108) / UNDER (-122)
Jaelen House player props
- 14.5 points OVER (-125) / UNDER (-104)
Darrion Trammell player props
- 9.5 points OVER (-125) / UNDER (-104)
New Mexico vs. San Diego State prediction: Tight battle comes down to the wire
New Mexico can clearly hang with SDSU, having dominated them at home just last month. With the betting line sitting at , it’s hard not to take the points in what should be a hard-fought conference game with a shot at the conference title on the line.
Pick: New Mexico
Grant’s Monday Night Forecast
A few evaporating rain showers are possible again Tuesday with warmer temperatures. Windier weather later this week will bring a high fire danger back to New Mexico.
It’s been a warm day with a few isolated showers and thunderstorms across central and northern New Mexico. Some of that rain has made it to the ground, while other showers have evaporated before reaching the surface. Temperatures have climbed into the 70s and 80s for most of the state. Showers will fade after sunset, with mostly clear skies overnight and mild temperatures.
Even warmer weather is on the way Tuesday with lighter winds. More areas will reach the 80s by the afternoon. A few spotty showers will develop again, especially near the mountains, with some of that rain evaporating before reaching the ground.
Winds pick up Wednesday afternoon, with gusts between 25 and 45 mph. This will begin another stretch of high fire danger across the state. The strongest winds arrive Thursday, with westerly gusts of 35 to 55 mph. That will expand the fire danger statewide. A dry cold front will move through Thursday as well, but temperatures will only drop slightly, ending up closer to average.
Breezy conditions continue Friday through the weekend as the jet stream pulls more moisture into New Mexico. That will bring increasing chances for rain and thunderstorms this weekend, with a few lingering into early next week.
New Mexico
Landlord AC ordinance, Rio Grande water levels, Spotty rain, New legislative office, New Mexico Motorfest
Monday’s Top Stories
Monday’s Five Facts
[1] ABQ City Councilor aims to bolster protections for renters amid unseasonable warmth – Albuquerque city councilor is looking to make sure city landlords are not only providing cooling systems, but also ensuring they actually work when they’re needed. City Councilor Tammy Fiebelkorn spearheaded an ordinance in December of 2024, requiring all Albuquerque rental properties to have a cooling system. Now, Fiebelkorn is taking it a step further, hoping to establish cooling system performance requirements. The ordinance is expected to be voted on in final action at Monday’s city council meeting.
[2] Rio Grande showing dry spots in Valencia County amid record-low snowpack – Portions of the Rio Grande are now seeing dry spots earlier than expected. Officials say the timing is not normal. In Valencia County, parts of the river are already running dry. Near the river crossing in Los Lunas, the river has open pockets. Further south, it is being reported as dry as well. There is a slight positive outlook for the monsoon season, with forecasters and officials predicting a strong season in the Middle Rio Grande Valley.
[3] Very spotty rainfall, warmer, & mostly calm week – Warmer weather will continue building in across the state throughout the upcoming week. A few isolated rain chances will return Monday in parts of New Mexico, but some of that rain may evaporate before reaching the ground. Temperatures will continue to increase through the middle of the week.
[4] NM representatives celebrate grand opening of new office with open house – A new state legislative office made its debut for representatives Eleanor Chavez and Yanira Gurrola. The new location is just one of the handful of new legislative offices now open across the state. They hosted a grand opening for the building that was open to the public. Representative Gurrola says it’s just one step towards modernizing the state’s legislature. The new office will allow residents to stay more connected to each representative.
[5] New Mexico Motorfest 2026 takes place in celebration of Route 66 Centennial – Another Route 66 celebration took place over the weekend and this one was all about cars. The New Mexico Motorfest happened at the Expo New Mexico racetrack. Over 300 vehicles from classic hot rods to lifted trucks were featured at the event. Some of the proceeds went to New Mexico veterans.
New Mexico
Los Alamos Public Schools Students Compete At 2026 New Mexico State Science & Engineering Fair
Students from Barranca Mesa Elementary, Mountain Elementary, Los Alamos Middle School, and Los Alamos High School at the 2026 New Mexico State Science & Engineering Fair at New Mexico Tech. Photo CourtesyLAPS
LAHS junior Tate Plohr and freshman Linus Plohr qualified to attend the 2026 Regeneron International Science and Engineering Fair in May in Phoenix, Ariz. Photo Courtesy LAPS
Los Alamos Middle School student Branden Keller was awarded the CO2 & Greenhouse Gas Scholarship in the amount of $2,000 at the 2026 New Mexico State Science & Engineering Fair. Photo Courtesy/LAPS
LAPS NEWS RELEASE
Twenty students from Barranca Mesa Elementary, Mountain Elementary, Los Alamos Middle School (LAMS) and Los Alamos High School (LAHS) competed, with several garnering awards at the 2026 New Mexico State Science and Engineering Fair held at New Mexico Tech in Socorro.
LAHS junior Tate Plohr qualified to attend the Regeneron International Science and Engineering Fair (ISEF) next month in Phoenix, Ariz. He was awarded the 3rd-place Grand Award. Freshman Linus Plohr qualified as an alternate and will also be attending the Regeneron ISEF.
Students who participated in the state competition include, from Barranca Mesa Elementary, Sydney Chen, Mary Beth Kelsey, Lily Neale, Aurora Roberts Voss and Henry Rodarte; and Glyn Lo and Ernest Maupin, Mountain Elementary.
Students from LAMS who competed include Evelyn Fobes, Mason Garcia, Andrew Gilbertson, James Junghans, Sequoya Ke, Brandon Keller, Nejan Liyanage and Daniel Yampolsky.
LAHS students Julia Neale, Linus Plohr, Tate Plohr, Lilia Veteva, Helena Welch and Kalliope Welch competed at the senior level.
2026 Award winners:
Category Awards – Junior Division
- Animal Science, Cellular & Molecular
- Biomedical & Health Science
- Honorable Mention: Sequoya Ke
- Embedded Systems, Math, Robotics, Software & Technology
- 2nd place: Nejan Liyanage
- Physics & Astronomy
- 1st place: Sydney Chen
- 2nd place: Mason Garcia
- Honorable Mention: Marybeth Kelsey
- Plant Science
Category Awards – Senior Division
- Behavioral & Social Science:
- Honorable Mention: Linus Plohr
- Earth & Environmental
- Honorable Mention: Lilia Viteva
- Embedded Systems, Math, Robotics, & System Software
- 3rd Place: Helena Welch and Kalliope Welch
- Physics & Astronomy
Grand Awards
- ISEF finalist 3rd place: Tate Plohr
- Brandon Keller received the CO2 & Greenhouse Gas Scholarship in the amount of $2,000. James Jungans and Marybeth Kelsey garnered Thermo Fisher Awards.
Other special award winners include:
- CO2 & Greenhouse Reduction Awards (Junior Division)
- Daniel Yampolsky, 2nd place, Earth & Environmental Sciences
- Sequoya Ke, 1st place, Biomedical & Health Science
- Brandon Keller, 1st place, Energy & Materials Science
- Andrew Gilbertson, 1st place, Physics & Astronomy
- CO2 & Greenhouse Gas Reduction Award (Senior Division)
- Lilia Viteva, 1st place, Earth & Environmental Sciences
- Office of Naval Research Award
- David Shortess Award
- New Mexico AVS Award
- Citadel Award
- Naval Research Award
- NM Network for Women in Science & Engineering Award
- Yale Science & Engineering Award
- Rose Baca Rivet Award
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