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Nevada vs. San Jose State, Arkansas State vs. South Alabama picks: CFB odds, predictions

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Nevada vs. San Jose State, Arkansas State vs. South Alabama picks: CFB odds, predictions


Now that paycheck games are largely behind the Group of Five teams, it’s time to identify a few schools flying under the national radar in college football.

This week I’m setting my sights on star passers who are primed to tear up the Mountain West and Sun Belt conferences.

Nevada at San Jose State (7:30 p.m. ET, truTV/Max)

Non-public teams have a better chance of ending a season as a gambling darling, compared to, say, an Alabama or Notre Dame.

You’re not paying a premium for the helmet, so to speak, when you back a team like San Jose State.

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The Spartans are 4-0 ATS this season, easily covering by an average margin of 10.8 points per game.

So why are sportsbooks still hanging generous numbers when SJSU plays?

Well, there was reasonable skepticism surrounding the SJSU program just a month ago.

Brent Brennan was one of the last coaches to nab a major job during the offseason, leaving SJSU in the lurch late in the process.

AD Jeff Konya turned to Ken Niumatalolo, a proven winner at the Naval Academy (109 wins, 10 bowl bids).

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But a big question remained: What kind of offense would the option-centric Niumatalolo implement in the Bay Area?

He quickly put that concern to rest by hiring Craig Stutzmann as his coordinator.

Stutzmann’s “Spread n’ Shred” offense has been a revelation.

Nick Nash, SJSU’s go-to receiver, leads the nation in receptions and receiving touchdowns.

And you’d never know that Niumatalolo coached up triple-option quarterbacks for two decades in Annapolis when you watch Emmett Brown spin it.

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The undersized sophomore is thriving, averaging more than 320 passing yards per game with a stellar 13-4 touchdown-to-interception ratio.

This might be the last week to play the Spartans before the secret is out on this MWC contender.

Nevada will put up a good fight, but Brendon Lewis will likely wilt in a shootout when facing SJSU’s pressure defense.

The Spartans rank 30th in both pass-rushing grade and defensive havoc.

I expect a few costly turnovers from Lewis in a comfortable win for the Spartans.

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Recommendation: San Jose State -6.5 (-115, FanDuel).

Wolf Pack quarterback Brendon Lewis throws a pass during Nevada’s 27-0 loss to Minnesota on Sept. 14, 2024. Matt Krohn-Imagn Images

Arkansas State at South Alabama (7 p.m. ET, ESPN+)

This game features two up-tempo offenses with dynamic dual-threat quarterbacks who are facing defenses ranked in the bottom 20 of the FBS.

Casual observers might see two inconsistent offenses, but there are simple explanations for that.

In the case of Arkansas State, it has drawn two elite Power Four defenses in the past two weeks (Michigan, Iowa State).

South Alabama, likewise, played on the road in Death Valley last week and was manhandled by LSU.

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Additionally, USA played a game earlier in the season with star quarterback Gio Lopez sidelined with turf toe.


Betting on College Football?


When Lopez and Arkansas State’s Jaylen Raynor are operating against lousy G5 defenses, they fill up the stat sheet.

In games against Central Arkansas and Tulsa, Raynor performed like an all-SBC quarterback, racking up 694 total yards and five total touchdowns.

With the exception of the LSU game, Lopez has accounted for three or more touchdowns in each of his starts this season, guiding South Alabama to a scoring average of 57.6 points per game across those three games.

He’s flanked in the backfield by Fluff Bothwell, one of the best-kept secrets in college football.

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The breakout freshman is averaging more than 8 yards per carry and will be running into a lifeless ASU defense that ranks 130th in tackling, per Pro Football Focus.

Recommendation: Over 61 total points (-110, Caesars).


Why Trust New York Post Betting

Mike Calabrese is a handicapper for the New York Post, with a sharp focus on college sports. His betting advice often centers around situational spots, including travel, rest and altitude disparities.



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Nevada

Las Vegas couple dies in plane crash near Nevada-California border

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Las Vegas couple dies in plane crash near Nevada-California border


LAS VEGAS (KLAS) – A Las Vegas couple died, and one man was injured in a plane crash near the Nevada-California border last week, according to documents obtained by 8 News Now.

On Nov. 10, a small plane, rented from a North Las Vegas company, took off from an airport in California before crashing near the state line. Maria and Brett Egarr Sr., a Las Vegas couple, died in the crash, and their son, Brett Jr., survived, according to family who spoke with 8 News Now.

“While we sincerely appreciate the opportunity to share more about our loved ones, and are incredibly grateful and humbled that the media is wanting to speak on our parents’ legacy, as a family, we are asking for privacy and understanding during this difficult time in our lives. Thank you,” Krista Lang, the victims’ daughter, wrote in an email to 8 News Now.

Following an evening takeoff from Bishop Airport, the Inyo County Sheriff’s Office received a report of a missing aircraft. The next morning, search and rescue patrols found the crashed plane around 50 miles west of the Nevada-California border.

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One survivor, Brett Jr., sustained several injuries and was airlifted to Bishop Airport, where he was treated by emergency medical workers.

On Nov. 13, 702 Aviation, a company based out of North Las Vegas Airport, posted a link to donate to the victims’ family along with a message of condolences.

“702 Aviation extends its deepest thoughts and support to the pilot, their loved ones, and all those impacted,” 702 Aviation staff wrote in a social media post. “The aviation community is a family, and we stand with them during this time of loss.”

8 News Now contacted members of the family and verified the GoFundMe account, titled: “Support the Egarr Family After Tragic Loss,” which has been organized by friends of the Egarr family to help pay for medical and funeral costs.

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Heavy snow over the Sierra Nevada on Monday

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Heavy snow over the Sierra Nevada on Monday


Heavy snow and gusts to about 65 km/h (40 mph) are forecast for the West Slope Northern Sierra Nevada and Western Plumas County/Lassen Park in California on Monday, November 17, 2025, with a Winter Weather Advisory in effect until 16:00 PST. A brief break is forecast for Tuesday and Wednesday, followed by increased chances for rain and snow showers on Thursday, November 20.

A developing upper-level low along the California coast is forecast to drift south toward northwestern Mexico by Wednesday, producing West Coast precipitation and heavy Sierra Nevada snow mainly on Monday, with showers and embedded thunderstorms over central California through early Tuesday and high-elevation snow extending into the Southwest through Wednesday morning.

For the West Slope Northern Sierra Nevada, the forecast calls for heavy rain and snow today, tapering to chances of rain/snow tonight, then partial clearing Tuesday into Wednesday before another disturbance brings rain and snow showers on Thursday, November 20.

Snow levels are around 2 000 m (6 500 feet) today, lowering to roughly 1 700 m (5 500 feet) tonight, then rising again Tuesday afternoon. Expected accumulations today are about 8 to 25 cm (3 to 9 inches) at higher elevations, with little to none at lower elevations; up to about 2.5 cm (1 inch) is possible tonight at higher elevations.

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A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect for Western Plumas County/Lassen Park and the West Slope Northern Sierra Nevada until 16:00 PST Monday.

Forecast totals are 15 to 30 cm (6 to 12 inches), with 30 to 60 cm (1 to 2 feet) possible on the highest peaks. South to southwest wind gusts may reach about 65 km/h (40 mph). Advisory guidance places snow levels generally near 2 000–2 100 m (6 500–7 000 feet) today, lowering to roughly 1 500–1 800 m (5 000–6 000 feet) by Monday morning.

Travel impacts are possible across higher passes during heavier snowfall and gusty winds; motorists should check Caltrans conditions and chain requirements before travel.

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A brief break with partly cloudy conditions is forecast Tuesday and Wednesday, followed by increased chances for rain and snow showers on Thursday with moderate additional accumulations possible, then a drier trend Friday into the weekend.






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Parts of the Sierra Nevada under winter weather advisory

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Parts of the Sierra Nevada under winter weather advisory



A winter weather advisory is in effect until 4 p.m. Monday in parts of the Sierra Nevada, the National Weather Service said.

About 4 to 10 inches of snow is expected for areas above 6,000 feet, and 1 to 2 feet of snow is likely at the highest peaks.

The NWS said there will be roadway impacts due to the snow.

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As of Sunday morning, there were chain controls over Donner Summit.

  • I-80 westbound is R-2 from the Donner Lake Interchange to Rainbow

Caltrans Quickmap has up-to-date road restrictions. 





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