Now that paycheck games are largely behind the Group of Five teams, it’s time to identify a few schools flying under the national radar in college football.
This week I’m setting my sights on star passers who are primed to tear up the Mountain West and Sun Belt conferences.
Nevada at San Jose State (7:30 p.m. ET, truTV/Max)
Non-public teams have a better chance of ending a season as a gambling darling, compared to, say, an Alabama or Notre Dame.
You’re not paying a premium for the helmet, so to speak, when you back a team like San Jose State.
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The Spartans are 4-0 ATS this season, easily covering by an average margin of 10.8 points per game.
So why are sportsbooks still hanging generous numbers when SJSU plays?
Well, there was reasonable skepticism surrounding the SJSU program just a month ago.
Brent Brennan was one of the last coaches to nab a major job during the offseason, leaving SJSU in the lurch late in the process.
AD Jeff Konya turned to Ken Niumatalolo, a proven winner at the Naval Academy (109 wins, 10 bowl bids).
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But a big question remained: What kind of offense would the option-centric Niumatalolo implement in the Bay Area?
He quickly put that concern to rest by hiring Craig Stutzmann as his coordinator.
Stutzmann’s “Spread n’ Shred” offense has been a revelation.
Nick Nash, SJSU’s go-to receiver, leads the nation in receptions and receiving touchdowns.
And you’d never know that Niumatalolo coached up triple-option quarterbacks for two decades in Annapolis when you watch Emmett Brown spin it.
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The undersized sophomore is thriving, averaging more than 320 passing yards per game with a stellar 13-4 touchdown-to-interception ratio.
This might be the last week to play the Spartans before the secret is out on this MWC contender.
Nevada will put up a good fight, but Brendon Lewis will likely wilt in a shootout when facing SJSU’s pressure defense.
The Spartans rank 30th in both pass-rushing grade and defensive havoc.
I expect a few costly turnovers from Lewis in a comfortable win for the Spartans.
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Recommendation: San Jose State -6.5 (-115, FanDuel).Wolf Pack quarterback Brendon Lewis throws a pass during Nevada’s 27-0 loss to Minnesota on Sept. 14, 2024. Matt Krohn-Imagn Images
Arkansas State at South Alabama (7 p.m. ET, ESPN+)
This game features two up-tempo offenses with dynamic dual-threat quarterbacks who are facing defenses ranked in the bottom 20 of the FBS.
Casual observers might see two inconsistent offenses, but there are simple explanations for that.
In the case of Arkansas State, it has drawn two elite Power Four defenses in the past two weeks (Michigan, Iowa State).
South Alabama, likewise, played on the road in Death Valley last week and was manhandled by LSU.
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Additionally, USA played a game earlier in the season with star quarterback Gio Lopez sidelined with turf toe.
Betting on College Football?
When Lopez and Arkansas State’s Jaylen Raynor are operating against lousy G5 defenses, they fill up the stat sheet.
In games against Central Arkansas and Tulsa, Raynor performed like an all-SBC quarterback, racking up 694 total yards and five total touchdowns.
With the exception of the LSU game, Lopez has accounted for three or more touchdowns in each of his starts this season, guiding South Alabama to a scoring average of 57.6 points per game across those three games.
He’s flanked in the backfield by Fluff Bothwell, one of the best-kept secrets in college football.
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The breakout freshman is averaging more than 8 yards per carry and will be running into a lifeless ASU defense that ranks 130th in tackling, per Pro Football Focus.
Recommendation: Over 61 total points (-110, Caesars).
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Mike Calabrese is a handicapper for the New York Post, with a sharp focus on college sports. His betting advice often centers around situational spots, including travel, rest and altitude disparities.
LAS VEGAS (FOX5) — A deadly crash involving a semi tractor-trailer and a tow truck has closed US-95 in both directions at mile marker 73 in Nye County, the Nevada Highway Patrol said Thursday.
NHP responded to the crash at approximately 2:16 a.m. on Feb. 26, 2026.
Details about the crash were not immediately available, but both drivers were confirmed dead at the scene.
A deadly crash involving a semi tractor-trailer and a tow truck has closed US-95 in both directions at mile marker 73 in Nye County, the Nevada Highway Patrol said Thursday.(Nevada State Police)
Both northbound and southbound travel lanes on US-95 at mile marker 73 remain closed as of the initial report. The closure is located approximately 13 miles north of Beatty, Nevada.
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Drivers headed northbound are advised to take US-93 through Alamo, Nevada, then Highway 318 to Highway 375, then Highway 6 westbound into Tonopah, Nevada.
Drivers headed southbound out of Tonopah are advised to take US-6 eastbound to Highway 375, then Highway 318, then US-93 into Alamo, Nevada.
NHP said additional information will be released following the preliminary investigation.
LAS VEGAS (FOX5) — World-renowned free climber and Las Vegas local Alex Honnold is soaring to new heights with a new mission: helping everyone explore Nevada and all that the Silver State has to offer.
Travel Nevada, the state’s tourism agency, partnered with Honnold on the venture. FOX5’s Jaclyn Schultz spoke to Honnold after his recent success climbing atop Taipei 101. Streaming service Netflix broadcast the free climb live to millions of viewers.
Honnold is already an advocate for outdoor preservation across Nevada, and worked to preserve thousands of climbing routes on public lands like Red Rock Canyon.
“Everyone I meet is like, ‘Why would you live in Vegas?’ They think, they think I just spent all my time on the Strip. The Strip is cool– it’s incredible in its own way, world-class entertainment and everything. But man, the outdoor access is unparalleled,” Honnold said.
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“I moved here for a reason. I think it’s the best climbing. I think it’s arguably some of the best access in the world. Having a convenient airport and sort of convenient living coupled with very convenient rock– there just aren’t that many places like that in the world,” Honnold tells FOX5.
“Get A Little Out There With Alex Honnold” features outdoor adventures across Nevada, and takes people along to discover hidden gems in different towns and communities.
What’s the most “underrated place” in Nevada, according to Honnold?
“Ely, Nevada,” Honnold said. “The potential, the bare bones of having a small town at the base of giant mountains, the access to skiing, the access to trails–I was like, this is as good as any kind of Colorado resort town,” Honnold said.
Nevada’s tourism has notably taken a nosedive over the past year. Various businesses, local leaders and state agencies have worked to lure back tourists, international visitors and domestic travelers.
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“Part of the appeal of making the show is that you do just want more people to know about the opportunity. Nevada’s 80% public land. You can just go out and have adventures virtually anywhere,” he said.
Episode 1 of Honnold’s series drops February 26 on Outside TV. You can learn more here: Travel Nevada