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Kamala Harris’ 2024 fate could lie with unions in Nevada as Republicans gain ground in the battleground state

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Kamala Harris’ 2024 fate could lie with unions in Nevada as Republicans gain ground in the battleground state


On a Wednesday afternoon under a blazing sun and clear blue sky, Claudia Monreal and Artenasa Orocco pulled up on a neighborhood street in east Las Vegas.

Armed with political flyers and an app on a phone showing where to go, they began knocking on doors as the temperature in Nevada approached 100 degrees.

Election Day is quickly approaching in the battleground state, and for Democrats, victory there could all come down to voter turnout as Republicans have nearly wiped out Democrats’ voter registration advantage in the state.

That’s where the Culinary Workers Union comes into play. The union which represents 60,000 service workers in Las Vegas and Reno has been helping deliver wins for Democrats in Nevada for years. In August, it endorsed Harris for president.

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Both Monreal and Orocco are union members on leaves of absence from their Vegas casino jobs ahead of the looming election to help turn out voters and urge them to support Democrats in November.

Artenasa Orocco (left) and Claudia Monreal (right) out knocking on doors in Las Vegas. They are both members of the Culinary Workers Union out on leaves of absence from their work at casinos in Vegas to help get out the vote for Democrats ahead of the 2024 election

Monreal has been out knocking on doors for the last three weeks. She has not been counting just how many doors she personally has hit, but she plans to keep ramping up her canvassing before Election Day. 

Overall, the union’s 450 canvassers knocked on more than one million doors in the state in 2022, its largest program ever.

‘A lot of people are very welcoming. If they’re on the fence still, they ask for information. We’re able to give them factual information,’ Monreal said of her experience this year so far.

The union is targeting registered Democrats and Independent union members as well as the general public. First and foremost, Monreal make sure they are registered to vote and have a plan to vote before discussing the Democrats endorsed by the union.

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The mother of five said the biggest issues she comes across are the economy including skyrocketing rents and higher prices.

Orocco, the mother of three adult daughters, agreed the top issue when she engages with voters has also been the cost of living, but she has also found reproductive rights is another top issue.

‘Women’s rights are important,’ she said. ‘Nobody can come and tell us “you have to do this” when they don’t know the situation for every person, so that is a very big issue.’

At a stop with an older man sitting on his patio, they chat for several minutes in Spanish before leaving him some flyers.

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The union members are working to get out the vote for Kamala Harris, Senator Jacky Rosen, Democrats in the House and other candidates down-ballot. First they ask people about their voter registration and plans to vote before sharing information on why the union endorsed Harris. During the 2022 midterms, the Culinary Workers Union canvassers knocked on more than one million doors

The union members are working to get out the vote for Kamala Harris, Senator Jacky Rosen, Democrats in the House and other candidates down-ballot. First they ask people about their voter registration and plans to vote before sharing information on why the union endorsed Harris. During the 2022 midterms, the Culinary Workers Union canvassers knocked on more than one million doors

Monreal and Orocco speaking with a man about voting in Spanish

Monreal and Orocco speaking with a man about voting in Spanish

One of the flyers being left by Culinary Union Worker members out canvassing

Monreal hanging a flyer on a door

When canvassers do not get people at the door, they leave flyers about their endorsement and reminding people that election day is November 5

The women are urging voters to cast ballots for Vice President Kamala Harris as well as reelect Senator Jacky Rosen, Nevada’s Democratic House members and support other Democrats down-ballot.

Nevada is a deeply purple state. President Biden won it in 2020 by 35,000 votes. The latest polling shows a closer race between Harris and Trump with the Democratic nominee leading by one point in the Real Clear Politics average.

DailyMail.com and J.L. Partners’ election model has Trump as the favorite to win the state. 

The strategy by Democrats in Nevada is focused on voter turnout with work from labor groups, said Daniel Lee, a professor of political science at University of Nevada Las Vegas.

‘That was kind of the core part of the Harry Reid machine,’ Lee said, referring to the infrastructure of workers built by the late Senate Majority Leader in the state. ‘It’s something that’s kind of been chugging along even since his passing.’

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Harris recognizes the power the union still holds for helping turn out the vote. On a less than 24-hour campaign swing through the state this week, Harris stopped first to meet with Culinary Workers Union leaders and members Wednesday night before her town hall on Thursday. The Nevada Teamsters and SEIU are among other groups that have also endorsed the vice president.

Vice President Kamala Harris welcomed by U.S. Representatives Susie Lee and Steven Horsford on arrival in Las Vegas on October 20.  The Culinary Workers Union is canvassing for all three

Vice President Kamala Harris welcomed by U.S. Representatives Susie Lee and Steven Horsford on arrival in Las Vegas on October 20.  The Culinary Workers Union is canvassing for all three 

But when it comes to Nevada, Democrats are losing their edge at least in terms of voter registrations. In 2020, they had about a five point advantage. That’s now down to a one point advantage.

In the midterms, Democrats were able to hold on to the Senate seat in Nevada. But Democratic Governor Steve Sisolak was ousted by Republican Joe Lombardo.

One of the biggest challenges for Sisolak was the economy. Nevada with its heavy tourism and service industry led economy was decimated by the coronavirus pandemic.

While the unemployment rate nationally hovers near historic lows at 4.1 percent. Nevada has the highest unemployment rate of any state at 5.5 percent. During the pandemic in 2020 it hit 13.5 percent annually before edging back down.

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The tourism industry has largely recovered with most metrics hitting pre-pandemic levels in early 2023. But for some, the memories and some lingering financial impact remains as costs also went up.

Trump is also trying to draw support from workers in the industry. During a Las Vegas rally in June, he proposed ending taxes on tips in a pitch to the thousands of service workers at casinos, restaurants and hotels in the state.

Donald Trump at a campaign rally in Las Vegas on September 13. In June he pitched ending taxation on tips during another visit to the state. Republicans have gained grounds in Nevada when it comes to voter registrations in the state. They've gone from a roughly five point gap in 2020 to a one point gap in 2024

Donald Trump at a campaign rally in Las Vegas on September 13. In June he pitched ending taxation on tips during another visit to the state. Republicans have gained grounds in Nevada when it comes to voter registrations in the state. They’ve gone from a roughly five point gap in 2020 to a one point gap in 2024

The union dismissed the proposal with its secretary-treasurer saying relief is definitely needed but workers ‘are smart enough to know the difference between real solutions and wild campaign promises.’

Harris has also signaled support for end taxes on tips, which Trump has accused her of copying. Democrats have introduced a bill in Congress, but Nevada already has a ban on subminimum wage in the state.

The ex-president has also been gaining with Hispanic voters. A new Suffolk University poll shows Harris leading Trump 56 to 40 percent among Hispanic voters in the state. 

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While support for Democrats has not dropped as a percentage, Trump’s number have inching upward, denying the vice president the 24 to 26 point advantage Biden had with Hispanic voters in the state in 2020.

But for Monreal and Orocco, Hispanic support for Trump has not come up in their own conversations on the ground. Their union is the largest Latino organization in the state.

Overall, they’ve found their engagement with voters across the neighborhoods of Vegas to be positive as they make their case. On Wednesday, it was one of their better days to be outside. While temperatures neared triple digits, they’ve been out in temperatures nearing 110 before.

When they don’t meet voters at doors, they leave flyers reminding people about the upcoming elections and explaining why they’re backing the Democrats.

Monreal and Orocco with Harris supporter Darcy Gouveia who answered while they were out knocking on doors in Las Vegas

Monreal and Orocco with Harris supporter Darcy Gouveia who answered while they were out knocking on doors in Las Vegas

At a door an hour into their canvassing, Darcy Gouveia answers his door. After introducing themselves, the first set of questions is about whether Darcy is registered and has a plan to vote.

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Gouveia is all set on that front He also knows exactly who he will be voting for: Harris.

‘I think she’s very strong and would be good for president,’ he said.

The biggest issue he faces is high prices from the cost of rent to gas and food costs. While he does not love everything out of the Biden administration, he believes they are trying and have done ok with addressing the issue as they can.

As for Trump, he has not been impressed.

‘Oh please, not him,’ Gouveia said, rolling his eyes before he shut his front door.

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Earthquake swarm rattles central Nevada near Tonopah along newly identified fault

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Earthquake swarm rattles central Nevada near Tonopah along newly identified fault


A swarm of earthquakes has been rattling a remote stretch of central Nevada near Tonopah, including a magnitude 4.0 quake that hit near Warm Springs Tuesday morning.

Seismologists said the activity is typical for Nevada, where clusters of earthquakes can flare up in a concentrated area. “This is a very Nevada-style earthquake sequence. We have these a lot where we just see an uptick in activity in a certain spot,” said Christie Rowe, director of the Nevada Seismological Lab.

The latest magnitude 4.0 quake struck east of Tonopah near Warm Springs. The largest earthquake in the swarm so far has measured a 4.2.

What has stood out to researchers is the fault involved. Rowe said the earthquakes are occurring along a fault stretching along the southern edge of the Monitor and Antelope ranges — and that it was previously unknown to scientists. “We didn’t know this fault was there. It’s a new fault to us — not to the Earth, obviously — but it was previously unknown,” Rowe said.

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For now, the earthquakes have remained moderate. Rowe said the lab would not deploy additional temporary sensors unless activity increases to around a magnitude 5 or greater.

Seismologists said they are continuing to watch the swarm closely as Nevada works to bring the ShakeAlert early warning system to the state. The program, already active in neighboring states, can send cellphone alerts seconds before shaking arrives. “For me, it’s a really high priority. That distance to the faults gives us enough time to warn people — and that can make a big difference in reducing injuries and damage,” Rowe said.

Seismologists encouraged anyone who feels shaking to report it through the U.S. Geological Survey’s “Did You Feel It” system, saying even small quakes can help scientists better understand Nevada’s seismic activity.

Experts said the swarm is worth monitoring but is not cause for alarm. They noted that earthquakes like the 5.8 that hit near Yerington in December 2024 typically happen in Nevada about every eight to 10 years, and said they will continue monitoring the current activity closely.



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Kalshi Enforcement Action Belongs in Nevada Court, Judge Says

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Kalshi Enforcement Action Belongs in Nevada Court, Judge Says


Nevada state court is the proper venue for reviewing whether KalshiEX LLC is improperly accepting sports wagers without a license, a federal district court said.

The Nevada Gaming Control Board showed that the state statutes under which it seeks relief don’t require interpreting federal law, Judge Miranda M. Du of the US District Court for the District of Nevada said in a Monday order. The board’s action is now remanded to the First Judicial District Court in Carson City, Nev., the order said.

The board in 2025 urged Kalshi, a financial services company, to get a gaming license, but the …



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EDITORIAL: Nevada still vulnerable as tourist downturn continues

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EDITORIAL: Nevada still vulnerable as tourist downturn continues


Strip gaming executives can put their best spin on the numbers, but local tourism indicators remain a major concern. Casino operators seeking to draw more people through the door still have much work to do.

The Nevada Gaming Control Board released January gaming numbers Friday. The news was underwhelming. The state gaming win was down 6.6 percent from a year earlier. The Strip took the largest hit, an 11 percent drop. But the gloomy returns were spread throughout Clark County: Downtown Las Vegas was off 5.2 percent, Laughlin suffered a 3.3 percent decline and the Boulder Strip dipped by 7 percent.

For the current fiscal year, gaming tax collections are up a paltry
2.1 percent, below budget projections.

The red flags include more than gaming numbers. Recently released figures for 2025 reveal that visitation to Las Vegas fell nearly 8 percent from 2024, which represented the lowest total since the pandemic in 2021. Traffic at Reid International Airport fell more than 10 percent in December and was down 6 percent for the year. Strip occupancy rates fell 3 percent in 2025.

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To be fair, this is not just a Las Vegas problem. International travel to the United States was down
4.8 percent in January, Forbes reported, the ninth straight month of decline. Travel from Europe fell 5.2 percent, and passenger counts from Asia fell 7.5 percent. Canadian tourism cratered by 22 percent.

No doubt that President Donald Trump’s blustery rhetoric has played a role in the decline, but there’s more at work. International tourism has been largely flat since Barack Obama’s last few years in office. But domestic travel has held relatively steady although it is “starting to cool,” according to the U.S. Travel Association. Las Vegas hasn’t been helped by high-profile complaints last year about exorbitant Strip prices for parking, bottled water and other staples. Casino operators responded by offering discounts, particularly for locals, and they’ll need to continue those policies into 2026.

The tourism downturn has ramifications for the state budget, which relies primarily on sales and gaming tax revenues to support spending plans. “Nevada’s employment and economic challenges reflect deep structural factors that extend beyond cyclical economic fluctuations,” noted a recent report by economic analyst John Restrepo. “The state’s extreme concentration in tourism and gaming creates unique vulnerabilities.”

The irony is that state and local politicians have been talking for the past half century about “diversifying” the state economy. In recent years, that effort has primarily consisted of handing out millions in tax breaks and other incentives to attract businesses to the state. A dispassionate observer might ask whether that approach has brought an adequate return on investment.

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