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GOP’s early Nevada voting surge could doom Harris’ chances in the swing state

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GOP’s early Nevada voting surge could doom Harris’ chances in the swing state


LAS VEGAS — Nevada’s early-voting numbers show Democratic presidential-election dominance in the swing state could come crashing down next month, making former President Donald Trump the first Republican to win the state’s six Electoral College votes in 20 years.

A 2020 Democratic lead of 47,000 ballots returned by this point in the cycle has been erased, with a swing of close to 53,000 Republican ballots, GOP campaign strategist Jeremy Hughes tweeted Tuesday.

It’s given Republicans a nearly 6,000-vote lead in the Silver State. 

Las Vegas Strip-themed “I Voted” stickers are placed on a table where voters turn in mail-in ballots at the Meadows Mall on October 21, 2024,in Las Vegas, Nevada. Early voting in the battleground state began on October 19 and continues through November 1. On the first day of early voting, Nevada recorded the most in-person voters since adopting universal mail voting for the 2020 election. Getty Images

The changing ballot numbers come as a new AARP poll shows the ex-prez ahead of Kamala Harris in Nevada by 2 points, with independent voters over 50 preferring Trump 41% versus 27% for the vice president.

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A Trump win here would seriously dent Harris’ chances of keeping the White House in Democratic hands. The veep’s team had former President Barack Obama in North Las Vegas Saturday and will bring in First Lady Jill Biden and Gov. Tim Walz during the next week in an attempt to juice turnout.

Early voting in Nevada ends Nov. 1, while mail-in ballots can be received up to Nov. 9 by 5 p.m. — four days after Election Day — provided they are postmarked by Nov. 5.

Mail-in and early-voting totals the secretary of state’s released show 263,410 ballots cast as of Monday, representing 13.1% of statewide turnout. The 101,231 GOP ballots cast so far lead the 95,392 Democratic ballots by 5,839, or 2.2%. A further 66,787 ballots were cast by unaffiliated voters or those registered with other political parties.

What those early ballots — in-person and postal — contain won’t be known until the polls close Nov. 5. But pundit Jon Ralston, CEO and editor of The Nevada Independent, said Monday night the GOP hasn’t seen a statewide ballot lead here since 2008, and it “could signal serious danger” for the Harris campaign.

RealClearPolitics’ Nevada polling average gives Trump a 0.7-point lead over Harris, down one-tenth of a point from the weekend.

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Clark County poll workers check in voters Monday at Las Vegas’ Meadows Mall. Getty Images

At issue is the so-called “Clark County firewall” Democrats supposedly have in the state’s most populous county, which includes Las Vegas and boasts 1.4 million registered voters. That amounts to 70% of the state’s 1.98 million “active” and registered voters. 

Election officials reported 72,969 Clark County Democrats have voted early as of Tuesday, versus 66,481 Republicans and 49,893 “other” voters. That gives the Democrats a margin of roughly 6,500 votes, but Washoe County — the state’s second-largest by population — and several rural counties are seeing strong turnouts.

Las Vegas Review-Journal columnist Victor Joecks tweeted Democrats “need to run up the score in Clark [County]. They haven’t done it so far.”

Silver State Republicans say the early results are encouraging and a result of hard work on the ground. 

“We’re seeing a strong turnout from Republicans who understand the importance of banking their vote ahead of time,” Nevada GOP Chairman and Trump senior adviser Michael J. McDonald told The Post.

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“This enthusiasm reflects the confidence voters have in President Trump’s leadership and his ability to solve Nevadans’ top concerns: rising costs, stagnant wages, and affordable housing.”

Early returns show a Republican advantage in the Silver State. Getty Images

GOP combat veteran Sam Brown’s Senate campaign is also heartened by the early-voting numbers.

“There is incredible energy on the ground,” said Raegan Lehman, campaign communications director. “Nevadans have made it clear they are ready for a change and the momentum is on our side.”

Democrats, meanwhile, believe targeting the state’s nonpartisan voters will deliver them a victory, albeit slim.

“Nevada is consistently won by a field margin. As we’ve said all along, this election will be close. We know nonpartisan voters will play a major role in deciding this election, which is why we invested early in a ground game focused on both turning out Democrats and earning support from nonpartisans and moderate Republicans,” Nevada Democratic Party spokesman Nicholas Simões Machado told The Post.

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“Nevada Democrats have been laser-focused all cycle on talking directly to the growing number of registered nonpartisans and making sure we mobilize the broad and diverse coalition we need to win statewide.”



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A snowmobiler dies after an avalanche in California’s Sierra Nevada

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A snowmobiler dies after an avalanche in California’s Sierra Nevada


TRUCKEE, Calif. — An avalanche in California’s Sierra Nevada on Monday buried a snowmobiler in snow and killed him, authorities said.

Rescuers responded after a 911 call around 2:20 p.m. reported a possible avalanche near Johnson Peak and Castle Peak in Truckee.

The snowmobiler was initially reported missing but then was found under the snow several minutes later, the Nevada County Sheriff’s Office said in a statement.

Fellow recreationists found him but he didn’t survive despite lifesaving efforts, according to the statement.

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Emergency personnel were working to safely extract the victim late Monday and to confirm no others were buried.

The sheriff’s office said more avalanches could occur and recommended that people avoid the area.

Each winter, 25 to 30 people die in avalanches in the U.S., according to the National Avalanche Center. The center’s current map shows high risk spots in Utah and Washington and areas of considerable risk in California, Colorado, Idaho and Wyoming.



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Who is No. 1 in the 1st Nevada Preps winter sports rankings?

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Who is No. 1 in the 1st Nevada Preps winter sports rankings?


Nevada Preps Winter Sports Rankings

Records through Sunday

Boys basketball

Class 5A

1. Liberty (10-5)

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2. Democracy Prep (9-6)

3. Coronado (5-6)

4. Bishop Gorman (9-7)

5. Desert Pines (11-4)

Class 4A

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1. Clark (8-5)

2. Las Vegas High (10-4)

3. Losee (7-5)

4. Faith Lutheran (11-5)

5. Shadow Ridge (11-4)

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Class 3A

1. Virgin Valley (9-2)

2. The Meadows (9-5)

3. Boulder City (9-5)

4. GV Christian (8-6)

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5. Pahrump Valley (5-7)

Games to watch

All games at 6:30 p.m. unless otherwise noted

Tuesday

Losee at Las Vegas

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Faith Lutheran at Liberty

Wednesday

Bishop Gorman at Desert Pines

Virgin Valley at The Meadows

Thursday

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Coronado at Mojave

Clark at Durango

Friday

Desert Pines at Las Vegas

Virgin Valley at Boulder City

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Saturday

Big City Showdown at Coronado

Liberty vs. Desert Pines, 4:30 p.m.

Bishop Gorman vs. Coronado, 8 p.m.

Girls basketball

Class 5A

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1. Bishop Gorman (11-1)

2. Democracy Prep (7-4)

3. Centennial (6-3)

4. Liberty (10-7)

5. Shadow Ridge (3-4)

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Class 4A

1. Mojave (9-4)

2. Mater East (10-4)

3. Losee (14-5)

4. Del Sol (13-3)

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5. Cimarron-Memorial (9-2)

Class 3A

1. Virgin Valley (6-5)

2. Boulder City (8-6)

3. Moapa Valley (8-4)

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4. Coral Academy (7-4)

5. Pahrump Valley (4-7)

Games to watch

All games at 6:30 p.m. unless otherwise noted

Wednesday

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Faith Lutheran at Shadow Ridge

Centennial at Liberty

Mojave at Desert Oasis

Thursday

Sierra Vista at Cimarron-Memorial, 5 p.m.

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Friday

Mater East at Desert Oasis

Virgin Valley at Boulder City

Saturday

Big City Showdown at Coronado

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Bishop Gorman vs. Centennial, 6:15 p.m.

Flag football

Class 5A

1. Desert Oasis (8-0)

2. Shadow Ridge (10-1)

3. Arbor View (10-1)

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4. Palo Verde (10-3)

5. Liberty (6-2)

Class 4A

1. Virgin Valley (5-3)

2. Sierra Vista (5-2)

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3. Mater East (6-3)

4. Clark (7-4)

5. Spring Valley (5-2)

Games to watch

All games at 5:30 p.m.

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Wednesday

Palo Verde at Desert Oasis

Coronado at Bishop Gorman

SECTA at Arbor View

Friday

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Shadow Ridge at Palo Verde

Canyon Springs at Arbor View

Alex Wright Review-Journal



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Westbound I-80 closed at Nevada Stateline and Truckee due to spin-outs

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Westbound I-80 closed at Nevada Stateline and Truckee due to spin-outs


Both directions of Interstate 80 are being redirected over Donner Summit due to slick roads and multiple spin-outs. Authorities have not provided an estimated time for reopening the highway.

This is a developing story. Please check back with us for updates.



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