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Writers' Euro 2024 predictions: Best player, dark horses, biggest disappointment?

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Writers' Euro 2024 predictions: Best player, dark horses, biggest disappointment?

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We are just a day away from Euro 2024, with hosts Germany taking on Scotland in Munich on Friday night.

What can we expect? An outsider victory? A Kylian Mbappe-inspired French romp? England out in the group stages? Whatever we get, there will be drama (we hope). Let us know in the comments section what you expect to happen.

Here, six of The Athletic’s writers give their predictions…

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Who will win the tournament and why?

Oliver Kay: France, because they have the strongest squad — not just in terms of talent and depth in all positions but also know-how and a proven ability to perform when the stakes are high.

Liam Tharme: France. Tournaments are won over decades of youth talent and nobody does it like Ligue 1. Didier Deschamps has found the perfect balance between system and superstars.

James Horncastle: I like how Roberto Martinez has carved out a niche as custodian of international ‘Golden Generations’. First, Belgium, and now Portugal. The balance Portugal have in midfield is encouraging and I’m waiting for Rafael Leao to deliver on his potential at this level.


Mbappe and Deschamps will be hopeful (Franck Fife/AFP via Getty Images)

Nancy Froston: France have been such a force in recent years and they do not look any weaker.

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Carl Anka: Germany. Host nation, favourable side of the draw, and decent players under a clever tactical mind in Julian Nagelsmann.

Nick Miller: France are the correct answer, but Deschamps has been there so long, aren’t they due a meltdown? What about the Netherlands? They have loads of good defenders, as well as Jeremie Frimpong and Xavi Simons, while Memphis Depay seems quite cross about leaving Atletico Madrid, so he’ll have some fire in his belly.

go-deeper

Who will win the Golden Boot?

Tharme: Mbappe.

Horncastle: Gianluca Scamacca.

Froston: Mbappe.

Kay: Harry Kane.

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Anka: Niclas Fullkrug.

Miller: Kane.


Who will be the best player?

Kay: Mbappe. If France are going deep, then he will play a big part.

Tharme: Kevin De Bruyne will carry a young generation of Belgium midfielders deep into the tournament and provide plenty of assists for Romelu Lukaku.

go-deeper

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Horncastle: It’s on home soil. These are the final games of his career. Imagine ending your career by winning the Champions League and the Euros. It’s going to be Toni Kroos.

Froston: Jude Bellingham. You build everything around players as good as him. If England can manage a good run, it’ll be thanks to him.

Anka: It’s Kroos. This sport doesn’t often grant happy endings, but Kroos is about to have a superb swansong.

Miller: Kroos. Are we all blinded by the sheer wattage of the narrative? Perhaps, but that doesn’t make us wrong.


We all want it for Kroos, don’t we? (Maja Hitij/Getty Images)

Who will be the best young player (under 23 on June 14)?

Kay: There are a few English candidates, but I’ll say Jamal Musiala. He looks ready to make a big impact at Euro 2024.

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Tharme: Between Musiala and Florian Wirtz. Both should rise to the occasion on home soil.

Horncastle: Arda Guler or Kenan Yildiz. Yildiz’s dribbling has generated crazy hype and Guler scored six times for Real Madrid in 377 La Liga minutes. The kid is shy but special.

Froston: Benjamin Sesko. A ‘burns bright in the group stage’ candidate feels about right.

go-deeper

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Anka: Lamine Yamal. The 16-year-old (16!) has all the tools to be a game-breaking forward.

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Miller: Xavi Simons. If I’m sticking with my ‘the Dutch are good’ theory, he’ll be at the centre of it.


How many penalties will fail to find the back of the net — in normal time and shootouts?

Tharme: There were four shootouts in 2020, the most since Euro 1996 (also four). Let’s take an assumed average of three missed from another four shootouts, that’s twelve. Let’s go for 15 total with only three not scored in regulation time.

Horncastle: Italians would say all of Jorginho’s — which is harsh given how cool he was from the spot in the semi-final against Spain three years ago.

Froston: This is the era of the water-bottle cheat sheet, so I fancy four penalties missed in regulation time and 13 in shootouts.

go-deeper

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Kay: Unlike Liam, I haven’t given this the slightest thought and I’m struggling to get a handle on the numbers. One? A 100? I’ll say 10.

Anka: It’s still mostly a gamble. Three misses in the groups. Two in knockout games. 12 across collected shootouts.

Miller: Well, I’ll pick a number out of the air and say 14.


Who will ‘do an Enzo Fernandez’ and get a big transfer off the back of a tournament?

Kay: These days, so many of the best young talents are already at big clubs. Maybe it’s the perfect shop window for someone like Albania’s Armando Broja, who is surplus to requirements at Chelsea.

Tharme: Ukraine and Shakhtar Donetsk’s Heorhii Sudakov. A pure No 10, two-footed, with plenty of Champions League experience at Shakhtar Donetsk, even at 21.

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go-deeper

GO DEEPER

Ukraine Euro 2024 guide: A strong squad and La Liga’s top scorer – but the war weighs heavy

Horncastle: Define ‘big’. What if Albania winger Jasir Asani was good enough to earn a move back to Europe after a year in South Korea’s K League with Gwangju?

Froston: Nico Williams. It seems likely that clubs will be tempted by his €50million (£42m; $54m) release clause at Athletic Bilbao.

Anka: Belgium and PSV Eindhoven’s Johan Bakayoko is a dribble-heavy, left-footed winger who likes to cut inside and shoot from the right wing. That’s the sort of forward Premier League clubs like spending dough on.

go-deeper

GO DEEPER

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Miller: Bakayoko, Sudakov and Williams all get another couple of thumbs up, but people love a tempo-setting central midfielder, so I’ll say that Benfica will have someone’s pants down for Turkey’s Orkun Kokcu.


Tell us one thing you really want to see happen…

Kay: I would love to see England win it. But that’s such a boring answer. Failing that, I’d really like one of the smaller nations to win it. Denmark, Croatia, even Belgium. It would be nice, wouldn’t it?

Tharme: Josip Ilicic to score for Slovenia. He’s back in the national team for the first time since November 2021.

Horncastle: One of the five Italian coaches to win the thing.

Froston: Limited minutes for Cristiano Ronaldo. With every embarrassing tantrum, it gets harder to remember why he is one of the best ever.

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Will he be smiling in July? (Patricia de Melo Moreira/AFP via Getty Images)

Anka: Wingers get chalk on their boots before driving at defenders. Loads of long-range efforts after the ball spills out from a corner.

Miller: Kroos strolling off into retirement having joined your Zidanes, your Xavis, your Iniestas in the ‘winning absolutely everything there is to win’ club.


Tell us one thing you really don’t want to see happen…

Kay: I really hope the tournament is trouble-free. I also hope I can walk through a market square on the day of an England game without cringing in embarrassment at fans singing dismal songs about “10 German bombers”.

Tharme: Germany out in the groups (again).

Horncastle: Please don’t judge Luciano Spalletti as if he’s been in the job for two years when he only stepped into the breach last August.

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Froston: Opening ceremonies/pre-game performances from peppy Europop singers or ageing rockers that completely sap the atmosphere.

Anka: Manchester United, could you behave yourself and avoid any news announcements and massive dramas for the foreseeable future? Thanks.

Miller: I think I’m getting soft in my old age, but I used to love penalty shootouts… now I find them incredibly stressful. So as few of them as possible, please.


Which nation are the dark horses?

Kay: We’ve been calling Croatia and Denmark dark horses for so long, I don’t feel I can do it again. I’ll say Serbia.

Tharme: Hungary. They had an excellent Nations League in 2022 against some European big-hitters and have evolved tactically under Marco Rossi.

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go-deeper

Horncastle: Austria. I do wonder: what if Ralf Rangnick hadn’t taken the caretaker job at United when he did? I think his “open heart surgery” approach would appeal to Sir Jim Ratcliffe and Sir Dave Brailsford.

Froston: Can Croatia be dark horses? Nobody is saying otherwise, so I’m choosing glory for Luka Modric.


With 175 appearances, Modric is Croatia’s most-capped player (MB Media/Getty Images)

Anka: Hi, hello, it’s me, one of the people who said Turkey would be a dark horse at Euro 2020. I am warning you that Serbia will bloody England’s noses and reach the quarters.

Miller: Ukraine. They won’t win it, but they’ve got a great collection of young, exciting players and, well, the country could do with a good news story.


Which player/team will be the biggest disappointment?

Kay: It could be England. This tournament, amid heightened expectations, feels like it could be boom or bust.

Tharme: Portugal. They have underwhelmed since scrapping their way to the Euro 2016 trophy and have a ridiculous squad, with backups better than most teams’ first choices.

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Horncastle: England. Three years ago was as good an opportunity to win a tournament as any. England didn’t seize the moment.

go-deeper

Froston: Adam Wharton. But not the player himself. I just do not think we will see much of him in the tournament, which has the potential to be disappointing after his impressive debut.

Anka: Portugal have the pieces to make a deep run, but a lot depends on how Ronaldo is catered for.

Miller: I fear for England, but I can see Italy doing a rather lacklustre job of being defending champions.


How far will England go and predict the manner of their final match in the competition…

Kay: A semi-final defeat by France is probably the most likely outcome, but I can see it falling short of that.

Tharme: At least to the semi-finals, likely against France. Southgate’s record against teams that have previously knocked England out is good but this would be the ultimate test. Harry Kane has scored all 15 penalties since missing against France in the World Cup quarter-finals, so I’d back him to score.

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Horncastle: Tharme has allowed himself to get carried away. His penance will be a tactical breakdown of England’s defeat to hosts Germany in the last 16.


Where/how will it all end? (Glyn Kirk/AFP via Getty Images)

Froston: Quarter-finals. Shirts pulled up over teary eyes, dejected players lying prostrate on the pitch after a plucky defeat.

Anka: Quarter-finals. I struggle to articulate how grateful I am to Southgate and his team for creating an England side for so many to believe in, but July 11 2021 was the chance to win silverware.

Miller: 1-1 draw with Serbia, 1-1 draw with Denmark, 3-0 win over Slovenia, finish second in the group, play Germany in the knockouts. There, England will take the lead but ultimately lose in extra time.


Give us your most outrageous prediction…

Kay: The format gives teams a safety net, where even third place in the group might get you a place in the knockout stage. But Group B is horrible. Reigning champions Italy knocked out in the first round.

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Tharme: No 0-0 draws.

Horncastle: Georgia ride Khvicha Kvaratskhelia’s wings out of the group stages. If Kvara recaptures the form he showed in Napoli’s title-winning season, anything is possible.

go-deeper

Froston: Redemption for Rangnick with a decent run for Austria.

Anka: Mbappe scores the goal to knock Spain out.

Miller: France out in the group stage. No logic to it, but you never said we had to back any of this up.


What might make you get emotional?

Kay: Seeing one of the less-fancied teams perform the way Morocco did at the last World Cup.

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Tharme: A Pascal Gross goal. A stalwart of Brighton, an everything midfielder who has got better with age and finally made his senior Germany debut aged 32 last September.

Horncastle: Croatia taking back-to-back knockout games to extra time and penalties.

Froston: Any underdog who takes a big team all the way only to lose at the death.

Anka: The first rest day.

Miller: I’m a sucker for parents in the crowd watching their kids succeed, so anything close to Mario Balotelli hugging his mum in 2012.

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(Photos: Getty Images)

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'Nobody prepared us': An Ivy League wrestler's unlikely path to SEC lineman and NFL Draft prospect

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'Nobody prepared us': An Ivy League wrestler's unlikely path to SEC lineman and NFL Draft prospect

A groggy Joey Slackman woke from an anesthetic slumber the morning of Nov. 20. The Penn defensive lineman was in a Philadelphia hospital bed. He had just spent three hours in surgery to repair a torn biceps.

That day also happened to be when Slackman’s name appeared in the transfer portal, college football’s centralized marketplace for players looking for a new school. Slackman, who graduated from Penn with a political science degree, had decided to pursue his master’s, and coaches were now allowed to contact him.

“It was completely surreal,” said Paul Slackman, Joey’s father. “We got there maybe 4:30 in the morning. I said goodbye. They prepped him. It just so happened that was the day that he entered the portal. It totally slipped my mind. We really didn’t know a lot about this whole process.”

Joey arrived in the Ivy League four years ago as a no-star football recruit from Long Island who went to Penn to wrestle. He has never been a headlining player. But to the surprise of the Slackmans, Joey woke up after surgery as one of the hottest commodities on the transfer market.

“I remember coming to, I was pretty delirious and nauseous from the surgery, but I just remember when I was finally cognizant, looking over at (my dad),” Joey Slackman said. “He had his phone in his hand. He had just gotten off with a coach. He’d hung up the call and said, ‘You won’t believe what’s happening.’ I felt like I was still under, or I was delirious.”

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Two hours after he was awoken, bandaged up and put in a wheelchair, Slackman was discharged. Still somewhat groggy from the anesthesia, he started to respond to coaches on the five-hour ride home to Long Island.

“The entire way back, his phone is blowing up, getting texts and calls,” Paul Slackman said. “I was getting so many calls from coaches. This went on for hours. We probably had seven or eight phone conversations and were texting with 20-25 different people.

“It was really insanity for those first 24 hours.”

For many transfer portal entries, the recruiting process is a second spin on the wheel; most of them were recruited by football programs out of high school.

Slackman joined Penn as a heavyweight wrestler, ranked 12th in the country in his weight class. Paul, a PE coach who had won a Division III national title as a tight end for Ithaca (N.Y.) College, had entered Joey in a wrestling tournament in the second grade. His son hated it.

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“I remember him saying, ‘I don’t ever want to do this again,’” said Slackman’s mom, Dana.

Slackman liked football, though, and loved getting to play with his friends. He gave wrestling another try in middle school after his football coaches told him it would make him a better lineman.

With his blend of power, determination and focus, Slackman blossomed as a wrestler. He went to wrestling camps and earned national recognition. He emerged as the top 285-pounder in New York and twice received All-America honors at the nationals in Fargo, N.D. His dad purposely tried to stay away from coaching him in middle school and high school but made it a point to teach that it was Joey’s effort that mattered most.

“He worked out religiously, regardless of his condition, the weather, time constraints,” Paul Slackman said. “A few years ago, he just had pec surgery. He was in a sling and wanted to stay in condition. We were on vacation near Sarasota. He had the surgery a week before. He decided to go running with the sling on. He ran 8-9 miles alongside this main road down there. He had all these cars honking and waving at him. That really signifies the determination he has.”

Joey attributes that determination to how his parents raised him and his younger sister, a fencer at the Air Force Academy.

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“In our household, we literally were not allowed to use the word ‘can’t,’” he said. “It was like the equivalent of cursing. Stuff like that shaped my mentality. Growing up, I was not a determined kid. I was chubby. I was lazy. School came easy to me, so I didn’t put in a lot of effort, but then wrestling helped propel me to that toughness. I think it’s the toughest sport there is. You’re out there, wearing a silly outfit, and you’re by yourself. It forces you to make a choice of whether or not to grow up and figure it out.”

Because his high school football team struggled, Slackman didn’t get much recognition until his senior season, when he was named first-team all-state. By then, he’d figured that wrestling was his ticket to a high-level education. He chose Penn over recruiting interest from all of the Ivy League’s wrestling programs.

Midway through his freshman year wrestling for the Quakers, he tore his ACL and his meniscus. Three months later, the pandemic shut down college sports, and everyone at Penn was sent home. Slackman took a gap year, leaving school while he recovered from his knee injury. He lived with his wrestling teammates in Philadelphia while working for a non-profit called Beat the Streets, an organization connected to the wrestling community that helps underprivileged kids in the area.

“When he was training for wrestling, alongside the (Penn) football program, I remember him saying, ‘I really miss football,’” recalled Dana.
Slackman decided to try to join the Penn football program and play both sports. He was cleared in February 2021 but tore his right pec not long after that. That meant another surgery and six more months on the sidelines.

“I don’t think (the Penn coaches) thought much of me at first,” he said. “I was coming off two major surgeries.”

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Slackman turned heads quickly once he put the pads back on. In his first college game, he was credited with a half-sack. His middle school football coaches were right. All the wrestling training had made a huge difference in his development as a defensive lineman.

“It’s helped me a lot, especially in the run game and being able to hold my ground because I’m able to understand leverage really well and, without thinking, I am able to prevent myself from being moved, which is a lot of what you have to do as a defensive tackle,” he said. “Learning how to hand-fight is the biggest thing in wrestling, and that’s kind of the biggest thing as a D-lineman, too. Also, a lot of the pass rush moves that I like to hit are similar to moves I would hit in wrestling matches.”

Slackman finished the year with 16 tackles, 3.5 tackles for loss, 2.5 sacks and a forced fumble, deciding midseason to focus only on football. In 2022, he started all 10 games and made honorable mention All-Ivy League, ranking second on the team with 4.5 sacks and 49 tackles. But on the second-to-last defensive play of the season, he tore his left pectoral muscle. The injury, which would require his third major surgery, only seemed to further drive Slackman.

“He is one of the most focused and dedicated people I’ve ever been around, and he is the toughest person I’ve ever been around,” said Cornell head coach Dan Swanstrom, previously Penn’s offensive coordinator. “He’s just wired very differently. He is the toughest S.O.B. I’ve ever seen.

“He was 305 pounds at like 16-17 percent body fat. He’s a physical freak of a human. … We had to sub him out just so we could practice. He would wreck our whole offensive practice. He was that disruptive.”

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In 2023, Slackman became the most dominant player in the Ivy League. He had five tackles for loss in Penn’s first two games. He finished the season with a team-best 12 TFLs and 50 tackles, becoming the first Penn player to win Ivy League defensive player of the year honors since 2015.

The Quakers were still in contention for the conference title when they faced No. 19 Harvard in the second-to-last game of the season. With five minutes left in the fourth quarter, Slackman tore his right biceps. He took off his pads and tried to root on his teammates. Penn trailed 20-13 before tying the score. Before overtime, Slackman asked the team doctor whether the injury could get worse if he returned to the game.

“The doctor said, ‘You can’t hurt it any more,’” Slackman said. “It was our last chance to keep our Ivy League (title) hopes alive. I went over to our coaches and said, ‘Let’s go!’”

The coaches put Slackman back into the game.

“It’s more than that,” Swanstrom said. “We had this goal-line stand, where it was like three plays from inside the 2. He was in there for all three plays with a torn biceps. Talk about putting it all out there.”

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Slackman said he wasn’t trying to be a hero. He had something else on his mind.

“I’d really thought this was gonna be the end for me when it came to football,” he said.

Yes, it was extremely painful to play in the trenches with a torn biceps. Harvard won 25-23 in triple overtime.

“I guess the adrenaline was still running,” he said.

 

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Last fall, the feedback from NFL circles was that Slackman could be a late-round pick, but that came before he went on to win Ivy League defensive player of the year. Some NFL teams visited him; one came four times during the year. “That’s when we started to realize, ‘Wow, he could get drafted,’” said Paul Slackman.

But that was before the torn biceps against Harvard made full participation in the draft process unrealistic. So Slackman, who graduated from Penn with a political science degree, filed his paperwork to enter the transfer portal.

“Nobody prepared us for the transfer portal process,” Dana Slackman said. “It’s blown our minds.”

It was not easy to sort out all the offers and opportunities. Michigan, Texas A&M, Miami, USC and others came calling. He estimates about 50 schools offered him. Ultimately, he scheduled trips to Wisconsin, Virginia Tech, North Carolina, Florida and Auburn.

“It was the craziest month of my life, by far,” Slackman said.

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Florida felt like an ideal fit. The Gators felt the same way.

“He’s an alpha personality, very articulate and very intelligent,” said Florida head coach Billy Napier. “It’s important to him. He’s very motivated and driven. The biggest compliment I can give him is when he took his official visit here, I literally got 12 to 15 players coming up to me saying, ‘Coach, we gotta get that guy.’ He checked all the boxes.”

(Illustration: Dan Goldfarb / The Athletic; photos: Andy Lewis, Getty Images; Courtesy of the Slackman family)

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Caitlin Clark notches 2nd career double-double, Aliyah Boston scores 22 points as Fever win 3rd straight game

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Caitlin Clark notches 2nd career double-double, Aliyah Boston scores 22 points as Fever win 3rd straight game

Caitlin Clark notched her second career double-double as the Indiana Fever picked up their third straight win with an 88-81 victory over the Washington Mystics on Wednesday night.

Clark was 6-of-12 from the floor with two made 3-pointers and 12 rebounds.

Caitlin Clark, #22 of the Indiana Fever, brings the ball up court during the first half of a game against the Washington Mystics at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on June 19, 2024 in Indianapolis. (Emilee Chinn/Getty Images)

“Sometimes the ball just bounces your way a little bit more,” Clark said, via ESPN. “A lot of the times, the people I’m guarding are getting back on defense, so I have a little more free rein of like going and chasing the ball while our bigs are probably boxing out and hitting a little bit more. So credit to them. 

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“I think we’re really good when I can get it off the rim and push in transition, so I take a lot of pride in trying to chase it down off the rim and then really go.”

The Fever received huge games from Aliyah Boston and Kelsey Mitchell as well. Each scored 22 points with Boston tallying seven rebounds and Mitchell grabbing three more.

Aliyah Boston drives to the hoop

Aliyah Boston, #7 of the Indiana Fever, drives to the basket against Stefanie Dolson, #31 of the Washington Mystics, during the first half of a game at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on June 19, 2024 in Indianapolis. (Emilee Chinn/Getty Images)

CAITLIN CLARK RECEIVES ADVICE FROM WORLD SERIES CHAMP AMID RISING FAME, JEALOUSLY TOWARD HER

Kelsey Mitchell drives to the basket

Kelsey Mitchell, #0 of the Indiana Fever, drives to the basket against Ariel Atkins, #7 of the Washington Mystics, during the first half of a game at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on June 19, 2024 in Indianapolis. (Emilee Chinn/Getty Images)

Indiana faced Washington’s 9-2 run in the fourth quarter, and the Mystics even went ahead with an Emily Engslter basket. However, the combination of Mitchell, Clark and Erika Wheeler helped get Indiana over the hill.

Wheeler’s basket with 3:25 left gave Indiana an 11-point lead, and Clark’s free throws with 12 seconds left gave Indiana (6-10) the win.

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“The confidence that we’ve been able to build from the last three games is, you know, continue to take a step forward and learn each game, and if we do happen to lose one, how are we going to respond? That’s been a big thing for us, too,” Clark added.

“The last game we lost, we found a way to respond and string off three straight wins. I think we’ve gotten a lot better over the course of these last three games, and we’re continuing to build on that.”

Ariel Atkins vs Fever

Ariel Atkins, #7 of the Washington Mystics, drives to the basket during the game against the Indiana Fever on June 19, 2024 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. (Ron Hoskins/NBAE via Getty Images)

Ariel Atkins led Washington with 27 points. The Mystics fell to 2-12.

The Associated Press contributed to this report.

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Brentwood has 14-year-old freshman duo ready to make impact in basketball

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Brentwood has 14-year-old freshman duo ready to make impact in basketball

Ethan Hill wears size 18 shoes, stands 6 feet 5 and already has the body of a Division I football player at age 14. Except for now, he’s a basketball player even though his late grandfather, Willard “Bubba” Scott , is one of the most recognized former USC football players, having been part of the defensive line known as the “Wild Bunch” in the late 1960s.

Hill moved back to Los Angeles from Ohio this summer to join another promising freshman basketball player at Brentwood, 6-6 Shalen Sheppard. Together, they could be the pillars for coach Ryan Bailey, who’s already preparing a group of outstanding eighth-graders that includes his nephew, Toby Bailey Jr.

Football coach Jake Ford has yet to approach Hill about trying the sport, but Hill sure has the body to be an offensive tackle and his mother, Nikki, said he looks like his grandfather. For now, Hill loves basketball and that will be his focus as he grows into his giant shoes.

This month has been used by high school coaches to get an early look at freshmen and other newcomers. Tournaments are taking place this weekend in Arizona and next weekend in Roseville.

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