Sports
Six days on the bubble with America's most eclectic team
ALBUQUERQUE, N.M. — It’s 9:40 a.m. in the southeast parking lot at The Pit, and a man in black-and-white face paint circles on a dirt bike. This is Snake. He arrives early for New Mexico men’s basketball games, hypes up friendly faces and sportively harasses the visiting team when it arrives. Everyone knows Snake. He’s been at this for years. He’s a believer.
An attendant asks Snake how he is, and Snake declares he has everything he needs. His Lobos are hunting for their first NCAA Tournament berth in a decade. In a couple hours, they’ll be on network television, playing the first of back-to-back home games against ranked teams. That hasn’t happened in two decades. A door cracked open for a program aching to find a way.
When the team’s coach, Richard Pitino, pulls into his parking spot, Snake offers reassurance.
We’re going to do this together!
The bubble is a sorting tool, yes. It’s also a state. It’s being where you’re supposed to be, but not quite there yet. This is New Mexico, a team featuring two basketball scions, a COVID recruit-turned-star, a 25-year-old on his fourth program, a Nigerian center who almost didn’t make it to the U.S. this season, a teenager with a nephew in the NBA and more. With a Pitino leading the way in the high desert, eyes on the horizon.
On one mid-January Friday, right before everything became possible, senior Jamal Mashburn Jr. puts it like this: “Anything can happen in a week.”
The Roll Call
First: introducing the bubble’s most eclectic crew.
The Legacy
Jamal Mashburn Jr. was oblivious to being the son of a college All-American and NBA All-Star who scored 11,000-plus points. “I never understood why he got stopped so much in the mall,” Mashburn Jr. says. He’s the kid who liked fossils and lacrosse and didn’t give basketball much thought before he was 11. He’s a deep thinker who journals daily and a player with 1,703 career points, who left the Big Ten to follow a coach he’s known since eighth grade. “It was a no-brainer to come from Minnesota over here,” Mashburn Jr. says, “because I trusted (Pitino), and he trusts me.”
The relationship isn’t like their fathers’ connection, as coach and player at Kentucky. No one talks race horses inside the Davalos Basketball Center. But a Mashburn and a Pitino are in on something big, together. Again. “It’s a partnership, honestly,” Mashburn Jr. says. “We had one goal in mind. We wanted to come in and make a positive impact, and fast.”
The Other Legacy
Jaelen House grew up a pro wrestling fan. His favorite: Randy Orton, whose most famous gimmick involves hearing voices in his head. “I like the way he carries himself,” House says. “He’s a little crazy. And I’m a little crazy.”
The 6-foot guard is now New Mexico’s third-leading scorer, men’s hoops’ active career steals leader and, most notably, a mouthpiece-gnawing antagonist who plays like he’s holding onto an electrified fence. “The way he acts,” Lobos sophomore Donovan Dent says, “puts a battery in my back.” House needed his own recharge, though, three years ago. He went to Arizona State, just like his father, Eddie, who scored 2,000 points for the Sun Devils. But the younger House didn’t start once. He scored 229 points across two seasons. A transfer to New Mexico birthed a new antihero in The Pit. “He helped me become myself again,” House says of Pitino. “He took the leash off me and just let me go.”
The Nigerian Pitino expert
Rick Pitino needed players at Iona, his latest next stop. A former player, Gorgui Dieng, recommended a big man from the NBA Academy in Nigeria. Pitino offered Nelly Junior Joseph a scholarship, sight unseen. A day later, Junior Joseph took it. “I didn’t get to visit,” he says. “I just wanted to play for Rick Pitino, that’s all. (New York) was crazy. Too many people. Loud.”
After a transfer and a fraught visa process that delayed his arrival until Oct. 31 – a day before New Mexico’s first exhibition game – Junior Joseph sits in a lounge, enjoying the tranquility. Albuquerque suits him, as does the son of his former coach. “He is more calm than his dad, for real,” Junior Joseph says of Richard Pitino, smiling. “His dad has this high spirit. I thought it was going to be the same, until I got here. I was like, ‘Oh, wow, Richard is more chill. That’s good.’”
The hoops Methuselah
Jemarl Baker Jr. was a four-star recruit and top 100 player nationally in his recruiting class. He signed with Kentucky. The top prep players in the country were Marvin Bagley, Michael Porter Jr. and DeAndre Ayton. This was 2017.
It is 2024, and Baker, 25, is in the practice gym, doing band work to help sore knees. He is at his fourth school after two seasons each at Kentucky, Arizona and Fresno State, the injuries and extra years of eligibility piling up. “Oh, there’s definitely been times when I was done,” Baker says with a laugh. He is not done, though. “I’ve wanted to play basketball professionally for my whole life,” Baker says. “I feel like this is my passion and purpose. If I stop, I feel like I’m giving up.”
The teenager with an NBA nephew
Around the time Tru Washington began to loathe practicing football in Arizona heat, he began to envy his nephew and the gear he’d bring back from basketball tournaments. “I’m like, I want some shoes,” Washington says. “I’m just sitting at home not doing anything, waiting for another game on Saturday.”
He turned to basketball in middle school and relied on quickness – steal ball, shoot layup – before growing into the No. 98 recruit in the Class of 2023. Were it not for programs seeking out older transfer guards, Washington might not have been New Mexico’s highest-rated signee in a decade. Now he targets the path his nephew set … because his nephew is TyTy Washington, current Milwaukee Bucks backup who’s two years older than his uncle. Effectively? They’re brothers. And the “older” brother keeps tabs on the “younger” brother, sending video clips and commentary after every game he catches. “I know how to see what he’s doing to make me better,” Tru says. “He plays the game with his brain. And he uses his brain at a high level.”
The star who rose from COVID
Donovan Dent proudly lists the colleges of his fellow starters from Centennial High School basketball in 2020-21: Duke. Arizona. UCLA. Loyola Marymount. “We had a squad my junior year,” the Riverside, Calif., native says. They also had a compressed schedule and few people in the stands due to pandemic restrictions. The player who’d eventually become his state’s Mr. Basketball stared at offers from the Big West … and anonymity. “It was pretty frustrating,” Dent says. “I knew it wasn’t me not playing my part.”
How does one go from overlooked to averaging 15.5 points and 5.9 assists in the Mountain West as a sophomore? By getting out of California. Dent’s performance at the Border League tournament – held in Arizona during the summer of 2021 – opened eyes. “He didn’t shoot a lot,” Pitino says, “but we liked his feel.” That helped the Lobos hold on when Dent led Centennial to a state championship as a senior and other programs converged. “I’m not going to abandon who trusted in me before I became what I am now,” Dent says.
The coach
Richard Pitino is not from anywhere. Or doesn’t feel like it, anyway. People assume he’s a New York guy, but he was born in Boston. He’s 41 and he’s coached in seven states. It was not easy to lose the Minnesota job in 2021 after eight up-and-down seasons; suburban Edina began to feel like home. Nor was it easy to adjust to Albuquerque, but his family is comfortable, and the weather forecast never makes him wince. Always a fish out of water, somehow swimming along. “I’ve always felt like I can go anywhere, if you give me time, get to know me,” Pitino says. “When I got hired here, there was for sure a ‘Hmm, that’s weird.’ But I feel like I can run a program anywhere, as long as I have that support I need.”
He is his father’s son, and also not. Every now and then, Pitino folds his arms behind his back as he watches the action, too. But he also lacquers on sarcasm and casually flips off players during shootarounds. “He encourages everybody to be themselves, which is incredible,” Baker says. He’s approaching middle age and another inflection point with the NCAA Tournament berth in reach. Who does he want to be? Will he earn the chance to choose? Will New Mexico, of all places, be enough? “I want to be at a have, not a have-not, as it relates to your conference,” he says. “Every time I walk down the ramp, there’s a level of confidence that not everybody has this. Not everybody has 15,000 people (in the arena). Not everybody has these facilities, in our conference. The expectations are high here because the fans care, but they’re not irrational about wanting to win.”
San Diego State and A Showdown at The Pit
In the 1960s, to bypass support columns and create clear sightlines in their new arena, administrators here put the roof at ground level and dug down. They also numbered the seating rows top to bottom, which is why Row 1 at The Pit is a relative nosebleed and Row 32 puts you near the edge of the floor. That’s where New Mexico’s coach stands before a Friday practice, establishing terms of engagement for the next 24 hours. “It’s going to come down to, are we going to hit bodies?” Richard Pitino asks, as San Diego State film rolls on a flat screen.
A rhetorical question. Without physicality, the Lobos will suffer a massive letdown against the Aztecs, the national runners-up in 2023. The Pit is sold out. CBS is here for New Mexico’s first network-televised game since 2012. The Lobos are tenuously ranked 43rd nationally on KenPom.com. They are not wired for apprehension – “They gotta compete with us, too,” Mashburn Jr. says of San Diego State – but they need to actually take that next step.
Everyone grasps the stakes. The plan to double-team Aztecs star Jaedon LeDee with multiple looks is hammered home each rep. “Non-negotiable,” as Pitino puts it. There are inevitably light moments in the run-up, such as Washington asking his head coach if he could start against San Diego State, as if this were Biddy Ball. (“I was just seeing if he was going to bite on it,” the freshman guard explains.) But the gravity is felt.
In the locker room, Pitino notes the last time a network TV crew was on hand. Opportunity earned, he says. “If you play with a level of toughness and physicality, you’re going to win,” Pitino continues, voice rising. “But it ain’t about offense, it ain’t about defense. It is about rebounding. It is about loose balls. They’re going to think they can bully you. You can’t let them. You gotta set the tone right away. Every single shot that goes up, hit somebody. Every time you can f—— sprint the court, sprint the court. Embrace every single second of this, all right?”
The next two-plus hours are a noise monsoon as 15,437 fans get what they came for: an 88-70 win for New Mexico, propped up by a plus-10 rebounding margin, a school-record 14 blocks and limiting LeDee to 15 points, to that point his second-lowest total of the year.
The show-stealer is House, the son who escaped the shadow of a legend to find himself. San Diego State looks like a Final Four team again for the better part of the first half … until House sinks a floater and trips a wire. Then comes a steal and a coast-to-coast layup. “I told you I’m the one!” he screams into the din. Aztecs coach Brian Dutcher calls timeout. It doesn’t help. House ultimately scores 11 straight points as part of a 17-0 blitz from which the visitors do not recover. House is unrelenting, finishing with 26 points, six rebounds, five assists, three steals and one on-brand technical foul. “Man,” he says, “I was ready to go all day long.”
In the locker room, there is happiness, but no excessive celebration. “That was nothing right now, compared to what we want to achieve in the future,” Junior Joseph says later. Pitino wants his team to enjoy it – “You built that,” he tells them – and he notes the team’s goals remain achievable.
“It’s all right in front of us,” he says.
He informs the parents of two recruits that they should come to every game. One mom compliments his composure; Pitino assures her that he looked calm but felt like he was about to throw up. On his way to media duties, the Lobos coach is stopped by his son, Jack, who won a timeout contest and wants to hand over his prize: a box of Milk Duds. In his news conference, Pitino profusely thanks the fans. He says the atmosphere nearly made him cry. He calls it a moment his players will talk about forever.
A great day, Pitino says, and they’ll turn the page tomorrow.
But that’s tomorrow. Energy lingers long after the game ends. New Mexico might be what people yearn for it to be, and everyone feels it.
As the cheerleading team makes its way out of the arena, a familiar face greets them.
“Ladies and gentlemen, you kicked ass!” Snake exclaims. “We kicked ass together!”
Nigerian center Nelly Junior Joseph has played for both Rick Pitino and Richard Pitino. (Sam Wasson / Getty Images)
Utah State and The Beyond
At 1 p.m. on a Sunday, the Lobos settle into the film room. A San Diego State logo on the screen has the word “CLEANUP” underlining it. Standard day-after-game video review. But first? Another existential reckoning.
“What did that game reveal?” Pitino asks.
“We can beat anybody if we play the way we’re supposed to,” comes the muffled reply from the front row.
If we play the way we’re supposed to, Pitino echoes, drawing out the words for emphasis. Existence is temporary in this bubble life. The 40 deflections against the Aztecs, the bench energy, the laughs at House enjoining the crowd after a stop – “Honor my defense,” is the head coach’s deadpan narration of the clip – are reduced to memories within 12 minutes. Utah State, riding the nation’s longest win streak, is coming. There is always the other side of the mountain. “Championship teams play this way all the time,” Pitino says. “All the time.”
Yet over the next two days, New Mexico seems to treat weighty circumstances with pervasive lightness. Freshman JT Toppin catches Pitino’s attention with a bad miss in practice. Toppin blames a hurt finger. “Which one? This one?” the Lobos coach replies, extending his right middle digit. Pitino asks House to sub into a drill. House whines that his knee hurts. “I don’t care,” Pitino replies. Washington triggers an out-of-bounds play for scouting purposes and invents a call for it each time, such as “Hey, combo, combo” or “Hey, run that play.” Execution and urgency are not overly robust going into a game in which ball pressure, disruption and sprinting back on defense are the keys. The Lobos act like they want to skip ahead to the game.
It’s hard to tell if this is a good or bad thing.
“Quad 1 win opportunity – we gotta have them,” Pitino tells his team. “This game means just as much, if not more.”
It’s maybe the charm of this group, and even this place, that expectations are met in unexpected ways.
While half a country nods off thanks to a 10:43 p.m. ET start, New Mexico assails Utah State from the jump. The Lobos score 34 of 55 first-half points in the paint. They sink 13 of 14 free throws and commit only two turnovers before halftime. A timeout “Flex Cam” fixates on Holly Holm, the Albuquerque native and former UFC champion in attendance, who shows off her biceps and throws a couple jabs for good measure. None of it is a laughing matter. An eventual 99-86 win is fueled by a 26-point outburst from Junior Joseph, the starting center with visa issues who wasn’t sure he’d make it back to America for this season, and a 15-point, 14-assist night from Dent, the recruit no one noticed. “Even in high school, I was doing all this and people didn’t believe, (thinking) it wouldn’t translate to the next level,” Dent says. “It’s cliche to say, but it is proving people wrong.”
The head coach gathers his team at midcourt and delivers a pointed postgame speech. It’s really late, Pitino says. Let’s get out of here.
An NCAA-mandated day off awaits. The energy expended over these six days guarantees nothing. And two more months is a long time to maintain balance.
Within a week of this result, New Mexico debuts at No. 25 in the Associated Press poll. The Lobos tack on three more wins before stumbling at home against Boise State on Jan. 31, but they nevertheless begin February as a top 20 team in both the KenPom and NET rankings. They cut the profile of an NCAA Tournament team.
It’s not clear if they’ll get there.
It’s very clear what’s coming if they do.
On a Thursday night in January, with one consequential week conquered, a sing-song voice fills the stairwell. It’s Jaelen House, repeating the same two words as he bounds up and into the locker room.
Nobody tells him to be quiet. Nobody would bother to try.
“Get that down there, too!” the Lobos’ guard says, pointing at a visitor and smiling wide. “F— ’em!”
(Illustration: Eamonn Dalton / The Athletic; photos: Sam Wasson / Getty Images)
Sports
2026 World Cup Odds: Teams Favored to Advance to Knockout Stage
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With the largest World Cup field in the history of the tournament, 32 of the 48 teams will be fighting for a spot in the knockout stage.
66.6% of nations will advance out of the group stage this summer, which is a massive upgrade from 50% in past World Cups. Because of this, sportsbooks have adjusted with less favorable odds.
Prior to the start of the tournament, Spain, Argentina, Brazil, England, and Germany entered with the strongest odds to advance from the group stage, supported by recent major-tournament success and talent-rich rosters.
All five nations are heavily favored at -10000 to advance to the knockout round.
The Spaniards are the defending European Champions while the Argentinians are looking to win back-to-back titles. Germany has not made it out of the group stage in the last two World Cups, but has always been a perennial contender— having won four titles in its history. And then of course there’s Brazil, which has more titles than any country with five.
Now, after the conclusion of the first day of the World Cup, Mexico has joined the group at the top. El Tri has surged to -10000 to advance to the knockout stage after initially being just -1400. Mexico’s huge leap up the oddsboard is a direct result of its dominating 2-0 win over South Africa.
With that in mind, let’s dive into the odds for each team to advance to the knockout stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup as of June 12.
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Odds to Advance to Knockout Stage
Spain: -10000 (bet $10 to win $10.10 total)
Argentina: -10000 (bet $10 to win $10.10 total)
Brazil: -10000 (bet $10 to win $10.10 total)
England: -10000 (bet $10 to win $10.10 total)
Mexico: -10000 (bet $10 to win $10.10 total)
Germany: -10000 (bet $10 to win $10.10 total)
Portugal: -5000 (bet $10 to win $10.20 total)
France: -5000 (bet $10 to win $10.20 total)
Belgium:-3500 (bet $10 to win $10.29 total)
South Korea: -2500 (bet $10 to win $10.40 total)
Switzerland: -1800 (bet $10 to win $10.56 total)
Netherlands: -1400 (bet $10 to win $10.71 total)
Morocco: -1000 (bet $10 to win $11 total)
Colombia: -1000 (bet $10 to win $11 total)
Uruguay: -1000 (bet $10 to win $11 total)
Canada: -1000 (bet $10 to win $11 total)
Ecuador: -900 (bet $10 to win $11.11 total)
Norway: -900 (bet $10 to win $11.11 total)
United States: -750 (bet $10 to win $11.33 total)
The U.S. men’s national team is currently -750 to advance from Group D (Photo by Omar Vega/USSF/Getty Images).
Croatia: -500 (bet $10 to win $12 total)
Austria: -500 (bet $10 to win $12 total)
Türkiye: -500 (bet $10 to win $12 total)
Ivory Coast: -500 (bet $10 to win $12 total)
Japan: -500 (bet $10 to win $12 total)
Egypt: -340 (bet $10 to win $12.94 total)
Algeria: -310 (bet $10 to win $13.23 total)
Scotland: -310 (bet $10 to win $13.23 total)
Senegal: -230 (bet $10 to win $14.35 total)
Sweden: -230 (bet $10 to win $1435 total)
Bosnia and Herzegovina: -220 (bet $10 to win $14.55 total)
Paraguay: -205 (bet $10 to win $14.88 total)
Iran: -200 (bet $10 to win $15 total)
Czechia: -165 (bet $10 to win $16.06 total)
Ghana: -140 (bet $10 to win $17.14 total)
Australia: -110 (bet $10 to win $19.09 total)
DR Congo: +100 (bet $10 to win $20 total)
Raúl Jiménez helped propel Mexico to a 2-0 win over South Africa in the opening match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup (Photo by Yair Gonzalez/Jam Media/Getty Images).
Saudi Arabia: +105 (bet $10 to win $20.50 total)
Tunisia: +140 (bet $10 to win $24 total)
New Zealand: +150 (bet $10 to win $25 total)
Uzbekistan: +180 (bet $10 to win $28 total)
Cape Verde: +200 (bet $10 to win $30 total)
Panama: +200 (bet $10 to win $30 total)
Qatar: +275 (bet $10 to win $37.50 total)
South Africa: +320 (bet $10 to win $42 total)
Jordan +350 (bet $10 to win $45 total)
Iraq: +450 (bet $10 to win $55 total)
Haiti: +800 (bet $10 to win $90 total)
Curaçao: +1000 (bet $10 to win $110 total)
Sports
Commentary: Cameron Brink is trying to navigate a fouled-up situation
Cameron Brink said she’d appreciate some grace. She really would.
Sparks fans should give her some, because where else is she going to get it?
Certainly not from WNBA refs. Not from opponents with more to play for than ever. Certainly not from the game itself; basketball moves fast, and a bummer can become a bust in a blink.
But Brink, 24, is not on the brink of bust territory, no. Block that thought. Technically, it’s Year 3, but after a torn ACL derailed her as a rookie two summers ago, it’s practically like Year 2 for the former Stanford star. And by design, the WNBA is testing her confidence, her decision-making and her patience as she tries to reestablish herself as one of the WNBA’s best young players.
So, grace.
The recognizable 6-foot-4 forward — she’s the long-blond-haired hooper in the New Balance ads — was the No. 2 overall pick in 2024.
Now she’s her team’s No. 3 option in the post. She’s coming off the bench behind Nneka Ogwumike and Dearica Hamby for the Sparks, who are a modest 6-6 after wins this week over the expansion Portland Fire and the struggling Seattle Storm.
Against the Fire, Brink scored two points and picked up four fouls in nine minutes. Then she went to Seattle and had 15 points in 18 minutes but was pulled with more than five minutes left in the fourth quarter after getting her third, fourth and fifth fouls in 86 seconds. (WNBA players get six fouls before being disqualified.)
For the season, Brink has been called for 49 fouls in 208 minutes. A foul about every four minutes!
They’re silly fouls and they’re phantom calls. Egregious and ticky-tack. Costly and common. A real fouled-up buffet. She sets screens that get scrutinized as if by the most vigilant TSA agent. And sometimes, yes, she’s doing the accidental tripping. Other times, the officials are.
Her reputation precedes her, so everyone gets a superstar’s whistle when being defended by Brink. Opponents bake it into their game plans.
That can’t continue.
All that fouling is hindering Brink’s development because it’s robbing her of important in-game reps — which she needs, foremost, to figure out how to stop fouling.
Sparks forward Cameron Brink, left, blocks the shot of the Tempo’s Laura Juskaite during a game last month.
(Jeff Lewis / Associated Press)
“At the pro level,” said Tara VanDerveer, Brink’s coach at Stanford, “every young player always has a lot of work to do. And I saw her make a three. I see her block shots. She rebounds, she can handle the ball, she’s unselfish, she’s a terrific talent. But there’s always things players need to work on.”
We know what Brink’s thing is.
“She has to be disciplined,” VanDerveer said. “And if you want something so badly, if you want to be an All-Star someday or make the Olympic team, you’ve got to be dependable … and I think anyone can change, if it’s behavior they recognize is not in their best interests or not in their team’s best interests. It’s hard, but it’s something I think people can do.
“That’s what Cam is working on.”
And, VanDerveer added, “I’m really so excited that Nneka is there, because she will give her such great guidance and mentorship.”
And grace. Brink is getting that from Ogwumike — also a former Stanford star, the Sparks legend returned to L.A. this season after two seasons in Seattle — and her other teammates.
“I just do my best to lead by example,” Ogwumike, 35, said. “But then also let [Brink] know that she’s very capable, that she’s more than capable, which is exactly why she’s here with us and it’s exactly why we need her on this team.”
Sparks forward Cameron Brink, wearing a facemask, controls the ball while defended by Sun forward Raegan Beers.
(Joe Buglewicz / Getty Images)
But how long will Brink get grace from the Sparks in the what-have-you-done-for-me-lately business of basketball?
The foul trouble tells us why a win-now team wouldn’t trust her, why the Sparks would give meaningful minutes to two veteran post players ahead of her. Why they wouldn’t prioritize Brink’s development alongside winning as they strive to snap a previously unthinkable five-year playoff drought.
And what about fans? How patient will you all be with a player who was drafted immediately after Caitlin Clark and five spots in front of Angel Reese?
These days, that might depend on what the parlay calls for.
Or, preferably, whether you remember Brink’s first 15 WNBA games. All starts, all signs pointing to stardom. She showed up in 2024 throwing lavish block parties. Her 2.3 blocks per game were message-sending spikes, like what Lisa Leslie used to enthrall Sparks crowds with.
From the jump, she had guys coming to games at Crypto.com Arena wearing her No. 22 jersey and little girls arriving in groups with No. 22 painted on their cheeks and “I love Cam Brink” signs in hand.
And then the torn ACL cost her 25 games of her rookie season and another 25 last season, plus her spot on the United States’ Olympic 3×3 women’s basketball team in Paris in 2024.
She had to start over. Lost a lot of ground. But you see that masked woman stuck on the Sparks’ bench for all but 17 minutes per game?
You can’t miss her. She’s looking uncomfortable in protective facial gear that either hinders her breathing or her peripheral vision, her only options to protect the torn septum she suffered in a victory over the Las Vegas Aces last month.
She’s the one with the 6-8 wingspan who’s averaging 9.2 points, 4.3 rebounds and 1.5 blocks while shooting 52.1% from the field in her limited minutes.
She’s still Cameron Brink. Between fouls, she’s fluid and fast and covers more of the court than almost anyone in the WNBA, able to leap from defending guards to centers in a single bound.
“It’s just looking at every day as a new opportunity to learn and grow and not getting too bogged down when things don’t go exactly as you planned,” Brink told me. “Because more times than not, things are not going to go how you want them to. And that’s life. So I just want to be able to put my best effort out there every single night.
She knows what the Sparks need from her: “To perform, just come on the floor and compete.”
To prove she can stay on the floor to compete.
Sports
2026 World Cup Odds: How Far Will Team USA Go?
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When will Team USA lose in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Or, will it not lose at all?
Let’s check out the odds for the Americans’ stage of elimination at FanDuel Sportsbook, as of June 11.
Team USA — Stage of elimination odds
Last 32: +170 (bet $10 to win $27 total)
Last 16: +220 (bet $10 to win $32 total)
Group stage: +500 (bet $10 to win $60 total)
Quarterfinals: +500 (bet $10 to win $60 total)
Semifinals: +1200 (bet $10 to win $130 total)
Runner-up: +2800 (bet $10 to win $290 total)
Outright winner: +6000 (bet $10 to win $610 total)
This page may contain affiliate links to legal sports betting partners. If you sign up or place a wager, FOX Sports may be compensated. Read more about Sports Betting on FOX Sports.
The outlook appears to be … ho-hum?
If the odds ring true, the Americans are expected to make it out of the group stage but fall in the first knockout stage game.
How would that result stack up against previous results? Well, at the 2022 World Cup, Team USA made it to the Round of 16, which was viewed as a stellar accomplishment.
The U.S. men’s national team currently has 60-1 odds to lift the 2026 FIFA World Cup trophy this summer (Photo by Omar Vega/USSF/Getty Images).
In 2018, the USA did not qualify for the World Cup, and in 2014 and 2010, the Americans also made it to the Round of 16. Their best result this century occurred in 2002, when the Americans made it all the way to the quarterfinals before being eliminated.
In 1998, Team USA lost in the group stage, in 1994, it fell in the Round of 16, and in 1990, it also fell in the group stage.
With the expanded World Cup format, 32 teams will advance to the knockout stage (out of 48), giving teams a much better chance of getting out of the group stage than in previous tournaments. In past years, only 50% of the field advanced to the knockout round, but now 66.6% of teams will move on.
With that being said, anything less than a knockout round appearance on home soil would be viewed as a major failure this summer for Team USA.
The second result on the oddsboard is the “Last 16,” meaning the USA would make it out of the group stage and win one knockout stage game, before falling in the second knockout stage game. The third result is that the Americans failed to make it out of the group stage, and the fourth is that they made it to the quarterfinals, meaning they won two knockout stage games.
Making the semis, losing in the championship game and winning the championship are the three results with the longest odds.
The U.S. begins its World Cup journey on Friday as the Stars and Stripes face Paraguay at Los Angeles Stadium. Getting off to a fast start in the group is crucial for the team’s World Cup dreams of making a deep run this summer.
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Massachusetts25 minutes agoAuthorities recover 35 ‘high-risk missing children’ in Mass. in anti-trafficking initiative amid World Cup – The Boston Globe
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Minnesota28 minutes agoKyler Murray, J.J. McCarthy to continue Minnesota Vikings QB competition into training camp
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Mississippi33 minutes agoTennessee football offers 2029 Mississippi wide receiver
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Missouri40 minutes agoChristie Jean Lee Vauter