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Virginia Tech vs Miami picks, predictions, odds: Who wins college football Week 5 game?

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Virginia Tech vs Miami picks, predictions, odds: Who wins college football Week 5 game?


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The Virginia Tech Hokies play the Miami Hurricanes in a college football Week 5 game on Friday, Sept. 27 at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida.

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Which team will win the game?

Check out these picks and predictions for the game, which is scheduled to begin at 4:30 p.m. MST and can be seen on ESPN (stream with this free trial from FUBO).

Virginia Tech is coming off a 26-23 loss against Rutgers in Week 4. Miami beat South Florida, 50-15.

Miami is a 17.5-point favorite over Virginia Tech in college football Week 5 odds for the game, according to BetMGM Sportsbook.

The Hurricanes are -880 on the moneyline. The Hokies are +580.

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The over/under for the game is set at 54.5 points.

College football Week 5 picks: Arizona vs Utah | Virginia Tech vs Miami | Ohio State vs Michigan State | Wisconsin vs USC | Illinois vs Penn State | Oklahoma State vs Kansas State | Louisville vs Notre Dame | Georgia vs Alabama | Colorado vs UCF | Washington State vs Boise State | BYU vs Baylor | TCU vs Kansas

Watch Virginia Tech at Miami live with FUBO (free trial)

Dimers.com: Miami 33, Virginia Tech 21

It writes: “After extensive simulations, our model gives Virginia Tech a win probability of 21%, while Miami Florida has a win probability of 79%.”

ESPN: Miami has a 90% chance to defeat Virginia Tech in college football game

The site’s matchup predictor gives Virginia Tech a 10% shot to beat Miami on Friday.

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ACC football power rankings: Where are Virginia, Tech, Miami in over/under win totals odds?

Odds Shark: Miami 36.5, Virginia Tech 29.6

The site predicts that the Hurricanes will defeat the Hokies in Friday’s college football Week 5 ACC Conference game.

The site’s formula predicts that the Hurricanes will beat the Hokies in Friday’s ACC game.

College Football Playoff odds 2024-25: Who are the betting favorites now?

David Anicetti writes: “Miami will pick up a victory at home on Friday when hosting Virginia Tech but the play here is OVER. The OVER has cashed in seven of Virginia Tech’s last eight, in six of Miami’s last seven, and in each of Miami’s last five played at home. Miami is scoring an average of 52.3 points per game which is fourth in the nation, while Virginia Tech is scoring an average of 33.7 points per game.”

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Reach Jeremy Cluff at jeremy.cluff@arizonarepublic.com. Follow him on X, formerly Twitter @Jeremy_Cluff.

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30 notes to remember from FSU football’s 34-14 victory against Virginia Tech

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30 notes to remember from FSU football’s 34-14 victory against Virginia Tech


The Florida State Seminoles recorded their second ACC victory of the season in the middle of November. On Saturday night, FSU took down Virginia Tech, 34-14.

The Seminoles outscored the Hokies 24-7 in the second half, overcoming a 7-3 deficit in the second quarter to win by 20 points.

READ MORE: FSU football ends home slate on high note with 34-14 win over Virginia Tech

Here are 30 notes surrounding various data-points from the game.

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Stats To Remember From FSU’s Win Over Virginia Tech

Duce Robinson

Nov 15, 2025; Tallahassee, Florida, USA; Florida State Seminoles wide receiver Duce Robinson (0) catches a pass during the second half against the Virginia Tech Hokies at Doak S. Campbell Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Melina Myers-Imagn Images / Melina Myers-Imagn Images
  • Florida State won its 600th game in program history Saturday, beating Virginia Tech 34-14 in the home finale at Doak Campbell Stadium. Among schools with 600 all-time wins, FSU (79 seasons) and Appalachian State (96) are the only schools to play fewer than 100 seasons.
  • Head coach Mike Norvell improved to 27-9 in November as a head coach, including a 14-5 mark at home. FSU is now 22-2 under Norvell when allowing fewer than 20 points, with a 5-0 record in 2025. 
  • The Noles improved to 25-13-1 all-time against the Hokies, with a 15-6 mark at Doak. 
  • Wide receiver Duce Robinson led Florida State with 6 catches for 134 yards and a 50-yard touchdown. Robinson’s five 120-yard receiving games are tied for the national lead and are the most for a Seminole in a season since 2014 (Rashad Greene, five). 
  • Robinson’s 947 receiving yards rank 18th in FSU single-season history and are the most for a Nole since 2019. 
  • Robinson’s touchdown was Florida State’s seventh of the season of at least 50 yards.
  • Robinson’s catch was his third of at least 50 yards in 2025, 2nd-most in the ACC behind teammate Micahi Danzy’s four. Robinson leads the ACC with 10 30-yard catches. 
  • Robinson also broke up a pass on Virginia Tech’s hail mary to end the first half. He previously had an interception on a hail mary vs. Penn State while with Southern Cal in 2024. 
  • Florida State has had a 100-yard receiver in five consecutive games, the Noles longest streak since 2013-14 (five games). 
  • Quarterback Tommy Castellanos was 12-for-24 for 189 yards and three total touchdowns – one passing and two rushing. His touchdown pass to Robinson was his eighth pass of 50+ yards, most in the ACC and top-5 nationally. 
  • Castellanos’ eight rushing touchdowns are tied for the team lead and a new FSU’s singleseason record for rushing touchdowns by a quarterback (Jordan Travis had seven rushing touchdowns each season from 2020-23). 
  • Castellanos’ three total touchdowns tie his most in a game this season. 
  • Castellanos will enter the NC State game with 6,006 career passing yards. 
  • True freshman Mandrell Desir forced a fumble on a 4-yard sack in the third quarter, the first forced fumble of his career. Linebacker Blake Nichelson fell on the ball, his first career fumble recovery and FSU’s second of the season. 
  • Nichelson added a 3-yard tackle for loss on fourth down in the fourth quarter. 
  • Desir later teamed up with Omar Graham Jr. for a tackle on 4th down, forcing a turnover on downs. Desir finished with three tackles in the game, while Graham had five tackles and now has 102 for his career. 
  • Desir leads FSU with 5.0 sacks and 6.0 tackles for loss in 2025. His 5.0 sacks are the most for an FSU true freshman since current New York Giant Brian Burns had 9.5 in 2016; Desir’s 5.0 sacks are the 2nd-most for an FSU true freshman since 2005. 
  • Safety Ashlynd Barker had five tackles with 1.0 tackles for loss and ranks second on the team with 5.0 TFL for the year. 
  • Tight end Randy Pittman Jr. rushed for a 1-yard touchdown in the third quarter, his third rushing touchdown of the season. Pittman’s three rushing TDs in a season are the most for a tight end in 2025 and most for an ACC tight end since 2019. 
  • Pittman’s touchdown followed Nichelson’s fumble recovery; FSU has scored points after 11 of 14 takeaways in 2025, with eight touchdowns. 
  • Senior cornerback Jerry Wilson’s interception on Virginia Tech’s third play was his 3rd of the season and 8th of his career. 
  • Wilson’s interception was FSU’s 11th interception of the season and was FSU’s first takeaway on an opening drive since an interception vs. Boston College in 2022. 
  • Wilson added a 5-yard tackle for loss on 3rd-and-2 on the Hokies’ next drive, his first of the season. Wilson’s TFL forced a Virginia Tech field goal try from 54 yards that was missed short.
  • Earl Little Jr. had six tackles and one pass breakup, the second PBU of his career. 
  • Redshirt senior Stefon Thompson forced a fumble, the fifth of his career and his first since 2023.
  • Jaylin Lucas returned consecutive kickoffs for 37 and 39 yards in the second half, FSU’s two longest kickoff returns of the year and Lucas’ longest as a Seminole. Offensively, Lucas added 13 yards on two catches and 10 yards on two runs. 
  • Kicker Jake Weinberg connected on two field goals to tie a career high. He was 4-for-4 on point-after tries, extending FSU’s streak to 159 straight made PAT. 
  • Florida State did not punt, the Noles third game without a punt in 2025. Entering the season, FSU did not punt in only four games in school history. 
  • The three games without a punt are the most in the country this year and match the most in a season since 2007. 
  • In a pregame ceremony, Florida State recognized 18 seniors: LS Mason Arnold, WR Gavin Blackwell, DB Shyheim Brown, QB Tommy Castellanos, TE Markeston Douglas, OL Gunnar Hansen, LB Elijah Herring, RB Caziah Holmes, DL Darrell Jackson Jr, DL Jaden Jones, OL Richie Leonard IV, OL Adrian Medley, OL Luke Petitbon, OL Micah Pettus, LB Stefon Thompson, WR Squirrel White, RB Roydell Williams and DB Jerry Wilson.

READ MORE: Mike Norvell sickened by FSU football’s loss to Clemson: ‘that comes down to all of us’

Stick with NoleGameday for more FREE coverage of Florida State Football throughout the 2025 season

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Final ACC availability report for FSU football vs. Virginia Tech Hokies

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Final ACC availability report for FSU football vs. Virginia Tech Hokies


Only two hours remain until the Florida State Seminoles kick off their tenth game of the 2025 season.

The Seminoles are back in Doak Campbell Stadium for the seventh time this year, hoping to end things off on a positive note in Tallahassee. Florida State is 4-2 at home but 0-3 on the road this fall.

READ MORE: FSU football navigating Tommy Castellanos’ potential return for 2026 season

Virginia Tech is hoping to spoil Florida State’s senior day. The Hokies had a week off to prepare for the road trip.

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The Seminoles and Hokies will kick off at 7:30 p.m. ET on the ACC Network.

Quindarrius Jones

Oct 26, 2024; Miami Gardens, Florida, USA; Miami Hurricanes wide receiver Isaiah Horton (2) runs with the football ahead of Florida State Seminoles defensive back Quindarrius Jones (16) during the second quarter at Hard Rock Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-Imagn Images / Sam Navarro-Imagn Images

Earlier this week, Florida State announced DB Ja’Bril Rawls, DL Deamontae Diggs, DB Quindarrius Jones, DB Ricky Knight III, LB Caleb LaVallee, LB Ethan Pritchard, and DB Donny Hiebert would miss the game.

Rawls was injured in FSU’s loss to Clemson last Saturday.

In the first two ACC availability reports, Florida State listed two players as questionable (TE Chase Loftin, RB Samuel Singleton Jr.) and six others as probable (RB Roydell Williams, WR Lawayne McCoy, DE James Williams, WR Jayvan Boggs, OL Gunnar Hansen, WR Teriq Mallory).

James Williams

FSU Athletics

The ACC released its final availability report for the matchup two hours before kickoff, providing final updates from Florida State and Virginia Tech.

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On gameday, the statuses for players on the report are out, game-time decision, or available.

The total number of missing players is up to 23, 15 for Virginia Tech and eight for Florida State.

The Seminoles will get some much-needed reinforcements with redshirt junior defensive end James Williams and true freshman wide receiver Jayvan Boggs returning to the lineup.

Running back Samuel Singleton Jr. and left tackle Gunnar Hansen are game-time decisions. Tight end Chase Loftin has been ruled out.

Virginia Tech backup offensive lineman Tommy Ricard will play.

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Check out the full report below.

FLORIDA STATE:

OUT:

— DB Ja’Bril Rawls

— DL Deamontae Diggs

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— DB Quindarrius Jones

— DB Ricky Knight III

— TE Chase Loftin

— LB Caleb LaVallee

— LB Ethan Pritchard

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— DB Donny Hiebert

GAME-TIME DECISION:

— RB Samuel Singleton Jr.

— OL Gunnar Hansen

VIRGINIA TECH:

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OUT:

— S Quentin Reddish

— CB Joshua Clark

— WR Keylen Adams

— WR Chanz Wiggins

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— LB Gabe Williams

— CB Caleb Brown

— RB Braydon Bennett

— CB Jojo Crim

— DL Sherrod Henderson

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— DL James Jennette

— OL Montavious Cunningham

— OL Brody Meadows

— WR L.J. Booker

— WR Joseph Hobbs

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— DL Andrew Hanchuk

READ MORE: Mike Norvell sickened by FSU football’s loss to Clemson: ‘that comes down to all of us’

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Shaw, Rivière carry West Virginia in win over 15th-ranked Duke women in game featuring 6 ejections

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Shaw, Rivière carry West Virginia in win over 15th-ranked Duke women in game featuring 6 ejections


WHITE SULPHUR SPRINGS, W.Va. (AP) — Sydney Shaw scored 16 points and reserve Celia Riviere scored 12 as West Virginia overcame the ejection of six players just before halftime to beat 15th-ranked Duke 57-49 Friday night.

The undefeated Mountaineers (4-0) finished the game with just five players.

West Virginia lost backups Gia Cooke, Carter McCray, Madison Parrish, Jordan Thomas and Kierra Wheeler in a dust-up between the squads. The Mountaineers also lost starter Jordan Harrison.

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Duke (2-2) lost Jordan Wood in the skirmish, which took 15 minutes for officials to sort through.

Wood blocked Harrison’s shot attempt as time expired at the half, then flexed on her in a stare down. When the two exchanged shoves, the Mountaineers’ bench emptied before the teams were separated. Departing the bench carries an automatic ejection.

“I’m disappointed in the ending of the half,” WVU coach Mark Kellogg said. “I think we’re better than that — we’re going to learn a huge lesson — but I’m so proud of that group five.”

Normally a reserve, Rivière was on the court at the end of the half. Trailing 23-20 at halftime, West Virginia emerged from the break and proceeded to outscore the Blue Devils 20-6 in the first six minutes of the third.

Rivière scored eight and Shaw had seven during that span, which saw the Mountaineers expand their lead to 40-29 with 4:03 remaining in the third.

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The Blue Devils drew within 53-49 with 37 seconds left before Shaw atoned for some late turnovers and made 5-of-6 foul shots in the last 43 seconds to clinch it.

Cooke scored 12 for West Virginia before her ejection.

Taina Mair scored 10 points for Duke

Up Next

Duke travels to South Florida on Thursday. West Virginia hosts Appalachian State on Thursday.

___ Get poll alerts and updates on the AP Top 25 throughout the season. Sign up here. AP women’s college basketball: https://apnews.com/hub/ap-top-25-womens-college-basketball-poll and https://apnews.com/hub/womens-college-basketball

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