Connect with us

Tennessee

Tennessee population could hit 8 million in two decades. What it could mean for the state’s biggest cities

Published

on

Tennessee population could hit 8 million in two decades. What it could mean for the state’s biggest cities


play

Tennessee’s population is expected to reach nearly 8 million in less than two decades. According to the Boyd Center for Business and Economic Research at the University of Tennessee, Knoxville, Tennessee is expected to be home to 7.94 million residents by 2040 — that’s a 13% increase from the 2022 population of 7.05 million, for which data is most recently available.

Advertisement

Between 2020 and 2030, Tennessee is projected to experience an annual population growth rate of 0.82%, an increase of approximately 600,000 people. According to the data, that’s 35,000 more people than were added between 2010 and 2020. A period of steady but smaller population gains will follow and is expected to continue through 2070, when the population is expected to reach 9,250,000.

“At the state level, the amount of population growth during the 2020s will feel similar to the gains we saw last decade,” said Matt Harris, Boyd Distinguished Professor of Health Economics and co-author of the findings. “But as the baby boom generation reaches the later stages of life, a rising number of deaths will begin to slow Tennessee’s population increases.”

Per university research, older adults are expected to experience the highest population increase of all the age groups. The Volunteer State is also expected to grow more racially and ethnically diverse.

Here’s how else Tennessee is expected to grow at both the local and state level.

Which Tennessee cities grew the most? See how population shifted according to the U.S. Census

Advertisement

A growing population of older adults

By 2040, almost 20% of the state’s population is expected to be aged 65 and older. According to research, that’s a 17% increase and a growth of 306,000 people from 2022. By 2040, people between 65-74 (815,120) will be the dominant age group among older adults, following behind will be people between 75-84 (506,795) and finally people 85 and over (204,895).

According to Harris, a growing population of older adults will not only affect the health care system, but will also increase the need for more housing, transportation and other types of personal care throughout the decades.

Age groups younger than 65 are also expected to grow, however, those populations will grow at a much smaller rate. For example, populations between 25-52 are expected to grow by 11%, while populations under 20 are expected to grow just by 2%.

A more racially and ethnically diverse Tennessee

More than half of the state’s projected population growth can be attributed to Hispanics, Black or African Americans or people who are of other races or more than one race.

Advertisement

The largest increase will be among Hispanics, who will see an increase from approximately 450,000 in 2022to 754,000 over the next 20 years — a 6.4% increase. By 2040, the Hispanic population is expected to make up 10% of Tennessee residents. Asian American, Pacific Islander, and Native American populations will see a similar increase, growing from 307,00 to 470,000 by 2040.

While populations of Black and white Tennesseans are expected to grow as well, the share of the state’s population that is white or Black will decrease. The Black population will decrease from 16.4% to 15.4% and the white population will decrease from 73% to 69% by 2040.

How will the Nashville area population change compared to other Tennessee cities?

The Nashville Metro Statistical Area, which includes Davidson, Murfreesboro and Franklin, is projected to see a 28% growth rate in 2040, bringing the total population to 2,642,779.

The Knoxville area will experience an 11% increase in 2040 bringing its total population to 1,038,122. The Chattanooga area is projected to experience a 13% increase in 2040, bringing the total population 474,768. On the other hand, the Memphis area is projected to experience a 3.4% decrease in population, lowering its 2040 population to 986, 741.

Methodology

The Boyd Center for Business and Economic Research developed its population estimates using a cohort component model. Projections were conducted at the county level for each combination of race, sex and age, using internal data well as from the United States Census Bureau and the Tennessee Department of Health.

Advertisement

In order to determine individual areas’ population by race, sex and age for each year, information about birth rates, deathr rates and net migration was factored.

To learn more about the methodology, visit tnsdc.utk.edu.

Diana Leyva covers trending news and service journalism for The Tennessean. Contact her at Dleyva@gannett.com or follow her on X, the platform formerly known as Twitter, at @_leyvadiana



Source link

Advertisement

Tennessee

Memphis lawmaker renews call for city to secede from Tennessee, form 51st state

Published

on

Memphis lawmaker renews call for city to secede from Tennessee, form 51st state


MEMPHIS, Tenn. (WMC) – State Rep. Antonio Parkinson says Tennessee’s two blue cities, Memphis and Nashville, should break away and form their own state.

“I don’t think the state of Tennessee deserves a Memphis and Shelby County…or a Nashville, Davidson County,” Parkinson said on Action News 5’s A Better Memphis broadcast Friday.

Parkinson proposed creating a new state called West Tennessee, which would span from the eastern border of Nashville’s Davidson County to the Mississippi River.

“I’m not just talking about Memphis, I’m talking about the eastern border of Nashville, Davidson County and everything to the Mississippi River to create a new state called the new state of West Tennessee, the 51st state, West Tennessee,” Parkinson said.

Advertisement

Proposal follows new congressional map

Parkinson’s secession pitch follows the GOP supermajority approving a new congressional map Thursday that splits Shelby County into three districts, dismantling what was the state’s only majority-Black district.

“So this is about accountability. We’re paying all of this money, yet you remove our voice, so that is taxation without self-determination, taxation without actual representation,” Parkinson said.

Tennessee Speaker of the House Cameron Sexton denies race was a factor when Republicans redrew the map.

“Look, at the end of the day we were able to draw a map based on population and based on politics, we did not use any racial data,” Sexton told Action News 5.

Sexton said Democrats did the same thing in the 1990s when they split Shelby County into three different congressional districts.

Advertisement

Secession requires state, federal approval

For Memphis to secede, it requires approval from the State of Tennessee and the U.S. Congress.

Parkinson said he’s willing to fight that uphill battle.

“Why should we stay in an abusive relationship where they’ve shown us the pattern over and over and over…where they do not see our value, and do not care about us,” Parkinson said.

This is not the first time Parkinson has suggested Memphis secede from Tennessee. He made the same call in 2018 after the Republican-controlled state legislature punished Memphis, cutting the city’s funding by $250,000, in retaliation for removing two Confederate statutes.

Click here to sign up for our newsletter!

Advertisement

Click here to report a spelling or grammar error. Please include the headline.

Copyright 2026 WMC. All rights reserved.



Source link

Continue Reading

Tennessee

Signal Mountain lawmaker explains her ‘present’ vote on Tennessee redistricting plan

Published

on

Signal Mountain lawmaker explains her ‘present’ vote on Tennessee redistricting plan


A state lawmaker who represents constituents on Signal Mountain is explaining why she chose not to vote yes or no on Tennessee’s controversial redistricting plan.

State Rep. Michele Reneau (R-Signal Mountain) voted “present not voting” as the House approved a new congressional map during a heated special session.

In a statement, Reneau says the decision reflected concerns about both the process and what happened inside the Capitol.

“I had serious concerns about the timing, process, and unintended consequences,” she said.

Advertisement

Reneau also pointed to the tone of the debate.

She said she did not want her vote to be seen as supporting “the messaging, tactics, or behavior being used by protesters throughout this week.”

Rep. Greg Vital of Hamilton County also voted ‘present.’

We have reached out to his office several times. We will share his explanation in this story if and when we hear back.

The redistricting plan, which has now passed both chambers and is headed to the governor’s desk, reshapes districts across the state, including breaking up the Memphis-based district.

Advertisement

The vote came amid protests, demonstrations and intense debate at the State Capitol.

Reneau says her vote was not about avoiding the issue.

“My vote was not a refusal to take the issue seriously,” she said. “It was a deliberate vote reflecting the complexity of the issue.”

The plan has sparked strong reactions across Tennessee.

Some Democrats have filed legal challenges to block the new map before the next election.

Others have raised concerns about representation, while some lawmakers have floated broader ideas, including changes to how regions are governed.

Advertisement
Comment with Bubbles

JOIN THE CONVERSATION (1)

Depend on us to keep you posted.



Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Tennessee

University of Tennessee to honor record-setting graduating class of 9,000

Published

on

University of Tennessee to honor record-setting graduating class of 9,000


KNOXVILLE, Tenn. (WATE) — The University of Tennessee, Knoxville will celebrate its biggest graduating class yet later this month.

The flagship campus of the University of Tennessee System announced Thursday that approximately 9,000 graduates will be honored across 10 commencement ceremonies from May 14-17.

Tennessee’s student population has grown significantly in recent years, with total enrollment topping 40,000 for the first time for the fall 2025 semester. In 2020, Tennessee’s enrollment was 30,000.

UT had a record-number of first-year applications from the class of 2029 with nearly 63,000 and received 5,300 transfer applications, the most ever.

Advertisement

Two new residents halls opened prior to the fall 2025 semester and the university plans to build new residence halls to replace North Carrick, South Carrick and Reese Hall. Following the recent demolition of Melrose Hall, a 116,000-square-foot student success is expected to open during the Fall 2027 semester.

Ceremonies will take place at Thompson-Boling Arena at Food City Center with the exception of the College of Veterinary Medicine Ceremony, which will take place at the Alumni Memorial Building auditorium. Visit the commencement website for scheduling details, and parking information.



Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading
Advertisement

Trending