CJ Cup in South Carolina picks 2022: It feels like it’s Jordan Spieth time at Congaree

The Fall Swing has not been sort to us thus far. Key phrases: thus far. We’re not getting discouraged and nor must you, not on per week like this, with six of the highest 10 gamers within the Official World Golf Rating will descend upon Congaree Golf Membership for the CJ Cup in South Carolina. It’s not fairly a “divert your full consideration away from soccer” week, but it surely’s fairly rattling shut.

It couldn’t come at a greater time, as these peak weeks on the PGA Tour are usually the place our consultants do a few of their finest work. Not surprisingly, with all the highest names within the discipline, there is no such thing as a consensus play, although three of our handicappers are eyeing a three-time main winner who could have recaptured some magic on the greens on the Presidents Cup.

CJ Cup DFS picks 2022: The indicators level to Jon Rahm being again

Scroll all the way down to see who we like this week on the 2022 CJ Cup in South Carolina.

Nameless Caddie Picker of the week: Cameron Younger (30-1, Bet365) — A brief discipline with a course that encourages aggressive traces and bombing it out so far as you’ll be able to can be an ideal place for Younger’s maiden victory.

Pat Mayo, DraftKings/Fantasy Nationwide, Mayo Media Community analyst: Collin Morikawa (28-1, DraftKings) — This can be a blind wager at any time when he drops to this worth vary. At a course the place the shorter hitters will get extra distance off the tee, accuracy and lengthy irons will present a definite benefit. The journey from Japan could also be worrisome, however I’m simply glad he bought a couple of aggressive rounds below his belt.

Brandon Gdula, FanDuel/numberFire managing editor: Scottie Scheffler (12-1, FanDuel) — Scheffler has the size and general ball-striking to play Congaree nicely. The fast-and-firm setup with broad fairways ought to assist the longer hitters separate from the remainder of the sector, and my simulation mannequin reveals worth on Scheffler close to the highest of the board.

Rick Gehman, information scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: Jordan Spieth (28-1, BetMGM) — Spieth is among the most enjoyable golfers to wager, relying in your definition of enjoyable. Will he make a couple of foolish errors? Completely. In the event you zoom out, you’ll understand that Spieth has 5 high 10s in his previous 12 begins, which embrace a win on the RBC Heritage and a 5-0-0 report on the Presidents Cup. Congaree will problem this discipline and reward creativity, which Spieth has in abundance.

Stephen Hennessey, Golf Digest dep. managing editor: Jordan Spieth (28-1, BetMGM) — I had an opportunity to play Congaree not too long ago with one in every of Spieth’s former school teammates. As we have been going out, analyzing whose sport actually fits the course, we saved saying how a lot Spieth’s creativity and shot-making might actually flourish at Congaree. The width off the tee will assist hold Spieth out of hassle, and the choices for pictures to hit into these actually fascinating, undulating greens play to Spieth’s artistic aspect. If Spieth’s putter from Quail Hole reveals up right here, he may win by three or extra.

Christopher Powers, Golf Digest assistant editor: Jordan Spieth (28-1, BetMGM) — As Rick identified already, the latest type has been nice, and the putter got here ALL the best way again at Quail Hole, the place Spieth gained each doable level he might on the Presidents Cup. Add in the truth that he’s already mentioned he loves the course after seeing solely 9 holes of it, and it’s unimaginable to go up on the three-time main winner at this quantity.

Lee Alldrick, FanShare Sports activities: Rory McIlroy (+700, FanDuel) — McIlroy comes into this occasion head and shoulders above his subsequent nearest contender stats-wise, so he’s a worthy favourite. He ranks eighth for SG/whole and first for Alternatives Gained over the previous two months. He additionally ranks third for SG/whole during the last two years and first for SG/whole on comparable programs.

Previous outcomes: Golf Digest’s betting panel caught hearth on the finish of the summer time, appropriately predicting the winner in 5 of the ultimate six occasions of the season. However now we flip the web page to the 2022-’23 season. Winners are coming.

Hearken to Golf Digest’s weekly betting podcast, “The Loop,” (under) the place we interview the trade’s main consultants (and generally tour professionals) that can assist you make your bets and decide your fantasy lineups. And you should definitely subscribe to “The Loop” wherever you get your podcasts!

Caddie: Andrew Putnam (100-1, FanDuel) — I’m amazed at this quantity. Putnam’s quietly taking part in a few of the finest golf out of anybody proper now—coming off a T-12 in Vegas and a T-2 on the Zozo.

Mayo: Tyrrell Hatton (35-1, DraftKings) — He was second on this occasion in 2021, and that’s solely as a result of he couldn’t make a putt all week. He’s been quietly taking part in very nicely in Europe because the PGA Tour season ended, and he simply wants to copy his 2021 efficiency and hold rolling it like he has the final month for a dark-horse run.

Gdula: Taylor Montgomery (50-1, FanDuel) — I’m not large on longshots in no-cut occasions as a result of no-cut occasions characteristic much less volatility and are usually gained by the most effective within the discipline. That mentioned, Montgomery is a plus off the tee and is shaping up as an elite putter because the pattern grows.

Gehman: S.H. Kim (150-1, DraftKings) — Kim is technically on this discipline primarily based on his OWGR rating as one of many high three Korean gamers not in any other case exempt—becoming a member of Sanghyun Park and Byeong Hun An. Kim is proving that he’s harmful throughout the globe, gaining not less than 7.5 strokes to the sector in 4 of his previous 5 begins, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. His worst outcome throughout that stretch was a T-36 on the Fortinet and he’s coming off a T-4 in Las Vegas. He has loads of expertise to maintain these outcomes coming.

Hennessey, Golf Digest: Brian Harman (75-1, FanDuel) — To me, ball-striking and brief sport might be essential round Congaree. Outdoors of Scottie Scheffler, Justin Thomas and Cam Davis, Harman is the one participant on this discipline to be top-12 in each SG/tee to inexperienced and SG/across the greens over the previous 24 rounds, per Fantasy Nationwide. And Harman’s at his finest on Bermuda greens, so I believe Harman will really feel at residence right here and have an opportunity to threaten for a W.

Powers, Golf Digest: Davis Riley (125-1, Caesars Sportsbook) — Riley was all people’s man these first few fall-swing occasions, and at numbers like 40- and 45-1. Now you’re all leaping off when he’s triple diggies? For disgrace. I’ll purchase that dip all day, particularly after he went 67-68 to complete the weekend at Zozo. Congaree, with its Bermuda placing surfaces and its premium on accuracy together with your irons, ought to be proper up Riley’s alley.

Alldrick, FanShare Sports activities: Corey Conners (65-1, DraftKings) — Conners comes into this occasion ranked seventh within the discipline for SG/whole over the previous two years, so he has stable long-term type. His short-term type is nice additionally, rating fifteenth within the discipline for Alternatives Gained over the previous two months. This has resulted in six top-30 finishes in his final seven occasions, which features a fifth. The Canadian additionally ranks tenth within the discipline this week for SG/whole at comparable programs.

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Caddie: Max Homa (16-1, DraftKings) — Nothing in opposition to Max, however this can be a actually brief quantity with such a top-heavy discipline of elite gamers. Max belongs in that dialog, however at this quantity he’s powerful to justify.

Mayo: Sam Burns (28-1, DraftKings) — It’s by no means enjoyable fading somebody who wins so usually, however he simply hasn’t been working close to peak efficiency since early summer time, and we’re nonetheless paying a premium for him in a loaded discipline.

Gdula: Tom Kim (26-1, FanDuel) — I could make a case for lots of the favorites this week and wouldn’t outright advocate for fading many, however I’m out on Tom Kim across the similar odds as Sungjae, Fitzpatrick, Hovland, Spieth and Burns at a course that rewards distance and in a discipline that’s as stacked as this one.

Gehman: Sam Burns (28-1, DraftKings) — Burns is an outstanding participant with loads of star energy, however his stat profile is regarding in the intervening time. We’ve seen a decay of his driving potential, now shedding strokes off-the-tee in 5 of his previous eight begins, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. These struggles off the tee are manifesting in large misses, 37 ft from the green on common. There’s only some golfers on tour who’re lacking as broad as Burns proper now, and Congaree Golf Membership can punish these misses.

Hennessey, Golf Digest: Scottie Scheffler (11-1, DraftKings) — As Rick identified in his DFS column on GolfDigest.com this week, Scheffler has misplaced strokes off the tee in eight of his previous 10 begins, together with 5 straight occasions. That’s not a recipe for fulfillment at Congaree.

Powers, Golf Digest: Viktor Hovland (28-1, DraftKings) — Hov has been on hearth of late, however the brief sport stays an issue, and Congaree includes a ton of run-off areas that drive you to essentially suppose and play quite a lot of short-game pictures across the greens. That’s clearly not his sturdy go well with. He’ll ball-strike his manner into rivalry, however the potential for a blowup across the greens has me staying away.

Alldrick, FanShare Sports activities: Matt Fitzpatrick (18-1, DraftKings) — Whereas this course units up nicely for Fitzpatrick, his type coming in has been poor. He ranks simply fifty fifth within the discipline for SG/whole over the previous two months and simply 57th for Alternatives Gained over the identical interval.

Gamers depend the explanation why the sector is so sturdy for the CJ Cup

Caddie: Adam Hadwin (+100) over Tommy Fleetwood (DraftKings) — Strictly a climate play. Forecast requires gentle winds all week, and Hadwin performs nicely in dome circumstances.

Mayo: Taylor Montgomery (-110) over Aaron Smart (DraftKings) — Between the PGA Tour and Korn Ferry Tour, Montgomery hasn’t completed exterior the highest 15 in any occasion over the previous 4 months. That’s higher than Smart, who could have a greater likelihood to truly win, however with assured 4 rounds Smart is way extra prone to randomly blow up.

Gdula: Sungjae Im (-105) over Tom Kim (FOX Guess) — Even over the previous 20 rounds with Tom Kim crimson scorching, Sungjae Im has nonetheless been higher, and for those who scale that again to 50 rounds or 12 months, the hole simply widens. Sungjae additionally performed right here in 2021.

Gehman: Emiliano Grillo (+100) over Sahith Theegala (Bet365) — There’s actually nobody hotter than Grillo proper now. The “Warmth” metric on RickRunGood.com reveals that Grillo, in his final 36 rounds, he’s 1.04 strokes higher than his 100-round baseline. There isn’t any golfer within the discipline taking part in that a lot better than their very own baseline. The newfound placing stroke has led to 4 top-five finishes in his final eight begins.

Hennessey, Golf Digest: Emiliano Grillo (+100) over Sahith Theegala (Bet365) — Rick’s “Warmth” characteristic on RickRunGood.com makes the case completely for Grillo right here. Plus, Theegala is among the least correct drivers of the ball, and isn’t terribly lengthy, so that is the kind of course the place he may battle.

Powers, Golf Digest: Christiaan Bezuidenhout (+105) over Keegan Bradley (DraftKings) — For the second straight week, we’re going in opposition to Keegan, which completely labored out at Zozo … NOT. All kidding apart, I like Bez on a course the place chipping, and Bermuda placing, are two required expertise. He’s additionally pushed the ball a lot better of late, which is generally his weak spot.

Alldrick, FanShare Sports activities: Sungjae Im (-110) over Matt Fitzpatrick (Bet365) — Fitzpatrick’s type coming into this occasion is poor. Im, alternatively, has glorious type coming into this occasion. He ranks fifth within the discipline for SG/whole during the last two years and sixth during the last two months.

Matchup Outcomes from the Zozo Championship: Hennessey: 1 for 1 (Kitayama (+100) over Ok.H. Lee); Alldrick: 1 for 1 (S. Im (+100) over Matsuyama); Caddie: 0 for 1; Gdula: 0 for 1; Gehman: 0 for 1; Powers: 0 for 1

Matchup Outcomes from this season (Wins-Losses-Pushes): Hennessey: 4-0-0 (up 3.8 models); Gehman: 3-1-0 (up 1.65 models); Caddie: 2-2-0 (up 0.1 models); Alldrick: 3-1-0 (up 1.58 models); Powers: 1-3-0 (down 1.95 models); Mayo: 1-2-0 (down 1.1 models); Gdula: 0-3-1 (down 3 models)

Caddie: Brian Harman (+600, FanDuel) — The lefty is coming off one in every of his finest seasons and it’s additionally a pseudo residence sport.

Mayo: Jordan Spieth (+200, DraftKings) — Looks as if a frightening job at a course with such size, nevertheless, Spieth weirdly has the right sport from this format. If he can tune his driver again as much as what he was doing in the summertime, his irons and placing may be so good that he might decide up win No. 2 in South Carolina this yr.

Gdula: Max Homa (+310, FanDuel) — Homa’s ranking out as one of many stronger top-10 values in my mannequin this week. He ranks twenty second in distance over the previous 50 rounds, in line with datagolf, and he’s one in every of three golfers—together with McIlroy and Rahm—to rank high 17 in SG/ball-striking and brief sport.

Gehman: Alex Smalley (+800, DraftKings) — Smalley is popping right into a severe boom-or-bust possibility on tour. Over his previous 14 begins, he’s earned six top-25 finishes however has off set these with six missed cuts. He’s been rolling the rock, ranked nineteenth in SG/placing for the brand new season. He gained’t have to fret about lacking the reduce this week in South Carolina, which ought to free him as much as go low.

Hennessey, Golf Digest: Cameron Davis (+500, FanDuel) — Most of Davis’ stellar outcomes from the autumn got here in opposition to weak fields, however these odds are first rate sufficient to take an opportunity that sport can carry over in opposition to the elites. Plus, the Aussie grew up taking part in programs that ought to remind him of how Congaree will play—agency and quick and demanding daring shot-making and creativity to navigate from tee to inexperienced.

Powers, Golf Digest: Tyrrell Hatton (+275, DraftKings) — Hatton loves these Southern programs, as evidenced by his runner-up end right here within the Palmetto two years in the past. He didn’t have the most effective week at Zozo however did end sturdy on Sunday and had beforehand completed T-11 or higher in 4 of his final eight begins throughout the PGA and DP World Excursions.

Alldrick, FanShare Sports activities: S.H. Kim (+800, DraftKings) — Kim’s development since becoming a member of the PGA Tour is trending properly—thirty sixth, thirteenth after which fourth final week. It’s not shocking to see that he ranks fourth within the discipline for SG/whole over the previous two months. Although he has not performed on sufficient comparable programs to Congaree to garner a Course Suitability Rating via FanShare this week, Kim is an excellent putter on Bermuda greens, so the course ought to go well with.

High-10 outcomes from the Zozo Championship: Everyone: 0 for 1

High-10 outcomes from this season: Hennessey: 1 for 4 (up 4 models); Gdula: 1 for 4 (up 1.9 models); Caddie: 1 for 4 (up 1.5 models); Mayo: 1 for 3 (up 2 models); Alldrick: 1 for 4 (up 1 models); Gehman: 0 for 4 (down 4 models); Powers: 0 for 4 (down 4 models)

Gehman: Matt Fitzpatrick — Fitzpatrick simply snapped his off-the-tee streak, shedding strokes in Spain for the primary time in 14 occasions, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Mix that with stellar play from fairway via inexperienced and Fitzpatrick has elevated each facet of his sport to a high degree. He’s seemingly getting higher each begin and there’s no cause to suppose that’ll cease anytime quickly.

Earlier weeks: Fortinet Championship: Emiliano Grillo. Sanderson Farms Championship: Sam Burns. Shriners: Taylor Montgomery. Zozo: Sungjae Im.

Hennessey: Sungjae Im — Ball-striking and brief sport are Sungjae’s sport. I used to be on him final week and he didn’t play nicely, however the man loves him some Bermuda greens. Let’s giddy up.

Earlier weeks: Fortinet Championship: Cam Davis. Sanderson Farms Championship: Denny McCarthy. Shriners: Emiliano Grillo. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama.

Powers: Tyrrell Hatton — In the event you’re frightened about jet lag, you may keep away, however Hatton’s historical past on Southeast programs is extraordinarily good and it looks like he’s due for a victory, his final coming on the Abu Dhabi Championship in January of 2021.

Earlier weeks: Fortinet Championship: Sahith Theegala. Sanderson Farms Championship: J.T. Poston. Shriners: Sungjae Im. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama.

Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long- and short-form content material, proprietor of the Mayo Media Community and host of The Pat Mayo Expertise. (Subscribe for video or audio.) Mayo (@ThePME) was named 2021 Every day Fantasy Author of the Yr by the Fantasy Sports activities Writing Affiliation, whereas additionally being a finalist for Podcast of the Yr and Golf Author of the Yr. Mayo gained the 2020 FSWA Every day Fantasy Author of the Yr and Golf Author of the Yr awards, together with the Fantasy Sports activities Commerce Affiliation Greatest Sports activities Betting Analyst award in 2020. He was finalist for 4 FSWA Awards in 2020 (Greatest Podcast, Greatest Video, Every day Fantasy Author of the Yr, Golf Author of the Yr). Mayo is on the board of governors at www.fantasynational.com.

Brandon Gdula, managing editor and analyst for NumberFire, a FanDuel daily-fantasy evaluation firm, not too long ago gained the 2018 FSWA Golf Author of the Yr. Gdula additionally co-hosts the DFS Warmth Examine podcast.

Rick Gehman is the founding father of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is among the trade’s main consultants on golf DFS and playing. Gehman is co-host of the First Lower Podcast and seems usually on the Pat Mayo Expertise golf podcasts. Comply with him on Twitter: @RickRunGood.

Lee Alldrick of FanShare Sports activities began out writing an article highlighting the most effective discount performs for fantasy golf below his twitter deal with @DKGolfBargains. His success at this prompted FanShare Sports activities to enlist him as a visitor author, which developed into him writing the weekly Beneath The Radar article. As a U.Ok.-based professional, Alldrick’s perception into European Tour regulars and low priced, low owned performs has offered a useful edge for readers relating to DFS GPPs.