Oklahoma vs. Kansas preview, prediction: Week 7 college football picks

The tables have turned this season on the Kansas vs. Oklahoma matchup, with the Jayhawks coming in as a ranked crew and the Sooners not as these Massive 12 rivals meet in school soccer’s Week 7 motion on Saturday.

Kansas is seven factors faraway from an undefeated document after a detailed loss at residence to TCU, the identical TCU that hammered the Sooners for nearly 700 yards in a rout that lastly dumped OU from the highest 25 ballot.

Then got here a 49-0 thrashing by the hands of arch rival Texas main into this weekend’s sport towards a resurgent KU.

This is what you must learn about Saturday’s matchup.

Kansas vs. Oklahoma preview, prediction

watch

When: Sat., Oct. 15

Time: 11 a.m. Central

TV: ESPN2

Stream: fuboTV (Begin your free trial)

Extra school soccer on SI: School soccer scores | School soccer rankings | School soccer schedule

Odds, level unfold, betting traces

Odds courtesy SI Sportsbook

Line: Oklahoma -9

Kansas ATS: 5-0-1

Oklahoma ATS: 2-4

Over/below: 62

Moneyline: KU +240, OU -333

FPI decide: Oklahoma 69.1%

Kansas vs. Oklahoma picks, predictions: Week 7 school soccer odds, unfold, traces

Kansas vs. Oklahoma: What you must know

1. OU’s quarterback state of affairs. Dillon Gabriel did not play final week towards Texas after taking a vicious hit to the pinnacle within the TCU sport. It is secure to say the Sooner offense struggled in his absence: Davis Beville was OU’s best choice, and he went 6 of 12 for 38 yards and a decide. Gabriel has emerged as one of many high gamers within the Massive 12 even in restricted motion, passing for 1,215 yards with 11 TDs and no picks, working for two scores and 126 yards. It seems he could be able to return; he higher for this offense’s sake.

2. What Jalon Daniels’ absence means. This week, Kansas acquired the terrible information that star quarterback Jalon Daniels would reportedly sit out the remainder of the yr with a shoulder harm. However his alternative, perhaps KU does not have to fret too a lot. Jason Bean stacked up 262 yards within the air and threw 4 landing passes, going snap for snap with TCU’s elite assault in that shut loss. However watch how Daniels’ absence impacts the Jayhawks’ speeding capability: he was the crew’s second-leading runner and had scored 5 of its 16 speeding touchdowns. KU should not endure too badly for house on the bottom towards OU, which allowed 300-plus from backs in its three Massive 12 outings, nevertheless it’s value watching going ahead.

3. Detrimental performs for the Sooners. Everyone is aware of OU’s protection is a large number, and given it is Brent Venables main this factor, that solely makes it much more complicated. However the numbers are stunning: Oklahoma is permitting 214.5 speeding yards per sport, worst within the Massive 12 and 122nd nationally, surrendering 48.3 factors per sport in convention matchups, permitting 12 speeding scores and 6.7 yards per carry in that span. There’s actual pace on the entrance seven, and so they’re racking up large deal with numbers, however solely as a result of opponents are working so many performs. One space of relative energy is that 44 of the Sooners’ tackles have resulted in unfavourable yardage, good for fifteenth nationally. This can be a good place to construct from: OU must get offenses off the sector not simply when their passes fall incomplete, however when this protection is bodily forcing them to present the ball again.

OU vs. KU: Quick Info

+ Kansas is 4th nationally with 7.33 yards per play

+ OU has received 4 of 5 video games within the common season when unranked since 2010

+ KU is outscoring opponents 143-75 within the 2nd and third quarters this yr

+ Oklahoma is 127th out of 131 in FBS in time of possession

+ Kansas is 4th in school soccer with a 55.1% third down success price on offense

+ Sooners are eleventh nationally with 17 offensive performs of 30-plus yards

+ KU has allowed 3 sacks thus far, the 4th fewest nationally

+ 7 of OU’s 24 TD drives have taken greater than 2 minutes (71% are shorter than 2 minutes)

+ Kansas has recorded 16 sacks on opposing QBs, essentially the most since 2009

+ OU again Eric Grey is 14th nationally with 6.9 yards per carry

+ Kansas is 6-3 when main at halftime below Lance Leipold and 1-8 when trailing

+ Sooners have received 80 straight video games when holding opponents to 23 or fewer factors

+ KU is 4-0 when permitting 29 or fewer factors below Leipold and 3-11 when permitting 30 or extra

+ Oklahoma is 72-3 when scoring 40-plus factors since 2012

+ KU is averaging 5.95 yards per carry, seventh nationally and 2nd in Massive 12

+ Sooners have scored on 17 of 20 purple zone possibilities (14 TDs, 3 FGs)

+ Kansas is 7-2 when main after third qtr below Leipold and 0-9 when not

Kansas vs. Oklahoma Prediction

Do not underestimate the facility of desperation. It isn’t usually that Oklahoma, essentially the most profitable general school soccer program since World Battle II, has confronted a state of affairs like this, on the cusp of beginning 0-4 in convention play.

You do not must be a soccer scientist to know what’s mistaken: OU cannot play protection in any respect proper now. In concept, there is a repair for that.

Defenses play rather a lot higher and with extra confidence once they’re not making so many performs.  And the important thing to maintaining your protection off the sector is to maintain your offense on it. How to do this? Put money into what nonetheless appears to be like like a stout speeding assault to carry onto the ball, burn the clock, punch it in for touchdowns from shut vary, and demoralize the opposite crew.

OU performs offense slightly too shortly this season: virtually 3/4ths of its TD possessions are below two minutes lengthy; it could do properly to tempo this factor slightly extra and maintain longer drives.

If it does not, Kansas will. It has the variability and the confirmed per-play output to manage video games like this, even with its backup taking part in quarterback. However it’s not as determined as Oklahoma is.

School Soccer HQ Prediction: Oklahoma 34, Kansas 31

In line with AP high 25 ballot

1. Georgia
2. Ohio State
3. Alabama
4. Clemson
5. Michigan
6. Tennessee
7. USC
8. Oklahoma State
9. Ole Miss
10. Penn State
11. UCLA
12. Oregon
13. TCU
14. Wake Forest
15. NC State
16. Mississippi State
17. Kansas State
18. Syracuse
19. Kansas
20. Utah
21. Cincinnati
T-22. Kentucky
T-22. Texas
24. Illinois
25. James Madison

Comply with School Soccer HQ: Bookmark | Rankings | Fb