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Alabama Crimson Tide vs Oklahoma Sooners Opening Football Odds: Cover or Not?

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Alabama Crimson Tide vs Oklahoma Sooners Opening Football Odds: Cover or Not?


Gambling can be a shady profession. Everyone is looking for an angle. If a person has inside information into the physical condition of a key player, say a certain quarterback, it is a big advantage. That said, my sources say that Alabama QB Jalen Milroe is in excellent shape. That sort of news gives the Crimson Tide a better chance at success.

Sportsbook FanDuel has come out with their line on Alabama-Oklahoma and graced the Tide with a 14.5 point advantage. The Over/Under is set at 49.5.

Hopefully, you got in on the preseason number of Bama favored by two points for this game in Norman. The Sooners were not expected to win the SEC, but then again not many prognosticators had OU pegged at 5-5 coming into this game. The win total for Oklahoma this summer was set at 8.5. Those lucky enough to take the under have already profited.

Not only are the Sooners 5-5 overall, they are also 5-5 against the spread and in the Over/Under.

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OKLAHOMA

Date Opp Close Result ATS/OU
Aug 30 Temple -42.5 / 57.5 Won 51-3 Won / Under
Sep 7 Houston -27.5 / 49.5 Won 16-12 Lost / Under
Sep 14 Tulane -12.5 / 49.5 Won 34-19 Won / Over
Sep 21 Tennessee +5.5 / 56.5 Lost 15-25 Lost / Under
Sep 28 @Auburn +1 / 43.5 Won 27-21 Won / Over
Oct 12 Texas +17 / 49 Lost 3-34 Lost / Under
Oct 19 South Carolina +1 / 40.5 Lost 9-35 Lost / Over
Oct 26 @Ole Miss +19 / 49.5 Lost 14-26 Won / Under
Nov 2 Maine -37.5 / 48.5 Won 59-14 Won / Over
Nov 9 @Missouri -3.5 / 42.5 Lost 23-30 Lost / Over

The Sooners are 1-5 in the SEC with the one win coming against Auburn at home. Okie lost their other two SEC home games to Ole Miss by 12 and against a Brady Cook-less Mizzou by 7. Is the Tide a field goal better than OM? Can Milroe generate 8 more points than Drew Pyne?

If night games factor into your betting, Oklahoma won their first two of the season against Temple (51-3) and Houston (16-12). In Week 4, they fell to Tennessee under the lights in Norman 25-15.

The Sooners have lost four straight SEC games with a win over Maine mixed in, while playing musical chairs with their quarterbacks.

ALABAMA

Date Opp Close Result ATS/OU
Aug 31 Western Kentucky -34 / 59.5 Won 63-0 Won / Over
Sep 7 South Florida -30.5 / 64.5 Won 42-16 Lost / Under
Sep 14 @Wisconsin -14.5 / 47.5 Won 42-10 Won / Over
Sep 28 Georgia +2 / 50 Won 41-34 Won / Over
Oct 5 @Vanderbilt -22.5 / 53.5 Lost 35-40 Lost / Over
Oct 12 South Carolina -21.5 / 50.5 Won 27-25 Lost / Over
Oct 19 @Tennessee -3.5 / 57.5 Lost 17-24 Lost / Under
Oct 26 Missouri -16 / 51 Won 34-0 Won / Under
Nov 9 @LSU -3 / 59.5 Won 42-13 Won / Under
Nov 16 Mercer -42.5 / 58.5 Won 52-7 Won / Over

The Crimson Tide is 8-2 and 4-2 in conference play. They have won three straight and covered the spread each time. A healthy Milroe is a good Milroe. But it’s the defense that has really stepped up. Alabama has given up 20 points in those three games with one of the touchdowns being a garbage score against the Tide reserves. It would seem Bama is getting back to Joyless Murderball.

Bama is 2-2 on the road and 4-0 in night games. Weather is not expected to be a factor.

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MATH

With an over/under of 49.5 and 14.5 point spread, the final score could look something like BAMA 32, OK 17. Would you be willing to bet on this game?

Poll

Bama -14.5:

  • 45%
    Alabama wins by 16 or more. Take Bama -14.5

    (15 votes)

  • 27%
    14 sounds about right.

    (9 votes)

  • 27%
    It will be closer than a 14 point spread. Take Okie +14.5

    (9 votes)



33 votes total

Vote Now

[Erik Evans will have his thoughts on these numbers later in the week.]



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Three Matchups No. 8 Oklahoma Must Win Against LSU

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Three Matchups No. 8 Oklahoma Must Win Against LSU


Oklahoma is so close it can taste it. 

The No. 8 Sooners have to take care of LSU on Senior Day to return to the College Football Playoff for the first time since 2019, but OU won’t be at full strength for the final push. 

Center Jake Maikkula is doubtful for Saturday’s contest between the Sooners and the Tigers, throwing one last wrench into things for Oklahoma as it tries to secure its spot in the CFP. 

Here are three matchups OU must win to get across the finish line at 2:30 p.m. on Saturday. 

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Oklahoma Sooners, Isaiah Sategn

Oklahoma receiver Isaiah Sategna runs for an 87-yard touchdown against Missouri. / BRYAN TERRY/THE OKLAHOMAN / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Receiver Isaiah Sategna is the Sooners’ only big-play option on offense. 

He was able to turn a quick slant into an 87-yard score last week against Missouri, and he may have to bail Oklahoma’s offense out against LSU. 

The shuffling up front will likely see right guard Febechi Nwaiwu slide over to center, and even if the Sooners were healthy up front, running backs Xavier Robinson and Tory Blaylock are playing hurt. 

OU’s quick passing game may have to take the place of any non-quarterback running game, and Sategna breaking off one or two of those plays for a big gain could help provide enough separation for Oklahoma’s defense to go to work. 

Oklahoma Sooners, David Ston

Oklahoma defensive tackle David Stone hits Alabama quarterback Ty Simpson. / David Leong-Imagn Images

LSU will also be without its center. 

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Braelin Moore, who has played in every game this year, was ruled out for Saturday’s contest. 

Backup DJ Chester, who is expected to step in for Moore, will have his hands full. 

OU defensive tackles Gracen Halton, David Stone, Damonic Williams and Jayden Jackson have formed one of the best position groups in college football, and they’ll be able to throw every look at Chester.

Todd Bates’ defensive tackles seamlessly stunt and twist, as well as overpowering opposing offensive lines, and if Chester can’t digest what he’s seeing in front of him, quarterback Michael Van Buren Jr. could have defenders in his face all afternoon. 

Oklahoma Sooners, Kendal Daniel

Oklahoma linebacker Kendal Daniels (5) celebrates after making a play against Ole Miss. / Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images

LSU tight end Trey’Dez Green will be one of Van Buren’s key weapons on Saturday — especially if he’s constantly on the run. 

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The 6-foot-7 tight end is a matchup nightmare for any defense, though he’s still just fourth on the team with 28 catches for 323 yards. Green does lead the Tigers with five touchdown receptions, however. 

Thankfully for the Sooners, they have their own matchup nightmare on defense. 

Kendal Daniels has proven his worth week after week this year, proving he can step up and play the right while also seamlessly dropping back into coverage. 

With defensive back Reggie Powers III suspended for the first half due to a second half targeting last week, Daniels’ role will be even bigger in Saturday’s first half. 

If he can win his battles against Green, the Sooners will be able to take away one more weapon from an LSU offense that has struggled all year, which is a comfortable plan of attack for Brent Venables and his defense.

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Oklahoma Bracing to Take on LSU Without Key Offensive Lineman

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Oklahoma Bracing to Take on LSU Without Key Offensive Lineman


The health situation along Oklahoma’s offensive line is headed in the wrong direction ahead of the Sooners’ regular season finale.

OU center Jake Maikkula was downgraded from questionable for Saturday’s contest, as was guard Heath Ozaeta on Thursday’s SEC Availability Report.

Without Maikkula, the Sooners could move right guard Febechi Nwaiwu over to center. 

That could also slide Ryan Fodje from right tackle to right guard, with Derek Simmons holding it down at right tackle for the Sooenrs. 

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Oklahoma hasn’t had to go beyond Maikkula or Troy Everett at center so far this year.

Everett sustained a season-ending injury in September, and while Maikkula has played through injuries at times this year, he’s yet to miss a game in 2025.

There was a bit of good news with defensive tackle Jayden Jackson.

He was upgraded from questionable to probable on the Thursday report. Jackson hasn’t been 100 percent over the past two weeks, but he’s a key piece at the heart of the Sooners’ defensive line.

Running back Jovantae Barnes remained listed as questionable for the contest.

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Defensive end R Mason Thomas and defensive back Gentry Williams were both ruled out for the contest. 

Thomas injured himself during his scoop-and-score against Tennessee, and Williams hasn’t appeared since exiting the contest against South Carolina on the game’s opening defensive drive.

Offensive linemen Jacob Sexton and Jake Taylor both remained listed as doubtful, though neither lineman has played in an SEC contest this year. 

Defensive back Reggie Powers III was also listed, though he is not injured. 

Powers will miss the first half on Saturday after he was ejected in the second half of last week’s win over Missouri for targeting. 

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LSU will be without receivers Aaron Anderson and Nic Anderson, as well as center Braelin Moore. 

Aaron Anderson is third on the team with 398 receiving yards on 33 catches. Nic Anderson has added 12 receptions for 106 yards and two scores this year. 

Linebacker Whit Weeks was upgraded to probable alongside defensive back Ja’Keem Jackson and running back Caden Durham.

Durham leads LSU with 463 rushing yards and three touchdowns on 100 carries. 

Kickoff between the Sooners and the Tigers is scheduled for 2:30 p.m. on Saturday at Gaylord Family-Oklahoma Memorial Stadium.

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3 Takeaways From The Thunder’s Tenth Win In A Row

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3 Takeaways From The Thunder’s Tenth Win In A Row


It was a battle through and through in the third game of the NBA Cup group stage. The Thunder would have as large a lead as 12, but the Timberwolves found a way to stick in the game all the way to the final buzzer. In the end, the Thunder would hold on and prevail 113-105 in the closest game of their 10-game win streak. 

With a minute remaining, Anthony Edwards would hit a three-pointer to bring the game within one, putting the pressure on OKC. Chet Holmgren would respond for the Thunder by hitting a three of his own with 37 seconds remaining. 

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander would then hit one of two free throws to put the Thunder up 109-104, and after a five-second inbound violation, the game was as good as OKC’s. 

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Gilgeous-Alexander was his usual MVP self as he had 40 points, leading the game in scoring. This game came down to the wire, but the Thunder got it done like they’ve continued to do. 

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Here are three takeaways from the Thunder’s tenth win in a row.

Nov 26, 2025; Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, USA; Minnesota Timberwolves forward Jaden McDaniels (3) shoots a three point basket over Oklahoma City Thunder center Isaiah Hartenstein (55) during the first quarter at Paycom Center. Mandatory Credit: Alonzo Adams-Imagn Images | Alonzo Adams-Imagn Images
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1. OKC continues to smother opponents

You would think the Thunder only scoring 49 points in the first half would have them behind in today’s NBA, but the Thunder were, in fact, leading by 10. The Timberwolves only shot 32% from the field in the first half and would end the game only shooting 41%. 

Oklahoma City has continued to be the hardest team to score on in the league, and the league can only hope they slow down soon. This has been a trend for the Thunder, as they remain at the top of almost every defensive stat this season. OKC has continued to produce on the defensive end, leaving their opponents unable to on offense. 

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Nov 26, 2025; Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, USA; Minnesota Timberwolves forward Jaden McDaniels (3) moves around Oklahoma City Thunder guard Kenrich Williams (34) during the second quarter at Paycom Center. Mandatory Credit: Alonzo Adams-Imagn Images | Alonzo Adams-Imagn Images

2. The Thunder must finish their defensive possessions

Like previously said, the Thunder’s defense is immaculate, but they must make sure to only play defense once per possession. The Thunder got beat on the offensive boards tonight as Minnesota had 12 offensive rebounds compared to the Thunder’s seven. 

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These allowed offensive rebounds sometimes negated the Thunder’s defensive efforts and allowed the Timberwolves to get chances they shouldn’t have had in the first place. This mistake didn’t cost the Thunder ultimately, but it must be something the Thunder improves on. 

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Nov 26, 2025; Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, USA; Oklahoma City Thunder guard Isaiah Joe (11) dunks against the Minnesota Timberwolves during the second quarter at Paycom Center. Mandatory Credit: Alonzo Adams-Imagn Images | Alonzo Adams-Imagn Images

3. The NBA Cup is the Thunder’s to lose

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Oklahoma City is now 3-0 in the group stage of the NBA Cup, with only one remaining against Phoenix on Friday. A win then will guarantee the Thunder a spot in bracket play as the winner of West Group A. The Thunder are looking to be right in the position they were in last year, when they made the NBA Cup finals.

They lost that game to the Milwaukee Bucks 97-81 and have to have a chip on their shoulder now that this goal seems attainable once again. They would be the first team to reach the cup finals in back-to-back years and are hoping to be the third ever team to win it. 

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