North Carolina

NC State’s 2026 Atlantic hurricane forecast calls for an average season with 12 to 15 named storms

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North Carolina State University is calling for a fairly average 2026 Atlantic hurricane season similar to recent years.

Researchers predict:

  • 12 to 15 named storms (the average between 1994 to 2025 is 15 storms)
  • 6 to 9 hurricanes (the average between 1994 to 2025 is 7 storms)
  • 2 to 3 major hurricanes (the average between 1994 to 2025 is 4 storms)

The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to Nov. 30. Look for WRAL’s hurricane season outlook airing May 18.

NC State’s forecast was released on Wednesday by Lian Xie, a professor of marine, earth and atmospheric sciences.

Xie and researchers are calling for 1-3 named storms and 1-2 hurricanes in the Caribbean Sea (slightly below recent averages) and 2-5 named storms and 1-2 hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico (near recent averages).

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Researchers at Colorado State University released their Atlantic hurricane season outlook earlier this month, pointing to a slightly below-normal year ahead and calling for 13 named storms, six hurricanes and two major hurricanes.



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