Mississippi
Mississippi State vs. Auburn Odds, Picks | College Basketball Betting Guide (Saturday, Jan. 14)
Mississippi State vs. Auburn Odds
Winners of 4 of the previous 5, No. 21 Auburn welcomes Mississippi State to Neville Area on Saturday night time for a Southeastern Convention matchup.
The Tigers are unbeaten at house this season and are 13-3 total and 3-1 in SEC play.
After beginning the 12 months 11-0, the Bulldogs have sputtered and misplaced 4 of their previous 5 video games.
It is a sport between two groups heading in reverse instructions, and I count on the house squad to proceed to roll.
what you will get on a nightly foundation out of coach Chris Jans’ squad — suffocating protection for 40 minutes. It’s exceptional the turnaround he has led on the defensive finish in his debut season.
On the 12 months, the Bulldogs rank inside the highest 30 in a number of classes on protection, together with AdjD (eleventh), EFG% (twenty third), forcing turnovers (eleventh) and two-point taking pictures protection (twenty sixth). MSU can also be forty fifth in defending the three-point line.
The large query is whether or not Jans’ staff can proceed this in opposition to the higher opposition on the schedule. The Bulldogs held Ole Miss and Georgia to under 60 factors, however No. 4 Alabama and No. 5 Tennessee averaged 82.5 factors whereas beating the Bulldogs.
If Jans can discover a constant scorer or shooter on the roster, this may be a staff to be careful for as soon as March rolls round.
Much like the guests, Auburn is a staff constructed on protection, particularly when taking part in at house. In 9 video games at The Jungle this season, the Tigers have held opponents to only 59.88 factors per sport.
Coach Bruce Pearl’s staff isn’t any stranger to being powerful at house as this system has now received 27 consecutive contests at Neville Area, which is the second-longest lively home-court successful streak within the nation behind Gonzaga (75).
Auburn’s defensive metrics additionally again up the outcomes we see on the ground. The Tigers rank inside the highest 40 in AdjD (twenty second), EFG% (eleventh), opponents’ two-point (thirty second) taking pictures and opponents’ three-point taking pictures (fifth). That is additionally the identical squad that’s second within the nation with 6.2 blocks per sport.
The offense has began to return round over the previous seven contests, which makes this one of the vital full rosters within the nation.
Mississippi State vs. Auburn Betting Decide
For all the nice issues Mississippi State does on protection, the offensive performances are towards the underside of the SEC, and I don’t see that bettering right here in opposition to one other high opponent.
So, my greatest guess is for the Bulldogs to fall beneath their staff complete of 59, which I’d guess all the way down to 57.
Should you have a look at the important thing scoring metrics, MSU is exterior the highest 225 in all of these classes, together with AdjO (228th), EFG% (313th), two-point taking pictures (276th) and three-point proportion (311th). Jans’ staff can also be 358th out of 363 colleges in free throw taking pictures.
The numbers don’t get any higher away from house, the place the Bulldogs have did not high this guess in 5 of seven video games.
Auburn will need to proceed its successful streak at Neville Area and I battle to see how MSU will be capable to constantly get adequate pictures to high this quantity.
There’ll come a sport the place the Bulldogs hit pictures, however I’m going to maintain fading their offense till I see it.
Decide: Mississippi State Workforce Complete U59 (Play to 57)
How would you price this text?
This web site incorporates business content material. We could also be compensated for the hyperlinks offered on this web page. The content material on this web page is for informational functions solely. Motion Community makes no illustration or guarantee as to the accuracy of the knowledge given or the result of any sport or occasion.