Mississippi
Mississippi St vs. Auburn Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 1-14-2023
As soon as Upon A Time In Las Vegas – Wildcard Version
The Auburn Tigers (13-3, 3-1) will host the Mississippi State Bulldogs (12-4, 1-3) in a SEC showdown Saturday evening. The Tigers are rated No. 19 within the BPI in response to the School Basketball Energy Index, and Mississippi State is forty sixth.
Auburn goes for third straight win
Auburn is No. 16 in response to KenPom, which has them because the third highest-rated group within the SEC behind Alabama and Arkansas. The Tigers are fifteenth in adjusted defensive effectivity and 52nd on offense. Auburn opened up the season with eight straight wins, together with victories over Northwestern and Colgate, earlier than dropping video games towards Memphis and USC over a 3 sport stretch. The Tigers haven’t made shedding a behavior, as they They’ve gained 4 of their final 5 video games and two in a row after beating Ole Miss 82-73 on Tuesday.
Again dwelling within the jungle tomorrow evening! #WarEaglehttps://t.co/Qe6dczpWQP
— Auburn Basketball (@AuburnMBB) January 14, 2023
The Tigers are balanced with 5’11 guard Wendell Inexperienced Jr. main the group with 13.4 ppg, 3.8 assists and 1.4 steals per sport. Inexperienced Jr. scored a season-high 23 factors in Tuesday’s win over Ole Miss, making all 11 of his free-throw makes an attempt. Johni Broome leads the group with 8.9 rebounds and a couple of.7 blocks and is second with 13.3 ppg. Broome has 19 factors and 11 rebounds towards Ole Miss.
Impolite awakening within the SEC
The Bulldogs gained their first 11 video games of the season earlier than shedding to Drake (58-52) on December 20. Because the loss to Drake, Mississippi State has additionally misplaced three of their first 4 video games within the SEC, most just lately falling to Georgia 58-50 on Wednesday.
Last. pic.twitter.com/xcc7zPVyw7
— Mississippi State Males’s Basketball (@HailStateMBK) January 12, 2023
Mississippi State is fiftieth in response to KenPom, which is seventh amongst SEC groups. The Bulldogs offense is 178th, however the protection is eighth in adjusted effectivity. 6’11 senior Tolu Smith leads the group with 13.6 ppg, and seven.6 rebounds. Smith did harm towards non-conference opponents this season, however in 4 SEC video games he’s placing up simply 7.8 ppg and 4.5 rebounds. Smith completed with fist 5 factors and 3-11 taking pictures from the charity stripe towards Georgia, dropping his general free-throw share right down to 52.6%.
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Mississippi State is simply 1-6 ATS of their final seven video games and 1-4 straight up of their final 5. The three Mississippi State losses within the SEC this season (Alabama, Tennessee, Georgia) have all been by at the very least eight factors. Alabama is coming off again to again wins by 13 and 9 factors the place they put up 72 factors on Arkansas and 9 towards Ole Miss. Each groups defend tremendously, however the Auburn offense shall be an excessive amount of for the Bulldogs to maintain up with.
Prediction: Auburn -7
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As little as this whole is, it’s nonetheless not low sufficient. Mississippi State is fifth within the nation permitting 56.8 ppg, top-10 in adjusted defensive effectivity, and 326th in adjusted tempo. On offense, the Bulldogs are within the both-50 in factors scored, discipline objective, three-point, and free-throw share. No shock that the over/beneath is 4-12 in Mississippi State video games. Auburn is within the backside half of the nation in discipline objective and free-throw share and simply 346th in three-point share. Though the offensive numbers are great, Auburn within the prime 40 within the fewest factors allowed, discipline and three-point share allowed. Take the beneath.
Prediction: Underneath 126.5