Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

The Philadelphia Phillies (31-30) host the Miami Marlins (27-32) Tuesday for the 2nd of their 3-game set at Residents Financial institution Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s traces across the Marlins vs. Philliesodds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Phillies gained the sequence opener 3-2 Monday due to 1B Rhys Hoskins‘ walk-off RBI double and a top quality begin by RHP Aaron Nola (7 IP, 2 ER, 6H, 0 BB and 6 Ok).

Season sequence: Miami leads 3-2 with a plus-7 run differential within the 5 video games.

Marlins at Phillies projected starters

LHP Trevor Rogers vs. RHP Zach Eflin

Rogers is 3-5 with a 5.58 ERA, 1.54 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and seven.9 Ok/9 in 50 IP throughout 11 begins.

• Final begin: Gained 7-4 Thursday at dwelling vs. the Washington Nationals with 5 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 BB and 5 Ok.
• 2022 vs. the Phillies: One begin, a 10-3 dwelling loss April 16 with 1 2/3 IP, 7 ER, 4 H, 4 BB and three Ok.

Eflin is 2-4 with a 3.76 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and seven.7 Ok/9 in 55 IP throughout 10 begins.

• Final begin: No-decision in Philly’s 8-3 win Thursday on the Milwaukee Brewers with 4 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 HR, 3 BB and a couple of Ok.
• 2022 vs. the Marlins: One begin, a 7-1 loss in Miami April 15 with 4 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 1 BB and 4 Ok.

Marlins at Phillies odds and contours

Odds offered by Tipico Sportsbook; entry USA TODAY Sports activities Scores and Sports activities Betting Odds hub for a full checklist. Traces final up to date at 10:42 a.m. ET.

• Cash line (ML) : Marlins +125 (wager $100 to win $125) | Phillies -155 (wager $155 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Towards the unfold (ATS) : Marlins +1.5 (-170) | Phillies -1.5 (+135)
• Over/Underneath (O/U) : 8.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

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Marlins at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Marlins 5, Phillies 3

Cash line

BET a half-unit on the MARLINS (+125).

There’s reverse line motion headed towards Miami within the betting market as greater than 85% of the money at Tipico Sportsbook is on the Phillies (-155), however their ML has shrunk from a -160 opener. That is suspicious as a result of oddsmakers usually transfer the road in line with the betting splits.

Miami’s lineup is barely extra productive vs. right-handed pitching (5.04 runs per 9) than Philly’s is in opposition to left-handed pitching (4.86 runs per 9).

Rogers’ street ERA is 5.51 runs decrease than his dwelling ERA (8.85-3.34) and Eflin has a 5.57 ERA and 1.43 WHIP when pitching on 4 days relaxation.

Additionally, Miami’s bullpen ranks tenth in xFIP with considerably higher contact and swing-and-miss charges than Philly’s, which ranks twenty third in xFIP (4.17), per FanGraphs.

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Run line/Towards the unfold

LEAN MARLINS +1.5 (-170).

The Phillies -1.5 (+135) are 13-17 RL as dwelling favorites and 7-14 RL in NL East video games. Miami is 17-6 RL as street underdogs, which features a RL cowl within the sequence opener with Philly.

It is solely a LEAN to the MARLINS +1.5 (-170) due to the worth and my favourite look on this sport is Miami’s ML.

Over/Underneath

PASS.

These groups have a mixed 14-7 O/U document when these starters get the nod and Monday’s Marlins-Phillies went Underneath the whole so Tuesday’s assembly may ping-pong Over the whole.

However Residents Financial institution Park has the bottom park issue within the MLB, aka is probably the most pitcher-friendly, Eflin’s pitching peripherals are excellent and Rogers has elite stuff and can discover his groove finally.

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