Purdue Basketball: Maryland Preview

Maryland (12-6, Big10 3-4) vs #3 Purdue (18-1, Big10 7-1)

Maryland Roster

Maryland on Offense

Maryland is first rate on offense, not good, not horrible, however acceptably mediocre. Effectivity is the very best a part of assault. They’re 110.3 adjusted effectivity ranking is 63rd within the nation. They play at a reasonable tempo, with and common possession size of 17.2 (131ist within the nation). Total, they play barely slower than the nationwide common of 67.4 with and adjusted tempo of 66.1 (244th).

They’re not good from behind the arc, taking pictures 30.9% (305th) however are good from 2, taking pictures 53.6%. Their general efficient subject purpose share of fifty.8 is sweet for 151st within the nation. Apart from the Ohio State recreation, the place they went off for 80, they prefer to play video games within the 60’s.

Level guard Jahmir Younger leads the Terps in scoring at 15.8 a recreation. He’s the one participant on Maryland with the potential of going off for a giant quantity, and he’s on a heater during the last 3 video games, after placing up 30 on Ohio State, 20 on Iowa, and 26 on Michigan. If Maryland has designs on knocking off Purdue in Mackey, they’re going to want Younger to remain sizzling. He doesn’t shoot nicely from deep, hitting solely 19-70 (27%) on the season, however he makes up for that by attending to the rim and drawing fouls. He attracts 5.9 (51st) per recreation and shoots 80% when he will get to the stripe. Towards Ohio State he hit 13-15 free throws and towards Michigan he hit 8-10. Purdue can be nicely served to maintain him off the road.

Within the entrance courtroom, Julian Reese offers them an environment friendly low publish scorer. His efficient subject purpose share of 62.6% is the forty fourth finest within the nation. He does all his work contained in the arc and hasn’t tried a 3 this season. He’s a giant sturdy dude who doesn’t work exterior his strengths. Donta Scott, then again, is a stretch 4, his 77 makes an attempt from 3 are second on the group, solely behind taking pictures guard Donald Carey’s 100 hoists. Scott shoots a bunch of three’s however he doesn’t hit many, hitting solely 30% on the yr. During the last two video games he’s reigned that in a bit and has hit 2-4 from 3 whereas attacking contained in the arc. I anticipate him to try to drag Furst exterior to begin the sport and attempt to assault Gillis on the within.

Maryland on Protection

The Terps are higher on protection than they’re on offense. Their 95.5 (thirty seventh) places them within the prime tier of groups. They do a superb job of creating groups take contested photographs, which ends up in solely permitting a 46.2% (thirty sixth) efficient subject purpose share. They use their lengthy armed guards and wings to make 3 level taking pictures robust. The Terps have held group to 30.3% (forty fourth) from behind the arc. Their inside protection isn’t unhealthy both, solely permitting 46.6%(61st) of photographs to drop.

They’re not notably good at turning the ball over. Their 8.1% (272) steal share isn’t nice. They considerably make up with that with their 10.3% (seventy fifth) non-steal turnover share. Even worst for the Terps, they wrestle to safe their offensive glass, giving up offensive rebounds on 29.1% of photographs. In the event that they do this towards Purdue, Zach Edey will go for 30 once more.

X-Issue – Depth

Maryland is as shallow as a kiddie pool. Their bench performs 26.8% of minutes, good for 285th within the nation. To place that in perspective, Purdue doesn’t use their bench a ton, they usually nonetheless eat up 34% (one hundred and fifth) of minutes. The entrance courtroom is especially skinny. Julian Reese’s major backup is beginning ahead Donta Scott. Scott’s major backup is wing Hakim Hart. They would favor to not use freshman Caelum Swanton-Rodger however gained’t have a selection at the moment.

If Purdue will get into Maryland’s depth, it’s going to be an extended day for the Terps. They did a superb job of staying out of bother towards finesse massive man Hunter Dickinson, with Scott and Reese choosing up a mixed 4 fouls. They’ll must hold that up towards Zach Edey, however the process shall be considerably more difficult as a result of Zach doesn’t fancy himself a 7 foot 3 level shooter and can take greater than 6 photographs contained in the arc. The truth is, Zach will most likely have 6 shot makes an attempt halfway all through 1st half.

Predictions

KenPom

Maryland – 62

Purdue – 72

83% Confidence

Drew

Purdue – 78

Maryland – 65

This factor shall be closeish at half, however Purdue will land physique blows within the 1st half. Maryland doesn’t have the depth to play with the bodily Boilermakers. They wrestle towards bodily facilities. Hunter Dickinson went off on them of their first match up, placing up 32 factors on 13-16 from contained in the arc. Within the second match-up Dickinson and Howard determined he was finest deployed exterior the arc, and Maryland flipped the script and knocking off the Wolverines 64-58 of their final contest.

Zach Edey gained’t overlook to assault Maryland the place they’re most weak (within the paint, guarding a 7’4” heart with a bulked up ahead). Edey goes off for 30+ on this recreation and Purdue takes over within the second half.