The Dallas Cowboys have gone 12-5 in each of the last 2 years under coach Mike McCarthy, but have yet to reach the NFC title game after getting bounced in the Wild-Card round and divisional round. After re-tooling with some key offseason additions, the Cowboys will try to advance the furthest they have in the postseason since 1995.
Below, we look at the Dallas Cowboys’ 2023 NFL Super Bowl odds from FanDuel Sportsbook along with projected win total, playoff, conference and division odds as we make our our best NFL picks and predictions.
Dallas was one of the best teams in the league during the regular season last year, ranking 4th in points scored and 5th in points allowed. It’s the 2nd straight year they ranked in the top 10 in points scored and allowed. Dallas crushed the Buccaneers in the Wild-Card game, but for the 2nd consecutive year the Cowboys lost to the San Francisco 49ers, this time in the divisional round.
In the offseason, the Cowboys released RB Ezekiel Elliott and used the franchise tag on RB Tony Pollard. They also made 2 key additions: WR Brandin Cooks via trade with the Texans and CB Stephon Gilmore, who they landed in a deal with the Colts.
2023 Dallas Cowboys schedule
| WK | DATE | OPPONENT | TIME |
| All times ET | |||
| 1 | Sept. 10 | at Giants | 8:20 p.m. |
| 2 | Sept. 17 | vs. Jets | 4:25 p.m. |
| 3 | Sept. 24 | at Cardinals | 4:25 p.m. |
| 4 | Oct. 1 | vs. Patriots | 4:25 p.m. |
| 5 | Oct. 8 | at 49ers | 8:20 p.m. |
| 6 | Oct. 16 (M) | at Chargers | 8:15 p.m. |
| 7 | BYE WEEK | ||
| 8 | Oct. 29 | vs. Rams | 1 p.m. |
| 9 | Nov. 5 | at Eagles | 4:25 p.m. |
| 10 | Nov. 12 | vs. Giants | 4:25 p.m. |
| 11 | Nov. 19 | at Panthers | 1 p.m. |
| 12 | Nov. 23 (Th) | vs. Commanders | 4:30 p.m. |
| 13 | Nov. 30 (Th) | vs. Seahawks | 8:15 p.m. |
| 14 | Dec. 10 | vs. Eagles | 8:20 p.m. |
| 15 | Dec. 17 | at Bills | 4:25 p.m. |
| 16 | Dec. 24 | at Dolphins | 4:25 p.m. |
| 17 | Dec. 30 (Sat) | vs. Lions | 8:15 p.m. |
| 18 | Jan. 6 or 7 | at Commanders | TBD |
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Cowboys over/under win total
Odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook – last updated May 14 at 10:40 p.m. ET; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list.
- 9.5 wins: (Over: -150 | Under: +120)
In 3 seasons under McCarthy, the Cowboys have won 6 games, 12 games and 12 games. However, we can exclude the 2020 season in which they went 6-10 because QB Dak Prescott missed 11 games with an ankle injury, causing Dallas to struggle mightily on offense.
Dallas’ schedule is difficult, but 10 wins is well within reach. Bet OVER 9.5 (-150) as the Cowboys go for their 3rd straight double-digit-win season.
Cowboys Super Bowl odds
- +1400 (bet $100 to win $1,400)
The Cowboys haven’t reached the NFC Championship Game since they won the Super Bowl in 1995, coming up short in their last 12 playoff appearances. Betting them to win the Super Bowl is always risky business, but this is as good a team as they’ve had in some time.
The offense features playmakers such as Pollard and WR CeeDee Lamb, while the defense added Gilmore to a secondary that’s already led by CB Trevon Diggs. And now with DE Micah Parsons moving to a full-time pass-rusher role, Dallas’ defense should be among the best in football.
The Cowboys are tied with the New York Jets for the 6th-best odds to win it all next season, with an implied probability of 6.7%. The Kansas City Chiefs are the odds-on favorites at +600, which shows what a good value the Cowboys are at +1400.
Dallas is worth putting a small wager on at 14-to-1 because it’s a matter of time before this franchise reaches the pinnacle again … right? Bet the COWBOYS (+1400).
Will the Cowboys make the playoffs?
The NFC is much weaker this season, with only 4 teams ranking in the top 13 in terms of Super Bowl odds. That gives the Cowboys a much better chance to reach the postseason, potentially only needing to win 9 games.
At -210, they’re not worth backing just yet, but if they slip up early in the season and their playoff odds drop closer to even money, they’ll be worth a wager. PASS for now.
Odds to win NFC East Division
- Eagles +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
- Cowboys +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
- Giants +600 (bet $100 to win $600)
- Commanders +1000 (bet $100 to win $1,000)
The oddsmakers view this as a 2-horse race to win the NFC East, though the Giants at +600 are in the mix, too. The Cowboys got better this offseason, but the Eagles did, too – especially in the draft.
The NFC East is always unpredictable and teams rarely repeat as division champions, so I’m betting COWBOYS (+165) to win the NFC East, something they’ve done 4 times since 2014.
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Cowboys odds to win NFC
- +600 (bet $100 to win $600)
Only the Eagles (+330) and 49ers (+350) have shorter odds than Dallas to win the NFC. The Eagles know who their starting QB will be after re-signing Jalen Hurts, but the 49ers’ QB situation is much less clear; Brock Purdy could return, or Trey Lance could get another shot.
The lack of clarity at the top of the conference makes the COWBOYS (+600) a worthwhile wager to win the NFC.
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