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2023 Dallas Cowboys betting preview: Their few questions are significant

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2023 Dallas Cowboys betting preview: Their few questions are significant


For the second straight year, the Cowboys’ season ended on an ignominious offensive play in a hotly-contested playoff game against the 49ers. At least Dallas got last year’s final effort snapped in time. But, in both cases, the Cowboys’ lost each game long before the final seconds ticked off the clock.

In 2021, the Cowboys struggled with discipline. They had the most penalties and penalty yards. And, sure enough, 14 penalties for 89 yards burned them in the wild-card round. They cleaned that up last year, but Dak Prescott led the NFL in interceptions during the regular season, only to throw two more in the first half in San Francisco – the first setting up the 49ers for a field goal and the second quelling a Cowboys scoring drive.

Dallas followed up a 13-4 season against the spread with another profitable 9-7-1 record. “America’s Team” was still able to outperform the market’s opinion of them.

2023 season odds

MARKET ODDS (O/U)
Win total 9.5 (-150/+135)
Division +175
Conference +600
Super Bowl +1400
Estimated rating 63/100

Dallas sees a little more action on the over at 9.5 wins and gets a bump in the estimated rating because the club plays in the NFC East. Getting 10 wins out of a division shared with Philadelphia and two other playoff contenders would be more impressive than 11 or 12 wins with another team’s schedule.

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Schedule outlook

WEEK OPPONENT LOOKAHEAD LINE
1 @NYG DAL -3.5
2 NYJ DAL -2.5
3 @ARI DAL -7
4 NE DAL -4.5
5 @SF SF -2.5
6 @LAC LAC -1
8 LAR DAL -7
9 @PHI PHI -3
10 NYG DAL -5.5
11 @CAR DAL -3.5
12 WAS DAL -6
13 SEA DAL -3.5
14 PHI DAL -1
15 @BUF BUF -4
16 @MIA MIA -1.5
17 DET DAL -3.5
18 @WSH DAL -3

While crossover matchups with the AFC East and games against the Chargers, Lions, and 49ers are exciting, the Cowboys will measure themselves in Week 9 and Week 14 matchups against the Eagles. That’s especially true if Prescott and Jalen Hurts are both healthy for those showdowns this time.

With an estimation of -27 as the highest possible point spread in the modern NFL, the Cowboys’ 63/100 rating gives them 17 out of 27 points on that scale. The Eagles – deemed the class of the NFC – are worth 19 for a two-point difference on a neutral field. Philadelphia is projected to be -3 at home in the first matchup as home-field advantage pushes them up, but not through, the key number of three. In the rematch in Dallas, the Cowboys are projected to be the small favorite.

What’s to like about the Cowboys

The Cowboys are out from under Ezekiel Elliott’s big contract and, other than Dalton Schultz, they didn’t lose any top-end talent in their prime. That means Dallas’s strong offensive line remains intact – assuming Zack Martin ends his holdout – which makes it easier to get the ball to outstanding playmakers Tony Pollard and CeeDee Lamb.

Stephon Gilmore joins Trevon Diggs to load up an already stacked Cowboys defense. Oh, and we’d call Micah Parsons the best positional player in the league if we knew what specific position the do-everything/play-anywhere star played. Using a first-round pick on Michigan defensive tackle Mazi Smith only shores up the interior.

What’s not to like about the Cowboys

Mike McCarthy won the Super Bowl in 2010 but hasn’t been back despite coaching Aaron Rodgers and then this Cowboys roster. Now he’s calling plays after Kellen Moore became the Chargers’ offensive coordinator. An NFL team’s offense is only as good as the plays they’re calling, and any sort of miscommunication or discomfort isn’t going to help Prescott lower his infamous interception total.

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Other notable betting markets

PLAYER MARKET ODDS
Dak Prescott MVP +2500
Offensive POTY +10000
Most passing yards +1300
Most passing TD +1600
Most interceptions +1000
CeeDee Lamb Offensive POTY +3500
Most receptions +2000
Most receiving yards +2200
Most receiving TD +2500
Tony Pollard Offensive POTY +3500
Most rushing yards +1600
Most rushing TD +2500
Micah Parsons Defensive POTY +650
Most sacks +750
Mazi Smith Defensive ROTY +4000
Mike McCarthy Coach of the Year +4000

Parsons had 12 sacks in his first 11 games last season, a pace that put him in the mix for both the league lead and Defensive Player of the Year. However, he managed just 1.5 sacks in the final six games. Now in his third campaign, the 24-year-old is a prime candidate to win both with a stronger finish, but the odds reflect that.

Speaking of 24-year-olds, a third consecutive jump of 200+ receiving yards would put Lamb in the same production tier as Justin Jefferson, Tyreek Hill, and Davante Adams, but with a better quarterback than all three.

Most interestingly, Elliott’s 12 touchdowns have to go somewhere, and Prescott doesn’t move like he once did. Pollard had nine of his own last season so, at 25-1, he’s an interesting bet to run the ball to pay the most this year.

Matt Russell is the lead betting analyst for theScore. If there’s a bad beat to be had, Matt will find it. Find him on Twitter @mrussauthentic.





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Dallas, TX

Cowboys coaching search: Could Jason Witten replace Mike McCarthy?

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Cowboys coaching search: Could Jason Witten replace Mike McCarthy?


Dallas Cowboys owner Jerry Jones is exploring options for a new head coach following the departure of Mike McCarthy, and one name generating buzz is franchise legend Jason Witten. Known as the best tight end in Cowboys history, Witten has long been a favorite of Jones and is being considered for the high-profile role.

McCarthy and the Cowboys parted ways after five seasons, ending a tenure that included three consecutive 12-5 records but just one playoff win. The coaching search is officially underway, and Witten’s name has surfaced alongside other contenders.

Witten, an 11-time Pro Bowler and the franchise leader in games starts, receptions, and receiving yards, has deep ties to Dallas. While his coaching experience is limited to leading a private high school team to a state championship, his leadership qualities and familiarity with the organization make him a compelling, albeit unconventional, option.

If hired, Witten would follow a path similar to Detroit Lions head coach Dan Campbell, another former Cowboys tight end. Campbell transitioned to the NFL coaching ranks after years of assistant coaching experience, a step Witten has yet to take. However, Jones has a history of making bold decisions, and Witten’s intimate understanding of the Cowboys’ culture could give him an edge.

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While some question whether Witten’s high school coaching background is sufficient preparation for the NFL, Jones values loyalty and passion for the franchise, qualities Witten embodies. His connection with the Cowboys and leadership on and off the field could make him an intriguing choice to guide the team into its next chapter.

Jones’ next coach will be his ninth. The first four were first-time NFL head coaches, starting with Jimmy Johnson when Jones bought the team in 1989. The former University of Miami coach won back-to-back Super Bowls before an acrimonious split with Jones, his college teammate at Arkansas.

Three of Jones’ past four hires had NFL head coaching experience, including Super Bowl winners Bill Parcells and McCarthy. The exception was former Dallas quarterback Jason Garrett, the longest-tenured coach under Jones at nine-plus seasons.

The Cowboys have yet to release updates on the search, but Jason Witten remains a name to watch as the process unfolds.

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Dereck Lively Gets Key Ankle Injury Update For Dallas Mavericks

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Dereck Lively Gets Key Ankle Injury Update For Dallas Mavericks


About four minutes into the Dallas Mavericks’ recent contest against the Denver Nuggets, starting center Dereck Lively left the contest with an ankle injury.

Evidently, the Mavericks are already dealing with massive injuries to Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving. Those two superstars lead the team and Lively is right up there as one of the more impactful players on the team.

However, just one day after the injury, Lively has already gotten X-ray updates back on his sprained right ankle, and it’s a bit of a relief for Mavericks fans. Chris Haynes provided the recent update.

“Dallas Mavericks center Dereck Lively II received an X-ray on his sprained right ankle and results were negative. No timeline established as of now,” Haynes reported.

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The Mavericks are struggling to stay healthy, though doing so by April is the main goal and it’s just January. Lively has had issues remaining on the hardwood for the club in his inaugural two seasons, and it’s leaving some fans concerned.

READ MORE: Latest Timeline for Luka Doncic’s Return to Dallas Mavericks Revealed

Stick with CommanderGameday and the Locked On Commanders podcast for more FREE coverage of the Washington Commanders throughout the 2024 season.

Follow Kade on Twitter.

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In messy city manager search, Dallas council failed in its fundamental job

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In messy city manager search, Dallas council failed in its fundamental job


The Dallas city manager search has unspooled in the chaotic style we’ve come to expect from this City Council. There was the ho-hum recruitment brochure draft featuring the wrong skyline. There was the council civil war over the timeline of the search and the flow of information about candidates. And nothing says “we’ve got our act together” like eleventh-hour candidate interviews the day before Christmas Eve.

When two original semifinalists and a former Dallas city official dropped out of the race, no one was surprised.

We wish the next city manager the best of luck because no amount of talent and hard work can overcome a fundamental flaw of this search, and that is the lack of formal, measurable goals by the City Council. Our city is about to hire its CEO, but its board of directors has no metrics to set expectations or hold that person accountable for the most important job in Dallas.

If you want to understand how dysfunctional the situation is, start with the fact that the council’s appointees — the city manager, city attorney, city secretary and city auditor — haven’t had a performance review in more than two years. Our last city manager, T.C. Broadnax, had his last evaluation in August 2022. He left in May 2024. Interim City Manager Kimberly Bizor Tolbert, the front-runner for the job, hasn’t had an evaluation since her appointment last spring.

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The council has hired a consultant over the years to help conduct the evaluations of its appointees. But no consultant can fix this council’s main problem, and that is its inability to come together to develop a consensus around four or five priorities and the metrics to measure progress in those areas.

Even when performance reviews for council appointees were happening, the process was broken. The council’s consultant called council members individually to solicit feedback, with the consultant identifying “themes” shared verbally with the council, and with no particular comments attributed to specific people, according to a 2022 memorandum from Management Partners, the firm hired to do the work. The city manager and other appointees were “invited” to prepare a report on their accomplishments and goals for next year, with the potential for “refinements” based on council input.

There was no written report from the performance evaluation, other than any goals reports produced by the appointees.

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It’s a shockingly wishy-washy approach to evaluating an employee, let alone a C-suite executive.

And don’t expect even a veneer of transparency for taxpayers. Last year, we requested Broadnax’s goal reports and were told by the city that there were no responsive records, only to hear a council member remind her colleagues last week that Broadnax produced a memo with his goals after his last performance review in 2022. City staff failed to release this memo in response to our request. Such a document should be public under the Texas Public Information Act.

Now, on the brink of hiring its next city manager, the council is panicking about the fact that it hasn’t evaluated its council appointees in a long time and that it has no measurable goals for any of them. The council committee whose job it is to codify the annual review process can’t seem to agree on how to move forward.

Mayor Pro Tem Tennell Atkins chairs the committee. In a December meeting, he led a discussion on next steps to resume performance reviews of council appointees. Council members learned that their previous consulting firm, Management Partners, had been acquired by Baker Tilly, the company that is leading the messy city manager search. But the woman who had worked closely with the council on previous performance reviews was no longer associated with either company.

The committee gave city staff mixed signals on how to proceed. Some council members said they wanted to continue working with the previous consultant. Others asked to hear from Baker Tilly. Some said they were dissatisfied with the previous consultant or concerned about Baker Tilly and wanted to hear from other vendors. Council members said to move quickly.

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By the time the council committee picked the conversation back up this month, confusion reigned. Baker Tilly prepared a presentation that described a performance review process very similar to what the council had with its previous partner. Atkins indicated that the council was moving forward with Baker Tilly using an existing contract, and other committee members pushed back. Meanwhile, an assistant city manager and an assistant human resources director couldn’t answer a council member’s simple question about when the council appointees were last evaluated.

“Yes, we are overdue for these reviews, but I think that they should be pursued seriously with the appropriate time periods involved,” said council member Paul Ridley. “I don’t think we should out of convenience select someone who is doing other work for the city at the present time.”

Council member Jesse Moreno asked whether Baker Tilly would have a conflict of interest in facilitating the performance review of an executive the firm helped hire. A representative tried to assuage Moreno, but he is right to bring that up, given that Baker Tilly would be required to conduct a new search at no cost to Dallas if the city manager doesn’t last a year. Council members should be skeptical. (Keep in mind it was Baker Tilly that produced the hiring brochure for Dallas city manager. The cover photo was a shining image of the Houston skyline.)

The council now seems poised to consider other consultants for the performance evaluations. Council members should do their due diligence instead of repeating their sloppiness for the sake of comfort.

Hire a consultant, if you must, to moderate the conversation or offer pointers, but a management firm can’t do the hard work for you.

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Outgoing council member Jaynie Schultz said it best: “This problem is ours as a council. We have not done our work. And so we can try spending all of our time diverting all the problem and the blame on Baker Tilly. … The delay is us, 100% us.”

The council’s job is not to run the city but to set clear, measurable expectations for the people it hires to do that. It’s telling that council members have relied on a consultant to remind them to perform a fundamental duty.

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