The Atlanta Braves (19-21) wrap up their 3-game sequence with the Miami Marlins (17-22) Sunday at loanDepot park with the primary pitch scheduled for 1:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s strains across the Braves vs. Marlins odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Atlanta received the primary 2 video games of this sequence by a mixed rating of 9-6. The Braves lead the season sequence with the Marlins 3-2 and Atlanta has a plus-3 run differential in these conferences.
Braves at Marlins projected starters
RHP Ian Anderson vs. RHP Sandy Alcantara
Anderson is 3-2 with a 3.75 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 6.3 Okay/9 in 36 IP throughout 7 begins.
- Final begin: Loss, 1-0, Monday on the Milwaukee Brewers with 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB and three Okay.
- 2022 vs. the Marlins: No-decision in 9-7 house loss April 23 with 5 IP, 2 ER (3 R), 6 H, 1 HR, 3 BB and 4 Okay.
- vs. Marlins on the present roster: 4.64 FIP with a .250/.322/.404 anticipated batting common (xBA), wOBA (xwOBA) and slugging share (xSLG), 20.6 Okay% and 84.7 mph exit velocity (EV) in 97 plate appearances (PA).
Alcantara is 3-2 with a 2.49 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and seven.5 Okay/9 in 50 2/3 IP over 8 begins.
- Final begin: Win, 8-2, Monday at house vs. the Washington Nationals with 8 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB and 5 Okay.
- 2021 vs. the Braves: 2-1 with 2.05 ERA (26 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 1.10 WHIP and seven.2 Okay/9 in 4 begins.
- vs. Braves on the present roster: 2.93 FIP with a .215/.280/.331 xBA-xwOBA-xSLG slash line, 21.6 Okay% and 88.6 mph EV in 116 PA.
Braves at Marlins odds and features
Odds offered by Tipico Sportsbook; entry USA TODAY Sports activities Scores and Sports activities Betting Odds hub for a full listing. Traces final up to date at 7:05 a.m. ET.
- Cash line (ML): Braves -103 (wager $103 to win $100) | Marlins -117 (wager $117 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Towards the unfold (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+165) | Marlins +1.5 (-205)
- Over/Below (O/U): 7.5 (O: +112 | U: -140)
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Braves at Marlins picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 5, Marlins 4
Cash line
LEAN BRAVES (-103) as a result of this quantity feels suspiciously low contemplating how significantly better Alcantara has been each this season and vs. Atlanta in comparison with Anderson and his historical past vs. the Marlins.
Most of Anderson’s superior pitching numbers have dipped yr over yr and Alcantara ranks within the 76th percentile or higher in xBA-xwOBA-xSLG slash line, barrel charge and EV, per Statcast.
Alcantara additionally has a 1.62 ERA in his final 5 begins vs. Atlanta, Anderson has a 4.30 ERA in his final 5 begins vs. Miami and the Braves received the primary 2 video games on this highway sequence so they could coast via the sequence finale. But Braves-Marlins is priced as a coin-flip. Hmmm.
It’s solely a LEAN to the BRAVES (-103) for the reason that Marlins have an edge within the beginning pitching matchup and Miami’s lineup has been much more productive on the plate than Atlanta’s over the previous two weeks.
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Run line/Towards the unfold
PASS as a result of I solely “lean” in direction of Atlanta on the ML and I’m not assured sufficient to put it with the Braves -1.5 (+165).
Over/Below
BET OVER 7.5 (+112) as a result of the Over has cashed in 3 of the final 4 Braves-Marlins conferences, these groups are a mixed 16-11 O/U in NL East video games and 7-6 O/U when these starters take the mound and Miami is 13-8 O/U at house.
The market could be hammering the Below since loanDepot Park is pitcher-friendly, each starters are “top-of-the-rotation” guys with Alcantara pitching at an All-Star caliber and Anderson was 2-0 with a 1.59 ERA in final yr’s playoffs en path to an Atlanta World Sequence crown.
The OVER 7.5 (+112) is my favourite wager within the Braves-Marlins recreation.
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