Alabama vs. Arkansas odds, spread, line: 2023 college football picks, Week 7 predictions by proven model

The No. 11 Alabama Crimson Tide (5-1) will try to extend their four-game winning streak when they host the Arkansas Razorbacks (2-4) on Saturday afternoon. Alabama is coming off back-to-back road wins at Mississippi State and Texas A&M, sitting alone atop the SEC West standings. Arkansas has lost four straight games, including a 27-20 setback at then-No. 16 Ole Miss last week. The Razorbacks came up short in a 49-26 final when these teams met last year.

Kickoff is set for noon ET on Saturday at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa, Ala. The Tide are favored by 19.5 points in the latest Arkansas vs. Alabama odds, while the over/under is set at 45 points, per SportsLine consensus. Before locking in any Alabama vs. Arkansas picks, be sure to check out the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a stunning profit of more than $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Arkansas vs. Alabama and just revealed its picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine to see the model’s CFB picks. Here are several college football odds and trends for Arkansas vs. Alabama: 

• Arkansas vs. Alabama spread: Crimson Tide -19.5
• Arkansas vs. Alabama over/under: 45 points
• Arkansas vs. Alabama money line: Crimson Tide -1508, Razorbacks +831
• ARK: Is 9-3 ATS as a road underdog since 2020.
• ALA: Is 15-6-1 ATS as a home favorite since 2020.
• Arkansas vs, Alabama picks: See picks at SportsLine 
• Arkansas vs, Alabama live stream: fubo (try for free)

Why Alabama can cover

Alabama has been dominant in this rivalry, winning 16 straight games while scoring at least 41 points in the last seven meetings. The Crimson Tide have covered the spread at a 16-4-1 clip in their last 21 home games, while Arkansas has lost 20 of its last 24 road games. Alabama quarterback Jalen Milroe racked up a career-high 321 passing yards in last week’s win, with wide receiver Jermaine Burton catching nine passes for 197 yards and two touchdowns.

Despite some early-season struggles, Alabama has covered the spread in four of its six games and is heading toward another SEC West title. Arkansas has been unable to overcome a defense that has allowed at least 34 points in three of its last four games, leading to a four-game losing skid. The Crimson Tide rarely struggle against bad teams, going 10-2-1 against the spread in their last 13 games against teams with losing records. See which team to pick here.

Why Arkansas can cover

Arkansas has covered the spread in both road games, losing by three to LSU and seven to Ole Miss, as a double-digit underdog. The Razorbacks have scored 61 points over the past two games with Bama, but they allowed 91. The Arkansas offense can be potent with quarterback KJ Jefferson running the show. The senior has at least 245 passing yards in four of six games and has completed 67% of his throws. He has 1,300 yards and 12 TD passes for the season.

Running back Raheim Sanders, a first-team All-SEC selection last year, saw limited action last week after injuring a knee in the opener. He should be used more Saturday, and he rushed for 101 yards in last year’s meeting. Backfield mate AJ Green is averaging 6.1 yards per carry. The Tide haven’t been dominant this season, and Milroe has thrown four interceptions in five starts and has been sacked 21 times. The Razorbacks defense has 16 sacks and 11 takeaways. See which team to pick here.

How to make Arkansas vs. Alabama picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 55 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine. 

So who wins Arkansas vs. Alabama, and which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has notched a profit of more than $2,000 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out.