Troy vs. South Alabama odds, line, spread: 2023 college football picks, Week 10 predictions from proven model

The Troy Trojans (6-2) and the South Alabama Jaguars (4-4) link up in a Sun Belt Conference showdown on Thursday night. South Alabama had its two-game win streak halted in Week 9. On Oct. 28, Louisiana topped the Jaguars 33-20. On the opposite sideline, Troy has won five games in a row. Last week, the Trojans cruised to a 31-13 victory over Texas State. 

Kickoff from Larry Blakeney Field at Veterans Memorial Stadium in Troy, Ala., is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. The Trojans are 4-point favorites in the latest South Alabama vs. Troy odds, while the over/under for total points is 45. Before locking in any Troy vs. South Alabama picks, be sure to check out the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a stunning profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Troy vs. South Alabama and just revealed its picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine to see the model’s CFB picks. Here are several college football odds and trends for South Alabama vs. Troy:

• South Alabama vs. Troy spread: Troy -4
• South Alabama vs. Troy over/under: 45 points
• South Alabama vs. Troy money line: Trojans -187, Jaguars +157
• USA: South Alabama is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
• TROY: Troy is 4-1 ATS in its last five games
• South Alabama vs. Troy picks: See picks at SportsLine
• South Alabama vs. Troy live stream: fubo (try for free)

Why Troy can cover

Troy’s offense features dynamic and electric playmakers. Junior running back Kimani Vidal has been dominating for the Trojans. Vidal utilizes his vision and speed to glide through open holes and pick up chunk plays. The Georgia native is second in the Sun Belt in rushing yards (994) and rushing yards per game (124.3) to go along with six touchdowns.

He’s gone over 115 rushing yards in four games this season and two matchups with more than 240 rushing yards. On Oct. 7 versus Arkansas State, Vidal logged 245 rush yards and three touchdowns. Sophomore receiver Chris Lewis (6’4) uses his size and speed to win downfield battles. Lewis has reeled in 18 receptions for 415 yards and four touchdowns. Last week, he finished with three catches with 51 yards. See which team to pick here.

Why South Alabama can cover

South Alabama’s passing attack is very effective. The Jaguars are third in the conference in passing yards per game (285.5) with senior quarterback Carter Bradley leading the way. Bradley likes to push the ball downfield to create explosive plays. The Florida native is fifth in the Sun Belt in passing yards (2,156) with 13 passing touchdowns. He’s supplied more than 300 passing yards in three straight games.

Last week, Bradley went 29 of 49 with 381 yards and two passing touchdowns. Junior receiver Caullin Lacy ranks first in the Sun Belt in receiving yards (957) and receiving yards per game (119.6) and has six touchdowns. Lacy reeled in seven passes for 131 yards and 18.7 yards per catch in his last contest. See which team to pick here.

How to make South Alabama vs. Troy picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Under on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 41 points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine. 

So who wins Troy vs. South Alabama, and which side of the spread is the better value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has notched a profit of well over $2,000 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out.