Science
In Texas Measles Outbreak, Signs of a Riskier Future for Children
Every day, as Dr. Wendell Parkey enters his clinic in Seminole, a small city on the rural western edge of Texas, he announces his arrival to the staff with an anthem pumping loudly through speakers.
As the song reaches a climax, he throws up an arm and strikes a pose in cowboy boots. “Y’all ready to stomp out disease?” he asks.
Recently, the question has taken on a dark urgency. Seminole Memorial Hospital, where Dr. Parkey has practiced for nearly three decades, has found itself at the center of the largest measles outbreak in the United States since 2019.
Since last month, more than 140 Texas residents, most of whom live in the surrounding Gaines County, have been diagnosed and 20 have been hospitalized. Nine people in a bordering county in New Mexico have also fallen ill.
On Wednesday, local health officials announced that one child had died, the first measles death in the United States in a decade.
It may not be the last. Large swaths of the Mennonite community, an insular Christian group that settled in the area in the 1970s, are unvaccinated and vulnerable to the virus.
The outbreak has struck at a remarkable juncture. Vaccine hesitancy has been rising in the United States for years and accelerated during the coronavirus pandemic. Now the nation’s most prominent vaccine skeptic, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., has been named its top health official, the secretary of health and human services.
Mr. Kennedy has been particularly doubtful of measles as a public health problem, once writing that outbreaks were mostly “fabricated” to send health officials into a panic and fatten the profits of vaccine makers.
At a cabinet meeting on Wednesday, Mr. Kennedy minimized the crisis in West Texas, saying that there had been four outbreaks so far this year (there have been three, according to federal health officials) and 16 last year.
Following widespread criticism, Mr. Kennedy posted a social media message on Friday saying he did “recognize the serious impact of this outbreak on families, children, and healthcare workers.”
Vaccine fears have run deep in these parts for years, and some public health experts worry that the current outbreak is a glimpse at where much of America is headed. Researchers think of measles as the proverbial canary in a coal mine. It is among the most contagious infectious diseases, and often the first sign that other pathogens may be close behind.
“I’m concerned this is a harbinger of something bigger,” said Dr. Tony Moody, a pediatric infectious disease expert at the Duke University School of Medicine. “Is this simply going to be the first of many stories of vaccine-preventable disease making a resurgence in the United States?”
On the front lines of the outbreak, simple answers aren’t easy to come by.
Measles was officially declared eliminated in the United States in 2000. Not long ago, it had become so rare that many American doctors never saw a case.
But as the outbreak spread, Dr. Parkey learned to spot the signs of infection in the examination room even before he saw the telltale rashes.
School-age children often zipped around the room or pestered their mothers or asked him for lollipops. The children stricken with measles sat still, vacant looks in their eyes.
On Monday, Dr. Parkey walked into a hospital room where an unvaccinated 8-year-old boy sat with that distant stare. His mother had scheduled an appointment after she noticed his barking cough the night before.
By the time they arrived at the clinic, the boy’s eyes were red and crusted. He had a low-grade fever and a blotchy pink rash covering his chest and back.
Dr. Parkey tried the usual banter: “Do you have a girlfriend?” The boy looked past him, glassy eyes trained on the wall.
“Which of your uncles is your favorite?” Dr. Parkey asked. The boy let out a dry cough and slumped further into his seat. He spoke only once, to request a cup of water.
Over the next 24 hours, if the boy’s illness followed the typical progression, he was likely to get sicker. His fever would spike, and the rash would fan out over his torso and thighs.
If he was lucky, the worst would pass within a few days. If he was not, the virus might find its way into his lungs and cause pneumonia, potentially making it difficult to breathe without an oxygen mask.
Measles might even invade his brain, causing swelling and possible convulsions, blindness or deafness.
Doctors have few options to alter its course once the virus infects someone. There is no treatment that will stop it, only medicines to make the patient more comfortable.
Dr. Parkey wrote prescriptions for cough syrup and antibiotics for the boy. A nurse swabbed the back of his throat for a sample to be shipped to the state health department in a box of dry ice, adding to the county’s growing case count.
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For decades, the doctors at Seminole Memorial Hospital had been having conversations with patients about the importance of childhood vaccines.
Even on busy days with back-to-back appointments, staff members sat down with parents to discuss fears about side effects and to recount the horrors of many preventable diseases.
Go to an old cemetery, Dr. Parkey often told his patients — look at how many children died before vaccines arrived. In many families, though, minds were made up, and the conversations rarely broke through.
The largest school district in Gaines County reported that just 82 percent of kindergartners received the measles, mumps and rubella (M.M.R.) vaccine in 2023. One of the smaller school districts reported that less than half of the students had received the shot.
For a virus as contagious as measles — which spreads through microscopic droplets that can linger in the air for two hours — experts say that at least 95 percent of a community must be vaccinated in order to stave off an outbreak.
Gaines County, a dusty expanse the size of Rhode Island dotted with cotton fields and whirring pump jacks, had not hit that mark in many years.
Although there is no religious doctrine that bans vaccination, the county’s tightknit Mennonites often avoid interacting with the medical system and hold to a long tradition of natural remedies, said Tina Siemens, a Seminole historian who has written several books about the community in West Texas.
In recent years, concerns about childhood vaccines appeared to rise even in the broader Seminole community, especially after Covid-19, several doctors said. An outbreak began to feel inevitable.
“I’d never seen measles, but I knew it was coming,” Dr. Parkey said.
In this respect, Gaines County is not so different from much the country.
Before the pandemic, 95 percent of kindergartners in the United States had received the M.M.R. vaccine, according to federal tallies. The figure sank below 93 percent last year. Immunization rates against polio, whooping cough and chickenpox fell in similar proportions.
When the cases in Texas first surfaced, local doctors and health officials hoped that the outbreak would make the M.M.R. vaccines an easier sell. If parents saw what measles did to children, the thinking went, they would understand what the vaccine was designed to protect them from.
But there has been no stampede to vaccination. In Seminole, a city of about 7,200 people, almost 200 residents have received shots at pop-up clinics.
“Hopefully, at least the next generation will change their minds about vaccines,” Dr. Parkey said. “Just maybe not this one.”
One mother told Dr. Leila Myrick, a family medicine physician at Seminole Memorial, that the measles outbreak had helped solidify her decision not to vaccinate her children. She’d heard from a friend that the virus was similar to a bad flu.
Even some parents who recognized the dangers that measles posed to their children still felt that vaccines were riskier.
Ansley Klassen, 25, lives in Seminole with her husband and four young children, three of whom are fully unvaccinated. She considered bringing her children to a vaccine clinic when measles cases first started popping up.
Mrs. Klassen, who is about five months pregnant, knew she didn’t want to risk getting measles. She had been scrubbing counters with Lysol wipes and keeping her children away from others as much as possible.
But on social media, she had seen a deluge of frightening posts about the side effects of vaccines: stories of children developing autism after a shot or dying from metal toxicity. (Both claims have been debunked by scientists.)
“There are stories that you can read about people multiple hours after they got the vaccine having effects, and that’s scary to me,” she said. “So I’m like, is it worth the risk? And right now I can’t figure that out.”
These anecdotes — regardless of whether they are factual — are part of what has made vaccine hesitancy such an intractable problem in the age of social media, said Mary Politi, a professor at the Washington University School of Medicine who studies health decision-making.
Stories about children who don’t have serious side effects from vaccines and never contract vaccine-preventible illnesses don’t go viral on TikTok, she noted.
“It’s not that they’re trying to make a bad choice or do something against evidence,” she said. “People are trying to do the best thing they can for their families, and they don’t know who to trust.”
Mrs. Klassen didn’t consider herself staunchly anti-vaccine. Her oldest daughter, now 6, had received all of her vaccines up to a year.
But she didn’t trust everything doctors were telling her, either. She thought the Covid-19 vaccine had been developed too quickly and pushed too forcefully, making her skeptical that the authorities were telling the truth about the measles shot.
She prayed about it and ultimately decided to forgo the vaccine. “The trust I have in the medical system is not there,” she said.
It’s not just unvaccinated people who are at risk during the current outbreak.
Measles increases the likelihood of stillbirths and serious complications in pregnant women, yet they cannot receive the vaccine or booster.
Andrea Ochoa, a nurse’s assistant at Seminole Memorial who is six months into her first pregnancy, said she thought about taking time off from her job but ultimately decided to stay so she could keep her health insurance.
She wore an N95 mask during her entire shift, which sometimes made her so lightheaded that she sat in her car for a break. She showered as soon as she was home.
“I hope it doesn’t get worse,” Ms. Ochoa said of the outbreak. “I don’t know what choice I would make.”
Five vaccinated residents also have contracted measles, state health officials said. At the clinic, Dr. Parkey recently cared for a teacher who was vaccinated but immunocompromised.
A serious measles infection kept the teacher curled in a fetal position on the couch for a week, her eyes so swollen that she opened them only for brief runs to the bathroom, she recalled in an interview. She asked not be named to protect her privacy.
The West Texas measles outbreak is far from the largest in the United States in recent years. In 2019, outbreaks in at least two dozen states sickened more than 1,250 people.
A vast majority of those infections occurred in “underimmunized, close-knit communities,” the C.D.C. noted. More than 930 patients were infected in Orthodox Jewish communities in New York.
Federal, state and local officials swung into action with vaccination campaigns that led to more than 60,000 M.M.R. immunizations in the affected communities. They reached out to religious leaders, local doctors and advocacy groups.
And in areas like Williamsburg, Brooklyn, officials went further, issuing mandates requiring vaccination.
The campaign in West Texas has been less forceful. Management of outbreaks like this one falls to state health officials, and they ask for help from the C.D.C. and other federal resources as necessary.
The C.D.C. is providing some technical assistance, but Texas health officials said they did not need more help from the agency. They have not declared a public health emergency, as officials did in parts of New York State, nor have they moved to mandate vaccination.
“We can’t force anybody to take a drug — that’s assault,” said Dr. Ron Cook, a health official in nearby Lubbock, at a news conference on Friday.
Zachary Holbrooks, the local public health official for four Texas counties, including Gaines, said that type of mandate would be deeply unpopular in the state, where individual freedom is a strongly held value.
Texas public schools require children to have received certain vaccines, including the M.M.R. shot. But in this state, as in many others, parents can apply for an exemption for “reasons of conscience,” including religious beliefs.
In January, as the first cases of measles began spreading in Gaines County, state legislators introduced several bills designed to weaken school vaccination requirements.
“I don’t want to see a baby’s lips turn blue because they can’t breathe,” Mr. Holbrooks said. “I don’t want anybody to suffer from long-lasting disability because they got measles.”
“But if you choose to live in Texas,” he added, “you can exercise that option.”
Science
Trump administration declares ‘war on sugar’ in overhaul of food guidelines
The Trump administration announced a major overhaul of American nutrition guidelines Wednesday, replacing the old, carbohydrate-heavy food pyramid with one that prioritizes protein, healthy fats and whole grains.
“Our government declares war on added sugar,” Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said in a White House press conference announcing the changes. “We are ending the war on saturated fats.”
“If a foreign adversary sought to destroy the health of our children, to cripple our economy, to weaken our national security, there would be no better strategy than to addict us to ultra-processed foods,” Kennedy said.
Improving U.S. eating habits and the availability of nutritious foods is an issue with broad bipartisan support, and has been a long-standing goal of Kennedy’s Make America Healthy Again movement.
During the press conference, he acknowledged both the American Medical Association and the American Assn. of Pediatrics for partnering on the new guidelines — two organizations that earlier this week condemned the administration’s decision to slash the number of diseases that U.S. children are vaccinated against.
“The American Medical Association applauds the administration’s new Dietary Guidelines for spotlighting the highly processed foods, sugar-sweetened beverages, and excess sodium that fuel heart disease, diabetes, obesity, and other chronic illnesses,” AMA president Bobby Mukkamala said in a statement.
Science
Contributor: With high deductibles, even the insured are functionally uninsured
I recently saw a patient complaining of shortness of breath and a persistent cough. Worried he was developing pneumonia, I ordered a chest X-ray — a standard diagnostic tool. He refused. He hadn’t met his $3,000 deductible yet, and so his insurance would have required him to pay much or all of the cost for that scan. He assured me he would call if he got worse.
For him, the X-ray wasn’t a medical necessity, but it would have been a financial shock he couldn’t absorb. He chose to gamble on a cough, and five days later, he lost — ending up in the ICU with bilateral pneumonia. He survived, but the cost of his “savings” was a nearly fatal hospital stay and a bill that will quite likely bankrupt him. He is lucky he won’t be one of the 55,000 Americans to die from pneumonia each year.
As a physician associate in primary care, I serve as a frontline witness to this failure of the American approach to insurance. Medical professionals are taught that the barrier to health is biology: bacteria, viruses, genetics. But increasingly, the barrier is a policy framework that pressures insured Americans to gamble with their lives. High-deductible health plans seem affordable because their monthly premiums are lower than other plans’, but they create perverse incentives by discouraging patients from seeking and accepting diagnostics and treatments — sometimes turning minor, treatable issues into expensive, life-threatening emergencies. My patient’s gamble with his lungs is a microcosm of the much larger gamble we are taking with the American public.
The economic theory underpinning these high deductibles is known as “skin in the game.” The idea is that if patients are responsible for the first few thousand dollars of their care, they will become savvy consumers, shopping around for the best value and driving down healthcare costs.
But this logic collapses in the exam room. Healthcare is not a consumer good like a television or a used car. My patient was not in a position to “shop around” for a cheaper X-ray, nor was he qualified to determine if his cough was benign or deadly. The “skin in the game” theory assumes a level of medical literacy and market transparency that simply doesn’t exist in a moment of crisis. You can compare the specs of two SUVs; you cannot “shop around” for a life-saving diagnostic while gasping for air.
A 2025 poll from the Kaiser Family Foundation points to this reality, finding that up to 38% of insured American adults say they skipped or postponed necessary healthcare or medications in the past 12 months because of cost. In the same poll, 42% of those who skipped care admitted their health problem worsened as a result.
This self-inflicted public health crisis is set to deteriorate further. The Congressional Budget Office estimates roughly 15 million people will lose health coverage and become uninsured by 2034 because of Medicaid and Affordable Care Act marketplace cuts. That is without mentioning the millions more who will see their monthly premiums more than double if premium tax credits are allowed to expire. If that happens, not only will millions become uninsured but also millions more will downgrade to “bronze” plans with huge deductibles just to keep their premiums affordable. We are about to flood the system with “insured but functionally uninsured” patients.
I see the human cost of this “functional uninsurance” every week. These are patients who technically have coverage but are terrified to use it because their deductibles are so large they may exceed the individuals’ available cash or credit — or even their net worth. This creates a dangerous paradox: Americans are paying hundreds of dollars a month for a card in their wallet they cannot afford to use. They skip the annual physical, ignore the suspicious mole and ration their insulin — all while technically insured. By the time they arrive at my clinic, their disease has often progressed to a catastrophic event, from what could have been a cheap fix.
Federal spending on healthcare should not be considered charity; it is an investment in our collective future. We cannot expect our children to reach their full potential or our workforce to remain productive if basic healthcare needs are treated as a luxury. Inaction by Congress and the current administration to solve this crisis is legislative malpractice.
In medicine, we are trained to treat the underlying disease, not just the symptoms. The skipped visits and ignored prescriptions are merely symptoms; the disease is a policy framework that views healthcare as a commodity rather than a fundamental necessity. If we allow these cuts to proceed, we are ensuring that the American workforce becomes sicker, our hospitals more overwhelmed and our economy less resilient. We are walking willingly into a public health crisis that is entirely preventable.
Joseph Pollino is a primary care physician associate in Nevada.
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Ideas expressed in the piece
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High-deductible health plans create a barrier to necessary medical care, with patients avoiding diagnostics and treatments due to out-of-pocket cost concerns[1]. Research shows that 38% of insured American adults skipped or postponed necessary healthcare or medications in the past 12 months because of cost, with 42% reporting their health worsened as a result[1].
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The economic theory of “skin in the game”—which assumes patients will shop around for better healthcare values if they have financial responsibility—fails in medical practice because patients lack the medical literacy to make informed decisions in moments of crisis and cannot realistically compare pricing for emergency or diagnostic services[1].
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Rising deductibles are pushing enrollees toward bronze plans with deductibles averaging $7,476 in 2026, up from the average silver plan deductible of $5,304[1][4]. In California’s Covered California program, bronze plan enrollment has surged to more than one-third of new enrollees in 2026, compared to typically one in five[1].
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Expiring federal premium tax credits will more than double out-of-pocket premiums for ACA marketplace enrollees in 2026, creating an expected 75% increase in average out-of-pocket premium payments[5]. This will force millions to either drop coverage or downgrade to bronze plans with massive deductibles, creating a population of “insured but functionally uninsured” people[1].
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High-deductible plans pose particular dangers for patients with chronic conditions, with studies showing adults with diabetes involuntarily switched to high-deductible plans face 11% higher risk of hospitalization for heart attacks, 15% higher risk for strokes, and more than double the likelihood of blindness or end-stage kidney disease[4].
Different views on the topic
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Expanding access to health savings accounts paired with bronze and catastrophic plans offers tax advantages that allow higher-income individuals to set aside tax-deductible contributions for qualified medical expenses, potentially offsetting higher out-of-pocket costs through strategic planning[3].
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Employers and insurers emphasize that offering multiple plan options with varying deductibles and premiums enables employees to select plans matching their individual needs and healthcare usage patterns, allowing those who rarely use healthcare to save money through lower premiums[2]. Large employers increasingly offer three or more medical plan choices, with the expectation that employees choosing the right plan can unlock savings[2].
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The expansion of catastrophic plans with streamlined enrollment processes and automatic display on HealthCare.gov is intended to make affordable coverage more accessible for certain income groups, particularly those above 400% of federal poverty level who lose subsidies[3].
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Rising healthcare costs, including specialty drugs and new high-cost cell and gene therapies, are significant drivers requiring premium increases regardless of plan design[5]. Some insurers are managing affordability by discontinuing costly coverage—such as GLP-1 weight-loss medications—to reduce premium rate increases for broader plan members[5].
Science
Trump administration slashes number of diseases U.S. children will be regularly vaccinated against
The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services announced sweeping changes to the pediatric vaccine schedule on Monday, sharply cutting the number of diseases U.S. children will be regularly immunized against.
Under the new guidelines, the U.S. still recommends that all children be vaccinated against measles, mumps, rubella, polio, pertussis, tetanus, diphtheria, Haemophilus influenzae type B (Hib), pneumococcal disease, human papillomavirus (HPV) and varicella, better known as chickenpox.
Vaccines for all other diseases will now fall into one of two categories: recommended only for specific high-risk groups, or available through “shared clinical decision-making” — the administration’s preferred term for “optional.”
These include immunizations for hepatitis A and B, rotavirus, respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), bacterial meningitis, influenza and COVID-19. All these shots were previously recommended for all children.
Insurance companies will still be required to fully cover all childhood vaccines on the CDC schedule, including those now designated as optional, according to the Department of Health and Human Services.
Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr., a longtime vaccine critic, said in a statement that the new schedule “protects children, respects families, and rebuilds trust in public health.”
But pediatricians and public health officials widely condemned the shift, saying that it would lead to more uncertainty for patients and a resurgence of diseases that had been under control.
“The decision to weaken the childhood immunization schedule is misguided and dangerous,” said Dr. René Bravo, a pediatrician and president of the California Medical Assn. “Today’s decision undermines decades of evidence-based public health policy and sends a deeply confusing message to families at a time when vaccine confidence is already under strain.”
The American Academy of Pediatrics condemned the changes as “dangerous and unnecessary,” and said that it will continue to publish its own schedule of recommended immunizations. In September, California, Oregon, Washington and Hawaii announced that those four states would follow an independent immunization schedule based on recommendations from the AAP and other medical groups.
The federal changes have been anticipated since December, when President Trump signed a presidential memorandum directing the health department to update the pediatric vaccine schedule “to align with such scientific evidence and best practices from peer, developed countries.”
The new U.S. vaccination guidelines are much closer to those of Denmark, which routinely vaccinates its children against only 10 diseases.
As doctors and public health experts have pointed out, Denmark also has a robust system of government-funded universal healthcare, a smaller and more homogenous population, and a different disease burden.
“The vaccines that are recommended in any particular country reflect the diseases that are prevalent in that country,” said Dr. Kelly Gebo, dean of the Milken Institute School of Public Health at George Washington University. “Just because one country has a vaccine schedule that is perfectly reasonable for that country, it may not be at all reasonable” elsewhere.
Almost every pregnant woman in Denmark is screened for hepatitis B, for example. In the U.S., less than 85% of pregnant women are screened for the disease.
Instead, the U.S. has relied on universal vaccination to protect children whose mothers don’t receive adequate care during pregnancy. Hepatitis B has been nearly eliminated in the U.S. since the vaccine was introduced in 1991. Last month, a panel of Kennedy appointees voted to drop the CDC’s decades-old recommendation that all newborns be vaccinated against the disease at birth.
“Viruses and bacteria that were under control are being set free on our most vulnerable,” said Dr. James Alwine, a virologist and member of the nonprofit advocacy group Defend Public Health. “It may take one or two years for the tragic consequences to become clear, but this is like asking farmers in North Dakota to grow pineapples. It won’t work and can’t end well.”
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