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Fox News Power Rankings: Washington state Dem on shakier ground as Massachusetts, Florida races gain clarity

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Because the mud settles from the Texas major and the nation inches nearer to the final election in November, the midterms map is taking form. On this version of the Fox Information Energy Rankings, the Democrats lose “strong” standing in Washington’s Senate race, whereas gubernatorial elections in Massachusetts and Florida agency up for the Democrats and Republicans, respectively.

President Biden continues to ballot poorly, so the nationwide map stays mediocre for Democrats. The president’s approval score stands at 41.4% in a mean of gold customary polls over the past three weeks.

In the identical interval, the nationwide dialog has swung away from home points and towards the Russian invasion of Ukraine, elevating questions on whether or not Biden can reset his relationship with voters. The typical contains two polls performed after the invasion and the SCOTUS nomination of Choose Ketanji Brown Jackson and polls associated to the president’s State of the Union speech. 

Biden posted an 8-point enchancment to his score within the first, and two factors within the different. Translation? It’s too early to inform whether or not the worldwide deal with Ukraine will translate right into a significant shift in assist, so be cautious of “Ukraine bump” discuss till we see extra polling.

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The Democrats are additionally regular on the generic poll common.

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Whereas the nationwide image hasn’t modified considerably, the image in a number of particular person races appears clearer than ever. In Washington, GOP challenger Tiffany Smiley is operating a assured marketing campaign whilst she faces a steep uphill battle in opposition to incumbent Sen. Patty Murray, the Democrat. 

On the governor’s facet, Gov. Ron DeSantis appears extra more likely to safe his second time period in workplace, whereas Massachusetts is now possible a flip from Republican to Democrat.

Senate: Washington strikes from ‘Stable D’ to ‘Probably D’

Sen. Patty Murray is the five-term incumbent in a state that favored Biden by 19 factors in 2020. However there are pockets of overwhelming Republican assist in rural areas of Washington, resembling Lincoln County within the state’s northeast. Collectively, these counties could make a dent within the Democrats’ vote.

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Sen. Patty Murray's race is no longer "solid" for Democrats.

Sen. Patty Murray’s race is now not “strong” for Democrats.
(AP Picture/Carolyn Kaster, File)

Enter Tiffany Smiley, the main GOP candidate within the race. Smiley is a mother and former nurse who now takes care of husband Scott, a veteran who was blinded throughout a tour in Iraq. She has raised $2.5 million to date, in response to OpenSecrets, which is properly wanting Murray’s $9.8-million haul, however that may be a sturdy quantity for a marketing campaign in a deep blue state. 

Smiley is operating on jobs and schooling and has averted being drawn too closely right into a debate about former President Trump. As Washington’s Aug. 2 major approaches, she has no convincing challenger on her proper. 

Washington final elected a Republican senator in 1994, so Murray stays the possible winner of this race. However “possible” is the operative phrase right here. Washington’s Senate race strikes from “Stable D” to “Probably D.”

Senate: a second Oklahoma seat goes on the board

Republican Sen. Jim Inhofe of Oklahoma introduced his retirement Feb. 25, and the state has scheduled a particular election to coincide with election night time in November. Meaning Republicans will defend 21 seats this yr, together with each Oklahoma U.S. Senate seats. Within the different, Republican Sen. James Lankford is operating for a second time period. Oklahoma is a deep purple state, and Inhofe gained his 2020 Senate race by a 30-point margin. The GOP can count on to retain it. This race has been added to the “Stable R” column on the Energy Rankings chart.

Governor: Florida strikes from ‘Lean R’ to ‘Probably R’

The primary spherical of Energy Rankings famous that Florida’s gubernatorial race squeaked into the “Lean R” column, largely as a result of Gov. Ron DeSantis gained the state by a 0.4-point margin in 2018. That continues to be a related knowledge level when assessing the 2022 race, however a better inspection of the Democrats’ major places DeSantis within the driver’s seat as November approaches.

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U.S. Home Rep. Charlie Crist leads in fundraising in opposition to all of his Democratic opponents, however two of these opponents proceed to supply a official problem to the former governor. Nikki Fried, Florida’s agriculture commissioner, has loved mentioning she’s the one statewide elected Democrat, and reinforcing that message has helped her keep related within the race. 

State Sen. Annette Taddeo, the main Hispanic candidate, picked up an endorsement from the left-leaning Latino Victory Fund simply final month. Crist’s lack of ability to clear the first discipline will preserve draining money and time from his marketing campaign.

Amid all this, DeSantis is cruising by way of to November. As beforehand famous, DeSantis has a formidable $87 million conflict chest, and the state shifted to the proper in 2020. This race strikes from “Lean R” to “Probably R.”

Governor: Massachusetts strikes from ‘Lean D’ to ‘Probably D’ 

Voters in Massachusetts will determine who replaces two-term incumbent Gov. Charlie Baker this yr. The professional-business Republican who eschewed social gathering politics in favor of across-the-aisle options made the “extraordinarily troublesome determination” to maneuver on from workplace in December, and with that, the Democrats picked up their finest alternative to flip the state.

As a lot as Massachusetts voters favored Baker, they’ve soured on his social gathering. The GOP’s assist in presidential contests has shrunk by 5.38 factors over the past eight years, hitting a two-decade low of 32.14% in 2020. The info point out that to ensure that the Republicans to retain this seat, they would want to run a candidate who appears extra like Gov. Baker or fellow Gov. Larry Hogan in Maryland than Trump. 

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To this point, the GOP major has not delivered that candidate. The frontrunner is former state Rep. Geoff Diehl, a bright-red Republican and CPAC star who has been endorsed by Trump and Trump’s former marketing campaign supervisor, Corey Lewandowski. Endorsements like these will possible assist him win his major however damage him in November.

Massachusetts Gov. Charlie Baker in 2020.

Massachusetts Gov. Charlie Baker in 2020.
(AP Picture/Steven Senne, File)

In the meantime, state Legal professional Normal Maura Healey is the clear front-runner for the Democratic nomination and has a convincing edge within the normal too. Massachusetts strikes from “Lean D” to “Probably D.”

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The months forward

Main voters in Indiana and Ohio are scheduled to go to the polls subsequent. Elections in each states are on account of happen Could 3, although the Buckeye State’s election date is something however sure. The destiny of Ohio’s new congressional map is within the fingers of the state Supreme Courtroom, and the courtroom’s determination — or the shortage of 1 — may end in a major delay. On Could 10, Nebraska and West Virginia voters will determine who their main social gathering nominees can be. Count on additional updates to the Energy Rankings as these dates strategy.

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Mike Kennedy advances past crowded GOP primary to secure nomination for open Utah House seat

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Mike Kennedy advances past crowded GOP primary to secure nomination for open Utah House seat

Mike Kennedy on Tuesday won the Republican nomination for Utah’s 3rd Congressional District to replace outgoing Rep. John Curtis, R-Utah, becoming the immediate favorite to win the seat in November.

Kennedy beat fellow Republicans JR Bird, John Dougall, Case Lawrence and Stewart Peay in a packed primary pool for the district. Curtis is vacating his seat to run for U.S. Senate to replace outgoing Sen. Mitt Romney.

Kennedy, a state senator, had won the party’s nomination for the seat in April but faced challenges from other candidates who gathered signatures to be on the ballot. Peay had won the endorsement of Romney, who is also Peay’s wife’s uncle. Kennedy had won the endorsement of Sen. Mike Lee, who said he was needed to “fight against the Uniparty and help get this country back on track.”

‘SQUAD’ MEMBER FACES OUSTER FROM CONGRESS AS NEW YORK, COLORADO AND UTAH HOLD PRIMARIES ON TUESDAY

From left, JR Bird, John Dougall, Mike Kennedy, Case Lawrence and Stewart Peay, candidates in the Republican primary for Utah’s 3rd Congressional District, take part in a debate at the Eccles Broadcast Center in Salt Lake City on June 12, 2024. (Spenser Heaps/Deseret News via AP/Pool)

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Bird, a mayor, emphasized his experience of running a small town as well as the importance of the energy sector and agriculture, according to the Deseret News.

Dougall, the state auditor, had run as an anti-MAGA candidate and had slammed some GOP legislation, including what he saw as an overly aggressive bill that tasks him with enforcing a ban on transgender-identifying individuals using restrooms that are inconsistent with their sex.

WATCH: THIS HOUSE PRIMARY IS MOST EXPENSIVE IN CONGRESSIONAL HISTORY

He has also been deeply critical of former President Trump. On Tuesday on X, he also questioned the “cavalier manner” of any official who swears to uphold the Constitution “then endorses Trump following January 6th.” He has advertised himself as “mainstream, not MAGA.”

At a debate this month, candidates split on the question of military funding to Ukraine as well as whether the federal government should explicitly ban abortion. Peay, Dougall and Case Lawrence – a trampoline park entrepreneur – had called on Congress to keep sending weapons to Ukraine to help it fend off the ongoing Russian invasion.

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Bird and Kennedy disagreed, arguing that it was not beneficial to the U.S. to keep funding the Ukrainians, with the two calling for stronger sanctions and the seizure of Russian assets.

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Republican Utah Sen. Mitt Romney

Sen. Mitt Romney (Ting Shen/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

Kennedy will go on to face Democrat Glenn Wright in the November election, but the Republican is favored to win comfortably in a district that has voted Republican since 1997.

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Elsewhere in the state, Republican Gov. Spencer Cox, a major GOP Trump critic, held off a primary challenge from Phil Lyman, another 2020 election denier who easily won the state party convention.

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The Associated Press and Fox News’ Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report.

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Will Google strike a deal with California news outlets to fund journalism?

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Will Google strike a deal with California news outlets to fund journalism?

California news publishers and Big Tech companies appear to be inching toward compromise on a controversial bill that would require Google and huge social media platforms to pay news outlets for the articles they distribute.

After stalling last year, Assembly Bill 886 cleared a critical hurdle Tuesday when it passed the state Senate Judiciary Committee. Several lawmakers described the legislation as a work in progress aimed at solving a critical problem: The news business is shrinking as technology changes the way people consume information.

“I do believe the marketplace is the best mechanism to regulate industry,” Sen. Tom Umberg (D-Orange), the committee chairman, said during a hearing on the bill.

However, he said, the demise of journalism harms democracy: “Thus, we have an obligation to find a way to support reasonable, credible journalism.”

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The legislation, known as the “California Journalism Preservation Act,” would require digital platforms to pay news outlets a fee when they sell advertising alongside news content. It calls for creating a fund that the tech firms pay into, with the money being distributed to news outlets based on the number of journalists they employ. Publishers would have to use 70% of the money they receive to pay journalists in California.

Umberg noted that the bill does not specify an amount for the fund. He said it would be “a very elegant solution” for the parties involved to agree on what amount that should be.

Sen. Henry Stern (D-Calabasas) described talks as being “closer and closer to the place where we could actually land some kind of deal.”

In Canada, Google is paying $74 million annually into a fund for the news industry under a law similar to the one proposed in California.

Jaffer Zaidi, Google’s vice president of global news partnerships, testified against the California proposal during a hearing in which news executives from across the state lined up to express support for the bill, while tech industry lobbyists lined up in opposition. The bill is sponsored by the California News Publishers Assn., of which the Los Angeles Times is a member.

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“The bill would … break the fundamental and foundational principles of the open internet, forcing platforms to pay publishers for sending valuable free traffic to them,” Zaidi said.

“It puts the full burden of support on one or two companies, while shielding many other large platforms who also link to news from California publishers.”

He said Google had shared a proposal for a different way to support journalism “through targeted programs” that would be funded by more companies than just the very largest platforms. The current version of the bill would apply only to Google and Meta, the parent company of Instagram and Facebook.

“We hope this can serve as a basis for a workable path forward together,” Zaidi said. “We remain committed to being here and constructively working towards an outcome.”

The bill’s author, Assemblymember Buffy Wicks (D-Oakland), said she is “aggressively trying to engage” with companies that oppose the bill in the hopes that the sparring sides can reach an agreement that will allow the news industry to thrive.

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“At the end of the day, I want the best solution to the problem,” Wicks said.

She closed the hearing by talking about the role journalism has played in exposing problems that lawmakers wind up addressing in the Capitol, such as crafting new laws to extend the statute of limitations for sexual abuse lawsuits after The Times’ investigation revealed a pattern of allegations against former USC gynecologist George Tyndall.

The bill now advances to the Senate Appropriations Committee. It will go to Gov. Gavin Newsom if it clears both houses of the Legislature by Aug. 31.

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Fox News Politics: Trump Ungagged…Kinda

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Fox News Politics: Trump Ungagged…Kinda

Welcome to Fox News’ Politics newsletter with the latest political news from Washington D.C. and updates from the 2024 campaign trail. 

FACE OFF: Don’t miss the Fox News Simulcast of the CNN Presidential Debate on Thursday at 9 p.m. ET. Stay in the know for more updates here.

What’s happening…

-Calls for Biden to fire official for past anti-Israel tweets

-Trump urges drug test for Biden

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-Whistleblower who exposed NPR bias finds new job

What can he say?

Judge Juan Merchan has partially lifted the gag order he imposed against former President Trump – weeks after the jury found him guilty on all counts.

Trump and his legal team have been fighting the gag order since it was imposed upon him at the start of the trial, but had ramped up their efforts when it concluded last month. The former president and presumptive Republican nominee’s legal team had argued the gag order should be lifted before the June 27 presidential debate.

Merchan’s gag order barred Trump from making or directing others to make public statements about witnesses with regard to their potential participation or about counsel in the case – other than Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg – or about court staff, DA staff or family members of staff.

Merchan on Tuesday partially lifted the gag order because the trial has concluded.

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Trump is now able to speak about protected witnesses and jurors.

Trump is still blocked from commenting about individual prosecutors, court staff and their family members. That portion of the gag order will remain in effect until Trump’s sentencing on July 11.

Judge Juan Merchan imposed over Donald Trump (AP)

White House

‘JUST HORRIFYING’: Watchdog group calls for Biden to fire WH official for past anti-Israel tweets …Read more

Capitol Hill

‘OBSCENE’: House GOP lawmaker rips State Dept ahead of vote on U.S. dollars going to Taliban …Read more

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U.S. Representative Jamaal Bowman (D-NY) speaks to the crowd while he campaigns in the Bronx borough of New York City, U.S., June 22, 2024. REUTERS/Joy Malone

U.S. Representative Jamaal Bowman (D-NY) speaks to the crowd while he campaigns in the Bronx borough of New York City, U.S., June 22, 2024. REUTERS/Joy Malone (REUTERS/Joy Malone)

Tales from the Campaign Trail

‘THEATER OF CONFLICT’: Democrat challenger slams Bowman tirade, says profanity-laced rally jeopardizes party ‘unity’ …Read more

JUST SAY ‘NO’: Trump urges drug test for Biden, says he’ll do same screening …Read more

EPIC CLASH: How to watch the CNN Presidential Debate Simulcast on the Fox News Channel …Read more

‘SUGARCOATING’ CONTROVERSY: California city keeps charged ballot language for non-citizen voting measure …Read more

CALL TO THE BULLPEN: Obama again serving as Joe’s closer ahead of 2024 Trump rematch …Read more

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Trials and Tribulations

DAY 3: US v Trump: The afternoon public hearing ended with no decision from Judge Cannon Read more

Across America

NO ABORTIONS FOR MINORS: Tennessee sued over law banning adults from helping minors get abortions without parental consent …Read more

MOVING ON: Whistleblower finds new gig after exposing alleged liberal bias at NPR …Read more

NEW YORK PAYS PRICE FOR NAIVETY: Cuomo scorches Dems for migrant crisis: ‘We’re finding out, 200,000 people later, you needed a plan’ …Read more

GETTING AWAY WITH MURDER: This blue city that ‘Defund Police’ supporters call home has over 1,000 unsolved homicides …Read more

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KENYAN EXPEDITIONARY FORCE: Kenyan police depart for Haiti to tackle rampant gang violence …Read more

ALL MUST SERVE: Israel’s Supreme Court rules ultra-Orthodox men must serve in military in unanimous decision …Read more

HUGE POPULATION: Houston area, an immigration hot spot, reeling from murder of Jocelyn Nungaray …Read more

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Get the latest updates from the 2024 campaign trail, exclusive interviews and more on FoxNews.com.

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