New Jersey

Why is it so (bleeping) cold in N.J.? Here’s who to blame (looking at you, Canada).

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We’ve worn layers. We’ve broken out the space heaters. We have donned winter hats, gloves and scarves up the wazoo.

But, there’s no escaping it — it is bleeping cold out, Jersey. And it’s kind of the only thing we can think about.

Robert Galizio, a 63-year-old from Spring Lake Heights, summed it up pretty succinctly when he had the dreaded misfortune of being outside Thursday night: “It’s been brutal.”

Usually, he’s outdoorsy. A jogger who likes to trot at the Jersey Shore. These days, he’s joined the rest of us, cursing our weather apps as temperatures have plummeted into the teens and single digits and aren’t budging. He’s avoiding the tundra out his front door, working more remote days so he doesn’t have to leave his house at all.

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“And (now) we’re getting (more) snow.” His disappointment in the forecast is palpable.

“All good news.” At least his Jersey attitude hasn’t frozen to death.

Still, Galizio is wondering what we all are: why, oh WHY dear weather gods, is it so cold in New Jersey?

You can blame Canada. At least partially.

“An Arctic air mass pretty much came down through Canada and enveloped much of the United States … and because the high (pressure) is so strong, it’s really not going anywhere,” Michael Silva, lead meteorologist at the National Weather Service, said over the phone Thursday.

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The mass of bitterly cold air, which weather heads call a “polar vortex,” has just “settled over the country and it’s really not going to leave until late this weekend,” Silva said while looking at the forecast from his Mount Holly office.

During most of the year, the polar vortex is parked north of us, near the North Pole. During the winter, it comes down to visit, and brings cold temperatures with it.

That’s thanks to another gem of the meteorological world called the “polar jet stream” — sort of like a river of fast-moving air high in the atmosphere that dips down to allow cold air to flow from the north, where it usually belongs, into this region.

But even the experts aren’t fully sure why the cold won’t just give us a break.

“Why this pattern has persisted this winter is not fully known,” David Robinson, the New Jersey State Climatologist who is based at Rutgers University, told NJ Advance Media.

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The reason may be linked to “distant ocean temperatures in the Pacific and atmospheric disturbances over the Atlantic (Ocean)” said Robinson, but the cause is still being determined.

Is climate change to blame?

Maybe — but it’s complicated.

Trends tied to climate change are measured by longer spans of time.

Weather and climate aren’t the same thing, scientists say. The “weather” is specific to a time and place but “climate” is a place’s average weather combined with other environmental factors over an extended period.

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So you can’t really blame one cold day, or even an entirely frigid winter, on climate change.

But, they may be related.

Links between climate change and the extreme cold we can’t escape “may be associated with warmer north Atlantic arctic waters that impact the atmosphere, even at very high altitudes,” Robinson said Thursday.

But the “jury remains out” on that theory.

“There is debate within the climate community as to whether persistent jet stream patterns that lead to areas of cold and warmth are associated with a changing climate,” he said.

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Still, it makes sense the polar vortex would move southward, toward us, thanks to global warming because the planet isn’t warming in a uniform way, Steven Decker, the director of the Meteorology Undergraduate Program at Rutgers University, said in 2024 when a mass of Arctic air last moved into our area.

“It’s warming more at the pole, overall decreasing the strength of the polar vortex and the jet stream and making it more susceptible to being dislodged and sent our way,” Decker said.

“While cold conditions in the U.S. have made headlines, Greenland and the Arctic have quietly had a remarkably mild winter,” Ben Noll, a meteorologist at The Washington Post wrote Wednesday.

Some scientists link polar vortex disruptions to melting sea ice, resulting from human-caused climate change.

Without that ice, the temperature of water in the Atlantic Ocean is closer to that in the Arctic. Further down the line, it means a polar jet stream with strong and frequent waves bring cold air into the Northeast with weakened air to the west and east of our region.

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A snow plow clears Audubon Commons shopping center in Audubon as a massive snow storm hits South Jersey on Sunday, Jan. 25, 2026.Joe Warner | For NJ Advance Media

So, how long will we have to wear our parkas?

A break in the below freezing weather may not come until early next week, the National Weather Service said Thursday.

But it won’t last long. After temperatures are slated to reach the balmy mid-30s, a cold weather pattern is forecasted to linger into the middle of February, according to experts from AccuWeather.

“This overall pattern is expected to last for at least the next two weeks,” Robinson, the Rutgers professor, said.

“This doesn’t mean it will be as cold throughout this period as this current week’s frigid conditions but will likely keep temperatures mostly below normal well into February.”

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And then what? Will we ever feel warmth again?

Beyond next month, “it is uncertain when the (cold) pattern will break,” Robinson said.

But he had a glimmer of good news — “at some point it will.”

Memorial Day is a short 115 days away. Til then, stay warm.



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