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Taiwan votes in pivotal election as China looms large

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Taiwan votes in pivotal election as China looms large

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Taiwanese headed to the polls on Saturday morning to pick a new president and parliament in a pivotal election that could influence China’s approach to its democratic neighbour.

The eighth national vote since the country of 23.5mn first held free and direct presidential elections in 1996 has been overshadowed by threats from Beijing.

China claims Taiwan as part of its territory and refuses to renounce the use of force to bring it under its control if the country rejects unification indefinitely. On the eve of the polls, the People’s Liberation Army warned that it “remains on high alert at all times [to] smash ‘Taiwan independence’ separatist plots in any form”.

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Lai Ching-te, the candidate from the Democratic Progressive party whom Beijing has denounced as a dangerous separatist, was the frontrunner in a close three-way race until a polling blackout took effect 10 days ago. In Taiwan’s first-past-the post electoral system, candidates can win with a simple majority.

Lai competes with Hou Yu-ih from the Kuomintang, which sees Taiwan as part of a broader Chinese nation but disagrees with Beijing over which state represents it, and Ko Wen-je, founder of the Taiwan People’s party, which targets swing voters.

Although many voters have expressed fatigue with ideological rhetoric and said they wanted a new government to reinvigorate the economy, the candidates have cast the election as a matter of national survival in their final pitches.

“In the past eight years, we refused to lock ourselves in to China and bow to authoritarianism. That proves that we hold our fate in our own hands,” Lai shouted at a massive rally on Friday night. “That is the power to defend Taiwan.” Calling the KMT candidate “China’s preferred choice”, Lai said if Taiwan reversed the DPP’s course of weaning it off economic over-dependence on China, foreign investors might abandon the country.

Ko Wen-je, presidential candidate of Taiwan People’s party, casts his vote during the presidential and parliamentary elections in Taipei © Reuters

At the KMT’s rival event, which the party said was attended by 250,000 people, Hou told his supporters: “Lai Ching-te takes us on the path to war, Hou Yu-ih is on the path of peace!” He accused the DPP government of corruption and pledged to pursue dialogue with China to lower tensions in the Taiwan Strait.

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Ko, the candidate most popular with young voters, was the only of the three to talk about policy proposals in some detail, promising tax reform and steep increases in spending for healthcare, public housing and rent subsidies. “We will win back this country [from the two big parties], we will win a just and fair future,” he said, addressing a crowd in front of the presidential office in Taipei that the TPP put at 350,000.

Global attention is focused on whether the DPP can become the first party in Taiwan’s democratic history to cling to power beyond two terms, a scenario some observers worry could heighten cross-strait tension.

“Lai Ching-te has pledged to continue the prudent China policy of [incumbent president] Tsai Ing-wen, but if the DPP wins again, such a result could compel [Chinese president] Xi Jinping to believe that his chances for unification without war are running out,” said a western diplomat in Taipei.

But the three parties have most of their attention focused on the legislative vote. The DPP, which holds 63 of the 113 seats in parliament, was likely to lose that slim majority, leaving the country with a minority government and likely constant deadlock, campaign officials said. All three candidates on Friday night urged supporters to back them in the parliamentary vote.

The result of the presidential race is expected to become clear in the early evening, a few hours after polls close at 4pm.

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Outside a polling station in Hsinchuang, a Taipei suburb, a queue of nearly 100 people snaked around the corner at 9am. Han Wei-jung, a 30-year-old male nurse, said he would vote for Ko Wen-je. “We have to move beyond blue and green,” he said, referring to the KMT and DPP by the two big parties’ colours.

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Trump claims US stockpiles mean wars can be fought ‘forever’; Kristi Noem testifies before Congress – US politics live

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Trump claims US stockpiles mean wars can be fought ‘forever’; Kristi Noem testifies before Congress – US politics live

Trump says US stockpiles mean “wars can be fought ‘forever’”

In a late night post on Truth Social, Donald Trump said that the US munitions stockpiles “at the medium and upper medium grade, never been higher or better”.

He added that the US has a “virtually unlimited supply of these weapons”, meaning that “wars can be fought ‘forever’”.

This comes after Trump said that the US-Israel war on Iran could go beyond the four-five weeks that the administration initially predicted. The president also did not rule out the possibility of US boots on the ground in Iran during an interview with the New York Post on Monday.

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“I rebuilt the military in my first term, and continue to do so. The United States is stocked, and ready to WIN, BIG!!!,” he wrote.

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Key events

During his opening remarks, Senate judicicary committee chairman, Chuck Grassley, blamed Democrats for the ongoing shutdown Department of Homeland Security (DHS) but highlighted four agencies: the Secret Service, Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), the Transportation Security Administration (TSA), and the Coast Guard.

Democrats are demanding tighter guardrails for federal immigration enforcement, but a sweeping tax bill signed into law last year conferred $75bn for Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE), which means the agency is still functional amid the wider department shuttering.

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Supreme Court blocks redrawing of New York congressional map, dealing a win for GOP

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Supreme Court blocks redrawing of New York congressional map, dealing a win for GOP

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Win McNamee/Getty Images

The Supreme Court on Monday intervened in New York’s redistricting process, blocking a lower court decision that would likely have flipped a Republican congressional district into a Democratic district.    
  
At issue is the midterm redrawing of New York’s 11th congressional district, including Staten Island and a small part of Brooklyn. The district is currently held by a Republican, but on Jan. 21, a state Supreme Court judge ruled that the current district dilutes the power of Black and Latino voters in violation of the state constitution.  
  
GOP Rep. Nicole Malliotakis, who represents the district, and the Republican co-chair of the state Board of Elections promptly appealed to the U.S. Supreme Court, asking the justices to block the redrawing as an unconstitutional “racial gerrymander.” New York’s congressional election cycle was set to officially begin Feb. 24, the opening day for candidates to seek placement on the ballot.  
  
As in this year’s prior mid-decade redistricting fights — in Texas and California — the Trump administration backed the Republicans.   
 
Voters and the State of New York contended it’s too soon for the Supreme Court to wade into this dispute. New York’s highest state court has not issued a final judgment, so the voters asserted that if the Supreme Court grants relief now “future stay applicants will see little purpose in waiting for state court rulings before coming to this Court” and “be rewarded for such gamesmanship.” The state argues this is an issue for “New York courts, not federal courts” to resolve, and there is sufficient time for the dispute to be resolved on the merits. 
  
The court majority explained the decision to intervene in 101 words, which the three dissenting liberal justices  summarized as “Rules for thee, but not for me.” 
 
The unsigned majority order does not explain the Court’s rationale. It says only how long the stay will last, until the case moves through the New York State appeals courts. If, however, the losing party petitions and the court agrees to hear the challenge, the stay extends until the final opinion is announced. 
 
Dissenting from the decision were Justices Sonia Sotomayor, Elena Kagan, and Ketanji Brown Jackson. Writing for the three, Sotomayor  said that  if nonfinal decisions of a state trial court can be brought to highest court, “then every decision from any court is now fair game.” More immediately, she noted, “By granting these applications, the Court thrusts itself into the middle of every election-law dispute around the country, even as many States redraw their congressional maps ahead of the 2026 election.” 

Monday’s Supreme Court action deviates from the court’s hands-off pattern in these mid-term redistricting fights this year. In two previous cases — from Texas and California — the court refused to intervene, allowing newly drawn maps to stay in effect.  
  
Requests for Supreme Court intervention on redistricting issues has been a recurring theme this term, a trend that is likely to grow.  Earlier last month  the high court allowed California to use a voter-approved, Democratic-friendly map.  California’s redistricting came in response to a GOP-friendly redistricting plan in Texas that the Supreme Court also permitted to move forward. These redistricting efforts are expected to offset one another.     
   
But the high court itself has yet to rule on a challenge to Louisiana’s voting map, which was drawn by the state legislature after the decennial census in order to create a second majority-Black district.  Since the drawing of that second majority-black district, the state has backed away from that map, hoping to return to a plan that provides for only one majority-minority district.    
     
The Supreme Court’s consideration of the Louisiana case has stretched across two terms. The justices failed to resolve the case last term and chose to order a second round of arguments this term adding a new question: Does the state’s intentional creation of a second majority-minority district violate the constitution’s Fourteenth and Fifteenth Amendments’ guarantee of the right to vote and the authority of Congress to enforce that mandate?    
Following the addition of the new question, the state of Louisiana flipped positions to oppose the map it had just drawn and defended in court. Whether the Supreme Court follows suit remains to be seen. But the tone of the October argument suggested that the court’s conservative supermajority is likely to continue undercutting the 1965 Voting Rights Act.   

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Map: Earthquake Shakes Central California

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Map: Earthquake Shakes Central California

Note: Map shows the area with a shake intensity of 3 or greater, which U.S.G.S. defines as “weak,” though the earthquake may be felt outside the areas shown.  All times on the map are Pacific time. The New York Times

A minor earthquake with a preliminary magnitude of 3.5 struck in Central California on Monday, according to the United States Geological Survey.

The temblor happened at 7:17 a.m. Pacific time about 6 miles northwest of Pinnacles, Calif., data from the agency shows.

As seismologists review available data, they may revise the earthquake’s reported magnitude. Additional information collected about the earthquake may also prompt U.S.G.S. scientists to update the shake-severity map.

Source: United States Geological Survey | Notes: Shaking categories are based on the Modified Mercalli Intensity scale. When aftershock data is available, the corresponding maps and charts include earthquakes within 100 miles and seven days of the initial quake. All times above are Pacific time. Shake data is as of Monday, March 2 at 10:20 a.m. Eastern. Aftershocks data is as of Monday, March 2 at 11:18 a.m. Eastern.

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