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Donald Trump’s camp reels after debate injects new doubt into re-election bid

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Donald Trump’s camp reels after debate injects new doubt into re-election bid

Donald Trump’s campaign is reeling after his poor performance in the debate against Kamala Harris exasperated Republican allies who thought he had been unprepared, outplayed by the vice-president, and delivered erratic messages to voters. 

The televised face-off in Philadelphia on Tuesday — watched by nearly 60mn Americans, according to preliminary Nielsen estimates — marked a new campaign inflection point that could hurt Trump, who is now battling to regain his footing with less than two months left before the November 5 US presidential election.

“I think it was a missed opportunity to knock her out . . . She was losing momentum. I think it probably stabilised her,” a top Trump donor told the Financial Times.

Although Republican strategists and lawmakers did not think Trump’s uneven performance had crippled his campaign, many conceded the former president had struggled and that his re-election bid now looked more tenuous. 

“The biggest frustration about his performance is he took the bait on nonsense stuff, which prevented him from closing the deal. So definitely a missed opportunity,” said one senior Republican strategist close to Trump.  

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“Maybe he was overconfident. Maybe he didn’t prepare. Maybe he was just tired,” said John Catsimatidis, the billionaire New York City grocery magnate and Trump donor. 

Catsimatidis also conceded that the vice-president had performed “much better than people expected” in the debate. “She kept her mouth shut for the last three months. Everybody thought that she was not capable of debating.”

Harris put Trump on the defensive for much of the 90-minute debate on Tuesday night, starting with an unexpected handshake between the two leaders — who had never met — before she tore into him over issues from abortion to his reputation with foreign leaders.

The former president appeared rattled at several points, including when Harris questioned the size of the crowds at his campaign rallies. Trump railed about migrants in response, rehashing an internet conspiracy theory that some were stealing people’s pets to eat them.

The debate had shown “Trump at his absolute worst”, said Frank Luntz, the veteran pollster who has worked for many Republicans over the years.

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“He was given so many opportunities . . . every time inflation could have been raised, he chose to divert to a different issue,” Luntz said “Did [Harris] rattle him? Absolutely. Should he have been rattled? No way. But it is who he is.”

Luntz said Trump had “no choice” but to seek another televised showdown offered by Harris’s campaign, although the Republican candidate has not said if he will take part. “He has to recover. He has to give people a reason not to see this as his defining moment.”

On Wednesday morning, Trump and Harris appeared together at a ceremony to commemorate the September 11 2001 attacks in New York City, and shook hands again.

But minutes earlier, Trump had called into a morning television show on Fox News, insisting he “did great” and that the debate had been “rigged” against him, accusing the debate’s moderators at ABC News of being “dishonest” and saying their broadcasting licence should be revoked. 

A CNN poll conducted by SSRS immediately after the debate found 63 per cent of 605 people who watched it thought Harris had won, compared with 37 per cent for Trump. Before the debate, a panel of voters was evenly split, 50-50, on which candidate would perform better.

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A YouGov poll from Wednesday of more than 3,300 people found 43 per cent thought Harris had laid out a clearer plan, with 32 per cent saying Trump had, and 24 per cent were unsure.

Betting markets also moved sharply in Harris’s favour during the debate. While Harris and Trump entered Tuesday night with similar odds, traders predicting the winner of the presidential election gave the vice-president a seven-point advantage over the former leader by the end of the night.

Even some of Trump’s top allies in Congress conceded that Harris had scored some points against the former president. “Kamala Harris? She knows how to needle people,” said Byron Donalds, the Florida Republican congressman, after the debate.

“[She] answered the question of can she stand on the stage and look the part, OK. But where was the policy, where was the leadership? She dodged and deflected on her own record,” he added. 

According to the FT’s national poll tracker, Harris had a slim 2.1 percentage point lead over Trump on Tuesday before the debate, with tight races in all of the key battleground states. 

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The senior Republican strategist said that, despite their concerns, Trump’s poor showing was “unlikely to drastically move the race”. “She was better than passable, but hardly a knockout,” the strategist said of Harris. 

It remains unclear whether Trump will agree to a second presidential debate. Jen O’Malley Dillon, Harris’s campaign manager, signalled late on Tuesday that the vice-president would be willing to participate in another face-off next month.

Yet Trump on Wednesday expressed reservations to Fox News, which has proposed three possible debate dates in October.

“I don’t know that I want to do another debate,” Trump said. “I’d be less inclined to because we had a great night.”

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America’s bid for energy supremacy is being forged in war

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America’s bid for energy supremacy is being forged in war

Additional work by Jana Tauschinski

Oil and gas tanker location and destination data are from Kpler. The map shows the latest position for vessels with an active AIS signal on April 19–20, filtered by minimum capacity thresholds: crude tankers of at least 50,000 deadweight tonnage (DWT); oil product tankers of at least 55,000 DWT; oil/chemical tankers of at least 40,000 DWT; LNG carriers of at least 150,000 cubic metres; and LPG carriers of at least 50,000 cubic metres. Net fossil fuel import data by country are based on Ember analysis of the IEA World Energy Balances 2023.

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Roommate faces murder charges in deaths of 2 University of South Florida doctoral students

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Roommate faces murder charges in deaths of 2 University of South Florida doctoral students

A 26-year-old man is facing two counts of first-degree murder in the deaths of two University of South Florida doctoral students who went missing last week, local authorities said Saturday. 

The Hillsborough County Sheriff’s Office in Florida said that evidence presented to the state attorney’s office resulted in the charges against Hisham Abugharbieh, the roommate of Zamil Limon, one of the doctoral students. 

Abugharbieh is accused of premediated murder with a weapon. He was arrested on Friday, the same day Limon was found dead. 

The family of Nahida Bristy, the other doctoral student, told CBS News that police said she is also likely dead. That is based on the volume of blood discovered at Abugharbieh’s residence, which he shared with Limon.

“Police told us she is no longer with us,” Bristy’s brother, Zahid Prato, said early Saturday.

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The family was told her body may never be found and police believe she may have been dismembered, according to Prato. 

CBS News has reached out to police for more information.

Authorities said in a statement Saturday they were still searching for Bristy.

Limon’s remains were found on the Howard Franklin Bridge in Tampa Friday morning, Chief Deputy Joseph Maurer with the Hillsborough County Sheriff’s Office said. His cause of death was pending autopsy results.

Deputies with the sheriff’s office took Abugharbieh into custody on Friday after responding to a domestic violence call at a home in the Lake Forest Community, a neighborhood near USF’s Tampa campus, officials said. He also faces charges of domestic violence and evidence tampering, as well as a charge of failing to report a death to law enforcement.

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Limon and Bristy, both 27, had last been seen in the Tampa area on April 16. 

Limon was studying the use of AI in environmental science and was set to present his doctoral thesis this week, his family said. Bristy is studying chemical engineering. 

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Rubio’s Absence From Iran Talks Highlights Stay-at-Home Role

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Rubio’s Absence From Iran Talks Highlights Stay-at-Home Role

When President Barack Obama negotiated a nuclear deal with Iran more than a decade ago, his point man was Secretary of State John Kerry. Over 20 months of talks, Mr. Kerry met with his Iranian counterpart on at least 18 different days, often several times per day.

High-level nuclear diplomacy was a natural role for the top U.S. diplomat. Secretaries of state traditionally take the lead on the country’s biggest diplomatic tasks, from arms control treaties to Israeli-Palestinian agreements.

But as President Trump prepares to send a delegation to the latest round of U.S.-Iran talks in Pakistan this weekend, his secretary of state, Marco Rubio, will remain where he often does: at home.

Mr. Rubio did not attend the last U.S. meeting with Iran earlier this month. Nor did he join several meetings held over the past year in Geneva and Doha. Mr. Rubio has also been absent from U.S. delegations abroad working to settle the war in Ukraine and Israel’s war in Gaza. Despite a long period of crisis and war in the region, he has not visited the Middle East since a brief stop in Israel last October.

In recent months, Mr. Rubio — consumed with his second role, as Mr. Trump’s national security adviser — has not traveled much at all.

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During the Biden administration, Secretary of State Antony J. Blinken made 11 foreign trips from January 2024 to late April 2024, stopping in roughly three dozen cities, according to the State Department. So far this year, Mr. Rubio has visited six foreign cities, including a stop in Milan for the 2026 Winter Olympics.

Mr. Trump has outsourced much of his diplomacy to others, including his friend Steve Witkoff, a wealthy associate from the world of Manhattan real estate, and his son-in-law, Jared Kushner. Mr. Witkoff and Mr. Kushner have spearheaded diplomacy with Israel, Ukraine and Russia, as well as Iran, whose delegation they will meet for the second time this month in Islamabad, Pakistan’s capital.

Mr. Rubio’s distance from the trenches of diplomacy reflects his dual role on Mr. Trump’s national security team. For the past year, he has served as the White House national security adviser even while leading the State Department — the first person to do so since Henry A. Kissinger in the mid-1970s.

The secretary of state runs the State Department, overseeing U.S. diplomats and embassies worldwide, as well as Washington-based policymakers. Working from the White House, the national security adviser coordinates departments and agencies, including the State Department, to develop policy advice for the president.

The twin roles reflect Mr. Rubio’s influence with Mr. Trump, and offer him a way to maintain it. For Mr. Rubio, less time abroad means more time at the side of an impulsive president prone to making critical national security decisions at any moment.

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As Mr. Witkoff, Mr. Kushner and Vice President JD Vance met with Iranian officials in Pakistan earlier this month, Mr. Rubio was at Mr. Trump’s side at an Ultimate Fighting Championship event, noted Emma Ashford, an analyst of U.S. diplomacy at the nonpartisan Stimson Center in Washington. “Rubio clearly prefers to stay close to Trump,” Ms. Ashford said.

Mr. Rubio accepted the national security adviser job on an acting basis last May after Mr. Trump reassigned the job’s previous occupant, Michael Waltz. But officials say that Mr. Rubio is expected to keep it indefinitely.

That arrangement is not inherently bad, Ms. Ashford added. And she noted that previous presidents had entrusted major diplomatic tasks to people other than the secretary of state. President Joseph R. Biden Jr. delegated his C.I.A. director, William J. Burns, to handle diplomacy with Russia and cease-fire negotiations between Israel and Hamas, for instance.

But she echoed the complaints by many current and former diplomats that Mr. Rubio seems less like someone performing both jobs than a national security adviser who sometimes shows up at the State Department. “I do think it’s to the detriment of the whole department of State and to America’s ability to conduct diplomacy in general that we effectively have the secretary of state position sitting vacant,” she said.

Tommy Pigott, a State Department spokesman, contested such claims. “Anyone trying to paint Secretary Rubio’s close coordination with the White House and other agencies as a negative could not be more wrong,” he said. “We now have an N.S.C. and State Department that are totally in sync, a goal that has eluded past administrations for decades.”

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Mr. Rubio divides his time between the State Department and the White House, often spending time at both in the same day. In an interview with Politico last June, Mr. Rubio said he visited the State Department “almost every day.”

While there, he often meets with visiting dignitaries before returning to the White House. Last week, Mr. Rubio presided over a meeting at the State Department between Lebanese and Israeli officials that set the stage for a cease-fire in Lebanon.

His twin jobs “really do overlap in many cases,” he said. “In many cases you end up being in the same meetings or in the same places; there’s just one less person in there, if you think about it,” Mr. Rubio added. “A lot of people would come to Washington, for example, for meetings, and they’d want to meet with the national security adviser and then meet with me as secretary of state. Now they can do both in one meeting.”

Asked about his travel schedule during a news conference last December, Mr. Rubio said he had less reason to travel abroad because “we have a lot of leaders constantly coming here” to visit Mr. Trump at the White House. Mr. Rubio also joins Mr. Trump’s foreign trips in his capacity as national security adviser.

Many national security veterans call the arrangement unwise, saying that both jobs are extremely demanding and incompatible with one another.

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It was not easy even for Mr. Kissinger, who had firmly established himself over more than four years as national security adviser before convincing President Richard M. Nixon to let him take on an additional role as secretary of state in 1973. (In a reversal of Mr. Rubio’s approach, Mr. Kissinger was in constant motion, including a round of Middle East shuttle diplomacy that kept him on the road for 33 straight days.)

“In general, it’s a mistake to combine those roles,” said Matthew Waxman, who held senior roles at the National Security Council, State Department and the Pentagon during the George W. Bush administration.

“That said, it’s not necessarily a bad thing that a dual-hatted Rubio is so offscreen right now,” Mr. Waxman added. “Especially while so much attention is focused on high-wire diplomacy with Iran, someone needs to manage foreign policy around the rest of the world.”

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