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Donald Trump’s camp reels after debate injects new doubt into re-election bid

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Donald Trump’s camp reels after debate injects new doubt into re-election bid

Donald Trump’s campaign is reeling after his poor performance in the debate against Kamala Harris exasperated Republican allies who thought he had been unprepared, outplayed by the vice-president, and delivered erratic messages to voters. 

The televised face-off in Philadelphia on Tuesday — watched by nearly 60mn Americans, according to preliminary Nielsen estimates — marked a new campaign inflection point that could hurt Trump, who is now battling to regain his footing with less than two months left before the November 5 US presidential election.

“I think it was a missed opportunity to knock her out . . . She was losing momentum. I think it probably stabilised her,” a top Trump donor told the Financial Times.

Although Republican strategists and lawmakers did not think Trump’s uneven performance had crippled his campaign, many conceded the former president had struggled and that his re-election bid now looked more tenuous. 

“The biggest frustration about his performance is he took the bait on nonsense stuff, which prevented him from closing the deal. So definitely a missed opportunity,” said one senior Republican strategist close to Trump.  

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“Maybe he was overconfident. Maybe he didn’t prepare. Maybe he was just tired,” said John Catsimatidis, the billionaire New York City grocery magnate and Trump donor. 

Catsimatidis also conceded that the vice-president had performed “much better than people expected” in the debate. “She kept her mouth shut for the last three months. Everybody thought that she was not capable of debating.”

Harris put Trump on the defensive for much of the 90-minute debate on Tuesday night, starting with an unexpected handshake between the two leaders — who had never met — before she tore into him over issues from abortion to his reputation with foreign leaders.

The former president appeared rattled at several points, including when Harris questioned the size of the crowds at his campaign rallies. Trump railed about migrants in response, rehashing an internet conspiracy theory that some were stealing people’s pets to eat them.

The debate had shown “Trump at his absolute worst”, said Frank Luntz, the veteran pollster who has worked for many Republicans over the years.

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“He was given so many opportunities . . . every time inflation could have been raised, he chose to divert to a different issue,” Luntz said “Did [Harris] rattle him? Absolutely. Should he have been rattled? No way. But it is who he is.”

Luntz said Trump had “no choice” but to seek another televised showdown offered by Harris’s campaign, although the Republican candidate has not said if he will take part. “He has to recover. He has to give people a reason not to see this as his defining moment.”

On Wednesday morning, Trump and Harris appeared together at a ceremony to commemorate the September 11 2001 attacks in New York City, and shook hands again.

But minutes earlier, Trump had called into a morning television show on Fox News, insisting he “did great” and that the debate had been “rigged” against him, accusing the debate’s moderators at ABC News of being “dishonest” and saying their broadcasting licence should be revoked. 

A CNN poll conducted by SSRS immediately after the debate found 63 per cent of 605 people who watched it thought Harris had won, compared with 37 per cent for Trump. Before the debate, a panel of voters was evenly split, 50-50, on which candidate would perform better.

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A YouGov poll from Wednesday of more than 3,300 people found 43 per cent thought Harris had laid out a clearer plan, with 32 per cent saying Trump had, and 24 per cent were unsure.

Betting markets also moved sharply in Harris’s favour during the debate. While Harris and Trump entered Tuesday night with similar odds, traders predicting the winner of the presidential election gave the vice-president a seven-point advantage over the former leader by the end of the night.

Even some of Trump’s top allies in Congress conceded that Harris had scored some points against the former president. “Kamala Harris? She knows how to needle people,” said Byron Donalds, the Florida Republican congressman, after the debate.

“[She] answered the question of can she stand on the stage and look the part, OK. But where was the policy, where was the leadership? She dodged and deflected on her own record,” he added. 

According to the FT’s national poll tracker, Harris had a slim 2.1 percentage point lead over Trump on Tuesday before the debate, with tight races in all of the key battleground states. 

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The senior Republican strategist said that, despite their concerns, Trump’s poor showing was “unlikely to drastically move the race”. “She was better than passable, but hardly a knockout,” the strategist said of Harris. 

It remains unclear whether Trump will agree to a second presidential debate. Jen O’Malley Dillon, Harris’s campaign manager, signalled late on Tuesday that the vice-president would be willing to participate in another face-off next month.

Yet Trump on Wednesday expressed reservations to Fox News, which has proposed three possible debate dates in October.

“I don’t know that I want to do another debate,” Trump said. “I’d be less inclined to because we had a great night.”

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Brass bands in Beijing make way for sticker shock at home as Trump returns to escalating inflation

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Brass bands in Beijing make way for sticker shock at home as Trump returns to escalating inflation

WASHINGTON (AP) — President Donald Trump returned from the spectacle of a Chinese state visit to a less than welcoming U.S. economy — with the military band and garden tour in Beijing giving way to pressure over how to fix America’s escalating inflation rate.

Consumer inflation in the United States increased to 3.8% annually in April, higher than what he inherited as the Iran war and the Republican president’s own tariffs have pushed up prices. Inflation is now outpacing wage gains and effectively making workers poorer. The Cleveland Federal Reserve estimates that annual inflation could reach 4.2% in May as the war has kept oil and gasoline prices high.

Trump’s time with Chinese leader Xi Jinping appears unlikely to help the U.S. economy much, despite Trump’s claims of coming trade deals. The trip occurred as many people are voting in primaries leading into the November general election while having to absorb the rising costs of gasoline, groceries, utility bills, jewelry, women’s clothing, airplane tickets and delivery services. Democrats see the moment as a political opportunity.

“He’s returning to a dumpster fire,” said Lindsay Owens, executive director of Groundwork Collaborative, a liberal think tank focused on economic issues. “The president will not have the faith and confidence of the American people — the economy is their top issue and the president is saying, ‘You’re on your own.’”

The president’s trip to Beijing and his recent comments that indicated a tone-deafness to voters’ concerns about rising prices have suggested his focus is not on the American public and have undermined Republicans who had intended to campaign on last year’s tax cuts as helping families.

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Trump described the trip as a victory, saying on social media that Xi “congratulated me on so many tremendous successes,” as the U.S. president has praised their relationship.

Trump told reporters that Boeing would be selling 200 aircraft — and maybe even 750 “if they do a good job” — to the Chinese. He said American farmers would be “very happy” because China would be “buying billions of dollars of soybeans.”

“We had an amazing time,” Trump said as he flew home on Air Force One, and told Fox News’ Bret Baier in an interview that gasoline prices were just some “short-term pain” and would “drop like a rock” once the war ends.

Inflationary pain is not a factor in how Trump handles Iran

Trump departed from the White House for China by saying the negotiations over the Iran war depended on stopping Tehran from developing nuclear weapons. “I don’t think about Americans’ financial situation. I don’t think about anybody. I think about one thing: We cannot let Iran have a nuclear weapon,” Trump said.

That remark prompted blowback because it suggested to some that Trump cared more about challenging Iran than fighting inflation at home. Trump defended his words, telling Fox News: “That’s a perfect statement. I’d make it again.”

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The White House has since stressed that Trump is focused on inflation.

Asked later about the president’s words, Vice President JD Vance said there had been a “misrepresentation” of the remarks. White House spokesman Kush Desai said the “administration remains laser-focused on delivering growth and affordability on the homefront” while indicating actions would be taken on grocery prices.

But as Trump appeared alongside Xi, new reports back home showed inflation rising for businesses and interest rates climbing on U.S. government debt.

His comments that Boeing would sell 200 jets to China caused the company’s stock price to fall because investors had expected a larger number. There was little concrete information offered about any trade agreements reached during the summit, including Chinese purchases of U.S. exports such as liquefied natural gas and beef.

“Foreign policy wins can matter politically, but only if voters feel stability and affordability in their daily lives,” said Brittany Martinez, a former Republican congressional aide who is the executive director of Principles First, a center-right advocacy group focused on democracy issues.

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“Midterms are almost always a referendum on cost of living and public frustration, and Republicans are not immune from the same inflation and affordability pressures that hurt Democrats in recent cycles,” she added.

Democrats see Trump as vulnerable

Democratic lawmakers are seizing on Trump’s comments before his trip as proof of his indifference to lowering costs. There is potential staying power of his remarks as Americans head into Memorial Day weekend facing rising prices for the hamburgers and hot dogs to be grilled.

“What Americans do not see is any sympathy, any support, or any plan from Trump and congressional Republicans to lower costs – in fact, they see the opposite,” Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer of New York said Thursday.

Vance faulted the Biden administration for the inflation problem even though the inflation rate is now higher than it was when Trump returned to the White House in January 2025 with a specific mandate to fix it.

“The inflation number last month was not great,” Vance said Wednesday, but he then stressed, “We’re not seeing anything like what we saw under the Biden administration.”

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Inflation peaked at 9.1% in June 2022 under Biden, a Democrat. By the time Trump took the oath of office, it was a far more modest 3%.

Trump’s inflation challenge could get harder

The data tells a different story as higher inflation is spreading into the cost of servicing the national debt.

Over the past week, the interest rate charged on 10-year U.S. government debt jumped from 4.36% to 4.6%, an increase that implies higher costs for auto loans and mortgages.

“My fear is that the layers of supply shocks that are affecting the U.S. economy will only further feed into inflationary pressures,” said Gregory Daco, chief economist at EY-Parthenon.

Daco noted that last year’s tariff increases were now translating into higher clothing prices. With the Supreme Court ruling against Trump’s ability to impose tariffs by declaring an economic emergency, his administration is preparing a new set of import taxes for this summer.

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Daco stressed that there have been a series of supply shocks. First, tariffs cut into the supply of imports. In addition, Trump’s immigration crackdown cut into the supply of foreign-born workers. Now, the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz has cut off the vital waterway used to ship 20% of global oil supplies.

“We’re seeing an erosion of growth,” Daco said.

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Top Drug Regulator Is Fired From the F.D.A.

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Top Drug Regulator Is Fired From the F.D.A.

Dr. Tracy Beth Hoeg, the Food and Drug Administration’s top drug regulator, said she was fired from the agency Friday after she declined to resign.

She said she did not know who had ordered her firing or why, nor whether Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. knew of her fate. The Department of Health and Human Services did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

The departure reflected the upheaval at the F.D.A., days after the resignation of Dr. Marty Makary, the agency commissioner. Dr. Makary had become a lightning rod for critics of the agency’s decisions to reject applications for rare disease drugs and to delay a report meant to supply damaging evidence about the abortion drug mifepristone. He also spent months before his departure pushing back on the White House’s requests for him to approve more flavored vapes, the reason he ultimately cited for leaving.

Dr. Hoeg’s hiring had startled public health leaders who were familiar with her track record as a vaccine skeptic, and she played a leading role in some of the agency’s most divisive efforts during her tenure. She worked on a report that purportedly linked the deaths of children and young adults to Covid vaccines, a dossier the agency has not released publicly. She was also the co-author of a document describing Mr. Kennedy’s decision to pare the recommendations for 17 childhood vaccines down to 11.

But in an interview on Friday, Dr. Hoeg said she “stuck with the science.”

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“I am incredibly proud of the work we were doing,” Dr. Hoeg said, adding, “I’m glad that we didn’t give in to any pressures to approve drugs when it wasn’t appropriate.”

As the director of the agency’s Center for Drug Evaluation and Research, she was a political appointee in a role that had been previously occupied by career officials. An epidemiologist who was trained in the United States and Denmark, she worked on efforts to analyze drug safety and on a panel to discuss the use of serotonin reuptake inhibitors, the most widely prescribed class of antidepressants, during pregnancy. She also worked on efforts to reduce animal testing and was the agency’s liaison to an influential vaccine committee.

She made sure that her teams approved drugs only when the risk-benefit balance was favorable, she said.

The firing worsens the leadership vacuum at the F.D.A. and other agencies, with temporary leaders filling the role of commissioner, food chief and the head of the biologics center, which oversees vaccines and gene therapies. The roles of surgeon general and director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention are also unfilled.

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Supreme Court is death knell for Virginia’s Democratic-friendly congressional maps

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Supreme Court is death knell for Virginia’s Democratic-friendly congressional maps

The U.S. Supreme Court

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The U.S. Supreme Court refused Friday to allow Virginia to use a new congressional map that favored Democrats in all but one of the state’s U.S. House seats. The map was a key part of Democrats’ effort to counter the Republican redistricting wave set off by President Trump.

The new map was drawn by Democrats and approved by Virginia voters in an April referendum. But on May 8, the Supreme Court of Virginia in a 4-to-3 vote declared the referendum, and by extension the new map, null and void because lawmakers failed to follow the proper procedures to get the issue on the ballot, violating the state constitution.

Virginia Democrats and the state’s attorney general then appealed to the U.S. Supreme Court, seeking to put into effect the map approved by the voters, which yields four more likely Democratic congressional seats. In their emergency application, they argued the Virginia Supreme Court was “deeply mistaken” in its decision on “critical issues of federal law with profound practical importance to the Nation.” Further, they asserted the decision “overrode the will of the people” by ordering Virginia to “conduct its election with the congressional districts that the people rejected.”

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Republican legislators countered that it would be improper for the U.S. Supreme Court to wade into a purely state law controversy — especially since the Democrats had not raised any federal claims in the lower court.

Ultimately, the U.S. Supreme Court sided with Republicans without explanation leaving in place the state court ruling that voided the Democratic-friendly maps.

The court’s decision not to intervene was its latest in emergency requests for intervention on redistricting issues. In December, the high court OK’d Texas using a gerrymandered map that could help the GOP win five more seats in the U.S. House. In February, the court allowed California to use a voter-approved, Democratic-friendly map, adopted to offset Texas’s map. Then in March, the U.S. Supreme Court blocked the redrawing of a New York map expected to flip a Republican congressional district Democratic.

And perhaps most importantly, in April, the high court ruled that a Louisiana congressional map was a racial gerrymander and must be redrawn. That decision immediately set off a flurry of redistricting efforts, particularly in the South, where Republican legislators immediately began redrawing congressional maps to eliminate long established majority Black and Hispanic districts.

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