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China silences prominent market analyst as economic slump deepens | CNN Business

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China silences prominent market analyst as economic slump deepens | CNN Business


Hong Kong
CNN Enterprise
 — 

Chinese language social media have shut down the accounts of a outstanding market analyst who drew consideration in latest weeks to the dramatic slowdown within the nation’s financial system and the results of presidency coverage on the tech trade.

Over the weekend, Tencent’s

(TCEHY) WeChat froze the general public account of Hong Hao, managing director and head of analysis at BOCOM Worldwide, the funding banking arm of Financial institution of Communications, a state-owned financial institution and China’s fifth largest.

The transfer got here after he posted about big outflows of capital from the nation and made bearish forecasts concerning the Chinese language inventory market on social media.

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“All content material has been blocked. The person is banned from utilizing the account,” a discover posted on the WeChat account mentioned. It added that the account had “violated” authorities’s web guidelines, with out going into particulars. It additionally didn’t specify which publish had led to the suspension.

Hong’s account on Weibo

(WB), which had greater than 3 million followers, has additionally been eliminated. A search by CNN Enterprise for the account resulted in a message stating that the person “not exists.”

Covid lockdowns have taken a heavy toll on the world’s second greatest financial system. The newest authorities survey knowledge — launched Saturday — exhibits exercise throughout manufacturing and companies slumping to its lowest stage since February 2020.

Beijing’s zero-Covid coverage, coupled with a crackdown on Huge Tech, an actual property hunch and dangers associated to Russia’s battle in Ukraine, has triggered an unprecedented flight of capital by international traders in latest months. The yuan not too long ago plunged to its lowest stage in 17 months.

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Chinese language leaders have made repeated reassurances in latest days about fixing the financial system. President Xi Jinping on Tuesday referred to as for an infrastructure spending spree to advertise progress. And the Communist Occasion’s Politburo on Friday promised “particular measures” to assist the web financial system.

Hong and BOCOM Worldwide didn’t reply to requests for touch upon the social media suspensions. Weibo didn’t reply both.

He’s not alone in expressing rising concern concerning the well being of China’s financial system and markets.

Shan Weijian, founder and chair of Hong Kong-based non-public fairness agency PAG, not too long ago criticized the federal government for insurance policies that resulted in a “deep financial disaster,” in keeping with the Monetary Instances, citing feedback he made at a gathering with brokers. PAG didn’t reply to a request for remark.

Chinese language regulators have stepped up their scrutiny of social media amid rising public discontent over Covid lockdowns within the nation.

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In a transfer to scale back individuals’s on-line anonymity, Weibo informed customers on Thursday it might begin to publish IP areas on their account pages and once they publish feedback, in a bid to fight “unhealthy conduct.”

Chinese language tech giants have been clamping down on individuals making unfavourable feedback concerning the financial system since final yr. In October, Tencent suspended greater than 1,400 WeChat accounts after the federal government launched a crackdown on web posts that it deems are dangerous to the financial system.

Tencent mentioned the accounts had made bearish calls about monetary markets, “distorted” the interpretation of financial insurance policies, or unfold rumors. A public account run by Chen Guo, chief strategist for Shenzhen-based Essence Securities, was amongst them.

It’s not completely clear which of Hong Hao’s posts triggered the newest ban.

The final experiences posted on his WeChat public account had been titled: “Be cautious of capital flight” and “What ought to Chinese language ADRs fear about.” ADRs are securities issued by Chinese language companies listed in the US.

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Hong warned in these experiences about international traders dumping Chinese language shares and referred to as consideration to essentially the most extreme capital outflow for the reason that pandemic started. He additionally blamed China’s tech crackdown, fairly than new US guidelines on listings by international firms, for being behind an epic sell-off in Chinese language ADRs in March.

In one other observe on March 21, Hong additionally predicted the Shanghai Composite would drop beneath 3,000 factors.

Final Monday, the Shanghai Composite fell beneath 3,000 for the primary time in 21 months, as rising Covid-19 instances in Beijing sparked fears that the Chinese language capital may be a part of Shanghai and different main cities in lockdown.

China’s inventory market is the second worst performing on this planet to date this yr, behind Russia, in keeping with Refinitiv Eikon.

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China poses ‘genuine and increasing cyber risk’ to UK, warns GCHQ head

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China poses ‘genuine and increasing cyber risk’ to UK, warns GCHQ head

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China poses a “genuine and increasing cyber risk to the UK”, the head of Britain’s signals intelligence agency has said.

The remarks by Anne Keast-Butler, director of GCHQ, follow a slew of alleged China-related espionage activity in the UK, including a suspected cyber attack that targeted the records of thousands of British military personnel.

Keast-Butler told a security conference in Birmingham on Tuesday that while the cyber threats from Russia and Iran were “globally pervasive” and “aggressive” respectively, China was her agency’s top priority.

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“China poses a genuine and increasing cyber risk to the UK,” she said, calling the country “the epoch-defining challenge” in a direct echo of the British government last year.

“In cyber space, we believe that the PRC’s [People’s Republic of China’s] irresponsible actions weaken the security of the internet for all,” said Keast-Butler.

“China has built an advanced set of cyber capabilities and is taking advantage of a growing commercial ecosystem of hacking outfits and data brokers at its disposal,” she added.

Her warnings came a week after a reported cyber attack on private IT contractor SSCL, which has multiple government contracts, accessed the records of up to 272,000 people on the UK Ministry of Defence’s payroll.

Defence secretary Grant Shapps told parliament last week that the attack had been carried out by a “malign actor”. He did not confirm who was behind it, but a person with direct knowledge of the incident said Beijing was thought to be the culprit.

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SSCL, which is owned by Paris-based Sopra Steria, a digital services company, holds the payroll details of most of the British armed forces and 550,000 public servants in total through its other state contracts, including with the Home Office, Ministry of Justice and Metropolitan Police.

The hack is one of a series of recent incidents that has sparked growing concern across Europe and in the US about Chinese cyber and espionage activity.

On Monday, UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak said Britain faced threats from “an axis of authoritarian states like Russia, Iran, North Korea, and China” as three men appeared in a London court on charges of assisting intelligence services in Hong Kong.

On Tuesday, the UK government summoned China’s ambassador to Britain, Zheng Zeguang, over the case.

John Lee, Hong Kong’s chief executive, on Tuesday said his administration had demanded the British government provide an explanation about the prosecution of one of the three men, Bill Yuen, who was the office manager of the Hong Kong Economic and Trade Office in London.  

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Beijing officials have also repeatedly denied the British accusations, calling them “groundless and slanderous” in what has become a tit-for-tat series of allegations and denials.

Meanwhile, Felicity Oswald, who heads the National Cyber Security Centre, a branch of GCHQ, warned CyberUK conference attendees about the Chinese Communist party’s cyber capability, which she described as “vast in scale and sophistication”.

She said western security agencies had repeatedly raised the alarm about Volt Typhoon, a Chinese hacking network, which FBI director Christopher Wrap said this year had targeted the US electricity grid and water supply.

Oswald added that a Chinese law, introduced in recent years, that required Chinese citizens to report any cyber security vulnerabilities they identified to the government “should worry all of us”.

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Despite state bans, abortions nationwide are up, driven by telehealth

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Despite state bans, abortions nationwide are up, driven by telehealth

Abortion rights activists at the Supreme Court in Washington, D.C. on March 26, the day the case about the abortion drug mifepristone was heard. The number of abortions in the U.S. increased, a study says, surprising researchers.

Drew Angerer/AFP via Getty Images


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Drew Angerer/AFP via Getty Images


Abortion rights activists at the Supreme Court in Washington, D.C. on March 26, the day the case about the abortion drug mifepristone was heard. The number of abortions in the U.S. increased, a study says, surprising researchers.

Drew Angerer/AFP via Getty Images

In the 18 months following the Supreme Court’s decision that ended federal protection for abortion, the number of abortions in the U.S. has continued to grow, according to The Society of Family Planning’s WeCount project.

“We are seeing a slow and small steady increase in the number of abortions per month and this was completely surprising to us,” says Ushma Upadhyay, a professor and public health scientist at the University of California, San Francisco who co-leads the research. According to the report, in 2023 there were, on average, 86,000 abortions per month compared to 2022, where there were about 82,000 abortions per month. “Not huge,” says Upadhyay, “but we were expecting a decline.”

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The slight increase comes despite the fact that 14 states had total abortion bans in place during the time of the research. According to the report, there were about 145,000 fewer abortions in person in those states since the Dobbs decision, which triggered many of the restrictive state laws.

“We know that there are people living in states with bans who are not getting their needed abortions,” says Upadhyay. “The concern we have is that that might be overlooked by these increases.”

Florida, California and Illinois saw the largest surges in abortions, which is especially interesting given Florida’s recent 6-week ban that started on May 1.

Abortion rights opponents demonstrate in New York City, on March 23. Some states’ abortion bans are known as “heartbeat bills,” because they make abortion illegal after cardiac activity starts, usually around six weeks of pregnancy.

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Abortion rights opponents demonstrate in New York City, on March 23. Some states’ abortion bans are known as “heartbeat bills,” because they make abortion illegal after cardiac activity starts, usually around six weeks of pregnancy.

Kena Betancur/AFP via Getty Images

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The latest report also captures for the first time the impact of providers offering telehealth abortions from states with protections for doctors and clinics known as shield laws – statutes that say they can’t be prosecuted or held liable for providing abortion care to people from other states.

Between July and December 2023, more than 40,000 people in states with abortion bans and telehealth restrictions received medication abortion through providers in states protected by shield laws. Abortion pills can be prescribed via telehealth appointments and sent through the mail; the pills can safely end pregnancies in the first trimester.

The report includes abortions happening within the U.S. health care system, and does not include self-managed abortions, when people take pills at home without the oversight of a clinician. For that reason, researchers believe these numbers are still an undercount of abortions happening in the U.S.

Accounting for the increases

A major factor in the uptick in abortions nationwide is the rise of telehealth, made possible in part by regulations first loosened during the coronavirus pandemic.

According to the report, telehealth abortions now make up 19% of all abortions in the U.S. In comparison, the first WeCount report which spanned April 2022 through August 2022 showed telehealth abortions accounted for just 4% of all abortions. Research has shown that telehealth abortions are as safe and effective as in-clinic care.

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“It’s affordable, it’s convenient, and it feels more private,” says Jillian Barovick, a midwife in Brooklyn and one of the co-founders of Juniper Midwifery, which offers medication abortion via telehealth to patients in six states where abortion is legal. The organization saw its first patient in August 2022 and now treats about 300 patients a month.

“Having an in-clinic abortion, even a medication abortion, you could potentially be in the clinic for hours, whereas with us you get to sort of bypass all of that,” she says. Instead, patients can connect with a clinician using text messages or a secure messaging platform. In addition to charging $100 dollars for the consultation and medication – which is well below the average cost of an abortion – Barovick points to the cost savings of not having to take off work or arrange child care to spend multiple hours in a clinic.

She says her patients receive their medication within 1 to 4 business days, “often faster than you can get an appointment in a clinic.”

A study published in JAMA Internal Medicine on Monday followed about 500 women who had medication abortions with the pills distributed via mail order pharmacy after an in-person visit with a doctor. More than 90% of the patients were satisfied with the experience; there were three serious adverse events that required hospitalization.

In addition to expansions in telehealth, there have been new clinics in states like Kansas, Illinois and New Mexico, and there’s been an increase in funding for abortion care – fueled by private donors and abortion funds.

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The impact of shield laws

During the period from October to December 2023, nearly 8,000 people per month in states with bans or severe restrictions accessed medication abortions from clinicians providing telehealth in the 5 states that had shield laws at the time. That’s nearly half of all monthly telehealth abortions.

“It’s telemedicine overall that is meeting the need of people who either want to or need to remain in their banned or restricted state for their care,” says Angel Foster, who founded The MAP, a group practice operating a telehealth model under Massachusetts’ shield laws. “If you want to have your abortion care in your state and you live in Texas or Mississippi or Missouri, right now, the shield law provision is by far the most dominant way that you’d be able to get that care.”

Foster’s group offers medication abortions for about 500 patients a month. About 90% of their patients are in banned or restrictive states; about a third are from Texas, their most common state of origin, followed by Florida.

“Patients are scared that we are a scam,” she says, “they can’t believe that we’re legit.”

Since the WeCount data was collected, additional states including Maine and California have passed shield laws protecting providers who offer care nationwide. The new shield laws circumvent traditional telemedicine laws, which often require out-of-state health providers to be licensed in the states where patients are located. States with abortion bans or restrictions and/or telehealth bans hold the provider at fault, not the patient.

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Existing lawsuits brought by abortion opponents, including the case awaiting a Supreme Court decision, have the potential to disrupt this telehealth surge by restricting the use of the drug mifepristone nationwide. If the Supreme Court upholds an appeals court ruling, providers would be essentially barred from mailing the drug and an in-person doctor visit would be required.

There is also an effort underway in Louisiana to classify abortion pills as a controlled substance.

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Anglo American plans break-up after rejecting £34bn BHP bid

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Anglo American plans break-up after rejecting £34bn BHP bid

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Anglo American plans to break itself up as the embattled mining group tries to win over shareholders following its rejection of a £34bn takeover bid from rival BHP.

In a series of sweeping changes to the 107-year-old mining company, Anglo said on Tuesday that it would sell or demerge its De Beers diamond business, its South African-based Anglo American Platinum operation as well as its coking coal assets.

London-listed Anglo will instead focus on its copper, iron ore and crop nutrients businesses. BHP, the world’s biggest miner, has set its sights on securing Anglo’s copper business, which is expected to boom as the world decarbonises.

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Since rebuffing two approaches from BHP, Anglo’s chief executive Duncan Wanblad has been under intense pressure to set out the group’s future as a standalone group.

Laying out the proposed changes, Wanblad said: “These actions represent the most radical changes to Anglo American in decades.” They will result in “a radically simpler business [that] will deliver sustainable incremental value creation”.

Anglo said it would also pull back on spending on Woodsmith, a flagship project in the UK designed to create a vast underground mine producing a yet-unproven fertiliser. Instead of spending $1bn a year to build the mine by 2027, only $200mn will be spent next year and nothing in 2026.

Shares in Anglo fell 0.5 per cent to £27.03 in early trading on Tuesday. BHP’s improved offer valued Anglo at £27.53, up from approximately £25 in its original bid.

Anglo shareholders have predicted that the group would struggle to sustain its current structure. They have long complained that the value of Anglo’s coveted copper mines in Latin America has been obscured by its other lacklustre operations, particularly its platinum and diamond divisions.

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As part of its bids, BHP has a provision requiring Anglo to spin off its two Johannesburg-listed subsidiaries, Anglo American Platinum and iron ore miner Kumba.

Following Anglo’s announcement on Tuesday, shares in Anglo American Platinum, which produces a range of metals in South Africa, fell 7 per cent. Anglo intends to keep Kumba Iron Ore as part of a “premium” iron ore division that would also include its Minas Rio mine in Brazil.

Alongside dismantling the structure it has maintained for years, Anglo also vowed to cut a further $800mn of costs annually on top of $1bn already earmarked.

Anglo provided few details on where the cost savings would come from, saying it would “need to consider its global workforce arrangements to realise the opportunities for its employees and to ensure delivery of the accelerated strategy”.

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