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Biden’s strategy with Putin is decades in the making

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Biden’s strategy with Putin is decades in the making

In response to a dozen interviews with White Home officers, members of Congress and others concerned within the effort, Biden has intentionally labored with allies overseas to disclaim the Russian chief the one-on-one, Washington vs. Moscow dynamic that the President and his aides assume Putin desires. Publicly and privately speaking concerning the warfare as a struggle for freedom and democracy, Biden has left different leaders to talk with Putin.

“What Putin is making an attempt to do is encompass and encircle Kyiv,” stated Rep. Greg Meeks, a Democrat who’s chairman of the Home International Affairs Committee. “What Biden is making an attempt to do is have the entire world encompass Putin.”

A part of the lesson Biden took from being concerned as vp throughout Putin’s 2014 invasion of Crimea was that NATO nations would wish a a lot quicker, extra humiliating and extra cohesive response than the months of infighting that produced sanctions so weak that Putin rode them out. But administration officers admit privately that if Putin had invaded Ukraine a yr in the past, occasions may need unfolded a lot otherwise coming proper off 4 years of former President Donald Trump’s damaging relationships and calling NATO out of date.

Campaigning in 2020, Biden spoke concerning the confrontation he noticed coming.

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“Putin has one overriding goal: To interrupt NATO, to weaken the Western alliance and to additional diminish our capacity to compete within the Pacific by figuring out one thing with China,” Biden instructed CNN’s Gloria Borger on the time. “And it isn’t going to occur on my watch.”

Biden’s personal final dialog with Putin was on February 12, greater than every week earlier than the invasion began. And for a President and aides who on virtually the whole lot else complain that they do not get the credit score they deserve, on Ukraine he and administration officers have ducked discuss him being chief of the free world, regardless of how a lot of the sanctions and worldwide response are a results of Washington’s steerage and strain.

The result’s Putin’s being boxed in additional than even Biden had anticipated, together with a sustained degree of consideration to the warfare overseas and in America that has stunned White Home aides — with out rebooting a Eighties-style Chilly Struggle.

“Joe Biden,” a senior administration official stated, “has recognized Vladimir Putin for many years and is aware of precisely who he is coping with.”

Reducing Putin off — actually and figuratively

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Reducing off Putin started, as Biden may say, actually.

At any time when they’d communicate, Biden would interrupt Putin because the Russian President launched into complaints that American officers see as a whataboutism tactic designed to distract and undermine.

No, Biden would say, that is not what we’re speaking about, in keeping with one senior administration official who has witnessed these conversations. Or, no, that is not how issues occurred 20 or 25 years in the past, in whichever previous grievance Putin was bringing as much as justify his conduct.

“President Putin cannot use a variety of his widespread tips with President Biden, like making an attempt to confuse individuals by taking place lengthy historic tangents or meandering into the trivialities of insurance policies as a result of President Biden sees these ways coming a mile away and does not take the bait. He’ll attempt to get President Biden off subject by citing an obscure part of the Minsk agreements or a speech somebody gave within the late Nineteen Nineties,” a senior administration official stated, including that Biden “goes to all the time steer the dialog instantly again to what he is come to speak about.”

Biden has typically instructed a narrative of a gathering with Putin on the Kremlin in 2011, when he was vp, and telling the Russian chief, “I am trying in your eyes and do not assume you have got a soul” — a reducing response to President George W. Bush’s notorious 2001 feedback getting a way of Putin’s soul from trying him within the eye and discovering him to be “very easy and reliable.” A Biden administration official, in contrast, despatched CNN highlights of Biden’s historical past on the subject over time, from calling Putin a “bully” in 2006 to calling him a “kleptomaniac” in 2019.

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A White Home aide who was within the State of affairs Room for a rushed Nationwide Safety Council assembly on February 10 stated Biden’s sense of Putin was on show all through how he ran the dialog by which the White Home’s evaluation of an invasion moved from a risk to an virtually certainty.

“He was clear and clear eyed in that assembly that he believed that Putin would do that,” the aide stated. “He spoke with the expertise of anyone who is aware of Putin and has handled Putin.”

Biden learns from 2014 and the significance of unity

Biden thinks he would not have the ability to hold the present ranges of unity — within the US and all over the world — if Putin sparked the type of partisan breakdown that he did in 2014, when many prime Republicans spoke admiringly of his energy and management largely as a result of he was taking up Barack Obama.

Biden hasn’t — as some in his celebration need — gone after Trump, introduced up the assault on the 2016 elections or attacked Republicans for voting towards the previous President’s first impeachment when Trump leveraged withholding navy support to Ukraine — in pursuit of filth on Biden.

“The disaster in Ukraine is clarifying what was at stake again then, and there ought to be accountability for that,” stated Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney, the chair of the Home Democrats’ marketing campaign arm. “I do not assume it is sensible to play politics with a warfare. I believe it is sensible to be an ethical voice for what’s proper and what’s incorrect — and I am proud that I belong to a celebration, and we’ve a president, who is aware of the nice guys and the unhealthy guys in Ukraine. And the opposite aspect appears to be fighting that.”

That message will not be coming from the President himself.

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“Putin needed to divide us. We have been united. It is vital that we ship that sign to the world,” the White Home aide stated.

Most Republicans — with a number of notable outliers, together with Trump’s personal clear wrestle to attempt to erase the reminiscence that his first response to the invasion was calling Putin “good” and “savvy” — haven’t gone on the assault towards Biden, regardless of many variations amongst Republicans and Democrats alike about particulars of the President’s response.

Republicans haven’t, although, been satisfied on the opposite a part of Biden’s technique: Calling rising gasoline prices “Putin’s worth hike” and “Putin’s fuel tax” as an try to assuage voters.

“These are usually not Putin fuel costs. They’re President Biden fuel costs,” Home Minority Chief Kevin McCarthy stated final week.

On Tuesday, Senate Minority Chief Mitch McConnell added, “It is fairly clear that Vladimir Putin just isn’t the reason for this rampant inflation.”

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White Home aides are monitoring all of the Republicans within the Home and Senate who’re calling for harder power sanctions on Russia — getting ready to attempt to undermine them as hypocrites in the event that they complain about greater fuel costs on the marketing campaign path this fall. However on the similar time, Biden himself has saved up outreach to Republican lawmakers.

That is included personally briefing all 4 prime congressional leaders collectively final month and stunning a bipartisan delegation to the Munich Safety Convention with a name to thank them for his or her assist. Throughout that decision, Vice President Kamala Harris held her cellphone to a microphone so the lawmakers may hear Biden talking from behind the desk within the Oval Workplace.

Putin has been monitoring what Biden has been doing and saying about him for years. That features pleasant Russian commentators complaining in 2009 that Biden was a “grey cardinal” secretly orchestrating a troublesome Obama administration response to Putin’s management after the then-vice president stated Russia was limping alongside, or a Kremlin spokesman on Thursday saying that Biden’s warfare legal comment was “unacceptable and unforgivable.”

Whilst Biden has ramped up what he is been saying about Putin, there’s solely to date he can go earlier than tripping into the escalation he is so desperately making an attempt to keep away from.

“It hurts him to see the devastation in Ukraine, and it could be straightforward to say, ‘That man’s evil and we’re going after him and we’ll get him,’” Meeks stated. “The query is: Is that the fitting factor? As a result of then you definitely’re speaking about World Struggle III.”

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Space engine start-up in talks for new capital after funding crunch

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Space engine start-up in talks for new capital after funding crunch

A British technology start-up which had promised to build the world’s first space plane is in last-ditch talks to secure new financing after two of its backers wrote down the value of their investment.

Reaction Engines, which was founded in 1989, is in detailed talks with the UAE-backed Strategic Development Fund (SDF), one of its existing shareholders, about a new injection of capital, according to two people familiar with the situation. The SDF led a £40mn funding round in January last year. 

The British start-up is also backed by several aerospace giants, including BAE Systems and Rolls-Royce, as well as financial investors Artemis and Schroders.

Reaction has previously raised more than £150mn and grew its commercial revenues by more than 400 per cent last year. The company, however, warned earlier this year that it would need to raise additional financing. It has this weekend lined up PwC, the accountancy firm, to act as administrator if the funding talks collapse.

Sky News first reported that PwC had been put on standby. The accountancy firm, which has not yet been formally appointed, declined to comment on Saturday. Reaction also declined to comment. 

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Other existing investors are monitoring the situation, said one of the people close to the talks. 

Artemis and Schroders both announced last week that they had significantly written down the value of their stakes in Reaction. Artemis cut the value of its 2.3 per cent holding by 75 per cent. Artemis Alpha Trust, the fund that manages the London-based fund manager’s stake, now values it at £1.2mn, compared with £6.4mn in April. 

Reaction has in recent years focused on developing a hybrid jet and rocket engine, known as Sabre. The innovative engine was originally planned to power Skylon, a space aircraft also designed by Reaction.

Key to Sabre’s development is Reaction’s groundbreaking pre-cooling technology which prevents engines from overheating and could lead to hypersonic space planes. The company is part of a UK-led military project aiming to make hypersonic flight a reality. At hypersonic speeds, the temperature generated inside a conventional gas turbine would start to melt components unless they were cooled in some way.

More recently the company has focused its attention on developing nearer-term aerospace and commercial applications for its pre-cooling technology. It signed an agreement with US industrial group Honeywell to collaborate on the development of thermal management technologies to help reduce aircraft emissions. 

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Reaction is chaired by Philip Dunne, a former UK defence minister. It has been led by Mark Thomas, who was previously at Rolls-Royce. 

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Former US President Trump hints at support for Florida ballot measure legalising recreational marijuana – Times of India

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Former US President Trump hints at support for Florida ballot measure legalising recreational marijuana – Times of India
Former President Trump has suggested he might support a Florida ballot measure to legalise recreational marijuana for adults, known as Amendment 3, reported the Hill.
Trump, a Florida resident, emphasised the importance of this measure being appropriately managed by the state Legislature to avoid public consumption issues.
Emphasis on responsible legislation
“In Florida, like so many other States that have already given their approval, personal amounts of marijuana will be legalised for adults with Amendment 3,” Trump said in a post on his Truth Social site.“Whether people like it or not, this will happen through the approval of the Voters, so it should be done correctly.”

Trump avoided stating his voting intention or openly backing marijuana legalisation but stressed that responsible legislation is necessary to avoid public nuisances. He pointed to the need for laws that prevent marijuana use in public areas to keep public spaces free from the smell of marijuana, similar to the issues observed in other cities.
“The state Legislature needs to responsibly create laws that prohibit marijuana consumption in public spaces so we do not smell marijuana everywhere we go, like we do in many of the Democrat-run Cities,” said Trump.
Concerns over inconsistent marijuana laws
He also highlighted the inconsistency of criminalising marijuana possession in Florida when it is legal in many other states. Trump emphasised that law enforcement resources and lives should not be wasted on arresting adults for possessing small amounts of marijuana.
“We do not need to ruin lives & waste Taxpayer Dollars arresting adults with personal amounts of it on them, and no one should grieve a loved one because they died from fentanyl-laced marijuana,” he added.
Impact on voter mobilisation and Republican division
Trump’s comments follow recent efforts by Democrats to attract younger voters in Florida, focusing on issues like abortion and marijuana legalisation. These issues have mobilised younger voters in other regions, as seen in Ohio, and Democrats hope for a similar impact in Florida.
Democrats are targeting the fall ballot measures, aiming to increase voter turnout and gain the support of younger voters, a group with which Trump has faced challenges.
Earlier in the year, the Department of Justice made a significant move toward reclassifying marijuana as a less dangerous drug. If this reclassification is approved, marijuana will be downgraded to a Schedule III drug.
Despite the trend toward normalisation and Trump’s comments, some Republicans remain opposed to legalising recreational marijuana. Sen Rick Scott has publicly stated his intention to vote against the measure. He cited personal family experience with addiction as a key reason for his opposition.
“My brother, who died at 67 in April, began smoking marijuana as a teenager and led a life of addiction,” Scott said.

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Big Oil calls on Kamala Harris to come clean on her energy and climate plans

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Big Oil calls on Kamala Harris to come clean on her energy and climate plans

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The US oil industry and Republicans are demanding Kamala Harris clarify her energy and climate policy, as the Democratic candidate tries to please her progressive base without alienating voters in shale areas like Pennsylvania, a crucial swing state.

On Thursday, the vice-president said she no longer supported a ban on fracking, the technology that unleashed the shale revolution. But Harris’s reversal has not quelled attacks from Donald Trump or US executives that she would damage the country’s oil and gas sector.

The heads of the US’s two biggest oil lobby groups said the Democratic candidate must also say whether she would keep or end a pause on federal approvals for new liquefied natural gas plants, and whether she supported curbs on drilling imposed by the Biden administration.

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“Based on what we know of her past positions, the bills that she has sponsored, and her past statements she’s taken a pretty aggressively anti-energy and anti-oil and gas industry stand,” said Anne Bradbury, head of the American Exploration and Production Council.

“These are significant and major policy questions that impact every American family and business, and which voters deserve to understand better when making their choice in November,” she said.

Mike Sommers, chief executive of the American Petroleum Institute, Big Oil’s most powerful lobby group, said Harris should say whether she would stick with Biden administration policies that had unleashed “a regulatory onslaught the likes of which this industry has never seen”.

Trump, the Republican candidate, has accused Harris of plotting a “war on American energy” and has repeatedly blamed her and President Joe Biden for high fuel costs in recent years.

On Thursday, he vowed to scrap Biden administration policies that “distort energy markets”. The former president has called climate change a hoax and his advisers have said he would gut Biden’s signature climate legislation, the Inflation Reduction Act.

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The debate over Harris’s energy policy comes as she and Trump court blue-collar workers in Pennsylvania, a huge shale gas producer that employs 72,000 workers — a potentially decisive voting group in a state Biden won narrowly in 2020.

Harris said in 2019 that she supported a fracking ban but told CNN on Thursday she had ditched that position and the US could have “a thriving clean energy economy without banning fracking”.

US oil and gas production has reached a record high under Biden, even as clean energy capacity has expanded rapidly.

But gas executives in particular have been alarmed at a federal pause on building new LNG export plants, which supply customers from Europe to Asia, saying the policy will stymie further US shale output.

Toby Rice, chief executive of Pennsylvania-based EQT, the US’s largest natural gas producer, said Harris should lift the restrictions, which he argued would compromise energy security.

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“Ignoring her anti-fracking statement four years ago for a second, can we talk about the recent LNG Pause that was put in place this year?”, he said. “This is a policy that has received massive criticism from all sides — our allies, industry and environmental champions . . . a step backwards for climate and American energy security.”

While Biden put climate at the centre of his and Harris’s 2020 White House campaign, Harris has been largely silent, and made only a passing reference to climate change in her speech at the Democratic convention.

“It looks like the Harris campaign has concluded that it’s safer to avoid antagonising producers or climate activists by skirting these issues entirely,” said Kevin Book, managing director of ClearView Energy Partners.

Climate-focused voters are less vexed than energy executives by the lack of explicit policy from Harris.

“Let’s be clear: the most important climate policy right now is defeating Donald Trump in November,” said Cassidy DiPaola of Fossil Free Media, a non-profit organisation. “All the wonky policy details in the world won’t matter if climate deniers control the White House.”

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Last week the political arms of the League of Conservation Voters, Climate Power and the Environmental Defense Fund unveiled a $55mn advertising campaign backing Harris in swing states, focused on economic rather than climate issues.

In contrast, Trump has courted oil bosses who are backing his pledge to slash regulation and scrap clean energy subsidies. His campaign received nearly $14mn from the industry in June, according to OpenSecrets, almost double his oil haul in May.

Additional reporting by Sam Learner

Climate Capital

Where climate change meets business, markets and politics. Explore the FT’s coverage here.

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